January 14th, 2008
08:04 AM ET
10 years ago

Clinton, McCain lead in two new national polls

[cnn-photo-caption image= http://i.l.cnn.net/cnn/2008/POLITICS/01/09/nh.analysis/art.me.clinton.mccain.ap.jpg caption=" McCain and Clinton are the leaders in two new national polls."] WASHINGTON (CNN) - Two new national polls out Monday morning offer different snapshots of how the presidential race is shaping up in both parties.

In a new ABC News/Washington Post Poll, Democrat Hillary Clinton holds a 5-point lead over Barack Obama, 42 percent to 37 percent. John Edwards is back at 11 percent. Meanwhile, a new CBS/New York Times poll shows Clinton with a wider lead over Obama, 42 percent to 27 percent. Edwards is also at 11 percent in that poll.

On the Republican side, John McCain leads Mike Huckabee by 8 points, 28 percent to 20 percent in the ABC News/Washington Post poll. Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney is essentially tied with Huckabee at 19 percent, and Rudy Giuliani is close behind with 15 percent. Fred Thompson stands at 8 percent in that poll.

In the CBS/New York Times Poll, McCain holds a slightly wider 15-point lead over Huckabee, 33 percent to 18 percent. Rudy Giuliani is back at 10 percent in that poll and Romney and Thompson are tied at 8 percent.

Both polls find the economy has easily eclipsed the war in Iraq as the most important issue on voters' minds.

The ABC News/Washington Post poll carries a margin of error of five points while the CBS/New York Times poll's margin of error is plus or minus three points.

- CNN Ticker Producer Alexander Mooney

Filed under: Polls • Presidential Candidates
soundoff (452 Responses)


    "Listen to all of you! I can't believe your buying in to all this media/pundits crap. They spin everything. Why don't you start thinking for yourself. Plus, the media is so sexist. Why is Obama getting a free ride and Hillary has to defend everything. I guarantee if she was a man none of this BS would of even came up."


    January 14, 2008 02:37 pm at 2:37 pm |
  2. Mike

    I find it incredibly fascinating that people are falling for Billary's act. If she cared so much for this country and was in it to help where was she 4 years ago? She knew she couldn't win so she hid. All she and Bill want is to insure their legacy survives. Do you really want Bill as your president for another 4-8 years?

    This is a simple decision; if Hillary wins the nomination then the democrats will lose the race. This is the time of the campaign that everyone is excited and looking forward to a change. Independents and many moderate liberals are not going to support Hillary. She is simply too polarizing.

    January 14, 2008 02:38 pm at 2:38 pm |
  3. Janet

    I'm a woman who works in a male dominated career field. It hasn't been easy for me as I'm sure it's not easy for Hillary Clinton. I would love to see a woman President. Unfortunately I have seen the damage that is done when a woman is promoted just because she is a woman. It hurts all women. I think Hillary is the wrong woman to be elected President. Her behavior so far has been embarrassing. I want the right woman to be the first woman President and I'm sure someday the right woman will come along. The American people need to select the best person to be our next President. After a lot of careful research about the issues and examining their characters I've decided there is no better person in this race than Barack Obama.

    January 14, 2008 02:43 pm at 2:43 pm |
  4. ram

    Obama should exhibit he serves people. He just got elected from Illonoinse, and without any obligation to his electorate, he is only involved in greed, and power hungry tactics. Not even a year he served, for Iloonoise, he just turned to fund raising funds and next thing. This guy has no shame. We want him to prove, what he says is what he means. What next after US Presidency?

    Can you enumerate few things you did to people in your life so far OBama? You think speeches are the essence of leadership. Mahatma gandhi never gave big speeches. It is the deeds that count.

    January 14, 2008 02:44 pm at 2:44 pm |
  5. Bob - Michigan

    Mitt Romney has the least chance of swinging independent voters and winning the General Election. I am a Gulianni supporter and my wife is a Huckabee supporter, but we are both voting for John McCain in the Michigan primary to help get Romney out of the race.

    I know that voting for Gulianni or Huckabee are wasted votes in Michigan, so MY WIFE AND I ARE VOTING FOR JOHN MCCAIN IN MICHIGAN TO MAKE A REAL DIFFERENCE!

    Guliainni will make his stand in Florida against McCain, but hopefully without Romney's negative ads financed with Romney's personal $$$. George Bush stole the 2000 election with negative ads and look at the mess our country is in now because of him. We don't need another rich guy buying the election with negative ads! We don't need negative Romney ads in this campaign anymore. STOP ROMNEY!

    January 14, 2008 02:44 pm at 2:44 pm |
  6. Citizen


    You need to go check PAC record and $$$ given by Obama campaign to get so called endorsement hoping to turn that into votes.

    Get real!

    January 14, 2008 02:46 pm at 2:46 pm |
  7. keith

    When talking about Hillary being elected because she's a woman, we should keep in mind that it happened riding the coattails of her husband (it can be argued she could've made it on her own, but she didn't). Most of the experience she hails is as first lady. As she said, she had a front-row seat on history during those eight years. Yes she did, but she was still in the audience. Let's not confuse Obama's relative obscurity here for inexperience. Both of these candidates' real experience and identities are going to come out much more in the next few weeks. So I'd treat a lot of the hype and sway like you would now treat a poll result in New Hampshire. It's time to look, listen, and vote to these candidates. It is not yet time to scream.

    January 14, 2008 02:47 pm at 2:47 pm |
  8. Robert

    What is great about this is that question " What will the democrats do to lose this election?" and " How can the republicans win? Simple...Hillary will push republicans out in droves..and most people are not being so honest about exit polls with Obama...and what makes it even better is that Hill and Obama are at each other throats and alienating their base...and the Republicans need a moderate to win...and here comes John McCain...who the Republicans won't warm up too unless he picks someone like Fred Thompson..who seems to be doing McCains dirty work ...Oh yes the stars are just about to align for a Republican Victory in November...Don't get to used to being Majority Leader either Harry...cause if you nominate either Hillary or Obama make no mistake about it..The GOP will be out in force and this will look like the 1984 Election between Reagan and that other guy........

    January 14, 2008 02:48 pm at 2:48 pm |
  9. Cecilia Chaboudy

    Before you vote, please read the Conscience of a Liberal by Paul Krugman and find out how movement conservatives have achieved and maintained political power. Give yourself a chance to understand the politics of the last 140 years in the USA. It will help you make the right decision. It will become clear too you that the United States need a CHANGE! It will show you why we all have to vote and put a DEMOCRAT in the White House.

    January 14, 2008 02:51 pm at 2:51 pm |
  10. David

    All the Hillary people are going to be very sorry come November when McCain squashes her in the General Election, handing the White House to the Republicans for the next 4 years. Listen, folks, there are Hillary-haters who will pull themselves out of intensive care to go vote against her. Barack Obama doesn't have that problem. I think Hillary has the experience, but Barack Obama has the best chance of beating whoever the Republicans pick.

    January 14, 2008 02:53 pm at 2:53 pm |
  11. gani

    We definitely need a woman president that will be cleaning up a man's mess. By healing a divided nation since 2000 with a tight grip on her "momma's paddle'. Some boys can be war-freaks you know. And we certainly don't need another man for president who changes his mind once in office especially regarding legislations on war-funding. Now who's the fickle-minded gender this time?

    January 14, 2008 02:55 pm at 2:55 pm |
  12. John

    can anyone tell me exactly WHY they hate the clinton's so much? what have clinton's done that many other poltiticans haven't done or do? for some reason it's just viewed more negatively when the clinton's do it and there's this whole clinton-nashing bandwagon that people like to jump on.

    let's see..what i remember from the clinton years was that we had an economic surplus, after reagan threw us into deep debt with this his very unconservative-like enormous spending. they also got rid of welfare for all of you democrat-haters and ended the ethnic cleansing in kosovo. did the clinton's do anything to tarnish this country? no; everyone must admit that the clinton years were good.

    everyone likes to portray them as dishonest and power hungry, but even if they are, you still have to look at the things that they did for this country. the clinton's are more moderate and at least we know what to expect from them. for all you know barack will turn the u.s. into a welfare state. who cares about their motive as long as they do good for the american people. no one's broken the law, been more corrupt, or ruined this nation like bush. and didn't he promise to be a "uniter, not a divider" and didn't he win the election because of his supposed likeability and better personalty than gore? and he too wasn't a part of the "washington establishment."

    barack was in the state senate for 8 years; he's just as entrenched in political games as anyone else, yet he doesn't have the knowledge or experience to be able to naviagte washington, bring others to his side, and enact change. by the way, all presidential candiudates promise change, and having a different person and administration in the white house IS change, so what's the big deal about "change"? and what change do you think you are going to get?

    and speaking of dishonesty, do you know what hillary told a gathering of high-profile ceo's and wealthy indiviuals this past year at a meeting on her running for president? she told them "I'm going to raise your taxes." and do you know what they did? they applauded her.

    January 14, 2008 02:57 pm at 2:57 pm |
  13. John

    When President Clinton was in Office, he did a great Job in Leading the Country, Balancing the Budget, and Unifying the People, despite the Moral Problems had while in Office. (Great Democratic Leader) His Wife Hillary on the Other hand is now running for President. She has shown great leadership based on her experience as Senator. I had Intentions of moving in her direction with my vote, but I can now see her prospective of demeaning a leader like Dr. Martin Luther King. Some additional explanation should have been uttered after the statement she made. I am now leaning towards Senator Barak Obama, who I believe is capable of Unifying all race, White men & Black men, Jews & Gentiles, Prodestine & Catholics, Republicans, Democratic, and Independents, for a worthy cause of moving this nation forward. Little by Little his momentum in the polls is catching up the Clintons, and I believe Obama will pass Hillary in the National polls as well.

    I now believe that Obama's Progress Speaks Great Leadership. He has great qualities that can unify a people, a nation, and the entire United States. His Experience will come when he is picked to become the next President of the United States, and all we will be able to do is rally behind him in support of his Great Leadership.

    I also see that former President Clinton is using different tactics to Cause Obama to get off of his Strategy, but it will not happen. I think Clinton's plan will bounce back in his face. I now see him as the true Fairy Tale....

    Barak Obama – 2008

    You blew it Hillary, Sit Bill Clinton Down.

    January 14, 2008 03:01 pm at 3:01 pm |
  14. Steve

    I'm a white, male, Southern Republican. If Ron Paul doesn't get the Republican bid, I'll vote Democratic. If Barrack Obama doesn't get the Democratic bid, I won't vote at all. There's just no one else out there.

    January 14, 2008 03:01 pm at 3:01 pm |
  15. Mark tanstill

    If she wins, general election is coming so watch what you are accusing Obama of, while the republican party can win an election without the black votes, the democrat can not.

    January 14, 2008 03:03 pm at 3:03 pm |
  16. Ryan

    Can someone please explain to me why I should even care about this new poll? Look at the democratic polls going into New Hampshire, and then look at the results. I am very skeptical of these polls providing even semi acurate results at this point, and especially with 5% margins of error.

    January 14, 2008 03:05 pm at 3:05 pm |
  17. just passing through

    As a Canadian watching the presidential (08) race unfolding...i find the comment by bob johnson...stupid...infact he himself sound silly and people like him make black people look stupid...i wonder what he was doing in the corner of his street as a teenager... all teenager make mistakes...(old cout....) make me sick...

    January 14, 2008 03:08 pm at 3:08 pm |
  18. Charles

    You Hillary Lovers, I can't wait until you fall out flat, Then we will all see who is crying. The clintons are so fake, they we say one thing today and tomorrow claim they don't main it that way. I thought we Americans are more smarter than that, but recent news make me think underwise.
    Hillary won't last a day agaisnt the Rep. Some people need brain transplant before they can figure out that simple sense.

    January 14, 2008 03:11 pm at 3:11 pm |
  19. John

    I think these polls are accurate – Hillary Clinton for President!

    January 14, 2008 03:12 pm at 3:12 pm |
  20. Anonymous

    I can't believe that anyone would vote for Clinton simply because she is a woman. Would they also vote for Liz Dole? She is a woman too, and has more experience than Clinton. What surprises me is that women want Hillary to be treated just like a man but then overlook her more conservative stances (or non-stances)–and voting record on many issues–just because she is a woman. It is equally idiotic to vote for a candidate because they are black, when Alan Keyes will govern far differently than Obama, but they are both black.

    If Clinton manipulates the women of this country into electing here because she is a woman, and she gets a pass on her issue stances, it will be a great dis-service to all Americans, and Democrats will not get another choice for eight years. A rational voter would look at the candidates issue positions, and vote accordingly. If women want to overcome their stereotypes of being too emotional and irrational, voting for a candidate simply because she is a woman is certainly NOT going to help.

    Please, vote for the candidate based on their issue positions and not their race or gender. If any women actually looked at what hillary would do (that is, when she gives her positions), they would see that she is not a Democrat, she is a conservative leaning moderate just like her husband. She does not line up with the Democratic party is America any more than Rudy does, but she will probably get elected because she is a woman and Americans (yes even Democrats) are stupid!!!

    January 14, 2008 03:12 pm at 3:12 pm |
  21. jrcdmc

    Mr. Obama split the party? Nope. Mr. & Mrs. Clinton did that with their policies. If Mrs. Clinton is the eventual nominee, my choice will be easy once again. Third Party.

    Until we take the party back from those who gave us 'Don't Ask-Don't Tell (disaster), NAFTA & other free-trade policies (double disaster), banking deregulation (can someone say sub-prime?), welfare reform (disaster in the making–watch what happens in 2008), etc. etc. etc.–the Democratic party will continue to be little different than the Republican Party.

    Edwards? Yep, I'd vote for him. Obama? You bet. Clinton? Never again.

    January 14, 2008 03:13 pm at 3:13 pm |
  22. just passing through

    i might add i only vote once... it was my mom tears why i went ...i will not do it agin i don't believ in politics

    January 14, 2008 03:17 pm at 3:17 pm |
  23. Dan

    Hillary and Bill are just plain scary. They are the only 2 politicians that are able to insult the intelligence of the american voters and expect a round of applause from them. Now Hillary and Bill are both the victims. Very strong Presidential behavior .Bobble Heads of the country unite.

    January 14, 2008 03:20 pm at 3:20 pm |
  24. Justice Johnson

    Hillary has been campaining since 2004. For someone who had a head start of 4 years to still not have the kind of lead we expected will never win. Its very simple, we are not ready yet for a woman president. Question now is are we ready for a black president? Better question would be are we ready for a woman and black man team as president and vice president??? Problem with America is we put our faith in the hands of either a party or the like of a candidate rather then true values of our leaders. Whats wrong if you both for dem and rep at same time as long as you think those leaders can make a difference in the world. Personally I don't like to be lead but it appears we have more sheeps in America then any other country. VOTE on values rather then a persons skin color or gender!

    January 14, 2008 03:24 pm at 3:24 pm |
  25. Sean, Detroit, MI

    John – I think these polls are accurate too! They show a slip of 11% for Hillary from last polling and an increase in 14% for Obama!

    If you've been paying attention, this poll is actually indicative of a very bad downward trend for Hillary!

    January 14, 2008 03:25 pm at 3:25 pm |
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