April 10th, 2008
01:45 PM ET
12 years ago

Polls: Clinton's lead down to 4 points in Pennsylvania

A New CNN poll of polls shows Clinton with a 4 point lead in Pennsylvania.

A New CNN poll of polls shows Clinton with a 4 point lead in Pennsylvania.

(CNN) - Sen. Hillary Clinton's lead over Sen. Barack Obama in the crucial primary state of Pennsylvania has dwindled to 4 points, a CNN average of recent polls calculated Thursday shows.

The New York senator now holds a 4 point advantage over her rival for the Democratic presidential nomination, 46 to 42 percent. Twelve percent of likely Democratic voters there remain unsure.

Recent CNN "poll of polls" suggest the race in Pennsylvania is tightening before the state's April 22 primary. A poll of polls calculated two days ago showed Clinton with a 6 point lead in Pennsylvania, and a poll of polls last Friday showed her on top by 11 points.

“Obama is outspending Clinton by better than two to one on television ads in Pennsylvania,” said Alan Silverleib, CNN’s senior political researcher. “Combine that with Clinton’s recent misstatement over her 1996 trip to Bosnia and the escalating chorus of voices calling on her to withdraw from the race, and you get a much tighter contest.”

Thursday's poll of polls included recent surveys from Time Magazine, American Research Group, and Quinnipiac University.

soundoff (153 Responses)
  1. bob


    April 10, 2008 12:37 pm at 12:37 pm |
  2. GA for Hillary

    This is another example of media bias against Hillary. The media consistently finds a bad picture of her to place next to a good picture of him. The poll of polls then leaves off polls that show her still ahead by 10 percentage points. Why is the media so scared to really be honest about Obama?

    April 10, 2008 12:37 pm at 12:37 pm |
  3. ILoveAmerica

    Hillary disqualified herself when she made up the story about running through possible sniper fire, and then laughed it off on the Tonight Show as if it were nothing to be concerned about.

    April 10, 2008 12:37 pm at 12:37 pm |
  4. Nancy

    Obama, on the outside, coming along the stretch, getting closer, on the inside, ahead by a nose, and the winner is Barack Obama!!!

    April 10, 2008 12:37 pm at 12:37 pm |
  5. Jason

    I am a Barack Obama supporter. I expect Hillary to win Penn. I also expect that the goal post will move again for Hillary Clinton. She is suppose to win this state by 15%+. Lets see how they spin it. Lets not let her get away with the same thing. She was up by 20% in Texas. Ended up winning the popular vote by 4%, but lost the delegate and caucus. But she walked away as the big winner....SPIN MASTER!!! OBAMA 08.

    April 10, 2008 12:37 pm at 12:37 pm |
  6. Jackie

    Clinton will win Pennsylvania. Get over it.

    April 10, 2008 12:37 pm at 12:37 pm |
  7. leapfrog

    CNN, I know you're doing your best to make this sound like a close race, but the poll numbers from other agencies just don't reflect that. Rasmussen has her up by 5; Quinnipac has her up by 6; InsiderAdvantage has her up by 10; PPP has her up by 3; Survey USA has her up by 18; Strategic Vision has her up by 5; and Time has her up by 8.

    It's still a huge drop for her, and will prevent her from getting the delegates she so desparately needs to remain viable, but it's not THAT close in Pennsylvania.

    April 10, 2008 12:38 pm at 12:38 pm |
  8. Truthiswhatweneed

    To me this clearly shows that the momentum exists with Obama. If Hillary can not win Pennsylvania with more than 10% of the vote, she most definately should withdraw. Thats even if she can win at all.


    April 10, 2008 12:38 pm at 12:38 pm |
  9. J.Carter

    I think thats quite a dip for senator Clinton but no matter what happens in PA. There is no way she will win in North Carolina as a part of Barack's Base in NC the campaign is being too well here.

    April 10, 2008 12:38 pm at 12:38 pm |
  10. Michael in Charlotte

    The winds of Change is in the Air. Not just in this country but around the World. There is a Wind of Hope that the Status Quo can be seriously challege and the U.S. is leading the way.

    April 10, 2008 12:38 pm at 12:38 pm |
  11. Marikit

    Hillary will win Pennsylvania. I think that this is just a trick being used by the media who are on Obama's side..Go Hillary go!! I am one of the Women's group who strongly support Hillary.

    April 10, 2008 12:39 pm at 12:39 pm |
  12. Texas4Obama

    I heard Hillary say yesterday that she 'doesn't read the polls because they are only a snap-shot of time' – it's time for her to start reading them so that she will know that it is time for her to drop out of the race and go home!

    April 10, 2008 12:40 pm at 12:40 pm |
  13. Mel

    Here we go. Obama is catching her slowly. The lead which she got in PA is because of the institutional support which she has. Once the people of PA know Obama better, he will have greater chance even to win her. PA is tiered of Clintorns' lie. I can't finish by counting all lies we heard up to this point. We are sick of such old politics. We need change. Go forward Obama.

    Obama '08

    April 10, 2008 12:40 pm at 12:40 pm |
  14. Brandon from TN

    So the question remains – will Clinton drop out of the race if she loses PA?

    April 10, 2008 12:40 pm at 12:40 pm |
  15. Michael Guinn- Ventura, CA

    The people in PA can see what is going on. The latest debacle (Colombia) shows that while Hillary says she is against the Trade deal with that Country, her husband has taken in almost a MILLION dollars FROM that Country for being for the deal.
    It's time that this process is over. Her 20+ point lead has evaporated in PA and she will lose NC by a very wide margin.
    Obama 08!

    April 10, 2008 12:40 pm at 12:40 pm |
  16. Sharon

    12 percent unsure....give her about 9 points from that....seeing that MOST last minute deciders go for HILLARY.......I CAN'T wait for April 22, about 10 minutes after the polls close....when the AP callls PA for Hillary and you all sit and question yourselves again....:)
    You need to add in to your POLL OF POLLS the 10 point lead and the 18 point lead in the two polls you've chosen to ignore......Do you think we can't just go check the polls ourselves????? Really makes you look desperate to find fault with her.....
    Not once have you shown any of the recent polls that have her double digits ahead in PA……WHAT IS WRONG WITH YOU???? best political team my butt…….where's the poll that show your precious BO down to 10 in NC??????
    Isn't it funny that we all live in an age where one news station can't influence everyone? We all can go find the polls ourselves, do our own research….it really makes you guys look so bad, really….we find the truth, then realize you in the media are incapable of reporting the truth….then we make up our own minds based on the facts… it's actually quite refreshing….I love finding out how much bias you all have…..

    April 10, 2008 12:40 pm at 12:40 pm |
  17. Concerned Democrat

    These poll numbers are lies to influence the outcome of this race! People on the ground have Hillary ahead almost 65/35....

    April 10, 2008 12:40 pm at 12:40 pm |
  18. Jordan

    The day of reckoning is upon you, Hillary! Obama '08

    April 10, 2008 12:40 pm at 12:40 pm |
  19. USAF Sr. Airman

    Being from PA, I have noticed that trend myself. Ever since PA became the center of attention, and people actually started learning more about Clinton, they haven't liked what they have seen. Clinton is actually getting so worried, that she launched an ad that has nothing to do with politics, but it's only goal is to convince voters that she's the "hometown" girl.

    April 10, 2008 12:40 pm at 12:40 pm |
  20. Picked the wrong guy

    You Obama supporters who so badly want a "first African American President" should have gotten a better pick for all of us to vote for. How can one in all good conscience vote for a man who cannot possibly deliver any of change that he has been advocating and does not spell out clearly just what he would change, has no experience, and keeps company with unsavory people and tells lies of his own. Not to mention we are really sick of your nasty remarks and will show just how we feel in the general election.

    Give us someone like Rice (first African American women) to vote for – or Powell, but Obama (who we really do not know who he really is)and his unpatriotic wife – please.

    If not Hillary then John McCain.

    April 10, 2008 12:40 pm at 12:40 pm |
  21. Bubba

    Sure, but she'll have the superdelegate votes even though the party obviously wants Obama. Then everyone will scream and go vote for McCain. I'm going to join the Green Party.

    April 10, 2008 12:40 pm at 12:40 pm |
  22. richard - Minneapolis

    When Obama wins PA, and he will, they'll make it just about how much money he's spent instead of his superior judgment, people and management skills, and general "goodness". Paradoxically, it takes the money to do that when you're not as well known. What is telling, however, is that people are hearing and believing the message. Believing it, because it's honest.

    Obama '08

    April 10, 2008 12:40 pm at 12:40 pm |
  23. Denis

    Obama keeps on yapping about the fact that he opposed the war from the very beginning. Well, he never voted against it.

    Also, Not being able to make comment on Lanny Davis' questions about Obama and the Rev Wright because the "add comments" was again closed quickly,

    I have to say that I agree with Mr. Davis. Obama to this point still has not given a satisfactory answer as to why he continued to be a member of the church and why he rewarded Rev Wright with a position in his campaign.

    I am convinced that Obama does not think the way Rev Wright thinks but why did he support him and not quit.

    This is the essence of why I cannot vote for this man (Obama)!!!!!!
    It completely baffles me as to why his supporters don't get it!!!

    This is a very serious and important issue of Obama's Credibility and JUDGEMENT!!! Why do his supporters think that this issue (Rev Wright) is not important are they blind??

    April 10, 2008 12:41 pm at 12:41 pm |
  24. Heather

    I am def an Obama supporter, but these stories are very misleading. Obama has stayed at 43 percent and actually now has dropped to 42 percent. Yes Clinton's percentage has dropped but it does not mean those lost percentage points moved over to the Obama bucket. He's still at 42%. Those 12% undecided could still vote Clinton or vote undecided. Lets wait to had over the crown (remember NH)

    Good Luck Obama in PN!!!!

    April 10, 2008 12:41 pm at 12:41 pm |
  25. for freedom

    Clinton is still the most qualified and the best candidate for the job.

    I guess Obama's money talks.

    Funny, but if Clinton was outraising and outspending all the other candidates, she would be criticicized for it- the scary Clinton Machine.

    But since it is Obama wasting millions on a campaign, while people are starving and losing their homes- it has been redefined as a POSITIVE thing.

    HE talks about public financing and caps and yet Obama is setting records for wastefulness

    April 10, 2008 12:41 pm at 12:41 pm |
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