February 29th, 2008
05:27 PM ET
15 years ago

Poll: Clinton ahead in Ohio, Obama has edge in Texas


Clinton has a slight edge in Ohio while the two are statistically tied in Texas (AP Photo).

(CNN) - Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama are statistically tied in Texas while the New York Democrat holds a slight lead in Ohio, according to a new poll out Friday of the crucial March 4 primary states.

According to a new poll from Fox News, Clinton holds an 8-point lead in Ohio (46-38 percent), buoyed by demographics that have carried her to victory in previous primaries - white women, seniors, and members of the working class.

Obama has a slight edge in Texas (48-45 percent), but is statically tied with the New York Democrat there given the poll's 4 percentage point margin of error. The poll suggests Clinton's base is holding up in the state, but that support is not enough to overtake Obama's strong advantage among independent and African-American voters.

Factoring in the Fox poll, a CNN analysis of the most recent surveys from Ohio and Texas show Clinton with a 7-point lead in Ohio and Obama up by 4 in Texas.

The new poll comes on the same day both presidential campaigns sought to raise the other's expectations next Tuesday. Obama campaign manager David Plouffe said Clinton needs to garner decisive wins to chip away at the Illinois senator's significant lead among pledged delegates. But Clinton communications director Howard Wolfson contended that Obama should win all the March 4 contests given that he outspent Clinton nearly 2 to 1 in those states.

- CNN Ticker Producer Alexander Mooney

soundoff (417 Responses)
  1. bimmer

    Of the two photos here, one look Presidential, the other looks like a slumlord who fooled a lot of people a lot of times by stealing paragrapghs from others. Where is the outrage?

    February 29, 2008 09:33 pm at 9:33 pm |
  2. bimmer

    If Obama were to become President and scrws up as I predict he will, CNN will be held responsible.

    February 29, 2008 09:35 pm at 9:35 pm |
  3. Tyler in Raleigh

    So Obama goes 11-0, will likely beat Hillary in TX (if only by a few %) and whip her in Vermont..... but thats not enough???

    Hillary will have not won a primary or caucuses (even though she has stated those don't count) in almot a month by the time March 4th comes around.

    So you are telling me if they tie 2-2 that she will still claim victory? Or even if he wins all 4 but narrowly she still claims its not enough? What does it take for her to realize this country does not want another Clinton/Bush in the White House??

    February 29, 2008 09:35 pm at 9:35 pm |
  4. Joe

    Hilary claims to have 35 years experience, doing what? Being married to a President or Governor is not experience. She has about 8 years of elective office experience. Going by her melodramatic and disastrous campaign, constant whining, playing the gender card and the race card (all to no effect), we are seeing an empty suit campaigning on a platform of entitlement - it is her turn and this black guy has come from nowhere to take her entitlement away. Where is her "strength" and "experience". It is all hog wash. The truth is that Hilary would be nowhere is she was not a white woman who is the wife of a former President.

    February 29, 2008 09:35 pm at 9:35 pm |
  5. Sharon

    SR if you were paying attention you would know that Michigan & Florida violated democrat party rules and knew upfront that if they changed their primary date there delegates would not be seated and would not count. Hillary and all the other candidates agreed to these rules and signed on to it. You can't back peddled and change the rules as you go. Just another example of the Clintons always changing the rules to suit themselves.

    February 29, 2008 09:36 pm at 9:36 pm |
  6. bimmer

    I was watching a documentary about Castro. His great oratory inspired a lot of people to misery. Reminded of someone in this primary. Afraid to mention his name for fear of making CNN displeased.

    February 29, 2008 09:38 pm at 9:38 pm |
  7. D.

    Mr. Obama, what do you call this ad? You said Clinton's Ad is scare ad. What's yours? Once again, your ad basically steals the premise of the Clinton ad. You are a hypocrite.

    Texas, please vote for Hillary!

    February 29, 2008 09:38 pm at 9:38 pm |
  8. Linda

    I agree with Mad in Texas. Wake up America! Stop believing all that CNN is putting out about Hillary. They are very Anti-Hillary and their polls don't line up with outside polls in Texas and Ohio.I have been searching polls for weeks. Let the truth be told in Texas, Ohio and RI on Tuesday.
    Go Girl! Hillary 08

    February 29, 2008 09:40 pm at 9:40 pm |
  9. anonoymous

    I have watched about 5 debates now and can not seem to see why these people follow Obama. When asked on some of the issues asked he agrees with Hillary. My understanding is his views are to mock hers but out speak her to make the dilusional people of America feel all warm and fuzzy inside. On some questions the man stuters his answer.(Louis Farackan) Some of you really need to get your head out of the back door.

    February 29, 2008 09:40 pm at 9:40 pm |
  10. bimmer

    The moderator of the ticker is also the campaign chair of the drug user, who bought his house 300K less than market value, cause he has busniess relationships with a slum lord.

    February 29, 2008 09:41 pm at 9:41 pm |
  11. Mia

    The main difference between Barack and Hillary is that Hillary is saying that she can deliver on her promises because of her experience, political skills and connections. Barack is saying he can deliver on his promises if the American people, beyond the campaign, stay motivated, involved and stand with him against those who oppose the policy changes, like univerisal healthcare, that a majority of Americans have wanted whether Republicans or Democrats were in power in Washington. Hillary's way of getting things done has been tried before. If Barack's way is successful, it will be the first time I've seen it in action during my lifetime. That is why it would be considered a "change".

    I am not worried about Barack Obama letting me down, but the American people who he, or really any candidate needs to support them, in order to be able take back our government from special interest or those with influence and money. Are all you people who are arguing back and forth on internet sites, writing checks and speculating about what Barack, Hillary or even any Republican candidate will or will not do for you ready to do what it takes to make sure that we, the American people, are heard after all the hype has died down over this campaign? Stop blaming the politicians for our own laziness and unwillingness to move unless we're really hurting. After all this hoopla dies down, the "evil" special interest groups, the powerful and connected are waiting on you all to go back to your daily grind, television shows or whatever your were doing. My fear is that this is exactly what will happen unless a canidate like Barack Obama finds a way to keep those of us who are not self-motivated involved in the political process, otherwise there will be no real change. Although many will be ready to blame him or whoever wins, we should know in are hearts, we really only have ourselves to blame .

    February 29, 2008 09:41 pm at 9:41 pm |
  12. Christie

    Everyone in states that vote on March 4th Please Please go and vote. I live in Texas and have already voted and plan to caucus Tuesday night. So be sure and do that also. 35% of the delegates are chosen by the caucus'. Please vote for Hillary she is the best candidate and provides solutions. Please don't be fooled and think that Obama is the better candidate..... you are being set up!!!! So let's show the networks it will not work and vote Hillary 08!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    HILLARY 08

    February 29, 2008 09:45 pm at 9:45 pm |
  13. June T.

    I am sick to death of the New's Media voicing their thoughts and comments about the candidates..I can tell that you guys are prejudice against Hillary Clinton, especially a person by the name of Soldad something or other. She said tonight that the independents and undecided people in Ohio were enough to put O'bama over Clinton, but when the Texas polls were read, Hillary had just As many independents and undecided in Texas, but she didn't say they were enough to PUt HILLARY over the top, it is apparent to me and has been for months that you guys are for O'bama and every chance you get you put her down..when O'bama does anything, Oh he is perfect and when she says anything you act like she has committed the unpardonable sin..YOU SHOULD BE ASHAMED and treating HILLARY CLINTON In this manner. If I get the chance to vote for her I WILL..and if not I won't vote for anybody..I am a reg. Democrat and have always tried to stay with my party, but this time..I won't be voting for President or V. PRes.-I'll just write in Elvis Presley's name for President and be done with it..that is unless O'bama asks Hillary to be his running mate and she accepts..she is a great woman..I voted for Bill twice and would again..I lived good financially when the Clinton'
    s were in office..JT

    February 29, 2008 09:45 pm at 9:45 pm |
  14. AL

    People need to stop hating and accept the fact that Obama is the better candidate. Hillary has too many mood swings and flip flops on too many issues. If you make a decision then stick by it, don't change your stand as convenient.

    February 29, 2008 09:46 pm at 9:46 pm |
  15. Indiana Bob

    I see where black superdelegates are being persuaded and threatened by Obama supporters to switch their vote from Clinton to Obama. Not because he has better policy issues. Not because he would make a better president. But simply because he is black. How racist!! How pathetic!!

    February 29, 2008 09:46 pm at 9:46 pm |
  16. Nina

    The most important aspect of the next 4 yrs is our relationships with countries overseas. Hillary already has relationships in good standing with our allies and a reputation for fairness and intelligence with the remainder of the world.

    Let's let Hillary fix this mess – Obama is welcome in 2016.
    I'll even vote for him then. But, not this time, not at this place in history.

    February 29, 2008 09:49 pm at 9:49 pm |
  17. someone smiling in Texas

    right about now, I'm fed up with the only thing Obama can bring to the table Iraq,Iraq,Iraq, by now people should get the idea that the only thing Obama is doing is getting into the hearts of the people that have a loved one out there, whether it be a husband,wife,son,daughter, a friend and yes everybody what's them back, but what about the other issues being brought up by Hillary and Obama has no clue on, wake up people because ones he's got your vote the Iraq,Iraq,Iraq issue will remain the same. MY FELLOW TEXANS......lets show Obama what the largest state can do for Hillary..............take her straight to the White House.

    February 29, 2008 09:50 pm at 9:50 pm |
  18. Pablo Veragusti

    Obama wantnts change! but come on America thats all we need is another Black man begging for change! HAHA Vote for Hillary Clinton.

    February 29, 2008 09:51 pm at 9:51 pm |
  19. Karen G

    We can't judge Hillary by what Bill did as we are all our own person, responsible for ones self.Altough I have to say that life was better then,when Bill was in office, things were great until we had an unknown inexpereinced George Bush in office, So keep up the good work Ohio and vote for Hillary with experience.

    February 29, 2008 09:54 pm at 9:54 pm |
  20. Donna

    If Hillary unjustly loses the nomination due to a fanatical cult movement, then we as Hillary supporters must try to block Obama from winning the general election by voting for McCain in November 08. Hillary supporters vote for McCain if she loses the democratic nomination! I am a lifelong Democrat, but I will campaign for McCain if we cannot have Hillary.

    Come on folks, let's see the reality of what is going on here. An article was published saying Hillary's black delegates are being threatened and pressured to switch over to Obama???? THIS IS AN OUTRAGE. What the heck is this turning into? The Obama fanatics are turning this into a race war!! This is not right. VOTE HILLARY CLINTON....wake up America and see what is happening!

    February 29, 2008 09:54 pm at 9:54 pm |
  21. NO_MO_CLINTONS in Tokyo

    WE LOVE YOU OBAMA!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    OBAMA 08!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    February 29, 2008 09:55 pm at 9:55 pm |
  22. Ande from KC

    Who really knows what will happen in Ohio, Texas, Vermont & Rhode Island?

    Clinton & Obama are both so close, it could really go either way.

    I hope Obama wins. I have a bad feeling about Hillary.

    She always carries these big fake smiles and then with that same fake smile she says she is too busy to hand over her tax returns.

    It's going to be a sad day for Hillary supporters when her tax returns are leaked.

    February 29, 2008 09:59 pm at 9:59 pm |
  23. TIM


    February 29, 2008 10:00 pm at 10:00 pm |
  24. WJ

    I can't believe Hillary's advisors have said "he SHOULD win given how much he's spent". I mean...I can't even comprehend their reasoning for that argument. If that's the case then surely it's you fault for not raising enough money and spending it on ads – that's your job, to get her votes! The fact is, Obama could easily lose both states and still be frontrunner by some margin. Hillary supporters need to get behind a democratic candidate.

    February 29, 2008 10:05 pm at 10:05 pm |
  25. D.dee

    Come on Texas get it together. We need an experienced leader. to get the job done. Obama pontificates about his plans. But, as Senator Clinton points out, he doesn't show up to participate in getting the plans implemented. If he truly has strong feelings about the happenings in Afghanistan and wants to look like he means what he says in the debates, he most definitely should have made time for his committee responsibilities. This just proves that Obama doesn't have a clue about what it takes to achieve his plans. He lacks experience, depth of knowledge and is generally ill-prepared to handle the major problems this country faces or to interface with international leaders. His lack of experience makes him the worst candidate to handle any kind of crisis – domestically or abroad. Obama's immaturity is very apparent in several encounters with the press. He has trouble answering unscripted questions as well as any question that falls out side of his stump speeches. He would be such a disaster for our country. He is not ready to be Commander in Chief.

    February 29, 2008 10:07 pm at 10:07 pm |
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