February 29th, 2008
05:27 PM ET
15 years ago

Poll: Clinton ahead in Ohio, Obama has edge in Texas


Clinton has a slight edge in Ohio while the two are statistically tied in Texas (AP Photo).

(CNN) - Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama are statistically tied in Texas while the New York Democrat holds a slight lead in Ohio, according to a new poll out Friday of the crucial March 4 primary states.

According to a new poll from Fox News, Clinton holds an 8-point lead in Ohio (46-38 percent), buoyed by demographics that have carried her to victory in previous primaries - white women, seniors, and members of the working class.

Obama has a slight edge in Texas (48-45 percent), but is statically tied with the New York Democrat there given the poll's 4 percentage point margin of error. The poll suggests Clinton's base is holding up in the state, but that support is not enough to overtake Obama's strong advantage among independent and African-American voters.

Factoring in the Fox poll, a CNN analysis of the most recent surveys from Ohio and Texas show Clinton with a 7-point lead in Ohio and Obama up by 4 in Texas.

The new poll comes on the same day both presidential campaigns sought to raise the other's expectations next Tuesday. Obama campaign manager David Plouffe said Clinton needs to garner decisive wins to chip away at the Illinois senator's significant lead among pledged delegates. But Clinton communications director Howard Wolfson contended that Obama should win all the March 4 contests given that he outspent Clinton nearly 2 to 1 in those states.

- CNN Ticker Producer Alexander Mooney

soundoff (417 Responses)
  1. TC in Ohio

    Go Obama! Let's wrap it up on Tuesday!

    February 29, 2008 05:23 pm at 5:23 pm |
  2. Daniel

    Wouldn't the 4 point margin make it so they're deadlocked in Ohio as well? Even if it doesn't, the fact remains that should Obama pick up one of these two states, the Hillary bid should be over. Even if Obama loses both states, which I doubt will happen, I don't think that Hillary will win by a big enough margin to stay in the race much longer. Winning 48-46 isn't what she's looking for, nor is it enough.

    February 29, 2008 05:24 pm at 5:24 pm |
  3. Robin

    Well, it seems that it is not ened by March 4th. Hillary was hoping that it would be ended by February 5th, now she should be happy if it is over by March 4th. Nevertheless, I don't see Hillary wining the general election.

    February 29, 2008 05:24 pm at 5:24 pm |
  4. Common Sense, Ohio

    I just wanted to comment to all the people who constantly ridicule Obama for not talking "the issues" at his events; just because he doesn't constantly talk about his plans or disrespectfully comment on Clinton's, does not mean he doesn't have any plans. Look at his website, it is full of very detailed information on every single issue affecting this country. Obama, as he should, uses his time to illustrate his character, something which cannot be described on laid out on his website. Those who criticize him for this are just lazy and aren't willing to do any research for themselves on the issues, and I would encourage you to do so. His policies make absolute sense, especially in the areas where there is a huge difference in his policies and Clinton's. Finally, I think most everyone can agree there is something wrong with the political landscape in this country and things need to change. Please, explain to me how another entrenched (or experienced, as some say) candidate is going to accomplish any positive change.

    February 29, 2008 05:24 pm at 5:24 pm |
  5. law chavez

    The comments posted by Obamba supporters only exemplify how inmature and poorly informed they really are.

    February 29, 2008 05:26 pm at 5:26 pm |
  6. Patricia, Ontario, Canada

    GOOD LUCK Senator Hillary Clinton. Whatever happens, GOD knows best. You will be fine.

    February 29, 2008 05:26 pm at 5:26 pm |
  7. R.S. in Minnesota

    GO HILLARY!!!! I'm rooting for you! God bless you! Some of the Minnesotans have a brain! We want someone who will be able to handle the demands of the presidency, and you are definitely prepared, capable, experienced, have the stamina, and have the "fighting spirit" that has been the foundation of America! We see that, and we are rooting, and praying for you!

    February 29, 2008 05:26 pm at 5:26 pm |
  8. Keevin

    Hillary will win. We trust her to do this most powerful job in the world. Obama will scare world if he is in White House to do decisions.

    February 29, 2008 05:26 pm at 5:26 pm |
  9. Smith

    Go for it OHIO.. she'll create jobs for YOU and the country like she did for her dear SWEET HOME STATE OF


    also maybe


    lots of jobs there .. soon gonna be jobs EVERYWHERE!

    February 29, 2008 05:27 pm at 5:27 pm |
  10. Frank

    We're still very optimistic that Hillary will win the nomination.

    Hillary 08

    February 29, 2008 05:28 pm at 5:28 pm |
  11. Jessica

    I wonder who believes in polls these days?
    Go Hillary!

    February 29, 2008 05:28 pm at 5:28 pm |
  12. Cris in Texas

    Why are black superdelegets being threated and or pressered to switch to obama, MSNBC is reporting this. CNN get on the ball...ask Emanuel Clever from Missuri

    February 29, 2008 05:28 pm at 5:28 pm |
  13. NO....

    I sent my comment over and now it is erased......:-(

    No...no...and NO!

    The Republicans will pick him apart like a cheap suit. Too many holes to hold it together and since some of the state races have been decided by Republicans voting for Obama...and they are going back to McCain, Obama can't even be sure to carry those states. The Republicans have done it well so far to get the only real formbidable opponent off of the front page.

    I sure hope that TEXAS – OHIO and the rest see through the cheap suit and vote for Clinton. She is the only Democratic hope for the White house!

    February 29, 2008 05:28 pm at 5:28 pm |
  14. B. Smart

    Ohio think of three things: The Clinton's NAFTA plan, and if your job went
    overseas. The iraq war, and your child. The Bill Clinton impeachment hearings and other scandals.

    OBAMA 08.

    February 29, 2008 05:29 pm at 5:29 pm |
  15. Stacey

    If Hillary wins the ticket. I will vote Republican. I believe only Obama will be able to send a Democrat to office 'this" term. She will never win my vote nor a lot of other Obama supporters. We have become to distrustful of Hillary.

    February 29, 2008 05:29 pm at 5:29 pm |
  16. A True black American

    You know what? Americans to be sincere it would have been a very good thing if Obama can stay to learn. To be sincre he really needs to learn from Clinton and settle down for a vice president first then let him contest in 2012 . Then he will not be reasoning the way he is. He is quite young and very energetic but he really needs to learn and get things done right so that he will not jeopardize America. Then i will vote for him twice and more in 2012 but not now .

    February 29, 2008 05:29 pm at 5:29 pm |
  17. Eugene Miller,Arlington Texas

    Obama will win all but ohio. so that clinton will have something to talk to Bill about.

    Any one else would have got the message after going 11 and 0

    February 29, 2008 05:30 pm at 5:30 pm |
  18. Vince Los Angeles, CA

    I find it fascinating that Hillary Clinton is clinging to the very thing she is accusing Barack Obama of spreading to the American people...FALSE HOPE. Even if she wins both Texas and Ohio, if she doesn't win by double digits in both states, she will not have enough of an edge to overtake his pledged delgate lead. The ONLY way HRC can win the nomination is to strong arm the Superdelgates into swaying her way (an unlikely scenario that would look like blatant election tampering). The Superdelegates are going to sway on the side of who has more pledged delgates and unless HRC SWEEPS all 4 states by HUGE margins, Obama will be the nominee...

    That's the political fact that nobody wants to talk about....our of respect for Hillary Clinton.

    February 29, 2008 05:30 pm at 5:30 pm |
  19. Lee

    Do Latinos think they will get anything at all with Obama – OH NO – the african amercians will get the goods my friends.

    Rise Up Latinos – Rise Up for Hillary – She will not do you wrong!

    February 29, 2008 05:32 pm at 5:32 pm |
  20. Oren Ovadia, California

    Obama will have a reality check in Texas, He will lose In TX, Ohio and Road Island. And Democratic Convension will have a dillema since Hillary have won all the big states and Obama won all the small states. And non have them has enough delegates to secure the Nomination. I Love Democracy!!!!! Polotics never been so exiting.

    February 29, 2008 05:33 pm at 5:33 pm |
  21. Douly

    Hillary was ahead by double digits in all march 4th States just 2 weeks ago! Her Campaign is trash.. Seriously how can you blow a lead like that and even bother to complain... guess those debates didnt help... esp the last!!

    February 29, 2008 05:34 pm at 5:34 pm |
  22. EFabian

    This is not over yet.

    If she loosed on Tuesday, the Obama fanaticals will be gloating. But until then, she still has a shot.

    Go Hillary. I saw your speech today and you were supported by several flag officers and veterans. These certified war heroes think you are the best possible candidate and so do I. It also doesn't hurt matters that you have a plan and have outlined them in your speeches.


    February 29, 2008 05:34 pm at 5:34 pm |
  23. Kimberly in Texas

    Go Obama!
    You can win Texas and Ohio!

    Knock her out on March 4th!

    February 29, 2008 05:34 pm at 5:34 pm |
  24. Texas

    I'm not sure why Clinton supporters are so happy about this. It was a week ago Clinton had double digit leads, and now Obama is leading in Texas, and close in Ohio. If i was them i would be alittle more worried.

    Although Polls don't matter at all, Wisconsin was suppose to be close but it wasn't. If i was either canidadte (more so Clinton) still be very very worried.

    BTW Obama needs to win one becuase the other one will probably be close. Isshe also forgetting RI and Vermont? becuase if she can't win those either it will be bad.

    February 29, 2008 05:34 pm at 5:34 pm |
  25. Proud Californian

    When CNN says Hillary is ahead by a small margin in Ohio and statistically tie in TX.....people, THAT means HILLARY is WAY AHEAD in both polls. It is just SO hard for CNN to admit it!!!!

    February 29, 2008 05:35 pm at 5:35 pm |
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