February 18th, 2008
03:01 PM ET
13 years ago

CNN Texas poll: Dead heat among Democrats

(CNN) - It's all tied up in Texas.

A new CNN/Opinion Research Corporation poll suggests that the battle for the Democratic presidential nomination between Sens. Hillary Clinton of New York and Barack Obama of Illinois is a statistical dead heat in Texas, which holds primaries March 4.

In the survey, out Monday, 50 percent of likely Democratic primary voters support Clinton as their choice for the party's nominee, with 48 percent backing Obama. But if you take into account the poll's sampling error of 4.5 percentage points for Democratic respondents, the race is a virtual tie.

Two recent polls by other organizations also show the race statistically even.

Full story


Filed under: Polls • Texas
soundoff (245 Responses)
  1. kim

    Being part of the Hispanic community in Texas, following all of this news in both English and Spanish – CNN, Univision, etc. I find these poll numbers very reminiscent of the CA poll numbers before Super Tuesday. I just think your English Language polls miss a big Spanish input here which is flying below the radar, only to resurface as it has everywhere, with the unusual exception of Virginia, so far.

    February 18, 2008 04:44 pm at 4:44 pm |
  2. Jason - Visalia, CA

    How does Obama have less experience when he has spent more time in an Elected Office than Hillary? Unless, being the wife of a politician counts as experience.

    One other thing people should think about; these polls only call land lines. The huge numbers of young people that only have mobile phones are excluded and they flock to Obama in high percentages .

    One last though... if Clinton does more unethical things and wins I am committed to moving to Canada. I feel like I've spent 17 of my 25 years living under a monarchy anyway.

    February 18, 2008 04:44 pm at 4:44 pm |
  3. leela

    Out of the two, hillary and Obama hillary has copied the most with no shame....35 years of experience...can't come up with your own lines. That's a total shame!!!!!!

    February 18, 2008 04:45 pm at 4:45 pm |
  4. Obama admits he borrowed speech.

    This shows reality, Obama is Not Ready on Day One.
    Will he "borrow" decisions as president?
    Just who will be "the decider"?

    February 18, 2008 04:46 pm at 4:46 pm |
  5. Gail

    Because of the tight race, Texas is not only a state Hillary Clinton MUST win, but must win by 20 points to have any chance for the nomination. She know she is not going to achive this goal, now she is going to the old Clinton play book....let's go negative. Fornutaely for us Obama supporters this reaffrms why we can not afford another 8 years of THE CLINTONS. Obama will prevail, in the popular vote, the pledged delegates and ulitmately the super delegates becuase they are wise to know we can not afford to lose the White House

    Go Obama

    February 18, 2008 04:46 pm at 4:46 pm |
  6. Tony K

    Hillary can't win the general election. Republicans hate her and her nomination would galvanize the right. Obama appeals to independents and thats the key to winning the swing states. Neither party is going to pull away their core states (Calif, NY, IL, MA, etc., for Dems and TX, the South, etc. for the Repubs).

    Hillary is too polarizing to win. Ask any republican and they would to a man rather face Hillary than Obama. If Hillary is behind in pledged delegates at the end of this primary nomination calendar she should bow out gracefully. Unfortunately knowing the Clintons this will never happen. Look at good old Bill acting like a man out of control.....its embarrasing for a former president.

    I'm for Obama but if Hillary gets the nomination, i might have to vote for McCain. I know many other Dems like myself who feel this way.

    February 18, 2008 04:46 pm at 4:46 pm |
  7. Molly Ivans

    Wow, the Clinton team has put all their eggs in the Texas-Ohio basket. They have to win both by a wide margin to catch up in delegates, and they've been counting on it. That's whayt they told the press when they lost 8 elections in a row.

    Are the Clintons now going to back out and come up with a new excuse?

    I just don't see how you can keep losing every election, be further and further behind in the polls, delegates, popular vote ... and stay in the race.

    If the Clintons don't win big in Texas, it's over.

    February 18, 2008 04:46 pm at 4:46 pm |
  8. Sparkle, MO

    And we all know that when the pre-polls are close, Senator Barack Obama wins. I hope after this next set of primaries Hillary spares us all and drops out of the race

    February 18, 2008 04:46 pm at 4:46 pm |
  9. lc

    PERHAPS the voters of Texas are reconsidering their PREMATURE

    support of HILLARY that was wrongly based on BILL'S experience.

    I hope the Texas SUPERDELEGATES do the same!!!!!!

    February 18, 2008 04:46 pm at 4:46 pm |
  10. Laurence "Keeping it real"

    Ain't this a doggone shame. Hillary is reallt scrapping around the bottom of the barrel with this rhetoric borrowing thing. And now polls suggest there's a tie right now in Texas. This thing is closer to being over than a lot of people would like to admit. The media pundits almost seem to be in the early stages of shock over the turn of events. Obama is the man (person) for this time. The Clintons are about the dirtest politicans I've ever seen with the exception of Nixon. I will be quite pleased to see the Clinton campaign come to a close. And with it an end to Bush, Clinton dynastic politics. No doubt the interns will be glad to know Bill Clinton won't be back.

    February 18, 2008 04:47 pm at 4:47 pm |
  11. Laine in California

    You know, the best person to run this country will prevail in the end. What surprises me is Hillary is a viable candidate, very intelligent and articulates clearly her plan for turning this country around. The problem I see with her is that she continues to attack Barak Obama instead of earning the vote of the American people fair and square. I have a problem with THAT! Her campaign tactics clearly define the kind of person she will be if elected to the White House. Perhaps Barak's plan for this country hasn't been clearly defined, but at least he's running a clear and clean campaign. He has always been on the defense with Bill and Hillary Clinton!

    February 18, 2008 04:47 pm at 4:47 pm |
  12. Kelly Anne

    That's bad news for Hillary.

    So much for her much vaunted "firewall".

    February 18, 2008 04:48 pm at 4:48 pm |
  13. KSprad

    The super delegates should not have such power.

    And the numbers need to be reduced. Unfortunately, more are added each year than die.

    All the super delegates who are former presidents, vp's, speakers of the house should have a limited term as a super delegate. You should not be a super delegate until death for a position you held 30 years ago!

    I know none have held it that long because they just come up with this in the last decade or 2, but at this rate, there will be more super delegates than Pledged delegates!

    February 18, 2008 04:48 pm at 4:48 pm |
  14. Brad

    Todd: get a grip, man. Hillary's *campaign* has already conceded Wisconsin; attacking the media over it just makes you look like a jerk. Hillary's campaign has been saying the March 4th is the important date because they expect to lose in HI and WI and want to downplay those losses. She was only persuaded to campaign in WI to prevent another blowout.

    February 18, 2008 04:48 pm at 4:48 pm |
  15. vivian

    Hillary should be the last person to complain about using others phrases. She has been doing that for the last two to three weeks. Play back some of those tapes CNN. You'll be able to show her repeating the same lines that Obama has used all along. Sje has repeatedly used his lines and his strategies. She has no right to talk about Obama using lines that were not his. Everyone uses lines, ideas and strategies. Isn't Mccain running on experience just like Hillary. Isn't Hillary now running on chnage like Obama has been(long before she did). Give me a break! She has got to be kidding me. I guarantee one thing in this election,if clinton wins the nomination, Mccain wins the election in the fall and the republicans will be happier than ever, thanks to hillary. That's a guarantee. Everyone I am close to is voting for Obama if he is the nominee, but definitely for Mccain if hillary is nominated. So many of us are sick of the clintons and their political agendas, we're totally ready for change!

    February 18, 2008 04:48 pm at 4:48 pm |
  16. Dennis

    So all you Clinton supporters–what has Hillary done as President so far? Oh wait, thats right, she isn't President either. All she can do is give speeches and say she is better. Right now, I favor the Democrats, but I think both of their health care plans are fairy tales. However, I believe that Obama will get more things done than Hillary. My vote goes to him. I think Hillary can't afford to win a close race in Texas and Ohio. She needs to win big and make up ground in the delegate count as it sounds like a lot of Super Delegates are reluctant to decide this nomination.

    February 18, 2008 04:48 pm at 4:48 pm |
  17. Barb

    You can tell that Obama is the right candidate when the only thing Hillary can find to bash him on is his use of phrases used by many people speaking this country!

    GO OBAMA!!!!!

    February 18, 2008 04:49 pm at 4:49 pm |
  18. Mr. B.

    America Is Ready
    Obama 08

    February 18, 2008 04:49 pm at 4:49 pm |
  19. Susie

    Latina for obama i'm also a latina u most be married to a obama open your eyes and see what Hillary has done she is a very strong woman and she is not affraid to run with the men she has my vote 100%

    God bless Hillary 2008

    February 18, 2008 04:49 pm at 4:49 pm |
  20. joe

    YEA THE SAME CNN POLL THAT SHOWED OBAMA

    LEADING IN CALIFORNIA..YEA RIGHT

    ALL THE TEXAS POLLS I SEEN IN REALCLEARPOLITICS.COM

    SHOW CLINTON LEADING DOUBLE DIGIT

    OH THATS RIGHT CNN IS THE OBAMA NETWORK

    WHAT A JOKE

    February 18, 2008 04:49 pm at 4:49 pm |
  21. Brad

    Also, if the super-delegates decide this race, not only will the Republicans ridicule us in November, but they'll be 100% right.

    February 18, 2008 04:50 pm at 4:50 pm |
  22. NObama No Way!

    NObama is just hot air!

    Listen to him try to "speak" when he doesn't have cue cards or teleprompters – UH UH UH UH (long pause) UH UH UH UH. He only sounds good in speeches because he's READING SOMEONE ELSE'S WORDS!

    No wonder he doesn't want to debate her – because he's a rookie trying to play in the all-star game!

    Texas – show the world you won't listen to his hot air!

    HILLARY CLINTON IS THE ONLY CANDIDATE WHO CAN TAKE OUR COUNTRY BACK!!

    VOTE FOR SUBSTANCE!!

    VOTE FOR CLINTON!!

    February 18, 2008 04:50 pm at 4:50 pm |
  23. Cathy

    Ian, how can you say the Hillary wants to rewrite the rules. I cannot understand the hate in some of the above blogs. It is terrible.

    February 18, 2008 04:51 pm at 4:51 pm |
  24. Hamilton

    It's simply amazing how words don't mean anything, but when those words are lies they mean a lot. Hillary is not going to be able to show her face in politics after this campaign. I'd be surprised if she even was re-elected to the senate after this. She and Bill and Chelsea should just retire after this

    February 18, 2008 04:51 pm at 4:51 pm |
  25. Keri-Texas

    Remember 2004, when the republican machine attacked John Kerry? By election time they had all but stripped him of his service in Vietnam. Do you think Obama can hold up to that? Do you think his broad romanticized statements, rap videos, Queen Oprah, ringtone, MTV generation, camelot flowery ideas (that are great for a popularity contest) but do you really think he can hold up in the adult world of rough and tumble politics? I can only imagine what the Republicans will throw at him and I don't think he'll survive. Lord knows the media isn't holding him accountable on his issues nor are they approaching him with as much scrutiny as they are Clinton. Sexism alive and flourishing in America.

    But Hillary, they've thrown everything but the kitchen sink at her and her husband and they're still standing. She's battle tested and ready for combat. And the only thing you Obamabots can do is repeat the same ole GOP line of "Clinton bad". Wow I wonder why the Republicans don't like her, maybe because they know she can beat McCain and they know they have a fresh new batch of accusations on deck and ready to hurl at Obama.

    She's ready to start day one (no freshman orientation for her) and she has my vote and all my co-workers vote.

    Hillary in Texas all the way!!!

    February 18, 2008 04:51 pm at 4:51 pm |
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10