January 3rd, 2008
09:20 PM ET
12 years ago

Schneider: How Huckabee won

Mike Huckabee campaigned in Grinnell, Iowa Thursday.

Mike Huckabee campaigned in Grinnell, Iowa Thursday.

Mike Huckabee's victory in Iowa’s GOP caucus can be largely attributed to his overwhelming support among evangelical voters and women, our entrance polling shows.

Evangelicals constituted the majority of Republican caucus goers (60 percent), and our entrance polling shows Huckabee won 45 percent of that group. Mitt Romney, who has heavily courted social conservatives only drew 19 percent of those voters.

Huckabee also overwhelmingly won the female vote, picking up close to 45 percent of women, to only 23 percent for Romney.

- CNN Senior Political Analyst Bill Schneider

Filed under: Mike Huckabee
soundoff (96 Responses)
  1. matt

    The Iowa evangelicals (not to mention those nationwide) have found their voice. No surprise considering how much attention was given to the fact that the Christian conservatives were upset with the Big Four: Giuliani, Romney, McCain and Thompson.


    January 3, 2008 09:18 pm at 9:18 pm |
  2. Fred

    How Huckabee won?

    His nuttiness had less of a detrimental effect than Romney's being a fake and a Bush supporter.

    "Don't touch the hair!"

    January 3, 2008 09:20 pm at 9:20 pm |
  3. wes

    this guy is real scarey.

    January 3, 2008 09:21 pm at 9:21 pm |
  4. Tim, AZ

    I'm watching the CNN TV coverage of the Iowa Caucuses, and I see a pie chart of Republican results with 15% left empty. Why isn't CNN reporting who is getting this 15%? This is not an insignificant remainder. It's a larger amount than some of the "front runners" have. Come on CNN... report all the candidates fairly.

    January 3, 2008 09:22 pm at 9:22 pm |
  5. Bob

    This is good news for Democrats, because it shows how messed up Republicans are. Huckabee will never get the big oil and other money people Bush has in his back pocket. Bush could bring in evangelicals, oil and big business. Neither Huckabee or Romney can bring that whole group in. Huckabee will do well in the south, but would be a joke in a general election. Romney would never get the religious right. They haven't a clue.

    January 3, 2008 09:22 pm at 9:22 pm |
  6. nathan

    I think this is deeper than just the Evangelicals. I truly believe Huckabee even with his pastor background at the end of the day is someone people can connect with and is the most electable out of the field. He is someone that is just easy to like and may bring some moderation to the (R) field which swayed way right under Bushco.

    Congrats Hucksters! – I am liking what I see in Huck myself.

    Why does it feel like a real spoiler if Clinton doesnt win today?

    January 3, 2008 09:22 pm at 9:22 pm |
  7. B.J. Bower

    I'm scared that an Evangelical following is on the coat-tails of Huckabee. I am a Democrat and we are going to win the Presidential Election anyway, but we sure don't need an Evangelist or a Mormon in the White House..... Sorry.

    January 3, 2008 09:22 pm at 9:22 pm |
  8. wanker

    It's great that "news" organizations still declare winners of contests while they are still underway. The cnn.com website now carriies only two candidates numbers... one for each party... The de facto winners selected by the media/corporate establishment. Don't let the media write history folks.

    January 3, 2008 09:23 pm at 9:23 pm |
  9. Frank

    If Hickabee does win the nomination, Independents will flock to the Democratic niminee, whoever that may be.

    January 3, 2008 09:26 pm at 9:26 pm |
  10. Becky

    As David Broder pointed out in today's column...we must remember that only 20% of all eligible voters in Iowa turn out for these caucuses and they represent the far right and the far left...not the views of the majority of this great country's voters.

    January 3, 2008 09:28 pm at 9:28 pm |
  11. Huck

    Yeah! Now we can get prayer into schools.

    January 3, 2008 09:28 pm at 9:28 pm |
  12. Hal

    If Huckabee wins the GOP nomination, he will either prove too loony and the Republicans will go into a long-term decline, or he'll win and I will check into the Canadian immigration rules.

    January 3, 2008 09:29 pm at 9:29 pm |
  13. suzie from atlanta, GA

    Great. now we have him viable. Oh fantastic. Doesn't believe in evolution, since he thinks he knows how long a day is for G-d, ( I guess only 24 hours, right?) thinks right to life is more important than the mess we have in the world right now, you know all the really important issues: G-d, Jesus, creationism, right to life. Ok, so we will just be the dumbest nation on the face of the Earth, along with the most dangerous. And for those of us NOT born again? I guess we have lost our place in line..........
    Of course it doesn't matter since there is no way the GOP is winning in '08.

    January 3, 2008 09:29 pm at 9:29 pm |
  14. James E

    It is obvious that Mike Huckabee's victory in Iowa's GOP caucus was attributed to the support among evangelical and born again voters! Is this because those voters favor Huckabee, or that they will do anything in their power to keep a Mormon out of the White House?

    Historically, evangelical and born again christians have been quite hostile to the people of the mormon religion.

    So look at the facts; 60 percent of the Republican Caucus goers in Iowa are either evangelical or born again christians. Is it any suprise that Romney lost this state? No it is not. I believe Huckabee won Iowa based on his religion, not on his potential to succeed in the White House. In a state that is religiously balanced, Mitt would beat him any day.

    January 3, 2008 09:31 pm at 9:31 pm |
  15. Francis G.

    Amen. The tide is turning. This is the start of somthing really big

    January 3, 2008 09:32 pm at 9:32 pm |
  16. Andy, New York, New York

    Huckabee is getting strong support from the same people who helped put Bush back in office in 2004! Don't mess with God's people, regardless of how imperfect they are! Man, even Obama said he is a Christian and believes in Jesus Christ, and that may explain why he is also beating Hillary in Iowa!

    America was founded on Judeo-Christian principles, and that explains why so many American with religious connections to those principles are turning out in larg numbers to make a difference.

    Sorry guys, but Christians are humans and Americans like homosexuals are humans and Americans. Everyone has the right to vote their conscience! This is what makes America such a great beacon of democracy – imperfections and all!

    January 3, 2008 09:35 pm at 9:35 pm |
  17. Mikie

    As an evangelical Christian (terms now high-jacked by the extremist right but worth merit if understood Biblically) I am very concerned that this Republican does not share respect for other faith traditions who are just as honorable as my own. I believe he is, while well-intentioned, nonetheless, a real danger to our democratic society and would usher in a Christianized version of the Taliban. Not something any of us wants or needs.

    January 3, 2008 09:37 pm at 9:37 pm |
  18. Richard, Ewing NJ

    Romney outspent Huckabee at least 10:1 if not 20:1 and lost. This shows that money does not matter. Listen, Romney supporter! You cannot bombard negative TV days in day out. It does not work. It backfired, didn't it? Romney deserves to lose by using those misleading ads. People are not stupid, you know. John McCain will beat the crap out of Romney in New Hampshire soon.

    January 3, 2008 09:37 pm at 9:37 pm |
  19. T.J.

    I'm reading many snide comments from the sour grapes liberals.
    What we really need to get this country back on track is a faith based leader, and that's what we'll have in 2008.

    January 3, 2008 09:37 pm at 9:37 pm |
  20. Lance

    If a preacher wins the White House this year....there is no telling what kind of divine messages we will all be forced to endure. Supposedly George got guidance from God and look at the mess he created.

    January 3, 2008 09:38 pm at 9:38 pm |
  21. Bob

    Faith-based leader? Like what we have now?

    January 3, 2008 09:39 pm at 9:39 pm |
  22. Steverino

    Did he really win yet? What percent of the precincts are in? Does no one care about that anymore? I feel like we should all hold our freaking horses and let people finish caucusing.

    January 3, 2008 09:39 pm at 9:39 pm |
  23. Katie

    Wow. I never would have expected this a few months ago...

    I wonder, if he's nominated, whether he'll still pick Stephen Colbert as his running mate? 😉

    January 3, 2008 09:40 pm at 9:40 pm |
  24. schneider

    What happened in Linn County? Giuliani who almost nowhere was above 5% there got 49%. Can somebody offer an explanaition?

    January 3, 2008 09:40 pm at 9:40 pm |
  25. Claude, Calgary

    I am for Obama but congrates to Huckabee. Americans are getting it rite! Drastic change in leadership for both parties. Its not over and I feel sorry for Guliani.
    For Guliani to exclude any part of America to focus on certain area he thinks is favorable to him is a dangerous message!!!!!!
    America wants to see OBAMA HUCKABEE vie for the Whitehouse.

    January 3, 2008 09:41 pm at 9:41 pm |
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