February 12th, 2008
10:10 PM ET
9 years ago

Exit polls: Obama stealing Clinton's base

[cnn-photo-caption image= http://i.l.cnn.net/cnn/2008/images/02/12/obama.jpg caption="According to Virginia exit polls, Obama won almost 60 percent of the female Democratic vote."]

(CNN) - Barack Obama did well with Democrats across both race and gender lines Tuesday night, and seems to be eating away at Hillary Clinton's backbone of support: women.

According to exit polls out of both Virginia and Maryland, in both states Obama won roughly 60 percent of the female vote - a demographic that has carried Clinton to success in past primaries.

Clinton fared even worse among men – more than two-thirds in both states chose Obama.

Meanwhile, the Illinois senator scored his highest percentage of African-American support to date - winning close to 90 percent of that voting bloc in each state. And the two evenly split the white vote in Virginia, while Clinton slightly beat Obama among the white vote in Maryland. In most past primaries, Clinton has held an edge among white voters.

Obama even beat Clinton among Latino voters, a group that has heavily favored Clinton in most past primaries. In Virginia and Maryland, Latinos went for Obama over Clinton by 6 points, though their support was not decisive in either contest – only 5 percent of Democratic primary voters in Virginia, and 4 percent in Maryland, were Latino.

The only demographic Clinton won was white women, who broke for her over Obama by 10 points in Virginia and 13 points in Maryland. But that margin is significantly smaller than the national average on Super Tuesday. She beat Obama among white women by 25 points then, according to national exit polls.

(Updated at 10:15 with Maryland exit poll results)

For more on the Virginia exit polls, click here

- CNN Ticker Producer Alexander Mooney

soundoff (467 Responses)
  1. Muhinda Kaggwa

    I guess reality is sinking in!! "firewall" Where is there smoke there is fire.... really? The HRC "firewall" actually crumbled at the end of the 2nd term of president Bill Clinton and the smoke you might being seing is from the "past firewall."

    February 12, 2008 09:06 pm at 9:06 pm |
  2. John

    Let's not make another mistake folks. Hillary is not what's best for America. Let's not forget her backround. She's a crimminal. Go to google and type in THE CLINTON CHRONICALS and watch the video or read the transcript. Don't forget all the lives the Clintons have destroyed in their quest for greatness. Is that REALLY who you want running our country? A self-serving, win-at-any-cost, dirtbag candidate... or a fine, honest, educated, intelligent, decent man, who actually WANTS to make America better for each one us? Uh... not a real tough decision for me. I'm voting for Obama.

    February 12, 2008 09:06 pm at 9:06 pm |
  3. Thomas

    I love everytime things break against the Clintons "it is the media's fault" or "everyone else is being fooled". Yes, those of us who disagree with the Clintons and their platform are all just mindless fools being led away.

    February 12, 2008 09:07 pm at 9:07 pm |
  4. True Democrat

    You're done Hillary! The Clintons' stranglehold on the Democratic party is finally coming to an end! The only reason anyone was voting for them in the first place is because after Gore and Kerry lost, they were the only ones we perceived could win. But now we have a new champion who actually CAN win and who isn't the pathetic Billary ILLUSION.

    Hop on the Obama train! Next stop, 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue!

    Obama 08!!! CHOO! CHOO!

    February 12, 2008 09:07 pm at 9:07 pm |
  5. J. K-K. Peah

    If the Potomac primaries go Obama way by sweeping all, the Clinton campaign will be demoralized and will suffer voters fatigue for the Texas and Ohio primaries, her supporters will not be energized as Obama supporters, many will give up and not appear to vote or just sway Obama way with the purpose of wanting to be center to Obama victory to be relevant.

    Technically, the Clinton Campaign is at a critical crossroad, she must sweep the Texas and Ohio primaries, anything short of that will render her campaign irrelevant like Mike Huckabee , people and supporters, donors and voters abandon her.

    Out of nine primaries and caucuses now and Hilary failed to win a single race, tells volume she is between the rock and a hard place, surely the Texas and Ohio voters will be lure to vote for Obama by the momentum, as far as the public Obama has become the Front Runner for the nomination and that is psychological burden to the Clinton supporters.

    February 12, 2008 09:07 pm at 9:07 pm |
  6. Pete

    I don't like the word "steal" in the caption. She never owned that base to begin with. CNN, stop with the race baiting.

    February 12, 2008 09:07 pm at 9:07 pm |
  7. Murry

    Obama you rock!

    He also edged Clinton 52% to 47% among voters over 60.
    He also got more non-college grads (62%) and union households (62%).

    February 12, 2008 09:07 pm at 9:07 pm |
  8. Dwight Davidson

    Wow. An African-America winning Virginia! I never thought I'd see the day...
    As an ex-pat, it's been a rough 8 years to have to admit I'm an American. But today, the pride came back. No matter what kind of mess this country gets into, our best ideals are still alive!

    February 12, 2008 09:07 pm at 9:07 pm |
  9. Elizabeth; Dallas, TX

    News Flash Hillary: Just because George Bush is from Texas, doesn't mean the rest of us are as dumb as him and will fall for your pandering to Hispanics and acting like we love you here. I have grown up in a diverse neighborhood on the south side of Dallas. No one liked you or your husband in the 90's. Get over yourself.

    February 12, 2008 09:07 pm at 9:07 pm |
  10. jeremy

    Um, exactly how is Obama the great unifier? Raising taxes? Giving illegals drivers licenses? Dodging questions? If being a "robin hood" is your understanding of unification, then what you really want is socialism...

    Remember, business pays the bills, not populism... Hugo Chavez was supposed to be the great saviour of Venezuala too....

    February 12, 2008 09:07 pm at 9:07 pm |
  11. Charlotte

    He is stealing more then votes, he is stealing peoples future. If he is the nominee, McCain will steal the election. Michelle said she would not vote for Hillary if she is the nominee, then why should I vote for Obama? I'll vote McCain

    February 12, 2008 09:07 pm at 9:07 pm |
  12. Kevin

    PS, the Clintonite feeling of supremacy is INCREDIBLY off putting, to put it nicely. All Obama supporters are "idiots", being "sucked in with lies"... and Clinton supporters are OBVIOUSLY the ones who can see through the crap? I would define vague answers about a very important Iraq vote, a 15 year old health care plan that Republicans will fight tooth and nail against as socialism, and her own personal attitude of invincibility is CRAP. CRAP, CRAP, CRAP. How about you arrogant Clinton supporters wise up and look in the mirror?

    February 12, 2008 09:08 pm at 9:08 pm |
  13. ascencioncastaneda


    February 12, 2008 09:08 pm at 9:08 pm |
  14. John

    Clinton shouldn't step out of the race... But it seems like Obama can't be stopped and that is great because those who were "next in line" are about to be cut. He deserves to win because he earned it and he will make a great leader, everyone knows it.

    February 12, 2008 09:08 pm at 9:08 pm |
  15. S Lewis

    Obama is changing the way politicians run a campaign by doing the following:
    - Leveraging web technology to create a sustainable donor base;
    - Leveraging web technology to engage people into becoming volunteers via the "Make the Call" at home phonebanking tool;
    - Concentrating on the smaller states and caucus states;
    - Engaging voters that normally wouldn't participate in an election: young voters, persons of color and Independents;
    - Creating a message that evokes collectivism and shared values as evidenced by his gratitutious use of the pronouns "us," "we" and "our";
    - Focusing on making the electoral process transparent for potential supporters by outlying the caucus process via BarackObama.com;
    - Leveraging web technology to create cross-state coalitions (e.g. College Students for Obama, Women for Obama, etc.) where information on primaries and caucuses can be shared; and finally,
    - By being an all-around nice guy.

    Barack and Michelle = President and First Lady!

    February 12, 2008 09:09 pm at 9:09 pm |
  16. U.S. Army Vet

    Hillary Clinton’s message of experience is very important. It caught my attention. She is correct when she says that she has the experience. She failed to deliver on universal healthcare. She has not held any political office before becoming a New York senator. She has the experience of failure. Therefore I voted for Obama.

    February 12, 2008 09:09 pm at 9:09 pm |
  17. Pat

    Republicans are voting for Obama becuase they know they can beat him in the November. The republicans will chew him up and spit him out. Hillary cant fight him because she will be called a racist. He has ties to Chicago that will come out by the republicans.

    February 12, 2008 09:09 pm at 9:09 pm |
  18. Boston guy

    No matter what Hillary would make a better President than Obama. I just hope that all the African Americans that are voting for Obama just because he is black will be ready for another Republican in the White House.

    February 12, 2008 09:09 pm at 9:09 pm |
  19. Thomas

    Oh and CNN, stealing is a pretty poor choice of words.

    February 12, 2008 09:09 pm at 9:09 pm |
  20. US Navy Vietnam Vet

    Boring is NEVER a reason to vote against anybody. Did you happen to hear the speech or were you just there for the fun of it?????????

    February 12, 2008 09:09 pm at 9:09 pm |
  21. Hopemonger in NYC

    Wonderful, congratulations Virginia and congratulations Senator Obama. Americans for Obama!!! I think voters across the country are sending a strong message that they just want the best candidate to lead the "United" States of America and there is no question that is Senator Obama. We are tired of being divided up into little boxes. Thankfully, this New Yorker doesn't have to have any buyers remorse, as I cast my vote for Obama.

    February 12, 2008 09:10 pm at 9:10 pm |
  22. Bill, Covington,LA

    I keep on hearing about how Obama is like JFK, Caroline even thinks Obama is like her daddy,how sad. I can recall the JFK inagural speach, I can recall the Cuban missel chrisis. Some of you who liken Obama to JFK should read that inagural address one nore time. Kennedy today would not be thinking "cut and run " as a majority of Democrats and a handful of Republicans want to do. Do you people realy want a disgusting wimp leading the greatest nation in the world? If so, your future is down the drain. I'm 80 years old I realy don't care. If you want to get stupid to prove a point so be it, and enjoy the consequences.

    February 12, 2008 09:10 pm at 9:10 pm |
  23. Sukie

    Obama is going to win and he will probably beat McCain.

    Obama will be a one-term president. Just like Jimmy Carter.

    Both are really nice guys, but not presidential material. I have not heard one thing from Obama's mouth in any campaign stop I have seen on TV that talks about anything of substance except for Hope and Change, over and over.

    Hope for what?

    Change in what way?

    Michelle Obama wears the pants in their house and she will wear them in the White House.

    February 12, 2008 09:10 pm at 9:10 pm |
  24. Chris in Orlando

    Dear Obama supporters...

    You are the rudest, crudest cult of lunatics this country's ever seen, and aren't very good practitioners of your preacher's ideology.. I strongly suggest you stop hating on Hillary and her supporters, lest you find yourselves short of a few votes in November. If Obama does become the nominee (God forbid) I think you'll need a significant chunk of Hillary's base to win. So stop alienating us and insulting our intelligence with your Obama spew.

    February 12, 2008 09:11 pm at 9:11 pm |
  25. Christine trotman

    CNN (and the rest of the media) is spinning the polls...i.e. lying. The polls are the same as South Carolina, La., and everywhere else where the black population of voters is above 25 percent. Guys...3 out of 10 votes cast in VA are by African Americans...that is a lot...9 out of 10 blacks voted for Obama. Clinton won the white vote (men and women combined) by nearly 20%. When CNN says that Obama won the women vote, they are combining black and white women together. This is just to spin the results in his favor so that people will not notice the racial divide. It is deceptive and sad. Obama also won the men as well...that number is also combined with both black men and white men. Men have always voted more in favor for him than Clinton. So Desire to be informed...and not ignorant by just looking a little deeper. In fact, go to CNN's primary results page and click on the poll analysis. Look at South Carolina and every other state that is highly populated with African Americans and do your own comparison. It is the same results as today-Obama won because of the Black vote

    Also, the results for tonight have been expected for a long time now. Real Clear Politics list the polls for this past week and Obama has been leading with double digits....because of the "black vote". BE INFORMED...NOT MANIPULATED.

    Oh by the way...I'm Black....

    February 12, 2008 09:11 pm at 9:11 pm |
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