February 6th, 2008
09:35 AM ET
15 years ago

Analysis: McCain clear leader; split decision may help Obama

[cnn-photo-caption image= http://i.l.cnn.net/cnn/2008/POLITICS/02/06/super.analysis/art.2300.mccain.ap.jpg caption=" Sen. John McCain has started to build an almost insurmountable lead in the GOP presidential race.."](CNN) - Super Tuesday positioned Sen. John McCain as the clear Republican front-runner, while a split decision in the Democratic race may eventually help Sen. Barack Obama, according to CNN's political analysts.

McCain extended his lead in the GOP race with impressive coast-to-coast wins from New York to California, while former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee carried states in the South. Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney won seven races, including his home state of Massachusetts.

"I think we did achieve clarity. John McCain will be the Republican nominee," CNN analyst Jeffrey Toobin said. "Mike Huckabee did better than a lot expected. If you look at the delegates, there is no way either Huckabee or Romney can catch up. I think we did learn that much."

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soundoff (176 Responses)
  1. Maria

    OK people at CNN, I get it! You want OBAMA! Whatever! You are slowly become the Most UNTRUSTED news! I stopped watching and just read the internet! I come to CNN because I LOVE Lou Dobbs! and Wolf!

    February 6, 2008 01:42 pm at 1:42 pm |
  2. Dem


    February 6, 2008 01:43 pm at 1:43 pm |
  3. Boston_economist

    Doug writes: "Big surprise, the Mexicans overwhelmingly voted for McCain."
    >>> News flash from a white woman, Doug – IF THEY VOTED YESTERDAY, THEY'RE AMERICAN, you fascist pig. We were all immigrants once.

    "This is an historic election", meaning, a referendum on the Republican's ill-conceived, immoral war and the incredible human and financial waste it has been. This is the Dem's election to lose.

    Darth Vadik, CA, WRITES: "…does McCain have problems with his shoulders, I have never seen him raise his arm past his chest height."
    >>> Perhaps he was injured in a war, defending his country? Hummm?

    February 6, 2008 01:49 pm at 1:49 pm |


    February 6, 2008 01:50 pm at 1:50 pm |
  5. Joe in NJ

    bev is closer to the truth if anything, only voting stations are fixed to the Governor's liking and the dead-vote gets greater each year!

    February 6, 2008 02:12 pm at 2:12 pm |
  6. Mark Lewis

    I like McCain and as long as Hillary or Ron Paul doesn't get elected I'll be happy.

    February 6, 2008 02:12 pm at 2:12 pm |
  7. Dave

    hey check it out...there's the cheater and the cheatee!

    February 6, 2008 02:24 pm at 2:24 pm |
  8. Honest08

    Anyone else notice the Clinton supporters love to use caps lock? Is it necessary to yell in a comment section?

    I like Clinton and Obama, I don't think there are that big of differences between the two besides maybe in Iraq/foreign relations, and health care. And to be honest, both of those are going to take a lot of work to make a dent in, and four years isn't going to probably do much to health care, especially if republicans aren't going to cross over due to the experience of partisanship. And washington experience does not seem to bring people together, it just tends to makes you more partisan.

    Why do you think we voted for Bill in the early 90's? He didn't have much experience going in, yet every clinton supporter wants him back now. And yes, I went to the Rally at the Kodak, I saw plenty of Hillary supporters with "Bring back Bill, vote in Hillary" signs. She's running on her own, but I really wonder if the people who are voting for her are voting for her or the "2 for 1" deal?

    Obama or the Clintons 08

    February 6, 2008 02:25 pm at 2:25 pm |
  9. Sidney

    the only thing that seems "clear" to me is that as soon as Huckabee and Ron Paul disappear Mitt has a very good chance. The tide is swinging. Do you all remember this summer when McCain was all but washed up? I would never wish the old guy any bad will but it would be great if he is going to have some serious health issues(as many men do in thier 70's) they would manifest themselves quickly so we can nominate a good strong canidate. And whats with everyone just now coming forward to say what a mistake McCain would be? Thanks Dr. Dobson, just a little late don't you think?

    February 6, 2008 02:35 pm at 2:35 pm |
  10. Orlando


    I agree with you. Mccain in office seems very scary. Why in the world are people voting for him ? he said it himself. 100 more years in Iraq. he also wants to invade Iran. there goes our economy for the next 5 years (1 bush + 4 Mccain), thousands of more soldiers and a lot more enemies. It should be very clear Mccain should be the last choice.

    Do we care about the numbers of soldiers that are dying in Iraq? Or the billions we are spending? We want victory in Iraq? Can someone please define victory in Iraq? Does this mean killing all Al qaeda? Is that worth so many soldiers'
    lives, trillions in spending and Mccan for president?

    Also, someone remind me why Mccain is more qualified than Romney or Huckabee? Because Guliani endorsed him? What qualities does Guiliani have? Oh yeah, he showed up for his job during 9/11. thanks Guiliani, now go away.

    I'm not accepting anymore ignorance and arrogance at the white house. We have too many critical issues to deal with such as global warming, oil dependency, immigration, the economy that have been neglected for years. Please be careful who you are choosing for president.

    February 6, 2008 03:11 pm at 3:11 pm |
  11. Angel, Los Angeles of Anaheim

    GO McCain, you is the man!!! Only thing that would make you perfect is Jeb Bush as your VP.

    McCain '08!!!!!

    February 6, 2008 03:19 pm at 3:19 pm |
  12. JasonP

    I guess all McCain bashers want a republican candidate that only follws whatever the party says and does not compromise with the other party to get things done for the country. Mitt Romney was a moderate that moved very quickly to the right to run for president and now calls himself the only "conservative". Fortunately, the majority of republican are smarter that that and could see his real colors. With McCain at least we know exactly what his positions are and even if I don't agree with all of them, we know he says what he means.

    February 6, 2008 03:31 pm at 3:31 pm |
  13. Joy in SC

    Creepy! Mrs. Trophy wife and the old geezer have the same smirk! Yikes!

    February 6, 2008 03:33 pm at 3:33 pm |
  14. Tuan

    One can make a believable case for momentum was in BO's favor up to yesterday. Was the split advantageous for him? Maybe, maybe not. As a HC's supporter I woke up this morning and decided to open my wallet for her campaign. At least from my own little corner, the split did not help him – it made me feel that I should stop supporting HC or be more committing.

    February 6, 2008 03:45 pm at 3:45 pm |
  15. Seriously?

    Is America Forever Serious? This must be Romney's wife on the blogosphere. Nobody else could honestly call McCain a liar, cheat and traitor and Romney an "honorable man".

    I'm not McCain's number one fan, but he at least has the honesty to be forthright with people, and votes his conscience rather than playing pure politics. Romney will say anything the day's audience wants to hear. It is hard to see how anyone but a family member could like this guy. He is the quintessential politician/used care salesman that is too full of it to stomach. We can only hope everybody this gullible stays home from the polls.

    February 6, 2008 03:48 pm at 3:48 pm |
  16. Mike

    Perhaps I'm missing something that I'd have caught were I in the US, but it seems to me that a split decision helps the Democrats more than it helps Obama specifically. While an early and decisive win may have been nice for either of the candidates, I would expect that the undecided race for the Democrats would attract more coverage and more interest until it is put to rest. Shouldn't this help attract voters who are undecided over Rep/Dem and get both Clinton's and Obama's messages out?

    February 6, 2008 03:50 pm at 3:50 pm |
  17. C Kopcho

    Four points:
    1) Typing in all caps does not help further your point, it actually detracts from the statement you're attempting to make.
    2) Do research. You'll find that the Clinton campaign has connections to Rezko as well; however, unlike Obama, they did not return any of the monies related to said individual.
    3) Speaking of criminal activity, a few things come to mind: White Water, Impeachment, Perjury, Disbarrment and now Clinton's involvment with approximately $136 million in charitable contributions from a "small-time" uranium miner that landed a suspcious deal in Kazakstan.
    4) Obama has come all the way from double digit (that means greater than 10%) deficits to within .4% of Hillary, essentially drawing the race to a statistical tie. While this isn't clearly a victory for Obama, it isn't the huge lead that the Clinton Machine orginally predicted, which is, in a manner of speaking, a victory for the Obama campaign.

    February 6, 2008 03:54 pm at 3:54 pm |
  18. Alemar

    Hillary needs to work to maintain the white vote and the Latino vote. Obama needs to work trying to get more white and Latino votes. Afro Americans are with Obama no work needed to modify that decision. Even if Obama loses all the debates that sector is fix with him. Why the afro American community see positive the choice based on race affinity and then ask other communities to based their vote on issues, judgment, etc.

    February 6, 2008 04:02 pm at 4:02 pm |
  19. Dwight

    It's sad that to hear Republicans say that they would support either of the liberal Democrats. Just remember 3 Supreme Court Justices might be decided in the next 4 years! So if your kids in the future have lots of problems because God is kicked further out of the country, abortion and same-sex marriages are dediced, then YOU are too blame.
    Yep, you sound like teenagers who cry and whine to get their way. You who would elect a democrat out of spite??? You sound like teenagers.
    So if you want to vote a democrat don't blame Mccain or Huckabee blame yourself. Afterall you are the ones voting.
    As "High School Muscial" song goes, "You've got to get your head in the game" and vote Republican in Novemeber not matter who is the choice.

    February 6, 2008 04:06 pm at 4:06 pm |
  20. Anti-Wing Nutt

    It’s amazing to me that a women who will not divorce her husband no matter how many women he has publicly been with;(just because she thinks he helps her politically), would get a majority of the female vote.

    Is this the type of “strong woman” example that the women of this country think represent them?


    February 6, 2008 04:44 pm at 4:44 pm |
  21. demwit

    I must ask the question.

    What is a Canadian Teacher doing bloggin from 10:07 – 10:39 AM on a school day? An imported US teacher perhaps??

    February 6, 2008 04:46 pm at 4:46 pm |
  22. David....Nevada

    Someone tell Johnny Mc. nam was 40 years ago... get over it.. is that all you've got? Lots of us served in the mid to late 60's... we dont try to pound it into the ground relentlessly, quiet like you do. Mc is economically brain dead and I wouldn't follow this guy anywhere. He reeks of cronisism and insider backslapping arrogance.

    February 6, 2008 05:40 pm at 5:40 pm |
  23. ne,pa

    I will vote AGAINST McCain (and the draft) whenever I can!

    February 6, 2008 07:21 pm at 7:21 pm |
  24. Rudy Garcia

    Dispensing with all of the rhetoric about who is more liberal or conservative, who is more moderate of both parties, one thing seems pretty clear. McCain has more than half the delegates he needs to capture the Republican Party nomination and with Huckabee and Romney splitting "who is the most conservative" hairs, he likely will continue to snag the moderates, liberals and some conservatives disaffected with both and looking more towards who is most electable among the three. As far as the Democrats are concerned, the likelihood is that they will both arrive at the nominating convention lacking the number of pledged delegates needed to win. In that case, unless the polls show that Obama alone is guaranteed to beat McCain, the probability is that the unpledged super delegates, the elected and former party leaders, will choose Hillary. They are more comfortable with her and believe Obama still has to pay his dues.

    February 6, 2008 08:07 pm at 8:07 pm |
  25. Justin in AL

    So...several of my Republican friends from Ohio have mentioned that, since McCain has essentially locked up the GOP nomination, they will be voting for Clinton in the open democratic primary in March. They obviously see her as much easier to beat in November. What do ya'll think the chances are that enough Republicans will cross-over to affect the outcome of these later open primaries?

    February 7, 2008 03:08 am at 3:08 am |
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