January 14th, 2008
04:00 PM ET
15 years ago

Four-way tie in Florida

Giuliani is focusing most of his resources on Florida's January 29 primary (Photo Credit: AP)

WASHINGTON (CNN) - Republican Rudy Giuliani has enjoyed Florida nearly all to himself over the last several weeks as most of his rivals battled it out in the earlier-voting states, but a new poll out of the state Monday suggests the former New York City mayor's onetime dominant lead there may have evaporated.

According to a new Quinnipiac Poll, John McCain has the top spot in Florida with 22 percent. Rudy Giuliani is a razor-thin 2 points back at 20 percent. Mitt Romney and Mike Huckabee are essentially tied with Romney at 19 percent. Fred Thompson is at 7 percent.

Giuliani has focused the majority of his campaign resources in Florida, which votes January 29, deciding to largely bypass many of the states that vote earlier in the presidential primary calendar but are worth significantly les delegates.

In an interview Sunday, Giuliani said Florida - with a large population of transplanted New Yorkers - was a state that naturally favored his candidacy.

"The reality is as these primaries played out, certain people were very strong in some, and you had to look for the opportunity where you had the best chance to demonstrate your strength," he said. "And it turned out that the analysis was that Florida was the best place for us to do it."

- CNN Ticker Producer Alexander Mooney

Filed under: Florida
soundoff (96 Responses)
  1. Anna

    In spite of the hullabaloo about the statement made by HIllary Clinton, and remember she made the statement marginalizing Martin Luther King, Jr. The problem is that, like Geo. W. Bush, the Clintons say and do things without realizing their impact. What I find more difficult is that Candy Crowly would show the clip of Bob Johnson and Bill Clinton defending Hillary. Bob Johnson made his fortune degrading women on BET. I guess he is in the right camp afterall. Not to mention Bill Clinton making the "fairytale" remark about Obama. The same Bill Clinton who shook his finger at the New Hampshire voters, the same finger he used when he told "us" "I did not have sex with 'That" woman." That was the real "fairytale." The Clintons will do anything, say anything, to gain power. Hillary allowed Bill's behavior because she had her eyes set on the presidency; because of her own self-interest. Insodoing, she allowed Bill Clinton to disgrace the Office of the President, the country, her ,and her daughter. Where was her strength or her principles then? Yes, principles count! Yes. judgement counts! That is what this debate should be about. The Clintons pushed for NAFTA, Favorite Nation Status for China, resulting in bad trade deals. and the loss of American jobs. It was Clinton who allowed the Treasury Sec'y. to manipulate the banking system to allow speculation in the financial markets. This led to the melt down in the Real Estate Markets and created the enviornment for sub-prime loans. Many families are suffering as a result, black and white. The Democrats will loose if they participate in this "race" game. It has nothing to do with real life. It's time for the American people to vote their "interest" and not pay attention to "strawmen" designed to distract from the real Clinton Record.

    All presidents need the support of the Congress to accomplish things they want done. I think Obama has the right concept of building support among the American people, who will put pressure upon the Congress in order to get things done. Hillary's display of "uncontrollability", that is, "loosing it" when she is under pressure is not indicative of a consensus builder..

    January 14, 2008 05:05 pm at 5:05 pm |
  2. beckie


    I agree with you about Mitt being a very honest family man, I think he would do a great job, but I am scared he will not win the Rep. nomination. All of this is really beginning to worry me....

    January 14, 2008 05:08 pm at 5:08 pm |
  3. dpkennedy

    Well, thank you for part of the news, but you left out Ron Paul.

    If I can watch your shows, and visit you on the web, you can include him in your poll updates.

    Why wouldn't you? Too much ink? Come on.

    January 14, 2008 05:15 pm at 5:15 pm |
  4. Paul, Philadelphia

    First of all, Paul Sanders of Huntsville Alabama is clearly an idiot.

    Second of all, is this the worst picture of any candidate so far since the campaigning began? My god, Rudy looks horrible. I know the press is neutral, but could they at least avoid using horrible shots?

    January 14, 2008 05:17 pm at 5:17 pm |
  5. Leo

    can you please explain to me why Rudy doesn't have 527 groups pushing and promoting HEAVILY his 9-11 credentials?
    Rudy was on top of the GOP because of that
    but now they are too careful not to use it

    you MUST go all out with unaffiliated 527 groups screeching and promoting heavily , remind EVERYONE that RUDY is OUR HERO
    remind EVERYONE that RUDY was the ONLY voice of reason and clam during those TOUGH years
    remind EVERYONE that RUDY was a HERO not because 9-11 but because he was a HERO for NY before 9-11 thus he was natural hero on 9-11 as well
    why haven't we seen ONE single TV ad showing Rudy's news conference during those days , Rudy claming the city and the nation..

    LEARN from the pro's Huckabee does it with Trust Huck, and others do it too.. The campaign can easily claim that it's not approved by the campaign and distances yourself from it ..but the WORLD must see
    it troubles me top see Rudy falling so far behind and almost neck n neck with Romney

    January 14, 2008 05:20 pm at 5:20 pm |
  6. Eric

    Huckabee will carry Florida and Rudy will have to bow out.

    January 14, 2008 05:25 pm at 5:25 pm |
  7. azille

    America wake up please wake up, race issues evangelicals issue who say what and when all these hopla is to divert the american people from the real issues at hand. Please America ask the right questions. For example ask the candiadtes where they stand on wealthfare and the deploring education sysytem. The immigration issue is a dead letter nothing is going to happen, well I believed Huckabbe when he said AND i QUOTE I will follow bin laden to hell if I have to. Americans wake up lets find out where they stand right now on the major issues instead of waiting for them to be the nominee and force you to make a decision you dont want make. Wake up!!!

    January 14, 2008 05:32 pm at 5:32 pm |
  8. Bill Culver, Covington,LA

    If you are realy interested in a winning combination, work for a Mitt Romney / Duncan Hunter ticket. Get off this flower child Ron Paul crap.

    January 14, 2008 05:50 pm at 5:50 pm |
  9. John Stewart

    Don't forget Sen. Clinton's vote for Iraq war in Oct. 2002. The best candidate for 2008 would be Mayor Bloomberg. I worked for Goldwater in '64 and none of the 2008 crop are near equal to the late senator. Bloomberg is the closest.

    January 14, 2008 05:54 pm at 5:54 pm |
  10. V.

    Rudy Giuliani's campaign is finished. The fact that he could not maintain a lead in a state where he is focusing ALL of his resources, is simply pathetic. Even if he wins it there, he's spent all of his money just to win by (more than likely) 2-3% of the vote. This is the end of Rudy and although I want him to be the Republican Nominee, it is likely that will go to Huckabee, Romney, or McCain.

    January 14, 2008 05:58 pm at 5:58 pm |
  11. Anonymous

    Romney won't win Massachusetts period.

    January 14, 2008 06:08 pm at 6:08 pm |
  12. Norm

    Has anyone spent any time teaching the people of Florida how to vote?

    January 14, 2008 06:10 pm at 6:10 pm |
  13. nobama

    looks as if in some states the Repub prim is going to be neck-n-neck. Just wish the Dem side would be close, but THAT one is so lopsided since hillary inserted foot in mouth yet again, that it won't be as fun to watch!

    January 14, 2008 06:13 pm at 6:13 pm |
  14. Bill from Denver

    Doug you nailed it all right on. Mitt Romney is by far the best choice and his values far exceed that of any other candidate. He is a very strong business leader and will fix this country from top to bottom.
    VOTE MITT ROMNEY 2008 to secure the future of your children.

    January 14, 2008 06:43 pm at 6:43 pm |
  15. Patty D.

    Rudy exploited 911. That is why you see McCain beating everyone. The Republicans aren't happy with their candidates. It is that simple.

    January 14, 2008 07:06 pm at 7:06 pm |
  16. Teacher

    I would rather have 5th graders voting than the people of Florida.

    January 14, 2008 07:12 pm at 7:12 pm |
  17. Gobama






    January 14, 2008 07:18 pm at 7:18 pm |
  18. Mechelle

    Every one voting should be required to take a course and study each candidate's position (each candidate is asked the very same questions). Rhetoric would not be allowed. They would have to lay out the specifics in their plans and put it in writing. (Yeah, like a college exam.)

    I am so sick of the "popularity" contest approach.

    She's a woman, I'm for women's rights. He's a Catholic, I can trust him. He's from the South, we need southern gentlemen to run this country, he's presidential looking, etc.

    Pleeeeease!!!! Do your homework citizens! We should outlaw tv commercials as it appears that is the only source of information for most voters! American's are so lazy. No wonder we end up with losers running the country...reminds me of high school!

    January 14, 2008 07:33 pm at 7:33 pm |
  19. Nate

    Doug, actually, Romney will not bring Mass. to the Republicans in the general. Aside from that state ALWAYS voting Democrat in presidentials, people in MA can't stand Romney. My brother and several friends and family members live in Mass, from Boston to Worcester to Springfield, and none of them like him. Even some of my conservative friends can't stand him. I'm not stating my preference for candidate, just wanted to correct what I thought was an inaccuracy in your statement.

    January 14, 2008 07:35 pm at 7:35 pm |
  20. sandy

    He is one of the most phoney men I have ever seen.

    January 14, 2008 07:45 pm at 7:45 pm |
  21. Roger

    Come on people! Do you really think you elect a President. You are only allowed to vote for one out of two people selected by the power brokers and if you make the wrong choice votes are lost or the Supreme Court makes the choice to get the pre-selected person in the White House.

    January 14, 2008 08:34 pm at 8:34 pm |
  22. Schnarfe

    @ Doug:

    Thanks for your comment, you are absolutely correct in your assessment concerning Giuliani and Huckabee. And while I agree that Romney is far less divisive than any of the two aforementioned, he is still unelectable! Has anyone been paying attention to recent polls? McCain and Giuliani stand a better chance in a general election than Romney (but they would still lose).

    Can Romney unite all three wings of the Republican Party?

    Social conservatives?

    NO! Flip-flopping and pandering, especially on social issues important to "religious values voters" undermines his credibility and makes him untrustworthy. Not to mention his new found ultra-conservative stance could drive away moderates and socially liberal conservatives. This leaves him with a support base little bigger than that of Huckabee. Trouble is his Mormonism, which would repel most Evangelicals and ultra-conservative Catholics.

    "Security" conservatives?

    NO! Usually security conservative is a euphemism for hawk. In which case, Rudy Giuliani or John McCain would be your best choice (besides Duncan Hunter were it not for the fact that he is an unelectable lunatic). If by security you mean genuine security, then we need someone who would follow the advice of the Founding Fathers making no entangling alliances or pact which undermine national sovereignty, no obligating foreign commitments, and most of all, NOT sticking our noses in the proverbial HORNETS' NEST! Also, securing US borders and coasts is a MUST! How are we supposed to defend America when we have military forces in every nation on Earth except the USA? If only there was a candidate who can promise all of that. You know, one who understands that defending your country means just that, not policing the planet. One

    Fiscal conservatives?

    Maybe. Mitt the Mormon no doubt has plenty of business experience. But what do you mean by fiscal conservatism? What type of capitalist do you have in mind? Are you looking for a "big business fiscal conservative" who would cut taxes for the wealthy but otherwise run the country as a business? Or do you mean a laissez-faire capitalist type, a hands-off fiscal conservative? If the former, then Mitt is your guy. He may not exactly reduce the size of government or expand market freedom, but hey, you want a skilled CEO running the country. If the latter, then you might be looking for someone else.

    I think the only person who could truly unite much of the Republican Party AND appeal to outsiders is Ron Paul! Dr. Paul's support for laissez-faire economic policy and the free market makes him the classic fiscal conservative. (The economic policy favored by the neoconservatives is just another form of Keynesianism.) Ron Paul is a non-denominational Baptist, staunchly pro-life, and he married only one woman, and unlike Giuliani, Thompson, or McCain and their trophy wives, Dr. Paul's wife is about as old as he is. Romney's weakness is that he lacks honesty, integrity, and humility. Paul's weakness is that he has an overabundance of all three!

    You can divide the GOP by prioritized issues (social conservatives, fiscal conservatives, etc.) or by ideology (libertarians, paleoconservatives, constitutionalists, centrists). People associated with the Constitution Party, Libertarian Party, U.S. Taxpayers' Union, and the Liberty Caucus of the Republican Party would unanimously vote for Dr. Ron Paul. Social conservatives will relate to Ron Paul's pro-life credentials and his marital fidelity. Fiscal conservatives to his laissez-faire policy and his solution to tackle inflation.

    The naysayers in the corporate media see Ron Paul as a challenge to their uncontested power. The naysayers in the GOP know that a Ron Paul presidency would end neoconservatism. But if the neoconservative ideology is the right current for the GOP, why not run Dick Cheney?

    @ Bill Culver from Covington, LA:

    It is obvious by your choice of candidate that your key priority is ILLEGAL IMMIGRATION. But why do you so callously dismiss Ron Paul, the only viable candidate with a serious stance on that issue? Is it because he is not war-mongerer? Because he won't kill enough Muslims? I can tell that you are upset that Tom Tancredo (who was no doubt your first pick) left the race. That is why you go with the candidate he was duped into supporting. Mitt Romney flip-flopped on the issue of illegal immigration (like he did on virtually every issue) to match up with Tancredo, Hunter, and Paul. And Duncan Hunter is a nut who can't get elected dog catcher. Why do you dismiss Ron Paul as "flower child crap"? Because he prefers peace to perpetual war? The Dunkkkan Hunters and Tom Tankkkredos of the world are fools! How can anyone secure American borders when the National Guard is holed up in the Mid-East? You can defend the Republic or expand the Empire, but you can not have it both ways. Ron Paul and John McCain agree. The only difference is a matter of priority Empire (pro-amnesty, pro-war McCain) or Republic (pro-peace, pro-stability Paul)?

    January 14, 2008 08:34 pm at 8:34 pm |
  23. BARB

    Ican't believe no one has seen the simalarities between Bush and Macain. They both think they know what's best for us, like on illegal immigration.I thought the people had made it clear what they want. Doesn't matter what we want to him.not only immigration,the war,Nafta,cafta all the ways jobs have been exported out of this country.
    I appreciate John Mcain's history being a POW.I think he's a hero in that respect.
    That just doesn't make him an expert on what we want and what's good for us.

    The illegals are taking atoll on my state of virginia's economy, the democrative governor we have won't do any thing about it.

    all I ask is really think about your chocies and vote for the one that will work for us.

    January 14, 2008 09:11 pm at 9:11 pm |
  24. Cheonast, Seattle WA

    O great, Doug–thanks for reminding us that Romney has a Harvard MBA! Well, so does GWB. Do you like W's managerial style? Can you bring to mind any great successes of his that might profitably be used as case studies for future sons of famous, wealthy Republican studying business at Harvard? His management of the economy? His budget prowess? His management of his very own war against Iraq? Katrina? His Justice department?

    Romney shares with W an astonishing and corruscating arrogance; witness his having said that his sons are serving their country not in uniform but by working to advance their father's candidacy. Give me any other candidate, and I do mean anybody but this false-front fakir, and I'll happily vote for him. Or her. But Romney? Never.

    January 14, 2008 09:26 pm at 9:26 pm |
  25. John

    Anyone else annoyed they didn't mention Ron Paul's support, even though they mentioned Fred Thompson, who I'm sure is not polling as well? Love that media blackout.

    January 14, 2008 09:42 pm at 9:42 pm |
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