December 6th, 2007
08:30 AM ET
13 years ago

Poll: Clinton, Obama separated by 6 points in New Hampshire

Obama is only 6 points behind Clinton in New Hampshire, according to a new poll.

WASHINGTON (CNN) - Democrats Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton appear to be separated by only single digits in New Hampshire, according to a just released ABC News/Washington Post poll.

Clinton registers the support of 35 percent of likely Democratic voters in the Granite State, according to the poll - a number that puts the New York senator only six points ahead of Obama, at 29 percent. Former North Carolina Sen. John Edwards comes in third place in the poll with 17 percent, and New Mexico Gov. Bill Richardson is fourth with 10 percent.

But the poll also indicates Clinton's supporters are more committed than Obama's: 43 percent of Clinton supporters say they will definitely vote for her, while only 28 percent of Obama supporters are willing to make that commitment.

While the two frontrunners are separated by a small margin in that poll, another survey released Thursday puts Clinton's lead at 14 percent. According to a Marist University poll, Clinton registers 37 percent compared to Obama's 23 percent. Edwards is at 18 percent in that poll, with no other candidate in double digits.

The Marist poll also surveyed likely Republican voters and found former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney appears to lead the pack with 29 percent. Former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani and Arizona Sen. John McCain are tied at 17 percent. Former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee stands at 11 percent.

The ABC News/Washington Post poll, conducted November 29-December 3, interviewed 592 likely Democratic New Hampshire primary voters and carries a margin of error of 4 percentage points. The Marist poll, conducted November 28-December 2, interviewed 604 likely Democratic voters and 505 likely Republican voters, and carries a margin of error of 4 percent for the Democrats and 4.5 percent for the Republicans.

- CNN Ticker Producer Alexander Mooney

soundoff (94 Responses)
  1. michael, ny

    sisk(nevada), can you be a little creative?

    we are sick of reading the same line: "Clinton seems to be the only Democratic candidate that can beat the GOP candidate".

    Uh, I forgot! I am asking a hillary supporter to be creative. What an oxymoron.

    December 6, 2007 12:46 pm at 12:46 pm |
  2. Moose1648, anchorage, alaska

    It appears to me that the republicans and their media have been helping Obama.

    In October, when Hillary was all time high in polls, Bush 41 said he used to think Hillary's nomination as a "give me", a for sure conclusion. But then, he forsaw polls will reverse againsf Hillary without explaining why....In my view, Bush 41 might have learned that the repiblican strategists have proposed to help Obama to beat Hillary in nomination.

    The recent repeated advices to Obama by Rove appears to confirm this fact.

    There is no way Obama will get nomination on his own merits – not on his experience, his qualifications, his abilities, his poltical issues, and his electability. In my view, he is simply immature.

    I suspect that the republicans have helped Obama, especially in Iowa and New Hampshire, through push polls, negative TV ads & radio ads, against Hillary Clinton.

    Obama is more easily beatable than Hillary in the next general election. The chance of Obama, being a black man and inexperienced, is very slim.

    I think Hillary is a good politician. It will be a great loss to the democratic party if she does not get nominated because the democratic voters get fooled by Obama and the republicans, and a bigger loss to america if she does not get elected.

    December 6, 2007 12:53 pm at 12:53 pm |
  3. RuthieM

    If the American people put Hillary Clinton in Office come see me the next day, I've got a bridge you'll wanna buy!

    December 6, 2007 01:10 pm at 1:10 pm |
  4. michael, ny

    In response to Moose1648 (anchorage, alaska),

    Assume the republicans are backing Obama.

    Could it be that they are so certain they are going to loose this time that they prefer anyone on the democratic side but Hillary? Do you wonder why so many people (democrats, republicans and independents) dislike this woman so much?

    As to your line: the chance of Obama, being a black man and inexperienced, is very slim.

    The point here is not that you can believe your felow americans to vote for a black candidate, but whether or not you will raise above your hypocrital racial view and vote for a black man. That is your call, dont speak for the rest of us.

    December 6, 2007 01:18 pm at 1:18 pm |
  5. Joseph - Gainesville, FL

    Every day I read these threads, and each day I lose more and more faith in the general intellectual ability and mental well-being of the American public. Is it really that easy to manipulate the public discourse? Scroll through these comments and look at how many of them just spew the same catch-phrases that the campaigns or pundits put forth, instead of representing individual thinking and beliefs.

    If we're posting on this site, then each of us has no excuse – we have every imaginable resource just a few clicks away. But instead of doing any research and digging even the slightest bit deeper than the rhetoric, the general consensus seems to be to just digest what is given to us.

    And seriously – are the people posting about Obama being a muslim plant/operative/whatever actually serious, or are they just trying to illicit a response? I mean really, thats just overt racism. Its completely and utterly false, and more importantly, its the very definition of being un-American.

    There is no government-mandated religion here. Thats what makes us great. You can be Muslim, Christian, Jewish, Hindu, ZOrastrian, Scientologist, or Athiest. It doesnt matter. This concept, the concept of a pluralistic society that allows for a Mosque to be on the same street as a Church which is on the same street as a Synagogue, is what separates us from that other world that you people so obviously hate and fear being "infiltrated" by. We are NOT a middle eastern theocracy.

    When people call Senator Obama "Osama", "a muslim plant", or anything else like that, it is THEY who are taking our country in the direction of those countries. Judging people not based on who they are or the type of person or leader they can be, but rather based on skin tone, religion, ethnicity, or family background. That is precisely what they do in Saudi Arabia and much of the rest of the world that we look at with disdain.

    December 6, 2007 01:28 pm at 1:28 pm |
  6. James - Houston, TX

    If Hillary Rodham weren't Mrs. Clinton she would not be in this race at all or in the senate either. Why can't her supporters admit that what they really want is her husband back.

    December 6, 2007 01:38 pm at 1:38 pm |
  7. nohill, denver, co

    I find it incredible how hilltop supportes love to say Obama just wants to run for the presidency, even though he rejected high powered firm jobs to be a community organizer. He also wrote books containing unflattering, but truthful, aspects of his life that no consultant would dare let a candidate think about much less document in a book. Meanwhile, you can see Clinton the carpet baggers move to N.Y. as clear evidence on her power lust, and willingness to say and do anything to get it.
    Hilltop's tactics are classicly Rovian – have your underlyings espouse completely spurious allegations and then fall back on plausible deniability. Her recent comments about Obama, that he has more secrets than you know, is a classic head fake. She wants you to not focus on and/or compare the polcies of the candaditates b/c any organisim with a brain stem realizes Obama's platform and foreign policy stance is principled and rational. His policies are well developed, which is why they are not reducible to sound bites like only the assanine value. Wake up people, realize hilltops playbook. You really want four more years of, "I'm not going to provide you with the information I have, but just trust me because I'm president." That's how we got into Iraq. I want transparency and accountability in government. A vote for hilltop is a vote for more of the same.

    December 6, 2007 01:57 pm at 1:57 pm |
  8. Independent in IA

    Poll-schmoll.....Osama Obama doesn't stand a chance and he knows it. He looks like a kid who is absolutely positive he's gonna get smacked for asking "Please, may I have some more?"

    Adding Oprah Windbag doesn't help him in the least, since he can't be sure if folks are for him or for her.

    December 6, 2007 01:58 pm at 1:58 pm |
  9. Honestly, TX

    LA Times/Bloomberg 11/30 – 12/03

    Giuliani vs. Clinton
    1245 RV 42% 46% Clinton +4%

    Giuliani vs. Obama
    1245 RV 39% 44% Obama +5%

    Obama does as well against Giuliani as Clinton does.

    Romney vs. Clinton

    1245 RV 39% 47% Clinton +8%

    Romney vs. Obama
    1245 RV 33% 45% Obama +12%

    Obama does as well as Clinton vs. Romney.

    Clinton is NOT more electable than Obama.

    December 6, 2007 02:31 pm at 2:31 pm |
  10. Lisa, Corpus Christi, Tx

    Marquis, Chicago IL

    Your assumption that the only reason Edwards is still "viable" is because he is a white male is ludicrous. Who are you to speak for Edwards' supporters? Your logic is a bit frightening. It almost sounds as if you are insinuating if you support Edwards you are a racist. And, quite frankly, what is the problem with reinventing one's self? Most people grow older and wiser, and we often see their views change. We are in trouble when people do not change and remain stubborn regardless of the havoc they wreak...current president being a perfect example. I am an African American female who will be voting for John Edwards.

    December 6, 2007 02:35 pm at 2:35 pm |
  11. Randy S. Lawton, OK

    I think Hillary is a good politician.

    Posted By Moose1648, anchorage, alaska : December 6, 2007 12:53 pm

    Moose, that is her biggest flaw!

    Adding Oprah Windbag doesn't help him in the least, since he can't be sure if folks are for him or for her.

    Posted By Independent in IA : December 6, 2007 1:58 pm

    There's not a major candidate out ther that doesn't have some sort of celebrity endorsement, be it Babs Streisand (Clinton), Chuck Norris (Huckabee), Curt Schilling, (Romney). Why is everyone making such a fuss about Oprah's choice. People try to say it's race-based, that's a load of crap, she never supported Keyes, Jackson or Sharpton. She's doing it because she believes in what the man stands for, period. She has no ulterior motive, she doesn't want a cabinet position.
    The fact is she is an intelligent, caring, informed, concerned person and a lot of people respect what she does and what she says. Frankly of all the celeb endorsements, this one will probably carry more weight than all the others combined. Perhaps that's what has Obama-haters worried, she is in a position to actually steal a lot of Hillary's voters.

    December 6, 2007 02:48 pm at 2:48 pm |
  12. Steve Mantua, NJ

    As a lifelong Deomcrat all I want for Chistmas is a candidate that can take back the White House. Although she may not be my ideal choice, I feel Hillary is the only one capable of doing it. Obama will get eaten alive by the neo-cons, Richardson can't aritculate his thoughts (which is a shame b/c if you take a hard look his ideas are the best of the bunch), and Edward's boyish good looks won't be enough to take him all the way. Face it my fellow Dems, its Hillary or another Republican...now what's it gonna be?

    December 6, 2007 02:58 pm at 2:58 pm |
  13. Nita - SA - TX

    Yes Christine NJ – It is 100% true condition, If middle class people are not going to select Sen. Hillary Clinton, No one in the Democrats will have chance against Republican, we should open our eyes, and face for today’s fact. We need Clinton to protect the freedom we have. Not to overturn laws that are threatened by the republicans and not to bash gays. She will protect us. She is our only chance.

    December 6, 2007 03:13 pm at 3:13 pm |
  14. Jonnie IOWA

    IOWA OBAMA IS NOT THE ANSWER!
    It is proven over and over in his short time as a senator that Obama doesn't have the nerve to take on tough issues. Notice Obama is ducking votes on abortion and Iran!!! Seeking a trillion-dollar tax hike and raising the retirement age for Social Security!!!! PLAY ATTENTION IOWA! DON’T WASTE YOUR VOTE!
    Obama completely skipped the Senate vote on Iran. But throws mud at ALL the other senators doing their job. Take a look at his public tenure in the Illinois Legislature, where lawmakers can vote "present"?? (If you can believe that), instead of yes or no on a bill. Obama, votes “present" on SEVEN ABORTION MEASURES!!!! Unbelievable! WAKE UP IOWA! The President can't vote 'present.' Nor pick and choose which challenges he will face. This guy is afraid to make ANY decisions. LOOK AT THE FACTS IOWANS.
    IOWANS the world is watching you first! SHOW THAT YOUR ARE INTELLIGENT PEOPLE, Not Americans who would see out this great country for a TV talk show host!!!
    DO NOT WASTE YOUR VOTE ON OBAMA he cannot win in the general election. I vote for him is a vote for the Republican Party

    December 6, 2007 03:26 pm at 3:26 pm |
  15. Wake up IOWA & NH

    IOWA OBAMA IS NOT THE ANSWER!
    It is proven over and over in his short time as a senator that Obama doesn't have the nerve to take on tough issues. Notice Obama is ducking votes on abortion and Iran!!! Seeking a trillion-dollar tax hike and raising the retirement age for Social Security!!!! PLAY ATTENTION IOWA! DON’T WASTE YOUR VOTE!
    Obama completely skipped the Senate vote on Iran. But throws mud at ALL the other senators doing their job. Take a look at his public tenure in the Illinois Legislature, where lawmakers can vote "present"?? (If you can believe that), instead of yes or no on a bill. Obama, votes “present" on SEVEN ABORTION MEASURES!!!! Unbelievable! WAKE UP IOWA! The President can't vote 'present.' Nor pick and choose which challenges he will face. This guy is afraid to make ANY decisions. LOOK AT THE FACTS IOWANS.
    IOWANS the world is watching you first! SHOW THAT YOUR ARE INTELLIGENT PEOPLE, Not Americans who would see out this great country for a TV talk show host!!!
    DO NOT WASTE YOUR VOTE ON OBAMA he cannot win in the general election. I vote for him is a vote for the Republican Party

    Madame President of the United States…it's an extraordinary thought. We truly are in a momentous time, where a woman's potential has no limitations," "Hillary Clinton has already proven to a generation of women that there are no limits for success. She is driven by her passion for public service and her belief in the enormous potential of our country. Smart, capable and strong in her convictions, Hillary has transcended the dictates of what is thought to be possible for our time.
    "Hillary is a powerful voice for change as we find our country at an important crossroads. Under her leadership, our country will regain its respect within the global community. She will prioritize issues of global climate change, universal healthcare and rebuilding a strong economy. After 8 long years, the public will once again have faith in their government.
    "Another former first lady, Eleanor Roosevelt once wrote, 'In government, in business, and in the professions there may be a day when women will be looked upon as persons. We are, however, far from that day as yet.' More than 50 years later 'that day' is now upon us…and Hillary Clinton is ready to shatter through that glass ceiling for all women."
    SHAME ON YOU OPRAH!
    VOTE FOR CLINTON

    December 6, 2007 03:28 pm at 3:28 pm |
  16. Adam, CA

    Steve

    I completely understand the desire to not have another republican in the whitehouse but we as democrats are not the deciding votes. That 12% of undecideds come novemeber of 08 are and they aren't just mad at Bush they are mad at washington.

    No candidate screams washington insider like hillary does on either side of this race.

    A change election means change from washington politics as usual. Clinton = washington politics as usual. We may nominate her but she won't win. Same ideas same package has failed to get it done.

    Bush and cheney and no sitting republican washingtonites are in this race. Hillary loses the general.

    We know exactly how the republican and democrat vote splits this election is about who gets the independents.

    Best thing that happened to republicans was the democratic victory last year now Washington democrats are as guilty of washington gridlock as the republicans in their minds.

    Look at the republican polls right now. Not a single republican has gotten the passion of the republican party. Their motivation to get out and vote in november of 08 will be real low unless we put a olarizing hated hillary opposite a schmuck they don't really like that much. THey'll show up to vote against her.

    Hillary = Loss.

    With edwards and biden accepting matching funds they will be at a huge economic disadvantage vs the republican money machine now and that means Richardson or Obama are our best bets as Dodd is also an insider.

    My vote the pro second amendment red state governor that won re-election with 67% of the vote has great ideas including being a supply side economics democrat. If he gets airtime he'll play well, rushing to get points out in scant minutes makes it real hard to shine. I'ld love an richardson/obama ticket in either order they complement each other well.

    December 7, 2007 02:28 am at 2:28 am |
  17. H. Hawke

    I am disgusted that the prospect of the first USA woman president is, apparently, far more terrifying than that of the first black man.

    (That despite the fact that black men got the vote in the USA five decades or so before women, white, black or otherwise.)

    I will not vote for Oprama. If the powers-that-be conspire to nominate him I will, for the first time in my life, switch parties and vote for anyone else.

    December 12, 2007 05:10 pm at 5:10 pm |
  18. Pam

    I've just read that some Republicans in Iowa were pretending to support Obama to knock Clinton out of the race because they know they can take on Obama easier. Anybody else hear this

    January 3, 2008 11:50 am at 11:50 am |
  19. Concerned american girl

    Hello my dear fellow americans let us override our lust for arrogance and power men have ruled this country 4 over 230 years and its about time we make change that is well deserving for the majority of us americans because the majority of us r women not black and while i have nothing whatsoever against black americans i think a white woman comes 1st shes the majority of our nation and she has 2 b elected and so hillary whos been comendable& praiseworthy on so so many issues& has experience more than
    Obama

    January 6, 2008 05:57 pm at 5:57 pm |
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