December 29th, 2007
04:00 PM ET
14 years ago

Poll: Romney regains lead in Iowa

 A new poll shows Romney up front in Iowa.

A new poll shows Romney up front in Iowa.

WASHINGTON (CNN) - Republican Mitt Romney has regained his lead over Mike Huckabee in Iowa, according to a new poll released Saturday - the first Hawkeye State survey in over a month to show the former Massachusetts governor in the No. 1 spot there.

According to the American Research Group poll, Romney leads Huckabee among likely Republican caucus goers by 9 percentage points, 32 percent to 23 percent. That represents a significant gain for Romney from a similar survey last week in which he registered 21 percent - then 2 points behind Huckabee. John McCain is the only other Republican to register double digits in the new poll at 11 percent.

But other recent GOP surveys have shown Huckabee in the lead. A Quad City Times poll conducted by Research 2000 released late Friday has Huckabee at 34 percent, with Romney 7 points back at 27 percent. Fred Thompson is the only other Republican to register double-digits in that poll with 11 percent.

In what seems to be more bad news for Huckabee, the poll suggests his support is the softest of any leading Republican - only 60 percent of his supporters say they will definitely choose him on caucus night. That compares to 85 percent for Romney, and 93 percent for McCain.

On the Democratic side, Hillary Clinton holds a narrow lead over rivals Barack Obama and John Edwards. The New Yorker registers 31 percent among likely Democratic caucus goers. Obama and Edwards are both 7 points back at 24 percent. No other Democrat is in double-digits..

Other recent polls show the Democratic race in a statistical dead heat. The Quad City Times poll found Edwards and Obama at 29 percent, with Clinton at 28 percent.

The ARG poll was conducted December 26-28 and carries a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points. The Quad City Times poll was conducted December 26-27 and carries a margin of error of plus or minus 4.5 percentage points

- CNN Ticker Producer Alexander Mooney

Filed under: Iowa • Polls
soundoff (96 Responses)
  1. S.K.M. Boston Mass

    Another ARG poll, another favorable rating for Hillary that doesn't match any other poll. ARG continues to maintain its reputation.

    December 29, 2007 02:42 pm at 2:42 pm |
  2. AlwaysforHillary, NYC

    So happy to hear Hillary is leading!!! BUT PLEASE IOWANS,, WAKE UP!!!! We need an experienced, proven leader in the White House in 2009!! That candidate is HILLARY CLINTON!!!!

    Some have been fooled by Obama's ideology and so-called inspirational speeches, but speeches won't help when he walks into the White House and finds the MESS left by Bush and doesn't have the wisdom, experience and strength to work on these problems!! HILLARY HAS THE STRENGTH, EXPERIENCE, WISDOM!!! SHE IS A PROVEN LEADER!! SHE IS BATTLE TESTED SO SHE CAN SUSTAIN ALL THE ATTACKS THE REPUBLICANS WILL GIVE TO THE DEMOCRATIC CANDIDATE!!! AND HILLARY IS STILL STANDING!!!


    December 29, 2007 02:58 pm at 2:58 pm |
  3. csh chicago

    If Obama was up 7 points over Hillary in a poll – the headlines would be:

    Obama Surging

    Hillary In Free Fall

    We are so sick of the media propaganda ( especially MSNBC) telling us that Hillary's campaign is imploding –

    December 29, 2007 02:59 pm at 2:59 pm |
  4. Betty

    Go Hillary!!!

    December 29, 2007 03:03 pm at 3:03 pm |
  5. Dan C

    Good, I'm glad that Iowa voters are starting to wake up and smell the roses. I guess Huckabee's witty one-liners and lip service to the Christian right aren't enough to overide his poor record and limited foreign policy understanding.

    It's more that Huckabee wouldn't make for a good President (and he wouldn't given his liberal economic and immigration views) is the fact that Romney is an extraordinary candidate. His leadership skills are unmatched. His educational background is unmatched. His understanding of business and the economy is unmatched. He has extensive experience in the private, public, and volunteer sector. Anyone that does their homework will realize that Romney is the best GOP candidate.

    December 29, 2007 03:05 pm at 3:05 pm |
  6. Trevor, OH

    Amen Dan C!

    Best of luck still to all the candidates in the primaries.

    December 29, 2007 03:12 pm at 3:12 pm |
  7. Penny

    There you go again– Another concted poll from CNN..Clinton's News Network.. 2 days ago, you said she had a 15 point lead. You suck!

    December 29, 2007 03:14 pm at 3:14 pm |
  8. Mrs. America

    If I were to vote Rep, I'd definitely go with Romney. He didn't even have to even go after Huckabee in his ads. As soon as Huckabee started getting media coverage, he spoke (and acted) loud and clear for himself. Thankfully, people are seeing the real Huckabee disaster.

    December 29, 2007 03:16 pm at 3:16 pm |
  9. N. Wisconsin

    yeah Romney!!!!!!!

    December 29, 2007 03:18 pm at 3:18 pm |
  10. Bryan J. Tavares

    I couldn't agree more with "Dan C." Romney is the ONLY choice for president in '08. He will continue to keep us safe...Just as "41" has all these years

    December 29, 2007 03:22 pm at 3:22 pm |
  11. julie slc ut.

    What's up with the ARG polls? It's just another weird outlier poll like the ARG poll last week that showed Hillary 15 points above Obama, when all the other polls showed- and still show- that They're tied. Romney and Hillary are still going down. ARG seems to be the only pollster with these screwy poll results. Could they be perhaps, buddies of Hillary's main campaign man- pollster Mark Penn?

    December 29, 2007 03:24 pm at 3:24 pm |
  12. Shawnie - Grants Pass OR

    Bye-bye Huck-a-been. Thank heavens. Oh, and if you lose Huck, is that not divine intervention also? Or is that only if you win....? I am Christian, but Huck's governing record and policies are as scary as hell.

    December 29, 2007 03:25 pm at 3:25 pm |
  13. s.positive

    Yet another rubbish from ARG poll. Who is their right mind actually believe this trash. Next ticker please...

    December 29, 2007 03:27 pm at 3:27 pm |
  14. annette

    Go Romney! People are discovering Chuckabee is only good for his one-liners. The man doesn't have a backbone, can't handle Romney's soft tone truthful ads.

    December 29, 2007 03:29 pm at 3:29 pm |
  15. Mary in NY

    I agree [finally] that Mitt Romney is the one I will vote for. It has taken me a long time to decide but I have tried to find fault with his character and I can not find any. He has only married one woman and is a dedicated father. Loyalty is a trait that I hold in high regards for the leader of our country and his personal life shows that to be true. He has shown roven leadership skills in bringing back a defunct Salt Lake Olympics, is a successful businessman and has some experience in the inner workings of polictics yet has not been marred from years of corrupt lobbyists. He speaks his mind and has the education and business smarts to lead us out of debt and a better standing on the global front.

    December 29, 2007 03:34 pm at 3:34 pm |
  16. Mike

    Finally. People are starting to look at Huckabee's record. He's a failed pastor who was a weak Governor. We need REAL change in America, we need someone who isn't from inside the "beltway" and has actually succeeded in business and large scale enterprise. Someone to bring back America's economic power. Mitt Romney is that person!

    December 29, 2007 03:45 pm at 3:45 pm |
  17. jessie, West Virginia

    Wow!!! 🙂 Wonderful! 🙂 Good news for Mitt. I believe that Mitt's "three legged stool" –to strengthen the military, strengthen the economy, and to strengthen the American families-brings the spirit of "enthusiasm" to the beautiful people of Iowa. Mitt's creative response to every issues, both domestic and international proves-that he has the most qualified and "solid leadership" skills among the GOP candidates.

    December 29, 2007 03:54 pm at 3:54 pm |
  18. Alan in Alpine

    Mary in NY, I agree completely. Not only in what you say, but also that Romney cannot be bought. He made his own money the hard way, even gave away his inheritance to charity, and will be above the fray when it comes to political corruption.

    Go Romney!

    December 29, 2007 03:57 pm at 3:57 pm |
  19. JP from HB

    Hey SKM in Boston-take a look at LA Times/Bloomberg poll of likely caucus votes-it has almost the same percentages for Clinton,Edwards and Obama-how can you call it an outlier(check your facts before putting down a major polling organization)

    December 29, 2007 03:57 pm at 3:57 pm |
  20. Defense Dem

    Hick-a-bee was bound to lose steam once people discovered what he truly 'stands' for: Religious extremism, bigotry, amnesty, and early parole. His lack of insight in the realm of foreign policy speaks volumes on his ignorance.

    Perhaps Huckabee's well of knowledge has run dry. Or perhaps this hick's politics are more suitable for the backwoods and pig-country, where it appears stupidity is rewarded with trips to the governor's mansion. You're way out of your league, Huck! Go back to your pig farming.

    December 29, 2007 03:59 pm at 3:59 pm |
  21. JP from HB

    Hey SKM in Boston- check out the most recent LA Times/Bloomberg poll of likely caucus voters-it has almost exactly the same %'s as the ARG has for Clinton,edwards,Obama(check your facts first before claiming a major polling group does faulty polls)

    December 29, 2007 04:00 pm at 4:00 pm |
  22. Mark, Hartford CT

    What does it matter which current candidate winds up winning on the republican side – don't you know that in this country of sheep we're only allowed to vote into office Clintons and Bushs? Oh wait, maybe I've been listening to too much mainstream media lately...

    December 29, 2007 04:02 pm at 4:02 pm |
  23. Willard

    All you paid Romney bots are working on a saturday? wow uncle money bags must be really desperate. LOL This poll is garbage. I still say Huck beats romney by at least 5%

    December 29, 2007 04:04 pm at 4:04 pm |
  24. Danny G. Boca Raton, FL

    I believe is amazing that in such a contested state, where both Obama and Edwards were supoosed to be the winners, is Hillary the one in the lead, this is representative of her, her hard work, her getting close to the people... not even Oprah could stop that. I'm very proud of the senator... her hard work is paying off... I hope everyone goes and votes!!! Also Gov. Romney is a very savy politician I'm not surprise... good for him I look forward to a Romney vs. Clinton Presidential campaign... you got to love America!

    December 29, 2007 04:05 pm at 4:05 pm |
  25. Chris S - Gerald, MO

    Should I vote Republican, (if Hillary gets the Dem nod) it would be for Romney. Glad to see my 2 choices pulling ahead or gaining ground on the leaders.

    EDWARDS '08

    December 29, 2007 04:06 pm at 4:06 pm |
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