January 3rd, 2008
09:20 PM ET
12 years ago

Schneider: How Huckabee won

Mike Huckabee campaigned in Grinnell, Iowa Thursday.

Mike Huckabee campaigned in Grinnell, Iowa Thursday.

Mike Huckabee's victory in Iowa’s GOP caucus can be largely attributed to his overwhelming support among evangelical voters and women, our entrance polling shows.

Evangelicals constituted the majority of Republican caucus goers (60 percent), and our entrance polling shows Huckabee won 45 percent of that group. Mitt Romney, who has heavily courted social conservatives only drew 19 percent of those voters.

Huckabee also overwhelmingly won the female vote, picking up close to 45 percent of women, to only 23 percent for Romney.

- CNN Senior Political Analyst Bill Schneider

Filed under: Mike Huckabee
soundoff (96 Responses)
  1. Samantha

    Of course he will storm the south I heart Hickabee. I'm from the south myself and the majority of people in the south are just as idiotic as the majority of people in Iowa. They base their choice solely on the canidates faith not their policies. They don't call the southern states the Bible belt for nothing.

    January 3, 2008 10:37 pm at 10:37 pm |
  2. Ed

    Who says that Iowa's is representative of the primaries to come (the media would have us believe that)? What a stupid circus – totally dominated by the ultra-right evangelicals and the ultra-left. Both believe that their "values" trump both logic and experience. People had better wake up fast. Neither Mike Huck nor Barack Obama is electable – once the moderates wake up to what they really represent. We are in for real trouble and will be a laughing stock world-wide with either of these naive but well-meaning fools.

    I can hardly wait until the primaries move to the large states and get these unelectables off the street, along with Duncan Hunter, Fred Thompson, Ron Paul, What's his name? Biden, Chris Dodd, et. al. Hilary can fight it out with Edwards (who is probably the Democrats best hope) and Guiliani and McCain contend for the Republican nod. We'd be best off if the nut cases on the right and left stay home or wake up to the fact that this country yearns for someone competent to govern who is not a captive of the far fringes.

    January 3, 2008 10:38 pm at 10:38 pm |
  3. Trang, Fremont CA

    Congratulations, Governor Mike Huckabee. Thank you for trying to turn the rhetoric back to positive. Not sure if the others will follow suit.

    January 3, 2008 10:41 pm at 10:41 pm |
  4. Rob

    How Huckabee won? He lied, cheated , told half truths, and mislead people about his conservative views.

    January 3, 2008 10:41 pm at 10:41 pm |
  5. grant

    This country is screwed!

    January 3, 2008 10:44 pm at 10:44 pm |
  6. Jeremy, Columbus OH

    Once again it proves that Evangelical voters are uneducated and don't care that their leader has any clue about foreign policy. The Republican Party is such a mess right now and it's funny. Obama won and if he and Huckleberry go up against each other then guess where all the moderates republicans and independents are going? Hint: Not to Huckleberry. Evangelicals have left the educated thinking Republicans out in the cold and the Dems are ready to take them under their wing.

    January 3, 2008 10:46 pm at 10:46 pm |
  7. Karen in CA

    Sends a strong message, money does not matter!

    Neither do facts or reason! Iowa did not do its homework.

    Lame choice = Wasted effort

    Lost much respect for Iowa today.....

    January 3, 2008 10:50 pm at 10:50 pm |
  8. Richard, Ewing NJ

    Kris In Atlanta,

    You have no idea what you are talking about. You are sad. Do you know what is a Christian Left? Huckabee is a Christian Left, not Christian Right.

    January 3, 2008 10:57 pm at 10:57 pm |
  9. Mike, Fredericksburg, VA

    Some of those slamming Huckabee clearly don't know much about him and as a consequence, underestimate him. Their prejudices against southernors and Baptist ministers is clouding their thinking.

    January 3, 2008 11:01 pm at 11:01 pm |
  10. John W

    "Once again it proves that Evangelical voters are uneducated and don't care that their leader has any clue about foreign policy" Jeremy in OH

    The same could be said of those who voted for Edwards and Obama. The reality of it all, is that most Americans are uneducated and/or don't care about issues that matter. They only care about the glitz, glamor, and emotions that have been indoctronated into our society through media and entertainment. Having our attention span shortened doesn't help either.


    January 3, 2008 11:07 pm at 11:07 pm |
  11. Shelly

    I will repeat exactly what happened here....Iowa was the same state that picked Pat Buchanan in 1988.... he didn't get very far after that. Consider the lunatic sources.

    Obama will be president if Huckabee gets any more support. He will galvanize the common sense citizens who can see right through Huckabee's classless nonsense.

    January 3, 2008 11:09 pm at 11:09 pm |
  12. Bob

    If most states had nothing but home-schooled children, he would sweep the country. He doesn't believe in evolution, and he won't evolve to reach anyone besides the uneducated white fundamentalists of Iowa and the Bible Belt.

    January 3, 2008 11:09 pm at 11:09 pm |
  13. Phillip , St. Louis

    It makes me sick to my stomach, that with all the bloodshed, war, and health care problems, that idiotic so called "evangelicals" are more worried about gay marriage and abortion! Get a life! Do you people think you are that much closer to God than the rest of us? Here's a little note....there are going to be a lot of surprised people on Judgement Day, and I am quite sure that a lot of these pious, religious zealots won't make it. Huck will NEVER be elected president. Oh, something else...I am a Southern Baptist.

    January 3, 2008 11:10 pm at 11:10 pm |
  14. Bob

    Oh Mike,

    Those are the same Southern Baptists who still have Confederate flags in the sanctuary, defended slavery because the Bible taught it, and still don't let women have equality because "the Bible says." You take your racist bigot crap and use the Bible to justify it.

    Who's clouded?

    January 3, 2008 11:12 pm at 11:12 pm |
  15. Dale Davis, Glendora, California

    The Evangelicals have fallen for the bait. They have unwittingly become the destroyers of the Republican Party, by screwing the Mormon. Mormons and conservative Catholics have been offended by this county bumpkin and will not vote for him, if the Republican Party gives him the nod. Why would the large Mormon-inhabited areas of Utah, Arizona, Idaho, Nevada and Colorado vote for the bigot? And please, don't forget the massively Catholic areas of Massachusetts, Rhode Island, Connecticutt, New York, Maryland, etc. THE FRAGMENTATION OF THE REPUBLICAN PARTY HAS NOW BEGUN. Thanks a lot Dixie! The Democratic camp, (especially Hillary Clinton), is cackling insanely, as well as the liberal news media. They promoted Huckabee and propped him up well and it worked.
    WAY TO GO!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Idiots of Iowa. And South Carolina is next.

    January 3, 2008 11:15 pm at 11:15 pm |
  16. Alejandro Ochoa

    Huckabee won the Iowa caucus with his performance that he had in the youtube/cnn debatte. Needless to say he had an outstanding performance.

    January 3, 2008 11:30 pm at 11:30 pm |
  17. Martin Mohr

    I wonder how Bill Schneider and other pundits have determined that the Republican party in Iowa is made up of 60 percent "evangelicals." Do the pollsters even know what an evangelical is? As a life-long Iowan of 79 years I know that Iowa has many church-goers. But Iowa is not in the Bible Belt. That area is pretty much coterminous with the Sun Belt. Where did your weird figure on evangelicals come from?

    January 3, 2008 11:34 pm at 11:34 pm |
  18. Frank

    The Huckster has proven that money is not the most powerful tool when dealing with people that use an ancient Jewish religion to guide their thought process. I also believe in a universal creator but considering the uncountable number of religions that have been created by the human species it would seem the odds of yours being the only true religion are very slim. I mean just what guided the various life forms that existed during the previous few hundred million years? I do not think Jesus is going to pay your rent as our country implodes because of this mentality. Huck is certainly a nice guy and very humorous but somehow I have a problem seeing him as President.

    BTW: Huck made 3 appearances on The Colbert Report, when he was at 1% and I believe he has committed the VP spot to Steven. You certainly would not vote for someone who would go back on their word now would you?” He owes his success to the Colbert bounce.

    January 3, 2008 11:50 pm at 11:50 pm |
  19. Scientist

    How can any faith be 'honorable' if it is not based upon empirical reality?

    Sorry, I don't believe you.

    January 3, 2008 11:56 pm at 11:56 pm |
  20. Richard, Ewing NJ

    Martin Mohr,

    Yeah, but I don't think you have to go to church everyday to be an evangelical. What I want to say is that usually people take results from exit poll and gather how many men voted for Huckabee, how many women voted for Huakabee, how many college students voted for Huckabee..... Just in case, you do not know. Exit polls are polls taken immediately after voting. Usually, a pollster will come up to you after you come out of a booth and asked you question. Clear now? Exist polls usually are the most accurate kind of poll.

    January 4, 2008 12:12 am at 12:12 am |
  21. Homjett

    I notice that in the final analysis by the pundits, there was no mention that Romney being Mormon might have contributed to his losing. What does this really say about evangelicals. I know as a Southern Baptist myself, I would call it hypocritical. Gov. Huckabee made enough gaffes an misspeaks in the last two weeks to have made a difference, however, the MSM seemed to give him a pass. They sure promoted his last attack ad, that wasn't really an ad, but the MSM made it one.

    January 4, 2008 12:33 am at 12:33 am |
  22. Mariel Seattle WA

    Lots of Catholics will vote for Huckabee. You might be right that many Mormons would not, but my Mormon neighbor across the street will vote for him. Cathollics too are people with traditional values. I expect the Catholic vote could put Huckabee in the White House, although Obama or Edwards will be a formidable opponent. We just don't know yet.

    January 4, 2008 12:43 am at 12:43 am |
  23. Georgiaguy

    Twice as many voters caucused in the Democratic side, as the Republican in the battleground state of Iowa. Gore won it in 2000 and Bush in 2004. Even Pat Pitchfork Buchannon said that spells big Democratic landslide in the 2008 general election. It feels like 1964 all over again. Money is drying up for them and look at the retirements and resignations (except for family values Republican Sen. Larry Craig). The Republican even chose Minneapolis as a convention site before the bridge collapsed (due to their neglect of the infrastructure) and dear old Larry made a play for a police officer. I look forward to seeing George Bush speaking at that convention of the Titanic party.

    January 4, 2008 01:06 am at 1:06 am |
  24. john iurincich

    After Bush can America afford to have another christian fundamentalist in the White House?

    January 4, 2008 01:24 am at 1:24 am |
  25. Bo

    Once again, James Dobson and his Focus on the Family group shows how powerful they are. It was no accident. Why the media doesn't investigate the connection between Dobson and Huckabee, I don't understand.

    January 4, 2008 01:51 am at 1:51 am |
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