February 29th, 2008
05:27 PM ET
15 years ago

Poll: Clinton ahead in Ohio, Obama has edge in Texas


Clinton has a slight edge in Ohio while the two are statistically tied in Texas (AP Photo).

(CNN) - Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama are statistically tied in Texas while the New York Democrat holds a slight lead in Ohio, according to a new poll out Friday of the crucial March 4 primary states.

According to a new poll from Fox News, Clinton holds an 8-point lead in Ohio (46-38 percent), buoyed by demographics that have carried her to victory in previous primaries - white women, seniors, and members of the working class.

Obama has a slight edge in Texas (48-45 percent), but is statically tied with the New York Democrat there given the poll's 4 percentage point margin of error. The poll suggests Clinton's base is holding up in the state, but that support is not enough to overtake Obama's strong advantage among independent and African-American voters.

Factoring in the Fox poll, a CNN analysis of the most recent surveys from Ohio and Texas show Clinton with a 7-point lead in Ohio and Obama up by 4 in Texas.

The new poll comes on the same day both presidential campaigns sought to raise the other's expectations next Tuesday. Obama campaign manager David Plouffe said Clinton needs to garner decisive wins to chip away at the Illinois senator's significant lead among pledged delegates. But Clinton communications director Howard Wolfson contended that Obama should win all the March 4 contests given that he outspent Clinton nearly 2 to 1 in those states.

- CNN Ticker Producer Alexander Mooney

soundoff (417 Responses)
  1. Polls should not persuade you

    Senator Clinton is simply talking to AMERICA. She is asking a very logical, common sense question that every voter should ask. That is the part of making important decisions. You ask a lot of questions in different, real scenarios. You do not need to decide who inspires you the most, but WHO KNOWS what is going on and WHO HAS what it takes to the job right. Great presidents are not supposed to inspire people; they just have to have PROVEN SKILLS to lead the country.

    February 29, 2008 05:01 pm at 5:01 pm |
  2. jason

    Thank God this will all end on Tuesday and the party can focus on McCain. The only good thing about this is that some of the scummy tactics that the Republicans will use are being used by Clinton and her surrogates. This at least gets the Obama campaign used to it and counter them.
    That being said, maybe Clinton can resign her Senate seat and work as a White House operator ... that's the only way she's going to answer that 3AM call ....

    February 29, 2008 05:01 pm at 5:01 pm |
  3. MB

    To the great people of Texas, Ohio, Rhode Island & Vermont,- Please do us all a favor & finally close the door on this pathetic actor Billary .- You're the Closers. Lets do this thing.

    February 29, 2008 05:01 pm at 5:01 pm |
  4. TMH

    The Clinton camp is already prepared with another EXCUSE if they lose Texas and Vermont. Their various past excuses for losing primaries - caususes favor Obama, black votes, small states that do not matter to Clinton, and now outspending by Obama's campaign. When will they ever take responsibility for results, or lack thereof? Clinton said she could not deliver on her promise to provide jobs for upstate New York "because I thought Al Gore would win." She blamed the Republicans for the failure of her pet comprehensive health care plan she has been working on for the past 10 + years. There is always someone or something to blame or use as an excuse for non-delivery of results she promises. Her campaign and their ready excuses (even before the March 4 primaries are held) are reflective of this philosophy of not taking responsibility for one's actions. If the Clinton camp believes Obama should win because his campaign outspent them, then why are they even saying their candidate will win? Very condadictory logic.

    February 29, 2008 05:03 pm at 5:03 pm |
  5. Jane, Maryland

    Did Bill Clinton not say she had to win both Texas and Ohio?
    Why do they think we are so stupid? Oh, Maybe because we are. After all, the fear tactic worked and Bush was voted in a second time.

    I am really fed up with the same old politics and these recycled politicians.

    Thank God Bill Gates did not have to contest an election to form Microsoft. Can you imagine the last 10 yeasr without Microsoft?
    PLEASE, lets move forward, Vote for Change.

    February 29, 2008 05:03 pm at 5:03 pm |
  6. California 4 Hillary

    Hooray! Go Hillary!

    February 29, 2008 05:03 pm at 5:03 pm |
  7. John Johnson

    Come on Clinton! We all know this race should come down to you and McCain. Obama has no business running this country. He's a wolf in sheep's clothing with no plan whatsoever and I hope the American people wake up from their hypnotic state soon!

    February 29, 2008 05:03 pm at 5:03 pm |
  8. Obama 08

    What was Hillary' thinking with the Red Phone Ad,fear again and fear tactic..wait 911 Ring a bell ?>lol what did hillary do ,SHE made the wrong choice......She send our soldiers into Iraq, just like Bush. If we want another Bush, get Hillary or McCain Well if hillary answer the Red phone,she says hunny its for you,,,or may be she is in the wrong mood. We have seen in this campaign, Hillary have many different moodswings.

    February 29, 2008 05:04 pm at 5:04 pm |
  9. Scott Struble

    If the remaining days of her candidacy will be filled with attacks, it’s going to be a long stretch until the Texas primary. It might be time for the Clinton campaign to concede there are few differences on the issues with Obama.

    One thing remains true for young voters; anyone under the age of 42 has only seen a Clinton or a Bush on the ballot for President in each general election since they were old enough to vote. Perhaps the country is ready for a real change of leadership.

    February 29, 2008 05:04 pm at 5:04 pm |
  10. Jerry Hersch

    Hillary already had her RED PHONE moment- when she, in secret, unilaterally decided about American healthcare- no concensus on options -she pushed the healthcare button.
    In time of crisis we now know what her gut reaction will be- push the button first ....and then think.

    February 29, 2008 05:05 pm at 5:05 pm |
  11. Debra F.

    I think it's sad really ,that a candidate must resort to fear tactics for votes. not only has she divided us as a people, for example .. whites, latinos, and of course african americans, when she needs their votes.
    when will these select group of people open their eyes and see what she is doing. I's rather be apart of we the people , than a select group of people just for votes. she has begun to sound like a bitter vendictive woman, more than a presidential candidate, and i don't think any of us want that type of behavior in the white, or we will end up right back where we are


    February 29, 2008 05:05 pm at 5:05 pm |
  12. liban

    Fox News is always bias. they dislike obama because he refused to appear their network.
    Obama 08

    February 29, 2008 05:05 pm at 5:05 pm |
  13. Krissy

    She will never make up enough delegates if there is a tie, or even if she wins by a slim margin.

    She NEEDS to get 65% in both states if she wants to even have a chance at staying in the race.

    I can't wait for Wednesday, when she will finally have to face reality! Drop out Hillary! If Obama had lost 11 in a row, you would expect him to do the same. Have some dignity.

    February 29, 2008 05:06 pm at 5:06 pm |
  14. Mr. B.

    America Is Ready
    Obama 08

    February 29, 2008 05:06 pm at 5:06 pm |
  15. Cris in Texas

    POLLS, What POLLS?
    They never called me in Texas.

    February 29, 2008 05:06 pm at 5:06 pm |
  16. HP Boston

    Why does BO always have that smirk on his face?
    B/C he knows Rove and darth vader have him as a shoe in.

    February 29, 2008 05:06 pm at 5:06 pm |
  17. Murry

    ***Latest Rasmussen and Reuter polls shows Clinton's lead dwindling to only 2% over Obama in Ohio.***

    February 29, 2008 05:07 pm at 5:07 pm |
  18. BCNU purple state, usa

    You've gotta love Wolfson's comment. Paraphrased it reads....
    "Well, you guys ought to slam us, you're simply better. And, for us to be as close as we are against a great team like you says a lot about our spunk and spirit!"

    Please. How much in consulting fees is that guy making? She could hire me for half the price. That way, she saves money and I get huge pay raise! And, in the end, she still loses.

    February 29, 2008 05:07 pm at 5:07 pm |
  19. dsw

    I just don't understand why Clinton sets up excused to fall back on; she doesn't seem to be able to acknowledge that the voters are choosing another candidate over her. Caucuses are not democratic, States with African AMerican voters are biased against her (it was ok when they propeled her husband to victory), it doesn't count if she loses in a state that she spent less money in. . . where does it end?

    Of cource Obama spends more money, first he has more to spend, second he is not the establishment candiadte so he is not starting on a level playing field.

    She is a strong candidate and under normal circumstances she would have won easily, but Obama is tapping into an undercurrent of emtion that has previously been untapped by politicans, she can't compete with that.

    She should bow out gracefully when she loses TX, and aim for 8 years down the road.

    February 29, 2008 05:08 pm at 5:08 pm |
  20. Ed, Santa Fe, NM

    oh ya? not according to THIS poll released today:

    according to a Reuters/C-SPAN/Houston Chronicle poll released on Friday..

    Obama, an Illinois senator, has a 6-point edge on Clinton in Texas, 48 percent to 42 percent. He trails Clinton 44 percent to 42 percent in Ohio - well within the poll's margin of error of 3.8 percentage points.

    Hillary is all done.

    February 29, 2008 05:08 pm at 5:08 pm |
  21. Fundamental Question

    Change Question: What has Obama done while in Senate to bring the Democrats and Republicans together? You don't get a magic wond when you become President!

    February 29, 2008 05:08 pm at 5:08 pm |
  22. shakaib

    i dont understand why is hillary not quiting the race she is going to lost to mccin anyways.

    February 29, 2008 05:09 pm at 5:09 pm |
  23. Allison Marie

    Don't watch poles. We want Hillary, we want Hillary, we want Hillary.

    No matter what don't quit! There's not enough delegates for Obama to be the nominee, Hillary should stay in because it gives us time to take a closer look at Obama.

    Go Hillary, go Hillary, go Hillary.

    February 29, 2008 05:10 pm at 5:10 pm |
  24. John

    Clinton is not playing on fear but telling it like it is. Obama can't see the reality because he hasn't been there. Go Hillary for 08. Democrats forever

    February 29, 2008 05:10 pm at 5:10 pm |
  25. Michael

    Go Obama!!!!!! You can win Texas and Ohio.

    February 29, 2008 05:10 pm at 5:10 pm |
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