February 29th, 2008
05:27 PM ET
15 years ago

Poll: Clinton ahead in Ohio, Obama has edge in Texas


Clinton has a slight edge in Ohio while the two are statistically tied in Texas (AP Photo).

(CNN) - Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama are statistically tied in Texas while the New York Democrat holds a slight lead in Ohio, according to a new poll out Friday of the crucial March 4 primary states.

According to a new poll from Fox News, Clinton holds an 8-point lead in Ohio (46-38 percent), buoyed by demographics that have carried her to victory in previous primaries - white women, seniors, and members of the working class.

Obama has a slight edge in Texas (48-45 percent), but is statically tied with the New York Democrat there given the poll's 4 percentage point margin of error. The poll suggests Clinton's base is holding up in the state, but that support is not enough to overtake Obama's strong advantage among independent and African-American voters.

Factoring in the Fox poll, a CNN analysis of the most recent surveys from Ohio and Texas show Clinton with a 7-point lead in Ohio and Obama up by 4 in Texas.

The new poll comes on the same day both presidential campaigns sought to raise the other's expectations next Tuesday. Obama campaign manager David Plouffe said Clinton needs to garner decisive wins to chip away at the Illinois senator's significant lead among pledged delegates. But Clinton communications director Howard Wolfson contended that Obama should win all the March 4 contests given that he outspent Clinton nearly 2 to 1 in those states.

- CNN Ticker Producer Alexander Mooney

soundoff (417 Responses)
  1. Chanda -Cincinnati

    Didn't the Wisconsin poll show here leading before their primary? Who cares about polls!! Who are these people polling? Ohio will not go Billary without a fight.

    OHIO 4 Obama

    February 29, 2008 05:10 pm at 5:10 pm |
  2. edgeways

    uh, yeah because coming back from being down double digits 10 days ago to being ahead in one and within reach of the other isn't good enough I guess. Obama by 5-10 in Tx, Clinton by 5 or less in OH.

    February 29, 2008 05:11 pm at 5:11 pm |
  3. Angela

    First line reads:

    Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama are statistically tied in Texas

    But your headline reads:

    Poll: Clinton ahead in Ohio, Obama has edge in Texas

    What is wrong with you people????

    February 29, 2008 05:11 pm at 5:11 pm |
  4. Cosmic Comedy Queen - Hillary is the Change!

    Go Hillary! Winners never quit and quitters never win!

    February 29, 2008 05:12 pm at 5:12 pm |
  5. S. Shay

    So now Clinton’s campaign wants to turn this into a must win for Obama? Why is he able to outspend her two to one? Is it because he has run a better campaign, is a better strategist and is more popular? Clinton’s own people said she had to win both Texas and Ohio by significant margins to cut into Obama’s lead and not only will that not happen but she is likely to lose both Texas and Ohio. Then what? Before they got to Texas and Ohio Clinton was said to need wins in the Potomac primaries. When that didn’t happen she said she needed wins in Texas and Ohio. Now that won’t happen what other states will she count on before taking her silly looking, uncomfortably built rump back to New York? Obama shouldn’t be close in Texas (Hispanic vote) and Ohio (99+ year old vote) but not only does she not have a significant lead in those states she is losing Texas. Texas? Are you serious? Texas is as red of state as there could ever be and for Obama to even be close shows that Clinton’s days are numbered. Sweet!!

    February 29, 2008 05:12 pm at 5:12 pm |
  6. Gorbashov, Long Beach, Ca.

    "The same day both campaigns sought to raise the other's expectations", yes, but one campaign is on point and the other is delusional!

    Bill Clinton and James Carville, from the Clinton campaign, have said that she need to win both or it's over. Also, most objective pundits have said that she not only needs to win both, but that she needs to win big, and that's not going to happen.

    Now, Hillary is, once again, moving the goal posts. It's getting old!

    Hillary, you are a good Senator, and you would have made a good president, but it's over. Think of the country and your party, and gracefully exit and unite the ticket on March 5th! Please!!!

    February 29, 2008 05:12 pm at 5:12 pm |
  7. Mischelle from Illinois

    I don't believe your POLL! After reading the piece here about the Latino voters in TEXAS questioning Obama's ability to deal with a national crisis because of his lack of experience, AND the fact that the Latino vote will be very decisive in that state...TEXAS isn't that close...

    AND what the Heck is CNN doing reporting a story based on a FOX newspoll. Oh the real sillyness....SPIN and those who attempt it.

    February 29, 2008 05:13 pm at 5:13 pm |
  8. Ted in Pittsburgh

    I can't wait for the good people of Texas (and perhaps, Ohio) to say Adios to Hillary, so all democrats can come together. We are going to need unity to defeat Senator McCain and I am hopeful that Hillary will do the right thing on March 4th, after the people have spoken loud and clear.

    February 29, 2008 05:14 pm at 5:14 pm |
  9. wild schield

    HAS ANY ONE HEARD anything from the NORTH POLL;/)

    February 29, 2008 05:14 pm at 5:14 pm |
  10. Dimitri

    I still believe Obama will win Ohio. in other polls relesed today. it shows Obama only 2pts behind Hillary in Ohio. By Tuesday I think he will be slightly ahead of Hillary and will win by a slight margin.

    February 29, 2008 05:14 pm at 5:14 pm |
  11. Becky In Indiana

    I am not surprised. Once people start doing their homework the math is simple. OBAMA FOR PRESIDENT!

    February 29, 2008 05:15 pm at 5:15 pm |
  12. Bev

    About a week ago everyone was saying that Hillary had to win big in Ohio and Texas if she wanted to win the nomination. Now all I am hearing is that Obama must win in Ohio and Texas not just be close. What has changed? Or, is this just everyone accepting the new spin from the Clinton camp now that it is unlikely that she will win big. She is the one that said Ohio and Texas are has wins for her.

    February 29, 2008 05:16 pm at 5:16 pm |
  13. James

    I hope after March 4th Hillary can now step aside and then support Obama for the general election in November.

    February 29, 2008 05:16 pm at 5:16 pm |
  14. Bill

    I find some of these polls hard to believe. There are other polls that show Clinton with a lead in Texas. More important, Clinton leads Obama by large margins when democrats are polled in Texas. Should not democrats choose their nominee and not outside influences? What the media has not reported is that in all the previous contest, Clinton has a lead among democrats in the voting. Obama only leads when republicans and independents are added in.

    Hillary Clinton is the proven leader. Texas,Ohio, Rhode Island and Vermont need to send a strong message that this country needs a strong new leader, not a freshmen who we hope will do a good job.

    I always think about the hard work women have always had to do and the factors they have to overcome. This election has been no exception. White men need to stop being afraid and elect the best person, not the most popular, for the most serious job in the world.

    Hillary Clinton is that leader.

    February 29, 2008 05:17 pm at 5:17 pm |
  15. Rose - Baltimore, MD

    Yes Wolfson, and let all God's people say Amen to that. Obama will win all the 4 states in Jesus name...Amen! You made the pronouncement we agree with you in Jesus name..Amen!!

    February 29, 2008 05:17 pm at 5:17 pm |
  16. Charlotte

    Who are these people who get asked by pollsters. I have never been asked who I'm supporting. By the Way, Obama did not vote for the war in Iraq.

    February 29, 2008 05:17 pm at 5:17 pm |
  17. Willy

    By that picture, can you tell which one wants to raise your taxes?

    February 29, 2008 05:17 pm at 5:17 pm |
  18. marc

    Polls, polls and more polls ... still thinking about New Hampshire I don't believe in any of them.

    February 29, 2008 05:17 pm at 5:17 pm |
  19. Sandy, OH

    Obama For Americans

    Obama 08

    February 29, 2008 05:17 pm at 5:17 pm |
  20. New Yorker for Obama

    The Clintons have no shame. Hillary has lost the past 11 states, but her campaign comes out spinning that it's Obama who needs to win Texas and Ohio to remain a viable candidate. If HRC were anyone else, she would have already been pressured to drop out for the good of the party.

    And please, I do NOT want to see her on the ticket as VP.

    February 29, 2008 05:17 pm at 5:17 pm |
  21. Wayne

    Hillary is done. She needs 20 point victories in both Ohio and Texas and it seems clear she will not do that. Texas offers 192 delegates. Obama has a 140 pledge delegate lead. By the numbers Obama has a near Texas size lead. How will Hillary be able to overcome such a huge lead in delegates? I hope the voters are wise. Dont let race baiting and fear full you into 4 more years of lack fo leadership in government. Let's turn the page and take a hold of our future.

    Obama 08

    February 29, 2008 05:21 pm at 5:21 pm |
  22. patrick

    we've seen this in nearly every other state. Hillary is ahead by a mile and then slowly but surely obama over takes her to win the primary but 16 percent

    February 29, 2008 05:21 pm at 5:21 pm |
  23. spirit of america

    How does this flood of so-called polls before an election benefit democracy? Is this really just another way of rigging the election by telling the voters what they should think and do? There are only two polls which should be conducted, both on election day. The actual vote and exit polls. Anything else is just manipulation.

    February 29, 2008 05:22 pm at 5:22 pm |

    My question to Ohioans is: When Bill Clinton is out there stumping for Hillary, have you all asked him about NAFTA and what does he thinks about his Wife coming behind him and undoing or changing (if you think that is a better word) what they both championed as one of Bill's greatest successes during his term in office.

    But one thing I think you Ohioans should be mad as hell about is the fact that you state is in the situation it's in because of BILL CLINTON and it will not get any better because of HILLARY....

    February 29, 2008 05:22 pm at 5:22 pm |
  25. crat3

    The pro-Obama biased media against Hillary Clinton are swaying votes to cult leader Obama and moving polls in his favor. The pro-Obama biased media is undermining the Democratic nomination process.

    Hillary Clinton will win Ohio and Texas. If she doesn't win these two states, it will be because of the pro-Obama biased media against Sen. Clinton.

    If cult leader Obama swipes the nomination because of the biased media, the Republican attack machine will trash him as a radical left wing liberal and swiftboat him on his Chicago ties. Obama will be on crutches standing up to McCain, who will clean his clock in November.

    Hillary Clinton is no radical left wing liberal and has no Chicago ties; she has already been vetted and attacked by the Republican attack machine and still standing strong; she is a winner against McCain.

    Hillary Clinton is about the future of America; she is the qualified, experienced, visionary leader America needs to make change real and restore America to prosperous times and restore our good standing in the world.

    February 29, 2008 05:22 pm at 5:22 pm |
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