February 29th, 2008
05:27 PM ET
15 years ago

Poll: Clinton ahead in Ohio, Obama has edge in Texas


Clinton has a slight edge in Ohio while the two are statistically tied in Texas (AP Photo).

(CNN) - Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama are statistically tied in Texas while the New York Democrat holds a slight lead in Ohio, according to a new poll out Friday of the crucial March 4 primary states.

According to a new poll from Fox News, Clinton holds an 8-point lead in Ohio (46-38 percent), buoyed by demographics that have carried her to victory in previous primaries - white women, seniors, and members of the working class.

Obama has a slight edge in Texas (48-45 percent), but is statically tied with the New York Democrat there given the poll's 4 percentage point margin of error. The poll suggests Clinton's base is holding up in the state, but that support is not enough to overtake Obama's strong advantage among independent and African-American voters.

Factoring in the Fox poll, a CNN analysis of the most recent surveys from Ohio and Texas show Clinton with a 7-point lead in Ohio and Obama up by 4 in Texas.

The new poll comes on the same day both presidential campaigns sought to raise the other's expectations next Tuesday. Obama campaign manager David Plouffe said Clinton needs to garner decisive wins to chip away at the Illinois senator's significant lead among pledged delegates. But Clinton communications director Howard Wolfson contended that Obama should win all the March 4 contests given that he outspent Clinton nearly 2 to 1 in those states.

- CNN Ticker Producer Alexander Mooney

soundoff (417 Responses)
  1. Myra Harleston

    We the people of the United States of America are beyond the infalted threats of the past 8 years. We need a David, not Mrs. Goliath. When the phone rings, we are confidant Obama will act on facts, not emotions(unlike our past leaders have). We need someone to help heal this great land we call HOME......

    February 29, 2008 05:47 pm at 5:47 pm |
  2. Don

    Here's a scary thought. Obama and Clinton are splitting the party so much that whomever wins will not get the support of people that wanted the other candidate to win. John McCain wins....aren't we all in for a rude awakening then.

    February 29, 2008 05:49 pm at 5:49 pm |
  3. Sadie Lowman

    Shame on the media for choosing Obama so they can get their tax breaks with McCain. They know McCain can't beat Hillary. Has our smart media shared the story of why the republicans are voting for Obama?

    February 29, 2008 05:49 pm at 5:49 pm |
  4. Jeaninne

    I personally hope she stays in right to the end. The longer she stays in the race, the more stuff will come out about Obama and then he is toast. I have found dozens of negative articles about him from the people he rolled over to get the senate seat, the corruption including Rezko, the church and its affiliations (none of them good), Jeremy Wright, Louis Farrakan and many many more.......stop drinking the koolaid people and at least take the time to check things out before you vote because after it will be too late.................

    February 29, 2008 05:49 pm at 5:49 pm |
  5. Hillary For Ohio

    Obama "Change We Can't Belive In!!!!!!"

    Vote HILLARY!!!!

    February 29, 2008 05:50 pm at 5:50 pm |
  6. Flo

    Why do people say she lost 11 in a row. Its a delegate race also and she is still within reach. Those claiming she should get out do not follow politics very well. Other candidates have lost more states in primaries and have went on to win the White House. In those 11 lost primaries, she still pulled in delegates. Also, there is proof that Clinton actually leads in the democratic vote. Democrats want Hillary.

    February 29, 2008 05:50 pm at 5:50 pm |
  7. Mary

    Barack Obama is not the Savior or the God people are lifting him up to be. The bible says we would have our false Gods.. I do declare I am spent with so much ignorance from Americans. Get a life, cast your votes and shut up !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    February 29, 2008 05:50 pm at 5:50 pm |
  8. ann

    Come on Texans. Don't let this guy fool you! He has no real substance and a lot of questions in his background that need to be answered. Texans are independent thinkers. Don't follow the Obama cult. We need a president, not a cheerleader.
    Hillary in '08!
    NO – Not Obama

    February 29, 2008 05:50 pm at 5:50 pm |
  9. Renee

    Hillary wants the voters to trust her and give her the nomination before she releases her tax return and the papers with her 35 years of experience. Who is really blinded by their candidate? No transparency no vote!

    February 29, 2008 05:52 pm at 5:52 pm |
  10. Dave

    I think people forget that Michigan and Florida have voted, albeit just for show, to Hillary. If we count those two states which are critical for democrats (they cannot completely ignore those two states in democratic primary), Hillary is much closer. This fact and coupled with Hillary's power is getting superdelegates, I think Obama is dead. By the way, voting for Obama is like throwing your vote away and giving Republicans the white house. Lets fact the facts, end of the day, white folks will vote in white person to the presidency. The larger issue is that Obama will create welfare states for all of us and it will not turn the economy. White house never helped the economy and never will. That's how our capitalistic society works. Obama is too much of a socialist for my taste. This is why so many youg people gravitate to him. Not to mention speaks well when the speach is prepare one. Debates are another matter. If you notice he always say Hillary is right on tough issue. I hoping Hillary should let Obama answer the question on Russia and Putin's hand-picked successor. I doubt that he even knows his name. That would have been great for Hillary but she really prove to me that she is definitely worthy of occupying the White House.

    February 29, 2008 05:52 pm at 5:52 pm |
  11. Gabby

    Most of the Obama backers have no idea about the trial to begin Monday with Obama 'good buddy' Rezko, sleeping partners,.There alot of coverage at abcnews.com They need to check it out........

    February 29, 2008 05:53 pm at 5:53 pm |
  12. st louis

    Don't worry folks this will be over soon. After March 5, if Hillary does poorly the DNC will have to react before the Democratic Party is destroyed.

    February 29, 2008 05:55 pm at 5:55 pm |
  13. Hermine

    Lets all open our eyes and see how Senator Clinton is hiding an importantissue from the voters which is her taxes from the American people. I am sure she is hiding something that is going to harm her befor March 4th. What else is new about the clintons??????

    February 29, 2008 05:55 pm at 5:55 pm |
  14. Mehra Rohit

    I am sending this message from Switzerland. I Think its time to change the history and that is what Obama is campaigning about . A person who belongs to the black community to be chosen for the first time in this century as the President of USA.

    February 29, 2008 05:55 pm at 5:55 pm |
  15. LENA

    I refuse to vote for someone who supports Monsanto, NAFTA (don't deny it), has an isolationist attitude and maintains a mindset that is more likely to lead us in another DUMB war.

    I don't want another "fighter". George Bush was enough for me.

    February 29, 2008 05:56 pm at 5:56 pm |
  16. MahoganyShotgun

    This is an attempt by The Clintons to belittle any win Barack achieves on March 4th, when it is she who NEEDS to win... anything, anything at all.

    There logic fails: If The Clintons were already in the lead in Ohio and Texas, then of course Obama would have to invest more just to come close to her lead.

    February 29, 2008 05:56 pm at 5:56 pm |
  17. trish racin

    Arguably, the most important privilege American people have is
    electing our supreme leader. I think most people agree it is important
    that we do not consider race, sex, or the fact that one of the
    candidates is married to an ex-president when casting a vote and this
    decision should be base on who will conduct themselves in the most
    honorable manner while in office.

    February 29, 2008 05:57 pm at 5:57 pm |
  18. Joseph

    Remember New Hamsphire and California. Obama was up by 10-12 points days before New Hampshire. He lost. In California, Obama has a slight lead, He lost by 10 points. Turnout is key: In California and NH – women turned on in droves for Hillary. In Texas, Latinos will turn out for CLinton. Obama will lose these states. Obama will win liberal Vermont and Hillary will win in Rhode Island. Obama is not the nominee yet.

    February 29, 2008 06:00 pm at 6:00 pm |
  19. J

    hillary's done. she's the new huckabee!

    February 29, 2008 06:00 pm at 6:00 pm |
  20. A True black American

    CNN PLEASE POST MY COMMENTS OR ARE YOU AFRAID THAT OBAMAS IS LOOSING GRADUALLY???????????????????????????????????????????????????????/

    February 29, 2008 06:00 pm at 6:00 pm |
  21. mike

    I donated to the Obama campaign and I expect him to spend it. That's why I donated – DUH. The fact that he spent it shouldn't change the definition of "win". Clinton's pathetically desperate at this point and I'm starting to feel sorry for her supporters who are apparently still throwing their money away on a lost cause. Although, in all honesty I don't feel sorry for the lame-headed Clinton supporters who simply post a couple of slogans and exclamation points on this blog and think they've accomplished something constructive.

    If you really want to make a difference I'll give you a challenge:

    Tell me why Clinton's the senator from NY? If you can without mentioning political schenanigans, I'll switch my allegiance. Hillary fans – here's your chance to make a difference. I have $2K to donate, and will, as soon as I see a coherent answer.

    February 29, 2008 06:01 pm at 6:01 pm |
  22. Darth HUSSEIN Vadik, CA

    Its about the turnout, here's my prediction:

    Obama 56%
    Hillary 43%

    Obama 51%
    Hillary 48%

    If I have these right, CNN you owe me a taco.
    I'll hold you to it.

    February 29, 2008 06:01 pm at 6:01 pm |
  23. Sam Rose




    WAKE UP-–We are in trouble if she gets the nomination-look at her campaign-she cant even run a campaign much less the country....

    Obama '08

    February 29, 2008 06:02 pm at 6:02 pm |
  24. Gemmeg

    The first woman is running for the white house(Hillary Clinton)
    The first African-american is running for the white house(Obama)
    It has been said a long time ago in holy books that in the beginning God has created a man(Adam) after a woman(Eve) but nobody was there to confirm it. Now the all planet has the opportinuity to see who really God has created first.
    If Hillary is the winner that's meant God created woman first and then we have to change the scripture in the holy books.
    If Obama is the winner that's meant the scripture told the true.
    All this view because Hillary and Obama are preaching almost the same thing causing a difficult choice for the voters. Let God grab this opportinuity to show us what really happenned in the beginning of time.

    February 29, 2008 06:02 pm at 6:02 pm |
  25. Viviana

    OHIO!!!!! Please don't make the mistake of supporting a lying politician. Hillary cares less about aything but getting back into the revolving door of the white house. We are sick and tired of Bushes and clintons back to back. If Bill Clinton had handled Bin laden appropraitely in 1993 when they bombed the world trade center, we would not have had 9/11 so that was the result of a clinton's judgement call. Also if Bill and Hillary Clinton while in the white house didn't sign into bill NAFTA, your jobs would still be yours. The clintons are just a familiar name and face. Vote for chnage please, we are done with the clintons. Let's move forward! let's give Obama a chance and move away from the old politics that are about the politicians and not the people.

    February 29, 2008 06:04 pm at 6:04 pm |
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