March 31st, 2008
04:10 PM ET
14 years ago

Poll: Obama would be tougher candidate against McCain

[cnn-photo-caption image= caption="A new poll suggests Sen. Obama would be a tougher candidate for John McCain to beat."]

(CNN)— A new poll finds a majority of Republicans and Democrats feel Sen. Barack Obama would be a tougher candidate against the presumptive Republican nominee John McCain in a potential fall match-up.

    In a Gallup poll released Monday, 59 percent of Democratic voters believe Obama has the best chance at beating John McCain. Thirty percent said Clinton was more likely to win a matchup with the Arizona senator.

    Republicans surveyed say Clinton would be the easiest to beat: 64 percent said Clinton would make a weaker fall opponent for McCain, while just 22 percent said Obama.

    The survey of 1,005 adults conducted March 24-27 has a sampling error of 4 percent.

    The discussion of which Democrat stands the strongest against John McCain has been an ongoing debate since the Republican race narrowed leaving the Arizona Senator as the Republican nominee in waiting.

    A Gallup poll released last week suggested a majority of Democrats would cast a vote for John McCain this fall if the candidate they support does not win the Democratic nomination. This is particularly true of Clinton’s supporters, one third of whom said they will vote for McCain if Obama is the Democratic nominee.

    –CNN’s Emily Sherman

    soundoff (186 Responses)
    1. Eric-PA

      I cannot believe this poll, after all of Obamas issues he is definitely not the stronger candidate to run...

      March 31, 2008 08:31 pm at 8:31 pm |
    2. Juan Grain

      like Hillary says, don't underestimate the inteligence of the voter! They know who can beat McCain, Obama can.

      March 31, 2008 08:34 pm at 8:34 pm |
    3. Allen in NC

      Bill Brown.... I'm from the south.... Speak for yourself please.....

      March 31, 2008 08:35 pm at 8:35 pm |
    4. Very Concerned American

      Lou Dobbs:
      Do you believe there is a media bias against Hillary Clinton and in favor of Barack Obama?
      Yes 73% 12992
      No 27% 4873
      Total Votes: 17865

      This is not a scientific poll

      March 31, 2008 08:40 pm at 8:40 pm |
    5. nhk


      March 31, 2008 08:40 pm at 8:40 pm |
    6. Ross in MD

      Both Clinton and McCain are weak candidates.

      Clinton says the vote to authorize the war in Iraq was a vote for peace.
      McCain doesn't know the difference between Sunni and Shiite.

      McCain says he doesn't understand economics.
      Clinton says she doesn't understand anything Alan Greenspan says, but still thinks he knows what he's talking about.

      Clinton is far weaker though. Her '35 years of experience' is so nonsensical. Her involvement in S-CHIP, in the Ireland peace process, and her battle experience in Bosnia is so exaggerated it is laughable.

      March 31, 2008 08:43 pm at 8:43 pm |
    7. Bruce Texas

      Obama would be an easy Candidate for McCain because if he wins the Nomination then a lot backing Hillary will shift party's why! Obama has no Viable Fix on the Economy and is lacking the leadership ability during a war and here lately has become a race relations candidate after saying that its not about race! McCain will Take the Presidency! Hillary scares McCain and with good Cause!

      March 31, 2008 08:43 pm at 8:43 pm |
    8. cobra6911


      Sure, LOL Obama would be tougher, McCain is not a racist like Obama.. McCain is a President for ALL of the people!! If Obama is President you can all start facing the east and praying to your new God.
      You Dems would NOT know honor when it looks u in the eye!

      March 31, 2008 08:44 pm at 8:44 pm |
    9. D, Dalton

      . . . .I like Hillary, I just think that she has too much baggage from
      the Clinton years in the white house to be effective against the republican machine. Bill's impeachment scandal alone
      will give the republicans enough amunition to sink her. Not to mention
      her Bosnia tale. John McCain will charge her with making a mockery
      of the servicemen who dodged real bullets. Obama survived the
      Wright story because it wasn't the truth, therefore it didn't stick. There
      is plenty of truth to the Clintons, therefore the republicans would have
      an easier time disarming Hillary.

      March 31, 2008 08:45 pm at 8:45 pm |

      I agree with the poll...and i think we should now (all) stop acting like clinton is going to win the nomination. Because as much as i would have liked her to win, i think there are some realities to be faced now. Donna brazille (DNC member and uncommited superdelegate) said yesterday that the only way that Hillary has a shot at the nomination (even if she miraculously won the 10 remaining states) it's if she took her case to the credentials committee to have the MI and FL delegates sat at the convention the way they voted in January regardless of whether Obama's name was on the ballot or not. Now, how the credentials committee works, is that the DNC elects 25 members to it and the remaining members are selected from the candidates-in that, each candidate gets 3 delegates for every state he or She has won. (and as we know, obama has 30 states to hillary's 14 so far, and that will shift the balance when it comes to voting on this issue on the floor of the convention)...The reality of this whole thing is so annoying to her that she can only hope the superdelegates will turn this around on a 2:3 ratio to her advantage (trashing the will of the people)... or, she can "fight for the will of the people" of MI and FL and lose the superdelegates when they in turn vote based "on the will of the people" because lets face it; she cant get ahead in the delegate count.

      March 31, 2008 08:45 pm at 8:45 pm |
    11. Illinois

      This is my third time attempting to post information on statistics and how these polls are deliberately set up in such a way to present Obama as doing much better than he actually is....but, of course, it never posts. Wonder why that's happening...........

      Suffice it to say that the "need" for these falsified polls is being done for obvious reasons......Obama supporters are trying to present him as a much better candidate than he really is. If the democratic party wants to put Obama up against McCain, go ahead, but he will lose and you will have no one to blame but yourselves. You're so thirsty for power that you can't see beyond your own feelings of entitlement to the presidency. Just because you're black doesn't mean you are "entitled" to the nomination for the presidency.

      March 31, 2008 08:47 pm at 8:47 pm |
    12. george

      Can someone explain how in hell John McCain got to be the nominee for president? Are americans walking around with their heads where the sun does not shine? Haven't we had enough of (Bush or Clinton) for one lifetime? We need to get every politician out of Washington and start over. NEVER RE-ELECT ANYBODY!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

      March 31, 2008 08:48 pm at 8:48 pm |

      I think (like all you political pundits ever listen, but anyhoo!) that the R's don't know how to deal with someone like Obama. Kerry was kind of wet blanket. Hillary already has half the nation against her when it comes to likeability. McCain is very old.

      It's a new ballgame with Obama. I will be fair in say that no matter what, Clinton or Obama, the R's have a hard fight ahead because they have made a lot of enemies over the last 8 years and America will come out against them in November.

      March 31, 2008 08:49 pm at 8:49 pm |
    14. david

      Obama is the next president of America. there is no doubt. some people are conservative and may not vote for him but that will be offset by young voters. so let conservative vote for Mccain. No problem. once Hillary and Bill will campaign for Obama in general election, everythng will be fine.

      March 31, 2008 08:51 pm at 8:51 pm |
    15. yahooo

      Of couse he would. he has what Clinton does not have or will ever have: Honesty and Integrity, also he can admit to mistakes, he is not your typical politician and clinton is................

      change change change

      March 31, 2008 08:51 pm at 8:51 pm |
    16. j gannon

      Republicans will be nasty as usual, But Obama is smarter!!!

      March 31, 2008 08:52 pm at 8:52 pm |
    17. Andy

      You have to be kidding me! Obama can barely stand a female candidate. He is pushed in front by all his leftist allies, and is playing the race card and the cool card. But how can you imagine that serious Americans who support now Clinton will ever vote for this clown?

      March 31, 2008 08:53 pm at 8:53 pm |
    18. ME


      You are NOT a Democrat. I am a Democrat, and a die-hard Obama supporter. And if Clinton get the nomination, then my vote will go to her!! I AM A DEMOCRAT, and WE as a PARTY need to gain controll of the WHITE HOUSE!

      March 31, 2008 08:54 pm at 8:54 pm |
    19. Vickie Jones

      I hear Obama people saying if Clinton wins the nomination, then I'm voting for McCain and visa versa. WOW! So if you don't win the game, you'll take your ball home? How childish. Whoever wins the Demo nomination, that's who I'm voting for in the Presidential election. Who wants another "Bush" for President. Should he win, then those who voted for him because their candidate wasn't the Demo elected do not complain about Iraq or gas prices or economy because you voted for McCain!!

      March 31, 2008 08:54 pm at 8:54 pm |
    20. love america 2

      I dont believe we should actually take this as true, We know this whole election has been rigged big time, this is truely a sad time in America!

      March 31, 2008 08:54 pm at 8:54 pm |
    21. ME


      You are NOT a Democrat. I am a Democrat, and a die-hard Obama supporter. And if Clinton gets the nomination, then my vote will go to her!! I AM A DEMOCRAT, and WE as a PARTY need to gain control of the WHITE HOUSE!

      March 31, 2008 08:55 pm at 8:55 pm |
    22. Former-Hillary supporter

      Duh, I thought everyone knew that already. Hilary is too dirty to even stand next to McSame. Let's see what happens when her tax returns are released. How did she and Bill go from being broke to having a net worht of close to $100 million in 7 years? It sounds like they are in the Saudi's pockets again.


      You little run was cute, but the parade is over and it is time to take your float back to New York where you can retire it!

      March 31, 2008 08:57 pm at 8:57 pm |
    23. T. Bosch

      . . .Bill Brown I disagree. People in your native south may not vote
      for a black man, but seeing that he's also white, maybe they will vote
      for the white half( see how stupid prejudice sounds?) He survived the
      wright flap because lies don't stick. Lastly, according to the polls,
      there are many people who will for a SMART man.

      March 31, 2008 08:57 pm at 8:57 pm |
    24. say no to hillary

      how many lies does she have to tell to show that she is not an honest person? as for Mccain-his admission that the economy is not something he knows much about will come back to haunt him-as will the fact that he does not know the difference between the shia and the sunnis

      March 31, 2008 08:57 pm at 8:57 pm |
    25. Case

      I can not wait for Obama to start talking McCain in circles. The GOP is running a completer and utter puppet against a real movement.

      McCain was always my favorite Republican, but now he has sucked up to the failed policies of the worst administration of all time.

      More of the same is over. The debate will turn to the war and economy and Obama dominates both. He has created jobs!

      McCain is old school, but way too old. His fear tactics and rhetoric on the war is old too. No more fear!

      Independent for Obama.

      March 31, 2008 08:59 pm at 8:59 pm |
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