December 12th, 2007
08:30 AM ET
9 years ago

CNN N.H. Poll: Obama, Clinton tied; Romney remains strong

Sen. Obama has made up ground against Sen. Clinton in New Hampshire, according to a CNN/WMUR poll released Wednesday.

WASHINGTON (CNN) - Barack Obama has chipped away at Hillary Clinton’s lead in New Hampshire, and the two Democratic presidential hopefuls are now locked in a statistical tie less than one month before the first-in-the-nation primary, a CNN/WMUR Poll released Wednesday shows.

Clinton has dropped 5 percentage points since the CNN/WMUR November survey, while Obama has gained 8 percentage points, according to the poll conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center. Clinton is now at 31 percent to Obama’s 30 percent.

In the Republican contest, the new poll also reveals that despite Mike Huckabee’s meteoric rise in some Iowa and national surveys, he has yet to catch fire in New Hampshire. Huckabee remains in single digits at 9 percent, up 4 percentage points from November. But he still trails Mitt Romney by 23 percentage points.

Romney remains in the lead with 32 percent of the vote, followed by Rudy Giuliani and John McCain who are tied with 19 percent.

Despite Romney’s double-digit edge over his nearest competitors, and the seemingly two-way battle between Clinton and Obama on the Democratic side, the Granite State contests are far from over.

“This race is not over by a long shot,” said CNN Polling Director Keating Holland. “Forty-three percent of Democratic primary voters, and a whopping 55 percent of GOP voters, say they are still trying to make up their minds.”

Full story

–CNN Political Editor Mark Preston

soundoff (96 Responses)
  1. Seam, Philly PA

    Get ready for history people. The time is NOW. All the doubters will be eating their own words soon.

    Obama rocks the nation.

    December 12, 2007 09:55 am at 9:55 am |
  2. thetaxpayer

    We're planning a big celebration bash after Hillary loses NH. Everyone is invited..

    December 12, 2007 10:01 am at 10:01 am |
  3. J. McKinney SW MO

    For gosh sakes, Democrats–THINK! We need Clinton and her ability to work on this mess. And, she is by far the most popular of the candidates, either Dem. or Repub., in Europe and other countries, so would be more able to bring up our standing in world respect. And unlike Oprah/Obama, Hillary will have a 2 term, successful past president to advise her if needed. Maybe Obama in 2016, but not now–just not enough experience, too many foibles, and too many Obama supporters trying to act like he is much more than he is, if you read to learn about him. We need HILLARY!!

    December 12, 2007 10:03 am at 10:03 am |
  4. Sean, Detroit, MI

    No surprise here. As people become more aware of Obama, Hillary crumbles.

    I'm only cautiously optomistic though. I know Hillary's going to come after Barack with some nasty, devious, most certainly non-fact-based, mud-slinging in the next 20some odd days.

    December 12, 2007 10:07 am at 10:07 am |
  5. J.

    WOW! I hadn't seen this website before. Thanks for posting! Every Obama backer needs to check this out. And if it is true.....and they seem to have all the proof right there.....then you need to think before you vote.

    December 12, 2007 10:10 am at 10:10 am |
  6. EE

    My guts tell me Mr Obama will win all three IO,HN,SC

    December 12, 2007 10:11 am at 10:11 am |
  7. dmw, roeland park,ks

    Actually, this is a good thing. Now, hopefully, the media will really check out Obama's record while he was a State Senator. From what I have read in a magazine and heard on MSNBC his record is very left wing and America is in the middle politically.

    So, FINALLY, we may get the real scoop on Obama and why he did not want us to know about his State Senate track record.

    December 12, 2007 10:14 am at 10:14 am |
  8. Josh LaMar

    So much for that poll on Oprah hurting Obama's chances huh, CNN? It also appears that Clinton's rebuttal with Maya Angelou BACKFIRED just like I thought it would....

    Come on now people? When are you clinton backers gonna learn? You can't mess with Change? Now I'm a BIG supporter of Bill Clinton but Bill and Hillary have two different views on politics. The smart one and the dumb one? Bill helped the economy alot. Guess which view is the dumb one....

    Now personally, I like Obama alot and I wish he would become the president but I think it's unlikely to happen just because of all the bashing and Muslim rumors... It's ridiculous really.


    Obama '08

    December 12, 2007 10:17 am at 10:17 am |
  9. GreenPlant

    Republicans are excited about the idea of going against Obama in the general election. They know he can't win the states of Ohio, Iowa, Florida, or Pennsylvania in the electroal college.


    Another Republican White House

    President Romney
    President Huckabee
    President McCain

    Sounds good right. I love you Obama dreamers.

    December 12, 2007 10:24 am at 10:24 am |
  10. Erik, Bowie, MD

    My, my, my. It looks like somebody forgot to tell voters that Hillary Clinton was the "inevitable" Democratic nominee.

    December 12, 2007 10:25 am at 10:25 am |
  11. Matthew, San Francisco by way of Barcelona right now

    People are obviously catching onto Clinton's unearned hubris and chewing it up and spitting it out. We are now in the information age and we are not condemed to face-value politics anylonger: meaning we can jump on the internet and research the candidate and their policies, stances and political bios within a few minutes effortlessly by-passing the retoric from the media. Also, we learned our lesson in blindly following a presidential candidate after this Bush administration.

    I'm delighted that people are looking past the racial lines and all the other BS that is out there and are really seeing who can help this country (and no, its not a Clinton). I'm studying abroad in Europe and surprisingly, we are still viewed as the most powerful country in the world. My fellow students here (in Spain) are learning about our country and many are actually rooting for Obama (many because he's new and black and many because of his stances on foreign policy).

    With that said, GO OBAMA!!!!!!!!!!

    December 12, 2007 10:25 am at 10:25 am |
  12. Surrealist, Fort Myers, FL

    As much as I would love to see a black or women become president–I can't support either of these candidates. Here's why:
    For too many years we have sent people to Washington who were groomed their whole lives to be President. They all said they were "for the average American" but all the actions we have seen coming from Washington have not been in support of "real need" in America. When childcare became a problem–they stopped funding it–and gave a tax credit. When the poor became a problem–they just ignored it and set unreasonable barriers and limits to obtaining needed services. For 7 years privitization has taken a toll on government services–contractors have made a windfall–but social services, child protection/welfare, ALL have spiraled into chaos and neglect due to understaffing/underfunding. Mental health services have degraded to an embarassment for the entire nation. In short. So–for the polished prep school personna's of Obama and Clinton, I think we need a new voice. Let's try just a regular "guy" instead of a Harvard or Yale graduate for a change. John Edwards is our only hope–for going to Washington and speaking the unvarnished truth–and using all power invested in him–to always consider the needs of the average American.

    December 12, 2007 10:30 am at 10:30 am |
  13. anon New York, NY

    So what if Mrs. Clinton loses Iowa and New Hampshire?

    She's goin' to South Carolina, she's goin' to Michigan, she's goin' to Florida...and California... and Massachusetts...and Alabama...and Colorado....and then she's goin back to DC for another 8 years in the White House! Yeeeaaaghhhhh!....Cackle, Cackle

    December 12, 2007 10:38 am at 10:38 am |
  14. Surrealist, Fort Myers, FL

    The more I learn from reading and observation on both candidates–the more I am convinced they are prostitutes to the system. The only candidate out there staying on track, kicking a little dirt, and showing genuine passion and zeal to "fight the tough fight" in Washington is John Edwards. Take a second look fellow Democrats–before we end up with a President without the "strength" to shake up the Washington estalishment. John Edwards is where we should be placing our bets. He is more popular, even amongst Republicans (who are a little dissatisfied after the Bush reign). John Edwards is the most genuince article I've seen in over 30 years of voting. This retired USAF Seniro NCO is changing flags!!!

    December 12, 2007 10:43 am at 10:43 am |
  15. Monte Brown, New York, NY

    Hillary Clinton will not lose in Iowa, New Hampshire or South Carolina. Hillary Clinton will be the nominee because it just makes sense. American people need to snap out of this campaign nonsense and focus on the real issues. Who is talking about CREATING JOBS? Who is talking about REDUCING ENERGY COST? Which candidate is talking about ascertainable, achievable policies? The answer is clearly Hillary Clinton. Some women are actually buying into the Oprah spiel. She’s Oprah, not God. We shouldn’t let a talk show host who thrives off the petty bull crap all day tell us how to vote.

    We have an experienced candidate with a “clever chameleon” who has taken aim at the mortgage crisis. Hillary has the contractionary fiscal policies America NEEDS to move forward. Obama just has the deep pockets to run a race and, of course, Oprah. Is Oprah going to create jobs for American families? Is Oprah going to see that EVERY AMERICAN has health care? I don’t think so because neither Oprah nor Obama care about American people as much as they care about their ballooning egos.

    Come on America. This one is easy. We need to stick with Hillary Clinton.

    December 12, 2007 10:45 am at 10:45 am |
  16. Kelli, Michigan

    I agree. To many polls. Hard to believe them, Hillary may have had a few hard weeks. But I don't believe her numbers could have dried up so much, so fast. And even though Obama is going up in some ways, he is not really gaining in other ways. So I think more and more people are just going to the undecided category. And in the end, they might not go with who is more likable or believable. But who has the best chance in the general election. I do think that Hillary might lose Iowa, but I do think she will win New Hampshire. I don't think she is as dire in that state as polls say. So I don't believe the polls. But then I think Hillary has the best chance to win even if she loses the early states. Because she's still leading in the big states. But one never knows. Look at Howard Dean, he was leading going into Iowa and lost BIG. Now polls show Obama leading, so maybe he will lose. It all depends on who turns out to vote. And who they believe has the best chance to win. The closer we come to the primaries, The less I believe the polls. I don't believe Huckabee has had this massive jump either!

    December 12, 2007 10:52 am at 10:52 am |
  17. Jesse, Burnsville, MN

    Yes, Obama backers, go see This site has some of the lies and distortions that Obama is up against. Just because you put "truth" in the name does not make it so. It is basically a "swiftboad" website.

    Regarding Hillary, for those of you who say she has the most experience and is the most electable, what in the world are you basing this from?? WHAT EXPERIENCE? Please give me some information here, besides 8 years as first lady. ELECTIBILITY/UNITER? Close to 50% of the country has a negative view of her and would never vote for her. That means you have to convince every single person in the other 50% to vote for her just to have a tie (remember 2000). WAKE UP FELLOW DEMOCRATS!!

    Obama '08 (Disliked by 30%, which are the same people who continue to approve of Bush's performance)

    December 12, 2007 10:54 am at 10:54 am |
  18. delegator

    It's hard to see the value in these comments anymore, now that all the campaigns are on top of the situation and telling people to weigh in.

    Maybe I'm naive, but I sure hope nobody is swayed by what they read in these comments.

    December 12, 2007 11:12 am at 11:12 am |
  19. J. McKinney SW MO

    >>thetaxpayer says:
    "We're planning a big celebration bash after Hillary loses NH. Everyone is invited.."

    Don't buy the beer just yet, Taxpayer.
    HILLARY '08

    December 12, 2007 11:20 am at 11:20 am |
  20. Columbus, Olivette, MO

    Change, Change, Change! It is also about democratizing the Democratic party so that we have a candidate that is fresh and is not part of the establishment. The myth of invincibility is being exploded once and for all. We are tired of the Washington crowd and the old networks that have had a hold on our party. The Clintons, Al Sharptons, Mayas, Andrew Youngs,etc. It is over guys. A new dawn. Democratic party is reclaiming its true roots and what is stands for. With Barack it will be a landslide victory for the Democrats and we will have a strong party at the county and state levels.

    December 12, 2007 11:21 am at 11:21 am |
  21. Kate, gb

    Go Obama Go!!

    (I can't believe CNN posted something slightly unfavorable to Hillary...)

    December 12, 2007 11:23 am at 11:23 am |
  22. Julie, Rockford, IL

    If Obama or Hillary become President in "08" this country is doomed! Doomed to failed and due to become a socialist nation!

    December 12, 2007 11:23 am at 11:23 am |
  23. Tom, Iowa

    The problem with this is Hillary would have to fight mean to get back in this and that is exactly what people don't want to see from her.

    And as the Democratic field narrows, people are going to get behind Obama before they get behind clinton, if they were going to support her, they would have already done so.

    December 12, 2007 11:30 am at 11:30 am |
  24. Oliva - San Antonio - Texas

    The only thing Obama rocks is probably Oprah. Get real people. This man is the last candidate any democrat should even be looking at. It's all a hoax! A republican friend just informed me that she was also uncertain about who to vote. She went on to say if she didn't vote for a republican she would vote for Clinton

    December 12, 2007 11:43 am at 11:43 am |
  25. Dan, TX

    Latest Rasmussen poll has Obama up by 3 in NH.

    December 12, 2007 11:51 am at 11:51 am |
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