February 12th, 2008
10:10 PM ET
9 years ago

Exit polls: Obama stealing Clinton's base

[cnn-photo-caption image= http://i.l.cnn.net/cnn/2008/images/02/12/obama.jpg caption="According to Virginia exit polls, Obama won almost 60 percent of the female Democratic vote."]

(CNN) - Barack Obama did well with Democrats across both race and gender lines Tuesday night, and seems to be eating away at Hillary Clinton's backbone of support: women.

According to exit polls out of both Virginia and Maryland, in both states Obama won roughly 60 percent of the female vote - a demographic that has carried Clinton to success in past primaries.

Clinton fared even worse among men – more than two-thirds in both states chose Obama.

Meanwhile, the Illinois senator scored his highest percentage of African-American support to date - winning close to 90 percent of that voting bloc in each state. And the two evenly split the white vote in Virginia, while Clinton slightly beat Obama among the white vote in Maryland. In most past primaries, Clinton has held an edge among white voters.

Obama even beat Clinton among Latino voters, a group that has heavily favored Clinton in most past primaries. In Virginia and Maryland, Latinos went for Obama over Clinton by 6 points, though their support was not decisive in either contest – only 5 percent of Democratic primary voters in Virginia, and 4 percent in Maryland, were Latino.

The only demographic Clinton won was white women, who broke for her over Obama by 10 points in Virginia and 13 points in Maryland. But that margin is significantly smaller than the national average on Super Tuesday. She beat Obama among white women by 25 points then, according to national exit polls.

(Updated at 10:15 with Maryland exit poll results)

For more on the Virginia exit polls, click here

- CNN Ticker Producer Alexander Mooney

soundoff (467 Responses)
  1. Rob

    Stacy- Do you really believe that independants and republicans are throwing their votes at Obama because they fear Clinton could beat McCain? Wow, that's out there.

    John in Columbus said it best....'the man is a unifier '

    People are tired of the same old same old politicians...we need change!

    I think the thing I'm looking forward to the most is getting rid of Bush.

    February 12, 2008 08:54 pm at 8:54 pm |
  2. Maria Casanova

    We are watching CNN news and are very happy with the Obama triumph in Virginia. The United States need a real change... and Obama is for real the LEADER of hope for the nation. God bless Obama!

    February 12, 2008 08:54 pm at 8:54 pm |
  3. Alecki

    The media needs to stop campaigning for certain candidates.
    It's a disgrace for all Americans.

    February 12, 2008 08:54 pm at 8:54 pm |
  4. IndependentTurnedObamite

    "Julie, Binghamton, NY February 12, 2008 8:28 pm ET
    The only reason he did better was because of independents and Republicans who voted for him."


    February 12, 2008 08:54 pm at 8:54 pm |
  5. Greg

    The days of devisive politics is over. The country wants a leader to bring us together. The fact that Obama can pull votes from Independents and Republicans is proof of what he can do for this country. Hillary will never win in November. It's time for her to think about an exit strategy.

    February 12, 2008 08:54 pm at 8:54 pm |
  6. dawn pentenrieder

    President Barack Obama........Has a nice ring to it, doesn't it?

    February 12, 2008 08:55 pm at 8:55 pm |
  7. kathy

    OMG!! You people are not really supporting Obama, are you? Thank goodness there are still several power states left to rein in on the common sense voter...Hillary is prepared, how about another debate, Oh that's right, Obama can't have his writers on stage with him, Oh yea, He's ready to serve??? NOT!!!!! Hillary 08...PA supports Hillary...

    February 12, 2008 08:55 pm at 8:55 pm |
  8. Amy in the ATL

    Dear Julie in Binghamton.....from one here in the deep South (as in even more south than Virginia), I'll tell you that Obama is getting a ton of support from African Americans, traditional Democrats as well as the well-educated professionals. That's quite a coalition to cobble together....and that's why Obama will be such a formidable candidate in the general election. He's a symbol of hope for a country that badly needs it right now. And as much as I'd love to see a woman president, it's hard for most Southerners to get behind Hillary. Right or wrong, she just doesn't seem very warm and friendly. And this is a part of the country that values warmth. On the other hand, Obama, like Bill Clinton, is extremely intelligent as well as charismatic. I like his chances.

    February 12, 2008 08:55 pm at 8:55 pm |
  9. Robert (from Atlanta)

    Now that Obama and Clinton are so close, what about Florida and Michigan. Their primary votes are not going to be counted in a race that will probably be down to the wire. According to the Supreme Court in 2000, doesn’t this violate the principle that all voters should be treated equally and given equal access to have their votes counted? Isn’t it funny that the problem again occurs in Florida?

    February 12, 2008 08:55 pm at 8:55 pm |
  10. ao

    Well she certainly has a setback today. Also, she will be behind in overall delegates (btw – super delegates which are already counted in the total are only those that"committed" already, and can't change their vote). I'm very curious how this will play out. March 4th is rally decisive for this race, no question to it. Congrats to Obama today. On my part I do not change my vote for Hill, especially since the issue I feel the most strongly about, health care, is in my eyes hers. Requirement for everyone to insure is the only economically feasible way to make sure everyone tip into the shared responsibility system that is helping the sick. MIT study proves it. Obama's 4400 per capita to Hill's 2700 per capita makes a difference for me (and ensures all are insured). On side note: think about health insurance as car insurance (PLPD) – it is a required insurance from every driver for the very reason that it drives the overall costs down and makes it certain no one is skipping. Imagine what would happen if people could opt out from it, who would pay for accident that someone did to us and they did not have the PLPD. If everyone are required, you liquidate (or lower) the free rider problem. It may not be idealistically best solution, as it is a requirement, but reality is – this is only solution to make universal health care cost effective.

    February 12, 2008 08:55 pm at 8:55 pm |
  11. Margaret

    I know what we are going to get if Hillary wins – More of the Bill and Hillary show. It was bad news then and it won't be any different this time around – we know that after his tacky display in South Carolina.
    I've read the books Barack has written and I am impressed – by his clear thought, his genuineness, and it is also his lack of political baggage that makes him particularly appealling. As Michelle said last night on Larry King's show – yes, he'll make mistakes – but he will admit it and move to correct it – so unlike our present situation.
    The super delegates need to be abolished! This is supposed to be a vote by the people – of course the super votes appear to be going Hillary's way – it's more of the same old muddy politics!
    So, if for some sad reason I don't get to vote for Barack in November and we are left with Hillary and McCain – this southern girl is voting for McCain – at least he is someone I respect (read his books too!) and appreciate his military record. And his maverickness has an appeal over a vote for Hillary.
    But I'm hoping that I can say YES I CAN vote for Barack!

    February 12, 2008 08:55 pm at 8:55 pm |
  12. FELIPE

    i don't know how obama is doing this, he is a liar and all he does is give false hopes, i saw him live and at that time i was an obama supporter, then after i saw him contradicting himself many times, that's when i changed and supported hillary. Hillary and Edwards were both for universall health care obama was not, now everywhere he goes he is talking how he is going to have in his plan universal health care, i mean come on blind people, cant you see he is saying what ever it takes to become president.........this is sad, people voting for obama are not looking at the facts..........he is all about false hopes

    February 12, 2008 08:56 pm at 8:56 pm |
  13. Ray - NJ

    so he did well in ONE state with women..so what?

    February 12, 2008 08:56 pm at 8:56 pm |
  14. Alecki

    Obama won places that are usually republican states anyway.
    He won't help the democratic party.

    February 12, 2008 08:56 pm at 8:56 pm |
  15. Vince Los Angeles, CA

    Julie, Binghamton, NY February 12, 2008 8:28 pm ET

    The only reason he did better was because of independents and Republicans who voted for him.

    Julie....I respectfully submit to you that this is PRECISELY the reason to vote for Barack Obama....come November Republican and Independant voters will give the Democrats the White House.....ONLY IF OBAMA IS THE NOMINEE!.....but you don't see this....do you?

    February 12, 2008 08:56 pm at 8:56 pm |
  16. Noah Singapore

    I think the Americans are finally sick and tired of hearing Hillary boast about her experience, how she is the only one with the ability to fix this and that. They are right; that is the same kind of a know-it-all arrogance that has alienated America from the rest of the world. Besides the 20th century, Cheney/Rumsfeld kind of experience has been proven to be outdated in the 21st century. 9/11 was unpredictable and so is the current fast changing world but America has hundreds of colleges/ Universities and millions of talented and well educated people who can face anything. All they need is someone who can bring them together and inspire them. Hillary has obviously run out of ideas, may be Bill should be unleashed again to distort/attack. It worked in NH, who knows Tx and Ohio may fall for it.

    February 12, 2008 08:56 pm at 8:56 pm |
  17. Barack Obama Supporter from Lawrence Kansas

    Hillary's Response to Virginia Loss:

    "Oh... those voters don't represent the electorate... we know that."

    February 12, 2008 08:56 pm at 8:56 pm |
  18. Steph, Philadelphia

    News...MSNBC projects that Obama wins D.C. .. Big win for Obama tonight....

    February 12, 2008 08:57 pm at 8:57 pm |
  19. DinNC

    Obama should be the Democratic nominee because he is focused on unifying people as well as parties. Our country is so much more than a collection of Democrats and Republicans.

    Hillary on the other hand sleeps, eats, and breaths for the thrill of being a major part of the politicial machine and WILL continue the status quo – divide and conquer and destroy all that oppose you.

    Her tactics seem oddly familiar to those of a guy we all know. We've been watching his horror play out for the past 7 years...do you really want to watch the rerun?

    It's time to move forward collectively as people NOT parties.

    Obama in '08! Yes we can!

    February 12, 2008 08:57 pm at 8:57 pm |
  20. Sarah

    America is ready for Obama! Go Obama, I want to see you win!

    February 12, 2008 08:57 pm at 8:57 pm |
  21. Bernard

    If Mr Barack Obama wins the Election i can see Republicans having jobs in the White House & there will play a game with Mr Barack Obama , then they Repulicans will take over again , Do folks want that to happen ? i hope not , so i have to say is Mr Barack Obama is overrated , just beacuse is young doesn't mean he is Michael Jackson. All those people who voted for Mr Barack Obama are blind too see they are voting for , Mr Barack Obama has invaluable experince .

    February 12, 2008 08:57 pm at 8:57 pm |
  22. PB in Rhody

    Where does everyone get this McCain can beat Obama garbage from? For the last week we have heard nothing but poll after poll saying that Obama beats McCain and McCain beats Clinton. Are you counting on some hopeful fact that independents will all of a sudden swing over to McCain? I hate to say this but you Clintoners are starting to sound like the demographic that seems to consistently support Clinton, the uneducated.

    By the way the people are speaking. Obama now has more delegates in total than she does.

    I have listened to his speeches and I have listened to her speeches. They have both expressed their stance on the issues. Those of you who think he has not must not understand the English language. I am at a loss to explain your ignorance any further.

    February 12, 2008 08:57 pm at 8:57 pm |
  23. Maria

    Fired up and REady to go!!!!!

    Obama for President

    February 12, 2008 08:57 pm at 8:57 pm |
  24. Ben E.

    ive attended both Clinton and Obama when capaigns...it was so much more electric and fun and what Obama was saying...Hilarys was really boring...


    February 12, 2008 08:57 pm at 8:57 pm |
  25. FELIPE

    Obama is dragging all you idiots into his false hopes and lies......Just watch

    February 12, 2008 08:57 pm at 8:57 pm |
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