February 18th, 2008
03:01 PM ET
14 years ago

CNN Texas poll: Dead heat among Democrats

(CNN) - It's all tied up in Texas.

A new CNN/Opinion Research Corporation poll suggests that the battle for the Democratic presidential nomination between Sens. Hillary Clinton of New York and Barack Obama of Illinois is a statistical dead heat in Texas, which holds primaries March 4.

In the survey, out Monday, 50 percent of likely Democratic primary voters support Clinton as their choice for the party's nominee, with 48 percent backing Obama. But if you take into account the poll's sampling error of 4.5 percentage points for Democratic respondents, the race is a virtual tie.

Two recent polls by other organizations also show the race statistically even.

Full story

Filed under: Polls • Texas
soundoff (245 Responses)
  1. Shawna

    What needs to happen is this... take your behinds out there and vote..that is the only polls that matter...

    Personally I don't believe that Mrs. Clinton should win... it is just crazy to think that someone that is bragging on such a "stellar" record in Washington is having such trouble landsliding this nomination, that her former President husband is putting his foot in his mouth every chance he gets... You can call Mr. Obama anything you want but his wife is not sabotoging the race for him....

    As I stated before, no one needs to waste their time trying to sway someone decision. We have to be smart enough to know to do the research and make the right decisions...so the name calling gets pretty redundant...Good luck Mr. Obama on tomorrow's contests...

    February 18, 2008 04:51 pm at 4:51 pm |
  2. GO HOME!!!

    I do not like Hillary or Bill. Drop out. So the real race can begin.
    Go Obama!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    February 18, 2008 04:51 pm at 4:51 pm |
  3. dave

    All i can say is the chimp (bush) has taken this country as low as it can be.We are actually thinking of putting a black or a woman in office.

    February 18, 2008 04:51 pm at 4:51 pm |
  4. Becky Montgomery

    I am from Texas and more and more people are sick of her dirty digs and fake sincerity. She is running ads here that say "Every day I try to help someone." I guess that is technically correct–she tries to help herself.

    She is one of the most fake, manipulative, distorting, lying politicians I have come across and I don't know why people can't see it. In Texas, more and more people ARE seeing it and we don't like it.

    By the way–on the speech thing–her campaign people were asked today if they could guarantee that she has never borrowed from others speeches, and the answer was, "no, we can't." Of course they can't–she copies Obama all the time.

    If I were guessing, I would think they are doing the old "look over there" to distract from their court date on Thursday, Feb. 21 for campaign FRAUD.

    February 18, 2008 04:52 pm at 4:52 pm |
  5. bill pike

    when obama talks about change he is talking about washington dc which needs a major housecleaning. listen to the clinton camp now that they are losing-the negative press they are generating-the same clintons who said like capone in prison "why is everyone against me" when all the "stuff" was happening when clinton was in the whitehouse. CHANGE WILL ONLY COME FROM NEW PEOPLE.

    signed: a 4th generation republican who is seeing the light and that light is obama. i do not want any more bush/clinton royalty.

    February 18, 2008 04:53 pm at 4:53 pm |
  6. Praetorian, Fort Myers, FL

    We can only hope that like two comets....the heat will make them disintegrate in the atmosphere.

    I used to be a Democrat–no more.

    The "very far left" and the Democratic Socialist Party have absconded with the Democratic party–there is nothing centrist about the agenda anymore.

    February 18, 2008 04:53 pm at 4:53 pm |
  7. melchg

    If those polls are fairly accurate he will win texas. The whole way they are set up in that state gives places that had higher voter turnout in previous elections a higher proportion of delegates. Most of those places where places that typically have shown characteristics of voting obama......So for instance a place with a hundred latinos voting hillary could give her 3 delegates, while were black voters have participated in past elections the same 100 black voters could deliver 8 delegates to obama.....If he's already close to a 50/50 support he could end up winning 60% of the delegates...

    February 18, 2008 04:54 pm at 4:54 pm |
  8. The Numbers

    Here are numbers that matter:

    Obama has won approximately 64% of the delegates awarded after "Super Tuesday".
    Obama needs 58% of the delegates remaining, in addition to the approximately 168 super delegates he has, in order to reach 2,025
    Obama needs about 44.5% of the delegates remaining, in order to ensure having more pledged delegates than Hillary.

    The fact is, Obama can win this thing without any additional super delegates committing. Clinton can't.

    February 18, 2008 04:54 pm at 4:54 pm |
  9. Anonymous

    There is no way the rules should be broken. As far as superdelegates, THERE IS NO RULE. They are to vote for who they think the nominee should be. Simple. If they decide to vote with their constituency, fine. If they decide to vote on their own, fine. But there is no way that the delegates from Florida or Michigan will come into play. Rules are rules. Those voters should have been up in arms last year so stop whining about it already

    February 18, 2008 04:55 pm at 4:55 pm |
  10. Alice F from Texas

    Below is an email message I received from a friend, and I, completely, share his viewpoint.

    "I can't believe the Democratic Party ever came up with such an idea – we'll let the citizens vote and we'll let the vote count UNLESS the popular vote goes against the wishes of the party's elite! I would expect something like this from the Republicans but never the Democrats. It has shades of the US's early voting criteria where you could only vote if you were a white male and only then if you owned property. The Democratic Party had better get rid of the Super Delegate concept before the convention or it could easily destroy the Democratic Party in everyone's eyes."

    My friend's insight if phenomenal!

    February 18, 2008 04:55 pm at 4:55 pm |
  11. cj

    Why is it that when Hillary is up it's always pointed out that her edge is within the margin of error? Yes, when Obama is ahead in the polls it's reported that ....."Obama is ahead in the polls.?"

    February 18, 2008 04:56 pm at 4:56 pm |
  12. Jeff from Jersey

    I am a life-long Democrat and with these 2 schoolchildren running for President I will not vote for a Democrat.Neither one of them is worthy of being our president anymore.They have both behaved like little children and as far as I am concered I have decided to change my mind and NOT VOTE FOR THEM!

    I won't vote for McCain because his war policy will be even more disasterous for America than George Worst!The toll it will take not only on our troops but also the economic burden it will place on millions of Americans that are already drowning will be UNTHINKABLE!

    I am going to try and find a third party candidate that will actually help Americans without our country sinking even further into the depths of economic ruin,war and ridicule that has already all but destroyed America and Americans!

    If not,I'm not voting at all for the first time since I was old enough to vote because NONE of them deserve to be our President!

    February 18, 2008 04:57 pm at 4:57 pm |
  13. Dave

    Todd, posting the same thing 3 times on here doesn't make it any more persuasive.

    It's not plagiarism. In fact, there's a pretty good chance that the same speech writer wrote the speech for BOTH of them.

    Get over it, I know it's not looking good for Hillary, but you're going to have to find something substantive to tear Obama down with.

    February 18, 2008 04:57 pm at 4:57 pm |
  14. Texans who hate Hillary!

    There are plenty of us in the country! Trust me when I say that Hillary is done!

    February 18, 2008 04:57 pm at 4:57 pm |
  15. Jean, Indiana

    The outcome of Wisconsin will influence Texas and Ohio. Obama is consistently outgarnering what the polls indicate. Clinton has a long history in Texas and there things are probably as good as it gets for her. If they are neck in neck in polls today, Obama is trending upward.

    This combined indicates Obama will take WI-TX, probably OH-PA. Then its all over, if not before PA.

    February 18, 2008 04:58 pm at 4:58 pm |
  16. Julie, Binghamton, NY

    Hey CNN- did you report the poll yesterday that put Hillary ahead in Wisconsin? No, because this is a biased news organization!

    February 18, 2008 04:58 pm at 4:58 pm |
  17. Arthur Villarreal

    Hillary will win Texas easily.In Texas, we love the Clintons and they love us.Hillary will win becuase of her strong work ethic and family values.
    The other candidate is a smooth talker so he can always open a church,where he can preach all he wants.

    February 18, 2008 04:58 pm at 4:58 pm |
  18. Ricky

    Obama speeches are true and from his heart every great speech was inspired by greater speeches in history. Duh! This is not a college exam or a term paper that needs to be proof read before turning it in to the professor. You have to see this with your heart and mind not through political attacks you have to be very ignorant not know that. Obama thanks every city state that voted for him even though he winning or losing Hillary doesn't, she left immediately after she knew she was going to lose in certain states and did not acknowledge those voters who got out of bed to wait in a long line in terrible weather and missed work just to vote for her and here with her sore loser mentality didn't respond or thank those who voted for her. What she did, she left to the next state to campaign. Is this the person you would want as president and her ticks is about a phase that Obama plagiarize from his own campaign supporter that’s to me and every person with brains is a desperate attempt to win votes: C'mon Now! Where was her so call Universal Health Care plan that’s to support everyone when they was in the Whitehouse then, why now to display this Health plan when the opportunity was there for the whole eight years. Please! At least give this democrat a chance they had there’s and fail.

    February 18, 2008 04:59 pm at 4:59 pm |
  19. parforthecourse

    Plagarism -

    Unacceptable from Senator Obama, former President of Harvard Law Review. Bidendid it and was reprimanded; Doris Kearns Goodwin did it and was reprimanded. Senator Obama knows better - he knew it was wrong when he did it -- he knows its wrong know. People are inspired by him and his words -- the words he plagarized have a significant meaning in our history. He should not make light of what he has done. I think he will be the nominee, but he must remember "words have meaning" -

    February 18, 2008 04:59 pm at 4:59 pm |
  20. Gene in Texas

    Obama, trust me you have Texas largest cities, Houston, Dallas, Austin, momentum is building now in San Anthnio and Waco.
    Go Barack !!!!

    February 18, 2008 05:01 pm at 5:01 pm |
  21. James

    Don't worry, Hillary's people are already spinning that now Ohio and PA are must wins and Texas is not a must win. Hillary's floundering and is near finished. The greatest thing about this race is that it will provide us real change for the nation and the end to both the Clinton and Bush dynasties.

    February 18, 2008 05:05 pm at 5:05 pm |
  22. Laura

    I visited Obama's website and saw his positions and plans. Quite ambitious to the tune of 850 billion dollars.

    How is he going to pay for it?
    1. it's all empty campaign promises
    2. increase the federal deficit (which is already 400 billion) and
    worsen the economy
    3. TAX INCREASE the increase he proposes on the top 1% of
    wage earners wont cut it

    If Obama gets the nomination I'm voting for McCain. Once the Republicans paint him as a tax and spend liberal he wont do so well in the red states.

    February 18, 2008 05:05 pm at 5:05 pm |
  23. Obama Sucks

    Lot's of hot air and no substance!

    February 18, 2008 05:13 pm at 5:13 pm |
  24. Obama Resume

    Whoopie! Now that we know what "counts," we won't have to prepare a comprehensive resume any longer in applying for job. All we have to state is:

    Yes, I can.
    I am the change you need.

    What a deal! C'mon, Texas, you're smarter than that! You know Hillary's the one. We're counting on you to tell Obama, "Don't mess with Texas."

    February 18, 2008 05:14 pm at 5:14 pm |
  25. Gerry

    American Research Group, Inc. poll today shows Obam 48%-Clinton 42% in Texas.

    Hillary's support looks to be crumbling

    February 18, 2008 05:14 pm at 5:14 pm |
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