January 3rd, 2008
10:51 PM ET
14 years ago

Schneider: What Obama's Iowa win could mean in South Carolina

Almost half of Democratic primary voters in South Carolina are African-American.

Almost half of Democratic primary voters in South Carolina are African-American.

(CNN) - Barack Obama just won a state whose population is less than 4 percent African-American. On January 26, he will be on the ballot in a state with a considerably higher percentage of African-Americans: South Carolina, where that demographic makes up nearly 50 percent of Democratic primary voters there.

African-Americans have been intensely loyal to the Clintons, and continue to support Hillary Clinton over Obama in the Palmetto State. But that gap has significantly narrowed in recent weeks - and with this key win tonight, it's unlikely they will stand in his way there.

- CNN Senior Political Analyst Bill Schneider

Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama
soundoff (104 Responses)
  1. fidelis

    they say politicians are liars so, for one to assume that a politician is more experience is synonimous to calling him/her a better or best liar. i believe for Senator Obama to be new in the political arena makes him less of a liar and a better candidate for the America of today.

    January 4, 2008 12:29 am at 12:29 am |
  2. Seam, Philly, Pa

    All the haters out there, stop it! Obama is the man, and he will not suffer against a weak Republican attack machine that you people seem to dream of.

    January 4, 2008 12:40 am at 12:40 am |
  3. Andy A.

    Clinton should just call it quits and join the Obama campaign. Timing would be just perfect for a solid collabo.

    January 4, 2008 12:49 am at 12:49 am |
  4. Gil - California

    WTG Obama and Edwards, great showing. Both Obama and Edwards had great speeches.

    Dispite what the Clinton attack team said while back peddling over the past couple weeks, she expected Iowa to be a cake walk. I reject the notion that says she is the only way for the Democrats to regain the White House.

    They said neither Obama or Edwards would be able to stop her, they were wrong.

    The naysayers here say Hillary is the only way to beat the Republicans, I believe with all my heart that they are wrong.

    History may prove me wrong, but I'd rather have high hopes and run with either Obama or Edwards (or both) than compromise my own beliefs.

    Obama/Edwards 08

    January 4, 2008 12:59 am at 12:59 am |
  5. Michael

    All you need to see: http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/

    Obama with his lack of experience and sweeping victory in Iowa walks away with 16 delegates to Clinton's 15 delegates. Wait until the BIG states chime in and bury Obama under and avalanche of Clinton wins.

    There will be a time when this country will be fair and just...and have no problem seeing past color. Unfortunately...we have not reached that time. Anyone voting for Obama to take the Democratic nomination...might has well vote for a Republican to be our next President.

    Truth is...Barack Obama simply doesn't have the kind of experience in Washington that our next President needs in order to bring about change.... and we cannot afford time wasted with "on the job" training.

    A vote for Obama...is a vote for another four years of failure in the White House.

    January 4, 2008 01:11 am at 1:11 am |
  6. jJoseph Bowden


    January 4, 2008 01:46 am at 1:46 am |
  7. kingston, Phx., AZ

    I'm excited to see Obama's success in IA of all places. Maybe their is hope for America. Maybe we will stop behaving like the 3rd world country we are slipping into. Just maybe, we will start behaving like the Blessed, Diverse, Talented people we are. Maybe we need to realize, All Hands are Needed on Deck, & all Faiths Praying that we don't go the way of Rome & fall from within. Things are too serious for the games we play.

    January 4, 2008 01:49 am at 1:49 am |
  8. Randy

    Michael's entire concept of Obama being "run over" is ignorant...If he knew politics he would have the sense to know an elected official will get "run over" when they are an insider and they have a "leash" and they owe everybody except the people who elected them. I hope Michael thinks about getting "run over" when he goes to the gas station tomorrow...we are all getting "run over" by corrupt Republicans in power the past 8 years, who have been consitituents of big business that has us going into a recession as we speak.

    Barack is bi-racial, yet in America, because of a racist mentality that is neither here or there , if he had "one drop of black blood" according to a higher court ruling that still has not been challenged he is considered to be simply black. It is what it is, America has come a long way, yet so far to go...and the first thing we need to do is elect someone who is capable and Michael when you get a Harvard Law Degree as with Mr. Obama, stop back by and see if your understanding of the reality of politics in washington is really about...being bought and sold and yes my friend....the american people have been SOLD out already.

    January 4, 2008 02:06 am at 2:06 am |
  9. Nathan, Melbourne, Victoria

    If Obama becomes President, he should continue the line of untested, untried and incompetant leaders the US has had since Eisenhower, with honourable mentions to George H. W Bush and JFK. Since the country basically runs itself though, another simpleton at the helm shouldn't matter.
    P.S Obama supporters, Michigan is worth Iowa and NH combined, and Hillary is the only one standing there.....oooops.

    January 4, 2008 02:10 am at 2:10 am |
  10. B. Ambrose

    Congratulations to the Senator. Finally, the politics of defined hope triumphs over the politics of fear. Unity triumphs over divisiveness...............

    January 4, 2008 02:13 am at 2:13 am |
  11. jp chicago

    Open season on the empty "change"of the Obama campaign. Let the nation see the corrupt underpinnings of the Obama prop job.Federal trial in Feb. will expose the depth of corruption surrounding Obama as the illinois Democrats usually try to hide from inquiring REAL reporters. Will Barack answer questions from the Illinois/Chicago reporters now??? Iowa college students have'nt got a clue from where this guy was 'created'. Hey Iowa college students, if you really want to make a difference in your own state,learn the "story" of the imprisoned Chicago police officer Mike Mette who was convicted of defending Himself (no weapons)against a drunk,and is serving a 5 year term presently. Great State of Iowa; celebrate voting for the corrupt Chicago political HACK, throw the TRUE and Real, unassuming American hero in prison.

    January 4, 2008 02:23 am at 2:23 am |
  12. Tyler in Raleigh, NC

    So the 60+ crowd likes Hillary... arent those also the voting bloc least likely to want change?

    Better quiet down on CHANGE Hillary, may alienate the only voting bloc that seems to be all out for you.

    January 4, 2008 02:27 am at 2:27 am |
  13. Christian, Tampa FL

    Some of you non-Obama supporters are sore losers. Saying that Iowa "blew it" is an insult to the democracy that works so well in that state. It is the people's choice, for better or for worse. Obama is no fool; he will make a fine President.

    January 4, 2008 02:28 am at 2:28 am |
  14. Mark

    don't know about you but I never leave a game after the first inning, No matter what the score

    January 4, 2008 02:32 am at 2:32 am |
  15. Bob, Florida

    Alexis – How often have we heard that? The Karl Rove / GOP attack machine will have lost a lot of steam trying to derail Huckabee! This year we break the two party partison shackles!

    January 4, 2008 02:43 am at 2:43 am |
  16. Kelvin

    Romney has the money but lack charisma, Huckabee doesn't have money but can reach the hearts of many.

    Obama represents the ideal president, but there's no such thing as ideal, yet the closer he is, the best choice he becomes!

    Experience, experience, experience. They are always talking about experience. Let us not forget that experience is not an absolute good. Its up to the experienced if she's going to use those lessons in a good way.

    January 4, 2008 02:44 am at 2:44 am |
  17. K

    Congratulations to Barack Obama !
    It is time for us to unify Americans and make the changes that will put America back on the right path. I think that people realize that Obama is the best, most trustworthy candidate for president.

    January 4, 2008 03:04 am at 3:04 am |
  18. Janel, St. Paul, MN

    Admittedly, I am concerned about what the Clinton dynasty will try to find against Senator Obama to smear his nomination by the Democratic party as the next President of the United States. I suspect they will try, for they have in the past, especially bringing up his kindergarten essay.

    BUT I am confident they won't be able to come up with anything worthwhile listening to, except to brag about Hillary's experience (what experience??) and bring to the microphone her husband who (I believe) is not the person admired around the world.

    I hope and pray that voters will listen to the candidates and vote for someone who can bring change to our country. That person is Barack Obama!!

    January 4, 2008 03:04 am at 3:04 am |
  19. Babatunde

    i still find it had to believe that obama won in a 96% white state ,this goes to say that we are all hungry for change and looking beyond racial backgrounds,history has been made today by Iowans.

    January 4, 2008 03:23 am at 3:23 am |
  20. Another Steve

    I am an independent and I'm shocked. Iowans top pick in both parties were my favorite. Way to go Iowa. I believe that experience rated a big "OHHH BROTHER" on the important scale tonight . They don't want more of the same from "Experienced Politicians". Better wake up you ingrains in Washington. People are tired of no representation. This next voting cycle of change is coming and people are pissed. Iowa, you actually gave me some small amount of belief tonight.

    January 4, 2008 03:26 am at 3:26 am |
  21. Kathy

    To: Michael who said "Anyone thinking a "first term" senator isn't going to be "run over" by the politicians in Washington is either naive or ignorant."


    Alexis Colby who said "Just wait until the Republican attack machine starts in on Obama. He will wither away like nothing"

    By Obama's actions that statement is debatable. One need only look back to the interaction that ocurred between he and John McCain the Ethic's Reform act. The letters appear online and are dated starting February 2, 2006

    In these letters Obama stands up for acting based on what was in the best interest of the American People. Rather than delaying this bill by waiting for a committee to form, to study and discuss this issue, he took action along with others to create and introduce S. 2180, the Honest Leadership Act.

    John McCain sharply criticized him over this, even raising the spector of his many years in politic's over Obama's few.

    Despite this Obama did not waiver in his stand, he did not bow down to the pressure of someone basically claiming seniority over him. He stood his ground for what he believed in. Although he's politically young, this does not mean he is inherantly politicall weak.

    January 4, 2008 04:10 am at 4:10 am |
  22. don

    first, i agree with some of the posters that the media, either well-intentioned or not-so-well-intentioned, should stop referring to Obama as simply African-American when he is in fact Bi-racial. while we should all be proud that a Black man can win white votes in a country that has historically fell short of this goal, labeling him incorrectly does none of us justice.

    as for the naysayers that say the GOP will smear him if he becomes the Dem nominee, i have to agree they will try. but this time, i think it will fail, just as their attempt to smear Hukabee to avoid him becoming the GOP nominee has so far failed. there are a lot of people in this country who are tired of the old establishment running the show, are tired of partisian and negative campaigning, and on the issue of race are intelligent and enlightened enough not to fall for the fear tactics we can expect in the upcoming months. if the people want change, they have to stand up to the forces of evil out there and make change happen. hopefully, it will be the fuel of change and the strength of courage against the establishment that will propel either Obama or Hukabee or Paul into office. we can only hope. but only you can make it happen.

    January 4, 2008 04:22 am at 4:22 am |
  23. ibo

    Michael said: "Congratulations to Barack for a well run campaign in a state that Hilliary was projected to have trouble winning."

    That, along with his entire post, sounds like Howard Wolfson, HRC's campaign manager. He's a total slug and bully, which makes him a go-to man as a political consultant for those that want to bully their way into office. problem is, his tactics no longer work in the Internet age. Howard, we know that you're "Michael"; stop trying to play us! Only you could have had that opinion of the election (your polls showed it, no doubt).

    January 4, 2008 04:31 am at 4:31 am |
  24. Kevin from a red state

    As far as national delegates go, the three main candidates are going to be extremely close following Iowa. The next five days are going to be unbelievably critical for all three candidates. With a win in NH, any of the three dem candidates can pick up the momentum to carry them through the rest of the states. The weather most likely was a huge detterant (spelling?) for older candidates who Clinton was probably counting on.

    I think that the Obama supporters feel the importance of getting to these caucuses more so than do those in the Clinton camp. It's going to be interesting to say the least. Maybe this will light the fire under the collective butts of those who think that a name alone can win her the presidency.

    The message of change is alot more powerful than Clinton's message of history and experience, and it's extremely motivating. Clinton will need to show that not only does she know the ins and outs of the system better than the other candidates, but she'll need to show now that she also can and will make the necessary changes that the voters are looking for.

    CLINTON '08

    January 4, 2008 05:17 am at 5:17 am |
  25. Lisa

    Obama is what our country needs right now. We need a man of integrity, intelligence, and able to represent all Americans – not just like-minded people. We have had enough divisiveness and anger, and mean spirited politics.

    January 4, 2008 05:31 am at 5:31 am |
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