February 3rd, 2008
12:20 PM ET
13 years ago

Poll suggests Obama, Clinton in dead heat in California

[cnn-photo-caption image= http://i.l.cnn.net/cnn/2008/images/02/03/art.cali.ap.jpg caption=" Clinton and Obama are tied in California, a new poll shows."]

(CNN) - A new poll out Sunday suggests Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama are locked in a dead heat for the biggest prize on Super Tuesday: delegate-rich California.

According to a just released poll from the Field Research Corporation, Clinton only holds a statistically insignificant 2 point lead over Obama in California, 36 percent to 34 percent. Meanwhile the poll shows 18 percent of California Democrats have yet to make up their minds.

The poll suggests the race has significantly narrowed in the state in only a matter weeks– most polls two weeks ago showed Clinton with a double-digit lead there. A CNN/Opinion Research Corporation poll taken a week ago showed Clinton with a 17 point lead in California. John Edwards, then still a presidential candidate, registered 11 percent.

If the eventual outcome of the race is as close as the poll suggests, both candidates stand to rack up significant numbers of delegates in the state: On the Democratic side, California awards its 370 delegates proportionately.

The poll shows the race on the Republican side isn't as close - John McCain holds a 32-24 percent lead over Romney with Mike Huckabee at 13 percent. Ron Paul pulls 10 percent of support among likely Republican voters.

California is worth 170 delegates for the Republicans and unlike the Democrats, the winner of the state's primary will be awarded them all.

The poll, conducted January 25-Febuary 1, surveyed 481 likely Republican primary voters and 511 likely Democratic voters and carries a margin of error of plus or minus 4.5 percentage points.

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- CNN Producer Alexander Mooney

Filed under: California • Presidential Candidates
soundoff (291 Responses)
  1. myorbit

    Vote for the person who can build the economy and who has had the courage to go contrary to public view. HRC deserves the chance.

    February 4, 2008 09:53 am at 9:53 am |
  2. George Wu, A.I.A.

    Reading Neal's and Cristina's comments: Yes , I have heard of Obama promised to have the troop home within 16 months. But you never heard of anyone else said about the dates of having the troop home yet, not from Hillary! Why? Israel is the KEY. That is why. Israel with the lobbyists are to decide when the troop is coming home. News for you, the troop is not coming home, they have to fight the war for the SURVIVAL of Israel in the middle east. That is my opinion. dancewu(dot)net

    February 4, 2008 10:05 am at 10:05 am |
  3. Brendan, Queensbury, NY

    For those of you saying you can't trust polling, remember, even Clinton's internal polling had her losing New Hampshire. Obviously some sort of anomoly happened on voting day, causing the change. But not including that state, as it was obviously an outlier, polling has been consistant.

    Tomorrow will be an interesting day, for sure.

    February 4, 2008 10:26 am at 10:26 am |
  4. ARMY Lt. Col

    IN RESPONSE TO: Hung February 3, 2008 12:40 pm ET

    If Obama win the nomination, I will vote for J McCain instead.
    Hillary ' 08


    And if Hillary wins the nomination, I JUST WANT VOTE. OBAMA OR
    NO ONE>>>>>>>

    February 4, 2008 11:08 am at 11:08 am |
  5. Dem Ohio

    The poles do not suggest any such thing. The media is trying to sway the public for reasons we have to soon find out.

    February 4, 2008 11:13 am at 11:13 am |
  6. namata


    February 4, 2008 12:55 pm at 12:55 pm |
  7. Christina

    What do you mean by "Your comment is awaiting moderation." Have you filtered through all comments and sent that preliminary response to pro-Obama postings? I don't think so! CNN, you are decidely pro-Obama – give all the Hillary supporters as much space and print as you do the Obama supporters! You are treating Obama the same way you treated Bush – no tough questions, and only publishing the positive. Here we go again!!!

    February 4, 2008 01:00 pm at 1:00 pm |
  8. Anonymous

    Who is Barack Obama? He is the son of a black african. He is the son of a white american. He is the brother of an indonesian. He is the husband of an african-american. He is the father of an elementary age student. He is the son of a cancer patient. He is the grandson of a war veteran. He is the son of a foreigner. He is a teacher of the US. constitution. His is the son of a divorcee and single parent. He has had little. He has had much. He is the recipient of an educational scholarship. He is hard-working. He is intelligent. He is eloquent. He is diplomatic. He is a puller of heart strings. He has integrity. He is God-fearing. He cares about people.

    He is your son, your grandson, your brother, your husband.

    He is America's next President! What more could we ask for.

    February 4, 2008 01:48 pm at 1:48 pm |
  9. scott

    I have nothing against Hillary, she's a good politician, but Mr Obama makes me believe a better way is possible. I have not felt like that in years and that's worth my vote.

    February 4, 2008 02:21 pm at 2:21 pm |
  10. USN(R) RMC

    We are in good shape. Both Clinton and Obama is are great people who really care. I am for Obama, but Hillary or Obama will serve the country well is she wins the nomination.

    Hillary and Obama on the same ticket, with Hillary as President. As Vice President Obama will have a chance to learn from the master politician, William Jefferson.

    The democrats are in very good shape with either.

    February 5, 2008 03:21 pm at 3:21 pm |
  11. Mr. Relaxed

    Polls are like looking at stock prices during a normal day (ups and downs). So why even bother, use your time wisely folks and use your own judgement...

    February 5, 2008 03:26 pm at 3:26 pm |
  12. joe

    Whether it's Obama or Hillary they will have to deal with congressmen, young and old who hold the last laugh.I want a democrat in the white and that's my wish.

    February 5, 2008 03:26 pm at 3:26 pm |
  13. Candi

    It is unfortunate that some of us cannot see things as clearly as we should. To vote for the Clintons is to forget the good old days Bill's wife wants to go back to. Back to the days of sex scandles, unethical business involvements returning great profits, selling stays at the whitehouse to the highest bidder, perjury, impeachment, and disbarment . Cry if you must, and seek votes based upon gender and race, but don't expect us to make you president so long as our memory remains intact.

    February 5, 2008 03:27 pm at 3:27 pm |
  14. whyhillary

    Obama is a true leader. Hillary cannot even think what to say next. She will be a good successor to bush because she is a little bit like him. She has to read what she wants to say

    February 5, 2008 09:54 pm at 9:54 pm |
  15. Zenny

    I think Hilary is the best candidate to get the job done, plus I am sick and tierd of Obama trying to gain the lead by putting Hilary down. Both are from the same party and I mostly hear Obama and his campaign putting her and her platform down. It not a matter of race, It is a matter who is best qualified to take the task. Who ever wins the should join the other and make of this country a better place to live. I know it will be a hard task and it may take more than 1 or 2 terms to clean up the mess Bush made, but I want a huge change in this country and I think Hilary is that big change waiting to take office and make a difference.

    February 5, 2008 09:55 pm at 9:55 pm |
  16. whyhillary

    Hillary has a fake smile. She practised for it

    February 5, 2008 09:56 pm at 9:56 pm |
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