December 5th, 2007
11:00 AM ET
15 years ago

Giuliani, Clinton neck and neck in key states

Giuliani is neck and neck with Clinton is several key battleground states.

WASHINGTON (CNN) - Hillary Clinton and Rudy Giuliani may have greater support than their primary-season rivals in the vote-rich swing states that will play a major role in deciding the general election winner next year, according to a Quinnipiac University survey released Wednesday.

But the hypothetical general election match-ups between the frontrunners in both parties remain neck and neck in Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania. The biggest shift in opinion seems to have come in Florida, where the results changed from a 3-point edge for Giuliani last month to a 7-point advantage for Clinton this month. In Ohio, Clinton appears to have a 45 to 41 percent margin over Giuliani. In Pennsylvania, the race is tied at 44 percent of the vote for each candidate.

Clinton, alone among the Democratic primary field, beats or ties any of the major GOP primary candidates in all three states.

The Democratic primary results in Florida, which votes at the end of January, are: Clinton 53 percent, Obama 17 percent, with none of the other candidates receiving more than single-digit support. The Republican results were 30 percent for Giuliani, 12 percent for Romney 11 percent Huckabee and 10 percent Thompson.

Florida has been penalized by the national Democratic and Republican parties for setting its primary date so early in the cycle. National Democrats have said that none of the state’s delegates will be able to vote at the party’s nominating convention next summer; Republicans have vowed to cut the delegation’s voting strength in half.

“The primary match-ups on both sides appear to be driven in part by name recognition,” said CNN Polling Director Keating Holland. “Since the candidates have not campaigned extensively in any of these states, the voters may be choosing up sides based on who they know.

“All that is likely to change after Iowa and New Hampshire convey instant name recognition on one or more of their rivals.”

The poll had a margin of error of plus or minus 2.9 percent in Ohio and Florida, and plus or minus 3 percent in Pennsylvania.


Filed under: Hillary Clinton • Rudy Giuliani
soundoff (29 Responses)
  1. Shawnie Cannon, Grants Pass OR

    Match-up polls are a joke this early in the game. Dynamics change so much between now and the general election in November 2008.

    December 5, 2007 11:57 am at 11:57 am |
  2. John, Boston MA

    Isn't this a tad (meaning months) too early for studies like this? What a waste of time and money.

    December 5, 2007 12:01 pm at 12:01 pm |
  3. david, Cherry Hill, NJ

    With these numbers Barack Hussein Obama has no chance in winning the general election againts any Republican.
    Our only hope is Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton to win the genreal election againts the republicans. Also, I know the media likes to say only voters in Iowa matters and that is such a slap across the face and disrespect for the rest of the voters in our country to keep saying that. we have a voice too, don't belittle us.

    December 5, 2007 12:06 pm at 12:06 pm |
  4. Robert, Shelton, CT

    For the general election, Connecticut would become a swing state, usually held for Democrats...it can go either way, so both candidates (if both nominated) would need to fight hard here.

    December 5, 2007 12:06 pm at 12:06 pm |
  5. York Durden, Columbia SC

    Yes yes, CNN, it's Guiliana and Clinton. At least so you keep telling us...

    December 5, 2007 12:12 pm at 12:12 pm |
  6. Tom, ALBUQUERQUE, NM

    I pray that Giuliani is the Gop nominee. I think he is monumentally vulnerable and once the leaves are peeled back on his personal character and his megalomaniacal ego is exposed it will turn off probable Giuliani supporters. This man is vastly unfit to be President. Hillary will be able to thwart any assaults on her character when compared with Rudy. I believe the true religious southern Christian will not support this vile candidate.

    December 5, 2007 12:16 pm at 12:16 pm |
  7. Michael, California

    From the look of that photo. Rudy does not have a neck.

    December 5, 2007 12:22 pm at 12:22 pm |
  8. SD, NY, NY

    Only Clinton, and nobody else within the Democratic party, can beat the Republicans. If Hillary wont get the nomination, the Republicans will take the white house again.

    December 5, 2007 12:29 pm at 12:29 pm |
  9. John, Boston, MA

    The Clinton machinery at best glorifying debatable surveys!

    Seriously does any believe in these surveys anymore? Give us more facts about these candidates not results from some skewed survey.

    December 5, 2007 12:38 pm at 12:38 pm |
  10. KEITH JAMES LOUTTIT

    Neck and neck, with four furlongs to go!

    No winner can yet be determined here folks! No valuable discernible data given!

    December 5, 2007 12:55 pm at 12:55 pm |
  11. Steve, Portland, OR

    Let's hope this is only because of name recognition as reported. Giuliani and Clinton are the two worse candidates out there. Hopefully Americans who want change figure out these two won't deliver anything but business as usual whether your a Democrat or Republican.

    December 5, 2007 12:57 pm at 12:57 pm |
  12. Paul NY NY

    More good news for Clinton. Obama is a good candidate but will never be able to take out a republican in a nationwide election , and we can't afford to have another republican in power.

    December 5, 2007 01:09 pm at 1:09 pm |
  13. Ken, San Diego, CA

    Should we talk about electibility of Hillary Clinton, or would the Obama and Edwards supportors rather not?

    December 5, 2007 01:33 pm at 1:33 pm |
  14. Joel - Raleigh, NC

    Hillary is two-faced and almost as much of a warmonger as Bush. Giuliani is incredibly corrupt and immoral. I sure hope I don't have to choose between them.

    December 5, 2007 01:36 pm at 1:36 pm |
  15. TC LV

    Clinton always ranks high as the default candidate. Then when the people get to know her, she loses ground rather quickly.

    Remember Iowa, New Hampshire, S Carolina. Her support erodes as she spends more time in front of the people and the other candidates rise.

    Name recognition at this point.

    December 5, 2007 01:54 pm at 1:54 pm |
  16. Dan, NJ

    This poll, at this point, is as meaningless as national polls from 2 months ago. Mianly, people in those states aren't paying attention. Next, the two candidates who have the most name recognition are leading, so we have a good idea what it is based on. Third, these are arguably the 2 candidates with the biggest negatives.

    Worry about who you think the best candidate is, not who you think can beat a hypothetical opponent.

    December 5, 2007 02:08 pm at 2:08 pm |
  17. manny james marietta ga

    Got your BACK Hillary! Eventhough I like all three of the DEMS front runners, I feel she has the best chances of winning. However, I would consider voting for Huckabee..This is a great year for politics.

    December 5, 2007 02:11 pm at 2:11 pm |
  18. Ed Tallahassee FL!

    Republicans can't win if they lose Florida. I wish the DNC would realize that and not punish Florida Democrats, for Florida Republican Policies.

    December 5, 2007 02:14 pm at 2:14 pm |
  19. josh

    Who conducted this poll? What is the margin of error? Without this information, polls are meaningless. CNN, are you conducting polls again?

    December 5, 2007 02:17 pm at 2:17 pm |
  20. JTM

    YOU WOULD THINK THAT RUDY AND BILLARY HAVE THIS ALREADY LOCKED UP.DON'T GET TOO CONFIDENT! THERE IS PLENTY OF TIME LEFT FOR THE OTHER CANDIDATES.

    December 5, 2007 02:31 pm at 2:31 pm |
  21. PoliticalTicker@gmail.com

    Hillary and Rudy! I'm not sure yet!

    December 5, 2007 02:54 pm at 2:54 pm |
  22. Doug, Denver, Colorado

    This is a biased, erroneous, article. The polls actually are showing that McCain beats Clinton in most of the key states by a much greater margin than Guliani. For example, McCain beats her by 10 percentage points more than Guliani in Ohio.

    December 5, 2007 02:56 pm at 2:56 pm |
  23. tired of corruption lv

    I think I read the same thing a few months ago concerning the early states. My how things change once people really get to know Hillary & Rudy.

    December 5, 2007 03:20 pm at 3:20 pm |
  24. Mitch, Colo. Springs, CO

    "This is a biased, erroneous, article. The polls actually are showing that McCain beats Clinton in most of the key states by a much greater margin than Guliani. For example, McCain beats her by 10 percentage points more than Guliani in Ohio."

    Posted By Doug, Denver, Colorado : December 5, 2007 2:56 pm

    Doug,
    What you say may be true. But, your candidate McCain has to win the primary first. And with his bogus support to Bush on Iraq and now Iran policy, he will never make it. Those who are supporting Bush are finished in this election. Have you heard the name "Bush" in any of the republican debates? Even if no one talks about Bush, people know that they are all poodles of Bush-Cheney. Except Ron Paul, no one is worthy.

    December 5, 2007 03:38 pm at 3:38 pm |
  25. Chris, Middletown, CT

    Wow...without even running ad's about Clintons stance (taking every position on every issue...i.e. supports licensing illegal aliens...wait...no she doesn't...wait...yes she does) – yeah....the country isn't that dumb...well...most of them anyway

    December 5, 2007 04:22 pm at 4:22 pm |
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