December 6th, 2007
04:00 PM ET
15 years ago

Poll: Twice as many Hispanics prefer Dems to Republicans

More than twice as many Hispanic voters say they favor Democrats to Republicans, according to a new poll.

WASHINGTON (CNN) - More than twice as many Hispanic voters say they favor Democrats as Republicans – the lowest level of support for President Bush’s party since shortly before his first White House run, according to a new poll released Thursday.

Fifty-seven percent of registered Hispanic voters told the non-partisan Pew Hispanic Center they favor Democrats, compared to 23 percent who said the same for Republicans. Back in 1999, the results were 58 percent to 25 percent, roughly the same margin as the current survey.

In June 2006, before Congress began to consider an overhaul of immigration policy and enforcement, the margin was slimmer: 49 percent of registered Hispanic voters then said they favored Democrats, and 28 percent chose Republicans.

Using a formula that took into account both voting patterns from the last presidential cycle and the most recent U.S. Census data, the organization projected there would be 8.6 million Hispanic voters next year – 1 million more than in 2004.

The group also estimated that Hispanics could affect the outcome in four states where Bush prevailed in 2004 by 5 percentage points or fewer: Nevada, Florida, New Mexico and Colorado.

President Bush and other national Republican leaders had made luring Hispanics from the Democratic Party a major priority. But 41 percent of registered voters surveyed said administration policies had harmed Hispanics, compared to 16 percent who said they had been helpful. Thirty-three percent said they had had no impact.

And 41 said the Democratic Party had more concern for Hispanics, compared to 8 percent who said the same for Republicans. Forty-four percent saw no difference between the two parties.

Fifty-nine percent of Hispanic registered Democrats say they would like to see New York Sen. Hillary Clinton as their party’s presidential nominee. Illinois Sen. Barack Obama trails with 15 percent.

Among Hispanic registered Republicans, 35 percent favor former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani, followed by 13 percent who support former Tennessee senator Fred Thompson.

The survey was conducted October 3 through November 9, and involved phone interviews with 2,003 randomly chosen Hispanics, and had a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 2.7 percentage points. It included 843 Hispanic registered voters, for whom the margin of sampling error was plus or minus 4 percentage points.

- CNN Associate Political Editor Rebecca Sinderbrand

Filed under: Polls
soundoff (61 Responses)
  1. Anonymous

    You got that right about the hispanic population. All of South Texans voting for Ms. Clinton as president.We need a strong leader to guide us to the future and is a good listener.C Garces

    December 7, 2007 10:46 am at 10:46 am |
  2. Frank, San Diego

    All you need to do to understand this statistic is read the posts here in response to it. Republican nativism has reached a level that is truly pathological. Their greed, fear-mongering, and race hatred had to catch up with them eventually.

    December 7, 2007 11:09 am at 11:09 am |
  3. Nick, Chicago, IL

    I'd like to point out a few false arguments that have been made in the comments. First, the majority of Americans right now favor the Democratic Party. Second, quit saying that the Democratic Party just wants to throw money at every problem. Let's not forget that there was a surplus under Clinton, and under Bush and a GOP controlled congress we racked up the largest deficit in history.
    Third, for the Republicans who are saying Democrats want to just let anyone through the borders, it was your President that just completely gutted the border security budget. The USA will not check one single shipping crate that comes to our shores this year.
    Fourth, please remember the mistakes of our past. America has never had success when reacting in fear to a situation. Vietnam was based on the fear of Communism. Iraq over the fear of terrorism. We can come up with solutions that actually account for more than just the white male perspective. (BTW, I am a white male.) These solutions are the ones that create a lasting peace.
    Lastly, the most shameful stain on America is racism. This country was founded on it, and we still can't shake it. All of these comments are based hispanic immigrants, no one seems to care about illegal immigrants from Eastern Europe who are white. Have we not learned lessons from our past mistakes? God created ALL men (women too) equal. That is the fundamental idea that this country was founded on, let's try to live up to the vision of our predecessors.
    Immigration is a difficult issue to solve to be sure, with many arguments to be made from both sides. Let's not spend out time fighting each other, but instead come together as human beings to find a solution that works for everyone (not just you or me).

    December 7, 2007 11:12 am at 11:12 am |
  4. Jon, St. Louis, MO

    of course, they want those government programs (handouts) to keep coming.

    December 7, 2007 11:16 am at 11:16 am |
  5. Tom Dedham, Mass

    I would like to see them do a poll of all legal hispanics that have been here for a while.

    I bet those numbers would be a lot closer than what is being portrayed here.

    Many legal hispanics tend to be more conservative in their beliefs and they like the lower and middle classes GET SCREWED when they have to compete with ILLEGAL immigrants for jobs.

    I'll write this slow so some of you can read it, Republicans are for LEGAL immigration, but are against ILLEGAL immigration.

    Michael from Atlanta is totally correct in his posting as I saw the same story.

    Don't devour what the biased MSM feeds you.

    December 7, 2007 11:17 am at 11:17 am |
  6. Walter, Long Beach

    Sixty-six years ago, today, Americans began turning their racial and ethnic animus towards immigrants of Japanese descent. As abominable as that was, at least there was a discernible reason for it.

    But the current explosion of xenophobia is genuinely baffling. If it were directed solely at those whose background is Islamic, you could call it a reaction to 9/11. But that excuse just doesn't wash here, especially given the frequency with which first and second generation Hispanic Americans join the police, fire, and military services. And every serious study of the subject concludes that immigration across our southern border is a net positive for the United States.

    I hesitate to assign causality for so complex a social pattern to any single factor. But Hispanics might be forgiven if they show less analytical restraint. And they appear to be arriving at the conclusion that the cause of the unwelcoming environment they live in is Republican race-baiting.

    December 7, 2007 11:22 am at 11:22 am |
  7. aj huntington ny

    What part of illegal don't people get? What laws should I consider breaking (since the federal government seems to be OK with breaking laws)? I'd really like to know- is it JUST the immigration law that's OK to break, or can people get away with anything else in this country without consequences?

    December 7, 2007 12:27 pm at 12:27 pm |
  8. Mark, Shreveport, La

    The GOP has been the most hawkish on clamping down on ILLEGAL immigrants, and now they're losing the Hispanic vote.
    I gurantee you that there are Democrat party operatives in California trying to figure out how to get illegals to vote next November!

    December 7, 2007 12:52 pm at 12:52 pm |
  9. Anonymous

    The dems are still getting a great NAFTA buy at 10 pesoes per dollar...

    December 7, 2007 02:13 pm at 2:13 pm |
  10. Steve in SC

    No surprise here ! The dems are enticing folks with a big bag full of government handouts that are paid for by all of us!

    December 7, 2007 04:56 pm at 4:56 pm |
  11. iReachable, San Jose ,CA

    iReachable opinion poll is also designed to let poll takers attach demographic affinity to their vote. This gives chance to voters drawn by commonality (race, age etc) to see results within their group. Pls check out:

    This being an open-to-all opinion poll it can provide representative results if enough voters take the poll from all states and from all or as many groups of voters

    Please rush if you have not take this poll as the primary is approaching. The poll is simple and quick

    December 7, 2007 07:06 pm at 7:06 pm |
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