April 8th, 2008
02:13 PM ET
11 years ago

Obama chipping away at Clinton's Pennsylvania lead

[cnn-photo-caption image= http://i.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2008/images/04/01/art.obamaclintondeb.gi.jpg caption=" Obama is gaining ground in Pennsylvania, according to several polls."](CNN) - Barack Obama continues to chip away at Hillary Clinton's lead in the crucial state of Pennsylvania, a new Quinnipiac poll out Tuesday shows.

The New York senator's lead over Obama now stands at 6 points in the new poll, 50-44 percent. That compares to the 9 point lead Clinton held in a similar survey released 5 days ago, and an 11 point lead in a Quinnipiac survey late last month.

Specifically, Clinton has lost ground among white voters and men: She now holds an 18 point lead among whites, down from a 25 point gap in last week’s poll, and trails Obama by 4 points among males. Last week, the two drew equal support from men.

But Clinton continues to remain strong with her core voting bloc of older voters and white women, and likely Pennsylvania Democratic voters rate her more favorably than Obama - 71 percent for Clinton and 67 percent for Obama.

With the latest Quinnipiac poll, CNN's poll of several recent surveys show Clinton's lead over Obama in Pennsylvania now averages 6 percentage points. That gap is 1 point less than Monday’s poll of polls and 5 points less than a CNN poll of polls on Friday.

What's behind the shift?

"Obama has outspent Hillary Clinton three to one just on television advertising in Pennsylvania. He spent more than $3 million trying to get his name out and his message out to Hillary Clinton's $1 million," said Mark Preston, a CNN political editor.

The Illinois senator has also heavily benefited from the Service Employees International Union, which according to recently filed FEC reports has spent well over $700,000 on get-out-the-vote-efforts there.

soundoff (460 Responses)
  1. Sean Lloyds

    The overall make-up of HRC's support is low income blue collar uneducated whites who look to her as a saviour to get them out of low paying rust belt jobs in PA, and "soccer mom" white women, who support her solely on the fact she is a woman, regardless of her obvious deceit and laughable and weak resume.

    This is the basic demographic of the 'Alabama – West VA." portion of this state and the sole reason she has kept the lead so far. The more higher income educated vote in Pitt and Philly will swing to Obama..

    That said the numbers still favor her to win but a win by less the 10% is still a failure for HRC and would give Obama the edge...Bottom Line.

    April 8, 2008 12:27 pm at 12:27 pm |
  2. jeremy

    the kitchen sink appears to have missed Mr. Obama. HRC should just bow out already. if she can't win huge in PA. she can't win anyplace else.

    OBAMA 2008

    April 8, 2008 12:27 pm at 12:27 pm |
  3. Nausea

    Obama is outspending Hillary in large part because of the large bundles provided to him by OIL COMPANIES! The truth hurts, I know. Good thing the American people, and PA, are stupid enough to fall for our saviour! Behold the second coming, the messiah has arrived!! And as others including Jesse Jackson have said, if we don't win it will be twice as bad as the Rodney King riots!!!
    Obama / Wright 08!!!!!

    April 8, 2008 12:27 pm at 12:27 pm |
  4. Cryston, St. Louis

    Those of you who have a problem with the polls, please go to realclearpolitics.com. You will see there that CNN is actually being quite generous because one of the polls actually has Hillary losing to Obama in Pennsylvania. I will just ask that you Pennsylvanians judge the candidates based on their characters. Lying should disqualify Clinton. Not doing research on your stories, should disqualify Clinton. The media will take whatever you give it, and Hillary has done a remarkable giving the news media much fodder. Thanks.

    Missouri delivered for Obama, Penn can too.

    April 8, 2008 12:27 pm at 12:27 pm |




    CLINTON 2008!

    April 8, 2008 12:28 pm at 12:28 pm |
  6. bob in la

    It is inevitable the polls are going to show the lead closing- it happens in every state for both candidates. As elections grow closer, more undecideds make known their choice.
    Hillary's biggest strength will be the undecideds who choose last minute. She has won that group in every state.
    The other quesiton would be – how many people were polled in this particular poll. They have shown polls of as few as 300 people in populations of millions. Hardly a good cross section.
    Let's just see what happens on 4/22 and let the chips land where they do.
    And people- how about sticking to the issue of the article you responded to! This all over the board rambling is silly in an online discussion.

    April 8, 2008 12:28 pm at 12:28 pm |
  7. Mr Lover Man


    April 8, 2008 12:28 pm at 12:28 pm |
  8. Lynn

    I am a young, educated, white woman who will vote for Hillary and not for Obama.

    April 8, 2008 12:29 pm at 12:29 pm |
  9. Roger, Africa

    I think that Hillary should be the next president of your country. I don't understand why Obama can even compete with Hillary when he has so little experience. You all look like you are going to end up making a very big mistake if Obama wins.

    April 8, 2008 12:29 pm at 12:29 pm |
  10. Ann

    Man, this is unbelievable. There is a SUSA pool showing Hillary trouncing Golden Boy by 18% but CNN probably has no time to mention it... shameful.

    April 8, 2008 12:29 pm at 12:29 pm |
  11. greg

    first Kansas wins the championship and now this...I think it's going to be a good week. Barack Chaulk Jayhawk Go BO.

    April 8, 2008 12:29 pm at 12:29 pm |
  12. Independent in Florida

    I would not underestimate the influence Mark Penn has on Hillary.

    April 8, 2008 12:29 pm at 12:29 pm |
  13. Peter McKinnley, PA

    . . . .This is a good sign that everyone in Pennsylvania is not ignorant.

    April 8, 2008 12:30 pm at 12:30 pm |
  14. Sharon

    April 8th, 2008 12:24 pm ET
    Your comment is awaiting moderation. Of Course, It's for Hillary........

    Go Hillary!!!!! Undecideds always go for her inthe end!!!!! that should double her lead…..
    Hillary supporters…GO AND DONATE TO HER WEB SITE!!!!!!!

    April 8, 2008 12:30 pm at 12:30 pm |
  15. gerry

    The Pennsylvania polls are closer than you think.

    The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in Pennsylvania shows Clinton leading Barack Obama by just five percentage points, 47% to 42%. This was taken today...................

    April 8, 2008 12:30 pm at 12:30 pm |
  16. sozzi

    Mark Penn isn’t the only Hillary Rodham Clinton supporter on the wrong side of the Colombia trade agreement.

    The Democratic-leaning advocacy firm the Glover Park Group, former home to Clinton campaign spokesman Howard Wolfson, signed a $40,000 per month contract with the government of Colombia in April of 2007 to promote the very agreement that Clinton now rails against on the presidential campaign trail.

    Article from politico.com

    April 8, 2008 12:30 pm at 12:30 pm |
  17. Seriously?

    "Two of Obama's bundlers are top executives at oil companies and are listed on his Web site as raising between $50,000 and $100,000 for the presidential hopeful."

    This is out of how many million now? What percentage of his campaign contributions does this represent? Besides, are oil company workers not U.S. citizens too?

    April 8, 2008 12:30 pm at 12:30 pm |
  18. jeremy

    April 8th, 2008 11:16 am ET

    There is no way Obama is going to win in Penn, When the true polls
    come out Penn voters are not that stupid. He can spend all the money he wants, but Hillary will still win.

    She is a true a true American and people are going to vote for her
    because she is the best to lead this country.

    Remember Penn is not over run with black voters.

    wow jan,
    nice finishing sentence. how racist can you get.

    April 8, 2008 12:31 pm at 12:31 pm |
  19. Cami

    Debra said: Obama's health care plan is flawed because it doesn't cover adults also. Clintons health care plan is much better.
    Why couldn't she get the job done during the 8 years she was in charge of Health Care under Bill Clinton's reign, then? You can have the best "plans" in the world, but if you can't get the cooperation of others (being she's such a "fighter" and all – is it any wonder?), it won't do any of us one bit of good.

    April 8, 2008 12:31 pm at 12:31 pm |
  20. GoHillary

    Her core supporters will be with her all the way to the end of the fight! Nobody can deprive of the people's voting right, not even Obama's frantic supporters!

    April 8, 2008 12:31 pm at 12:31 pm |
  21. Adam

    I have had enough! Obama fans are out of control. Read some of these comments. What are you, A bunch of middle school kids? Grow Up!!

    April 8, 2008 12:31 pm at 12:31 pm |
  22. mlm56

    I agree with michele from OH. I see the obamites as being a huge problem in this process, constantly creating a huge divide in the democratic party. and I have also noticed that many of these so-called educated people can't spell very well. This is a close race for both candidates, and I for one don't see the problem with deciding the race at the convention. After all, thats what the convention is for!

    April 8, 2008 12:31 pm at 12:31 pm |
  23. j.m. pa

    well ole hill did it again turned everything around about penn and tried to put the spotlight on obama she says at least she did the right thing by getting rid of penn but obama said nothing about canada wrong she still has penn around she just took him out of the spotlight for now i think she sent penn to tell columbia to cool it till after the election then the media found out so she had to make it look good so she demoted him lie lie lie

    April 8, 2008 12:31 pm at 12:31 pm |
  24. GoHillary

    Her core supporters will be with her all the way to the end of the fight! Nobody can deprive of the people's voting right, not even Obama and his frantic supporters!

    April 8, 2008 12:32 pm at 12:32 pm |
  25. NM

    CNN needs to present the facts about Hillary. She only re-titled Penn, not fired him. She had to have known what he was doing in Columbia. Maybe Obama is closing the gap in Pennsylvania not only because of the spending but because people are tired of Hillary's attacks which make her look unappealing.

    April 8, 2008 12:32 pm at 12:32 pm |
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