April 8th, 2008
02:13 PM ET
11 years ago

Obama chipping away at Clinton's Pennsylvania lead

[cnn-photo-caption image= http://i.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2008/images/04/01/art.obamaclintondeb.gi.jpg caption=" Obama is gaining ground in Pennsylvania, according to several polls."](CNN) - Barack Obama continues to chip away at Hillary Clinton's lead in the crucial state of Pennsylvania, a new Quinnipiac poll out Tuesday shows.

The New York senator's lead over Obama now stands at 6 points in the new poll, 50-44 percent. That compares to the 9 point lead Clinton held in a similar survey released 5 days ago, and an 11 point lead in a Quinnipiac survey late last month.

Specifically, Clinton has lost ground among white voters and men: She now holds an 18 point lead among whites, down from a 25 point gap in last week’s poll, and trails Obama by 4 points among males. Last week, the two drew equal support from men.

But Clinton continues to remain strong with her core voting bloc of older voters and white women, and likely Pennsylvania Democratic voters rate her more favorably than Obama - 71 percent for Clinton and 67 percent for Obama.

With the latest Quinnipiac poll, CNN's poll of several recent surveys show Clinton's lead over Obama in Pennsylvania now averages 6 percentage points. That gap is 1 point less than Monday’s poll of polls and 5 points less than a CNN poll of polls on Friday.

What's behind the shift?

"Obama has outspent Hillary Clinton three to one just on television advertising in Pennsylvania. He spent more than $3 million trying to get his name out and his message out to Hillary Clinton's $1 million," said Mark Preston, a CNN political editor.

The Illinois senator has also heavily benefited from the Service Employees International Union, which according to recently filed FEC reports has spent well over $700,000 on get-out-the-vote-efforts there.

soundoff (460 Responses)
  1. Jorge

    I agree... CNN is so hostile towards Clinton.
    In example, they're making such a big deal over the misinterpreted stories told by Hillary.
    What about the time when the Canadian government exposed that letter stating that Obama was just preaching about getting rid of NAFTA so that he can obtain votes. He could be doing the same on his medicare policy or even the situation on Iraq.
    Honestly how can we trust Obama with what he says when after he says something, he goes behind the cameras and states what he said was just for public popularity.
    and McCain is just a psychotic old man that speaks so easily of going to war in Iraq for 50-100 years.
    Why doesn't that man send his own children if he's so deteremined in giving Iraq "freedom".

    April 8, 2008 11:36 am at 11:36 am |
  2. yogi

    The question is Whats Behind the Shift?

    It is not the Money So Perhaps it is the CHANGE!!

    April 8, 2008 11:36 am at 11:36 am |
  3. Julie

    Hey Less Media More Issues...

    Obama still trails the Clintons in name recognition – it's common for the underdog to outspend – he has a lot of folks he needs to reach with his message. Clinton is a household word – and all the familiarity that goes with it. Obama isn't trying to "buy" the election – he's trying to get his name and his message out.

    April 8, 2008 11:37 am at 11:37 am |
  4. Ivar

    It looks like the victory at Penn would be insignificant (In terms of delegates) for Hillary. She needs to win very big in Penn to even suggest that she has any hope. I guess she should just wind up and save what ever positive image she may still have.

    April 8, 2008 11:37 am at 11:37 am |
  5. Concerned Canadian

    If Hillary is a fraud then Obama is a demon.

    Any poll published by CNN is pure propaganda to bolster Obama. Its unreliable. The polls taken on the streets with ordinary people we meet in the streets across the towns and cities suggests Hillary is getting a 60 percent favorable response out of every one hundred.

    Obama thinks he can buy the pollsters, CNN , tv journalists...who cares...tons of suckers in America willing to throw their hard earned dollars at a candidate that in all honesty, will not be able to improve their lives.

    April 8, 2008 11:37 am at 11:37 am |
  6. RT

    The American people supporting Barack Obama are outspending Hillary Clinton!! We are the ones contributing to this campaign and I believe it is all money well spent if we end up with the right leader in the White House......Barack Obama.

    April 8, 2008 11:38 am at 11:38 am |
  7. Marc in DeKalb, IL

    It might not just be the money, it also may have something to do with her inability to tell the truth.


    As for the "eminence" of Clinton become the nominee?

    Based on current poll data, if campaigning were to stop and all primaries go today, Clinton would need about 80% of the superdelegates remaining to vote for her to win.

    Fat chance.

    ... and history has shown this primary season that the more time Obama has to campaign, the better he does (and the inverse is true about Clinton, it might have something to do with the fact that the truth eventually DOES come out) ...

    April 8, 2008 11:38 am at 11:38 am |
  8. kelly WI

    The troops will come back from Iraq when the time is right no matter who is prestident.
    It's amazing how many military experts sit here and spout off inane posts.
    Hillary gave her charity money to herself in the CFF. She is staying in to beg for donations so she dosen't have to spend her OWN money to pay off her campaign debts. When have you ever heard of the Clintons spending there own money. They've lived off the tax payers for 40 years. Pretty nice public housing right?
    Watch your taxes go up with either of them.
    Keep the Bush tax cuts.
    Protect the country.
    I don't listen or watch the Left stream Media. I see CBS is trying to join up with CNN. Not getting good ratings I guess. I can see why. Still won't watch CNN etc. They certainly don't influence me as I can think for myself.
    Congress approval rating still lower than Bushes. History will tell.
    McCain 08

    April 8, 2008 11:38 am at 11:38 am |
  9. Women 4 Obama

    Hillary sure has a bad judgement ...

    Why does she always surround herself with men who cheat, lie, and sneak around on her?

    Ok, so maybe condoning her acceptances of Bill's indiscretions is forgivable but come on, she should have given Mark Penn the boot out of the campaign! Instead she only tells the public that he no longer can use his "chief strategist" name tag.

    The Clinton's are very afraid what kind of damage Mark Penn could do to them their relationship went sour.

    April 8, 2008 11:38 am at 11:38 am |
  10. Michele from OH

    I find it truly offensive that people here in this blog refer to Clinton supporters as "less educated". I support Hillary Clinton, and I graduated college over 11 years ago with a master's in education. I certainly don't consider myself "less educated", and I bet there are thousands of others who are sick and tired of Obama supporters being so rude. How is it appropriate to be so disrespectful to people just because they don't support the candidate that you do? For a candidate who says that he can unite the country, his supporters sure are proving otherwise!

    April 8, 2008 11:39 am at 11:39 am |
  11. william

    what's behind the shift? not just obama spending on ad campaigns, its clinton coming apart at the seams. she lies and embellishes everything and her campaign peeps are constantly being called into questioning and "resigning". she is horrible, and her husband was too. at least he was a talented orator.

    April 8, 2008 11:39 am at 11:39 am |
  12. Nancy

    Has anyone been paying attention to the latest information concerning Obama's friend, terrorist William Ayers? Watch Fox news at 9:00 evenings. Obama has had a long, friendly relationship with Ayers who admits to bombing the Pentagon and other places in America. Ayers said he wishes he had done more bombing!! Do you really want a president who chooses to be friends with people like terrorist Ayers, corrupt Tony Rezko, and racist Jeremiah Wright? Every Dem I know has said that if Obama wins the nomination, they will vote for McCain in November. So will I, because Obama is seriously lacking in judgment and character.

    April 8, 2008 11:39 am at 11:39 am |
  13. Vote for Hillary

    You may categorize Obama followers as that portion of the population that fail to take responsibiltiy for their own actions. Lemmings. -- they can all go to the sea of Obama's mythical magical change and drown. Blub blub blub Thanks Obama for not dropping out and 'not' changing the party for the next four years.. BEcause you didn't drop out looks like the Reps get 'er again.

    April 8, 2008 11:39 am at 11:39 am |
  14. Chris in IL

    Obama Nation:

    You need to read the Gergen story in regards to Penn and Obama's Nafta... get the real story!!!

    I hope that Clinton starts questioning Obama about some very questionable things going on... Gergen hinted at some stuff that has not been reported... Everyone needs to know who they are voting for... If Clinton loses everyone needs to thank her for preparing Obama for the general... Republicans will be out to destroy whoever the Democrat nominee is... I think all of the information needs to be put out there good or bad!!!

    April 8, 2008 11:39 am at 11:39 am |
  15. Robert in Albuquerque

    yeah well Obama had erased Hillary's lead in NH and had a 10 point lead but look what happened. POLLS MEAN NOTHING people. When will you learn. Only trust the final results.

    April 8, 2008 11:39 am at 11:39 am |
  16. Sam

    Hillary is no victim here. She lied and is getting what she deserves. The distrust of the voters. Plain and simple.

    April 8, 2008 11:40 am at 11:40 am |
  17. Theresa


    election watcher April 8th, 2008 11:26 am ET
    I'm neutral on this election, but sick and tired of biased reporting. The front page link said Clinton is "fading", but she still holds the lead in PA, which isn't exactly fading? Stop trying to tell readers how to think and simply report the facts.

    I believe CNN used the word fading appropriately:

    "fading: attenuation: weakening in force or intensity"

    I can give you some sources if you'd like, but I think most of us know the definition of fading without a dictionary.

    April 8, 2008 11:40 am at 11:40 am |
  18. Eric-PA

    Americans must be in a trance. First they vote for Bush twice and now they want Obama? I disagree that she needs to win big in PA. A win is a win. Even if she does win, the left-wing media will somehwow try to turn it around and make it seem as though it was a win for Obama. The pro-Obama media has been controlling the primaries thus far and that is the reason Obama is where he is today.

    April 8, 2008 11:40 am at 11:40 am |
  19. Anonymous

    After reading ALL the above comments, I have to say that I am very disappointed in Hillary. I am a black woman who REALLY wanted her to win, voted for her in NY. I wish we could redo the primary...

    Anyway, good luck to Obama, and even though I am a hardcore Hillary fan, I WILL NOT VOTE McCAIN during the general elections, I Will vote Democratic, whoever it may be.

    April 8, 2008 11:40 am at 11:40 am |
  20. duane

    I live in Philly, and the out-spending is obvious. An Obama TV ad seems to appear more often than a Geico commercial. Still, I don't think Clinton's lead has narrowed as much as these polls show. Polls showed a similar narrowing during the California primary (some even predicted an Obama win).

    April 8, 2008 11:41 am at 11:41 am |
  21. When will it end?

    Buy the election??? To make this statement, you must first consider who he is getting all of his money from – the average person. Last month his AVERAGE donation was only $99. Buying an election with the average American's money is fine. In fact, it is a wonderfully welcome change.

    April 8, 2008 11:41 am at 11:41 am |
  22. Fla Sam

    Everywhere he goes he starts to win people over! He will be a great leader. Just look at how well he has run his campaign. If his campaign was like Hillary's he would have been knocked out of this race a long time ago.

    Obama 08!

    April 8, 2008 11:42 am at 11:42 am |
  23. Lewis

    Is her lead really getting smaller or are people just using early voting and not answering pollsters. The same trend happened in Texas and in Ohio, Hillary won both, remember!

    April 8, 2008 11:42 am at 11:42 am |
  24. debra

    Obama supporters will do or say anything to try and discourage people from voting for Clinton. What are they afraid of?. Probably the fact that she would make a much better president. She sees the big picture and she takes all views into consideration. She will bring this country back to where it needs to be and help us to get back on the road to peace and prosperity. She has a Social conscious that Obama only talks about. and social conscious is the reason why people become democrates.

    April 8, 2008 11:42 am at 11:42 am |
  25. Darth Vadik, CA

    Its not about the polls its about the turnout, if Obama is within 5 points of Hillary in the polls, he just might pull this off.

    P.S. I haven't seen this much of self destructive behaviour (in Hillarys campaign) since the Britney Spears. How do you lose a 20 point lead?

    April 8, 2008 11:46 am at 11:46 am |
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