January 3rd, 2008
10:51 PM ET
14 years ago

Schneider: What Obama's Iowa win could mean in South Carolina

Almost half of Democratic primary voters in South Carolina are African-American.

Almost half of Democratic primary voters in South Carolina are African-American.

(CNN) - Barack Obama just won a state whose population is less than 4 percent African-American. On January 26, he will be on the ballot in a state with a considerably higher percentage of African-Americans: South Carolina, where that demographic makes up nearly 50 percent of Democratic primary voters there.

African-Americans have been intensely loyal to the Clintons, and continue to support Hillary Clinton over Obama in the Palmetto State. But that gap has significantly narrowed in recent weeks - and with this key win tonight, it's unlikely they will stand in his way there.

- CNN Senior Political Analyst Bill Schneider

Filed under: Candidate Barack Obama
soundoff (104 Responses)
  1. Ed

    Honest i didn't see this coming. The Clinton had money, energetic and best political strategists in the nation, but people are tired of the same old Washington stories. People need change, and last night IA proves that.

    Obama will either come second in NH and definitely pick SC. That will be the end of The Clinton. Stream line medias couldn't see this coming, but as Obama said Iowan spoke last night.

    January 4, 2008 06:12 am at 6:12 am |
  2. Kevin, Landover, MD

    For those who say Obama will not last until the General Election are the same that said there is no way Obama will win Iowa. Obama WON Iowa so now out of touch critics and Media (silence it already).

    When Obama wins NH. There should also be a check mark put in Obamas column for SC. That’s a done deal.

    All the tricks of moving Primary’s around, no late night comedy writers, plants and foul play false stories. DID NOT WORK.

    January 4, 2008 06:35 am at 6:35 am |
  3. Kuba

    Good-bye, Hillary. Farewell, Bill. You are both better at being goodwill ambassadors for the US around the world than entertaining your personal ambitions. Watch out now for the Huck-ster.

    January 4, 2008 06:37 am at 6:37 am |
  4. BW

    A vote for Hillary is a vote for MORE doom and gloom.

    January 4, 2008 07:01 am at 7:01 am |
  5. warren-Mich

    This race is not over, either candidate of either party can still win. a candidate focusing on expanding medicare to all and leveling the playing field for u.s. workers can win. If we eliminated the payroll tax and replaced it with a sales tax to pay for social security and health care, it would lower the cost of exports while raising the cost of imports. This would reduce outsourcing, reduce the shipping jobs overseas and provide a basic health insurance for all. It would not increase taxes for most people and would tax those who are not now paying taxes such as drug dealers and pimps.

    January 4, 2008 07:22 am at 7:22 am |
  6. BW

    Wake up America!
    Remember Katrina!
    The current administration will see to it that a animal is feed before it gives you a crumb. They have setup laws to keep you poor and struggling, dividing families farther apart to keep them alienated rendering you helpless to help one another, desperate for self preservation; bleeding you for every penny they can get, not only for themeselves but for businesses to get more and more from you. Not until you go to fight for what you thought was your rights do you discover that not only do they control you but they have established laws to give businesses control over you. Laws established against you. Barack Obama has expertise in these areas.
    We are a people that demands to be heard not ignored and dictated to. Barack Obama not only wants to hear our voices but belives "OUR VOICES CAN CHANGE THE WORLD" as we believe.

    Barack Obama is our man for President.

    January 4, 2008 08:01 am at 8:01 am |
  7. BW

    New Hamshire will demonstrate as Iowa did the strong DISIRE for change.
    Barack Obama will bring about the change America needs.

    January 4, 2008 08:10 am at 8:10 am |
  8. BW

    THANK YOU IOWA for leading the way to where this country needs to go! ! !

    January 4, 2008 08:12 am at 8:12 am |
  9. randy

    The reason why people are still gving reason why Obama don't need to be president is because he is a person of color.just be honest to your salf and say it and you will be free.by the way I don't watch cnn anymore I just come to there website and hit any body who says any wrong thing about obama.

    January 4, 2008 08:21 am at 8:21 am |
  10. Adam, Pittsburgh, PA

    Schneider's point is a good one: I've seen more than a few polls showing that black voters tend to cite white-vote-viability as their reason for not supporting Obama. That concern is just gone.

    In a general election, this could honestly make a few southern states competitive – not winnable, but it would force the RNC to spend money there, when other typical swing states still need funding.

    Acknowledging the possibility of a major scandal, could we be looking at the first landslide win since Reagan?

    January 4, 2008 08:34 am at 8:34 am |
  11. Steffie

    Thanks Iowa!!!!!!!!!!! As an African American woman I was really nervous about the outcome of this caucus. AMERICA NEEDS CHANGE and a leader who will listen and work for the people of the USA. When you talk about EXPERIENCE-clearly it's overrated ...just look at our current President and his administration and all of their "EXPERIENCE" and then look at the status of America & the average American families TODAY...has "Experience" make us BETTER OFF individually, collectively, nor globally uhmmm I think not!!! If we don't make the RIGHT choice in November we will be in for a 4 year "Experience" alright.

    It's Time for a Major CHANGE from the POLITICS of Old that serves the haves and OPPRESSES the have nots. Obama and Edwards are the BEST hope for a WIN for the DEMOCRATS & for the USA in November!!! GOD BLESS YOU IOWA!!!!


    January 4, 2008 08:41 am at 8:41 am |
  12. Ivelisse

    Oh, brother.... why oh, why!!! does this people feel like Obama is the better choice???? the guy is EMPTY!!!! his speeches are full of NOTHING!!!!

    oh, well... Bill Clinton lost in Iowa and went on to not only win the nomination, but also to be one of the best presidents in a generation....

    in 2004, Howard Dean won Iowa, and we all know what happend afterwards....

    in fact, only Gore in 2000 and Carter in 1980 have won Iowa and the nomination... and we all know what happend with them....

    I suggest we change the "first-voting'state" to another with a better vision of the future.....

    January 4, 2008 08:49 am at 8:49 am |
  13. Bea

    For the 1st time in a while I'm excited about being an American. Simply because a majority white state voted for a candidate based on his platform, not on his race. Thanks IOWA for restoring my hope in the process. All of the Obama haters refuse to believe that a man with Black in his background can't win because you know deep in your hearts you wouldn't vote for him because you're caught up with race. Undercover racists. I'm sure you're going to tell me you have lots of black friends. (None of whom are invited to your homes on a regular basis. None with whom you'd leave your kids with in event of an emergency.) Oh yeah..there was that one kid in high school you were kind to. That counts. You are a good person. To all the age 40 and older African Americans who continue to buy into the lie you've been fed since you were allowed to vote "Black candidates can't win so we have to vote White if we want the democrats to win." Stop being racist! Yes older black folks are racist against white folks and other black folks. It's ridiculous. Thank God for the college kids and teens who are truly growing up colorblind and unhindered. Lastly for the person asking about why Mr. Obama isn't identified as Biracial. I can tell you that in Louisiana a law was passed by the state legistature in 1970 stating that any person 1/32 parts Black is consider Black and that's how it's recorded on our birth certificates. Despite the fact that my child thought I was white until she was 6 and old enough for me to explain the difference in races...my birth certificate says I'm Black, and I embrace it. But my allegiance lies in being a Christan and a human being.

    January 4, 2008 08:59 am at 8:59 am |
  14. Daniel

    Obama Nation pulled it off. Not with smoke and mirrors or a dog and pony show. They pulled off the big V by working hard, speaking to the issues that truly matter, and listening to the people.

    Let's enjoy this moment for all it is worth.

    New Hampshire and South Carolina are whole new ballgames. I believe Obama will remain steadfast and focused. GAME ON!

    Daniel Barton
    Cleveland, OH

    January 4, 2008 09:00 am at 9:00 am |
  15. Allen

    One year as a Senator does not give you the experience to lead this country. I will not vote for such a green and inexperienced candidate as Obama. Hillary is a strong, fierce and incredibly inteligent candidate who CAN institute change for this country. Iowans....you blew it. I can only hope that with the next few states' contests, their residents remember the peaceful and prosperous years of the Clinton era and remain loyal to the Clintons.

    January 4, 2008 09:03 am at 9:03 am |
  16. Sherry in Kentucky

    Thank you, Iowa!!! You give me hope for our country!

    January 4, 2008 09:08 am at 9:08 am |
  17. Ajay Jain, Dallas, USA

    Another O-O Obama-Oprah rally!

    January 4, 2008 09:08 am at 9:08 am |
  18. Tim, Ohio

    Clinton is an experienced politician, not an experienced leader. Obama is a natural leader, but less experienced politically.

    In reference to the weather, it doesn't seem like less older people showed up to support Clinton. The vote swung because more young people than usual showed up to support Obama...leadership draws a crowd.

    I love the references to the 'Republican attack machine', as if the Democrats don't do the exact same thing. When will people learn that both political parties are equally evil and out for their own self interest first and foremost. If you believe Democrats=Good; Republicans=Bad then you're a pawn. That's in reference to the parties though, not the candidates!

    Congratulations Senator Obama! Thank God Iowa saw through Senator Clinton. This country needs a leader to bring them together, Obama can do that. The last thing we need is the single most divisive candidate possible (draw your own conclusion on who that is).

    January 4, 2008 09:28 am at 9:28 am |
  19. Glenn,B'ham,Al

    Its seems that change is in the air. Both Republicans Democrats said in one state that we see who you are & what you've done, and we want it done differently!! I'm proud of the Iowa voters.........

    January 4, 2008 09:31 am at 9:31 am |
  20. Al, Los Angeles, CA

    Has anyone noticed how the press always injects race into the story?

    They have spent months saying blacks are not supporting Obama, but not it's going to make a difference in NH?

    We have to focus on his race even if we didn't want to. It makes you think "here we go again, black this, white that". It bores me to tears.

    To me the real story is Why didn't the experienced Political Machine of Hillary Clinton win?

    January 4, 2008 09:36 am at 9:36 am |
  21. Brian

    It's amazing how good it feels to see an inspiring (not to mention articulate and intelligent) candidate win. But perhaps the best part about Obama is that he's not polarizing. Hillary and Bill had their chance to change the world; let Obama shine!

    Obama '08!

    January 4, 2008 09:46 am at 9:46 am |
  22. James, Cleveland Ohio

    Thank you Iowa, as I told my son last night, he is 16 y/o. When I was his age not in my wildest dreams did I think an African American would win the presidency in my lifetime. After listening to Obama's speech and looking at the young people in that crowd it was like the second coming of Camelot and the Kennedy years. As I listened and watched I began to believe 'he could actually win'.

    January 4, 2008 09:50 am at 9:50 am |
  23. Cathy

    Those who are concerned about Obama's electibility as a black person fail to realize that those who would choose to vote against him because he is black would first choose to vote against him because he is not republican.

    Congratulations Iowa. You have shown that America can rise above our legacy of hatred, division, and disunity, and stand up for a hopeful future and genuine change.

    One of the lines that struck me during Obama's official nomination speech when he first announced he was running was, "When I got to Washington, I saw it what it was, and I didn't like it." There is not much a junior Senator can change. There is a great deal more that a president can change. We need a fresh face, a fresh voice in Washington that can speak for all the people - not just the young, not the old, not the black or the white or the Christian or Muslim or just men or women - but everyone. All the other choices seem to only want to represent one segment of the population. Obama's broad appeal was reflected in the demographics of his Iowa voters.

    Obama is the only candidate we have seen in decades that firmly believes everything he says, and says it with such conviction and authority we in the audience believe it too. Hearing him from the white house will be an amazing breath of fresh air and a break from the Bushisms of the last decade.

    January 4, 2008 10:11 am at 10:11 am |
  24. Kirk

    Change has already come. The race this time around was less dirty and whoever does play dirty, knows it will work against them. Did anyone listen? People don't want someone playing dirty. So whoever does will actually help the person there trying to bring down. I'm glad this day has finally come. I'm glad no one can scare up votes anymore by using 911 etc. Thanks god. You people talking about experience........there have been nothing but experienced people in the oval office some did good and some did not. Experienced how????? By letting the drug and insurance companies continue to get away with what there doing to us. The movie SICKO is real people!!!!!!!!! It's time to bring americans together. Forget race, color,etc. Nothing is wrong with hope. Hope has been taken away from us for so long, when someone does hope, people laugh. What has the world become? Change is good. Hope is good. People that are scared of change don't go on to do great things in life. If it wasn't for great people fighting and dying for change, we would never have become leaders of the free world, along with so many other things. You peope that don't want change keep you month shut! We need change.....we need hope.....we need OBAMA! Thank you Iowa!

    January 4, 2008 10:21 am at 10:21 am |
  25. N. Otter

    I dream of a day in America when a man will not be judged by the color of his skin, be it black or white, but by the content of his character. Perhaps that day finally arrived on January 3, 2008 in Iowa when Barack Obama, son of a black man from Kenya and a white woman from Kansas won the Democratic primary election. Obama bridges the gaps and can bring America together. I hope he becomes the next president of the United States of America.

    January 4, 2008 10:28 am at 10:28 am |
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