April 11th, 2008
05:37 AM ET
15 years ago

Poll: McCain even with Obama, Clinton

[cnn-photo-caption image= http://i.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2008/images/04/10/art.splits.ap.jpg caption=" McCain is tied with both Clinton and Obama in a new poll."](CNN) - Barack Obama's once double-digit lead over John McCain in a hypothetical match-up has evaporated, according to a just released Associated Press poll.

Both Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama are now statistically tied with McCain, suggesting the Arizona senator may be benefiting from the drawn out Democratic primary race.

In the latest survey, Clinton holds a 48-45 percent lead over McCain while Obama and McCain are even at 45 percent. Factoring the poll's 3 point margin of error, both Democrats are even with the presumptive Republican nominee.

But in an AP poll conducted last February, Obama held a 51-41 percent advantage to McCain. Clinton's lead over McCain was also outside the margin of error, 48-43 percent.

A key reason for McCain's rise is the apparent divisions between supporters of Obama and Clinton. Close to a quarter of Obama supporters reported they will back McCain if the Illinois senator fails to get the nomination, while a third of Clinton backers said they'd vote Republican if Obama is the Democratic nominee.

"Among other things, this poll shows that the extended fight for the Democratic nomination is starting to take a toll on the party's prospects in November," said Alan Silverleib, CNN Senior Political Researcher. "The divide between supporters of Clinton and Obama is growing, and the big winner is John McCain."

Speaking to reporters Thursday, Democratic National Committee Chairman Howard Dean said he's not worried these divisions will hold up.

"All polls right now are worthless until after Labor Day," he said, adding, "It's not a phenomenon we’re worried about."

soundoff (293 Responses)
  1. Steve Vick

    I would not believe these polls if my life depended on it. McCain is a crook in hiding, just like George Bush!

    Obama will be our next president, unless something really stupid happens. And, know the republicans, they will do something really stupid – they're known for it.

    Let's pray together!

    April 10, 2008 04:49 pm at 4:49 pm |
  2. Reid

    Thankfully it will not be a three person race in November. Once MRS. EGOMANIAC finally accepts the math and withdraws Obama will trounce the Grumpy Old Man from the Republican side. For someone who makes fun of Bush's reluctance to accept science Hillary sure does exhibit many of GW's characteristics!

    April 10, 2008 04:49 pm at 4:49 pm |
  3. Jason

    You people need to stuff it because she's not going to drop out. So you can either bash her for staying in or support both candidates and vote democratic when the time comes. Everytime you say Clinton should quit hurts the party and helps McCain.

    April 10, 2008 04:50 pm at 4:50 pm |
  4. Veterans for Obama

    Thanks Hillary...keep up the goodwork. Hopefully you will give it a rest after PA so we can mount a concerted offense/defense against the swift boaters.

    April 10, 2008 04:50 pm at 4:50 pm |
  5. no bama

    Drop out Obama- and let the best woman lead.

    You have made enough noise just to boost your own ego.

    You are destroying the democratic party.

    Let Hillary reunite and lead us to victory in Nov.

    April 10, 2008 04:50 pm at 4:50 pm |
  6. Photon Torpedo

    I keep hearing of all these different polls. Then there is the "Poll Of Polls". Is this some sort of diety poll? Or is it like the Lord Of The Rings.. "One Poll To Rule Them All!" LOL!!! Give me a break. Once the Democratic Primary is over then those polls will reflect a different number.

    Yes We Can & Yes We Should!
    Obama 08'

    Photon Torpedo
    Dallas, TX

    April 10, 2008 04:50 pm at 4:50 pm |
  7. tony, Mount Vernon, NY

    I'm a Hillary supporter and I WON'T vote for Obama under any circumstances!!!!!!! Also, the article title should be:

    Clinton Can Beat McCain, Obama Can't

    After all she still has a 3-point lead over McCain according to these numbers.

    April 10, 2008 04:50 pm at 4:50 pm |
  8. Real Change

    For weeks we have been telling you that this protracted race will drive up Obama’s negatives and benefit McCain. Now the proof is in the pudding.

    It’s true that it is early, and the real meaning of this poll is questionable, however, it’s a little Pollyanna to just dismiss it as meaningless also. I don’t know about the rest of you but I care enough to be alarmed by this.

    Hillary has essentially been mathematically eliminated. Her only hope is that the super delegates overturn the popular vote and make her the nominee. Do you really think the African-American community and all the young people who voted for Obama would continue to identify themselves as Democrats and actually vote for Hillary if that happens? (And by the way your cock n bull argument about Michigan and Florida rings a little hollow when you’re willing to do that!) It would mean the end of the Democratic Party as we know it.

    Hillary has no more chance of winning this nomination than John Edwards had when he did the right thing and dropped out, and not one single one of you Clinton supporters were shedding tears about how the Edwards supporters didn’t get to vote for him. This whole business is selfish beyond excuse at this point AND IT NEEDS…TO…STOP!

    Here is the poll that proves it now. You are being called out! Are you really so mad about Hillary not winning that you will make McCain the next president? It time to stop all the bickering and fussing, and you people just sit down with yourselves and really ask yourselves that question. Because the time is here now.

    April 10, 2008 04:51 pm at 4:51 pm |
  9. RON


    April 10, 2008 04:51 pm at 4:51 pm |
  10. dave

    as i have said more than once, the polls need to clearly show what percentage of independent voters is sampled.... if the indie percent is too low or nonexistent, then the poll is not worth anything at all...since indie voters are 30 percent of the US electorate, the polls need to have their representation in them, and not just poll registered repubs and registered dems,,,, but a lot of the polling firms seem to be oblivious to this very basic concept.... that said, mccain draws very well among indie voters, as does obama.... while HRC does not do nearly as well among indie voters as the two others.... and if the pollster does not have a correct percent allocated for indie voters,then the whole result is skewed....

    April 10, 2008 04:51 pm at 4:51 pm |
  11. Veterans for Obama

    THE DUDE speaks truth.

    April 10, 2008 04:51 pm at 4:51 pm |
  12. Ricky

    As a lifelong democrat I can proudly announce I will not only vote for McCain should the America hating Obama win, I will campaign for him. Democrats better vote for Hillary if they care who the next president is. A vote for Obama is a vote for McCain!

    April 10, 2008 04:51 pm at 4:51 pm |
  13. Andrew

    This is no surprise. Obama is running against; Hillary, Bill, and John all at once. He is good but this is not currently a fair fight. Wait until he gets the nomination and is then matched one on one with McCain. Then we will see the numbers climb again in his favor.

    April 10, 2008 04:51 pm at 4:51 pm |
  14. no bama

    I've said it before... Obama wil NEVER win in Nov.

    Hillary can and WILL win- Obama is the spoiler for the democrats.

    His arrogance and ego know no limits

    April 10, 2008 04:51 pm at 4:51 pm |
  15. I need an Answer

    What would it take for a Black Man to become President ?

    April 10, 2008 04:51 pm at 4:51 pm |
  16. Diing, Washinton, DC

    Remember Giuliani and Clinton led in all polls over the summer last year? This McCain surge will die down when the dust settle between the Democratic Party.

    April 10, 2008 04:51 pm at 4:51 pm |
  17. Santosh-Philadelphia

    It's very obvious McCain is the only candidate who has the moral character and leadership skill to be the President in such a serious time in our history.

    People are finding out more and more that Obama and Clinton are 2 of teh same who represent more of the same tired old politics but with no solutions. McCain is the true outsider just as President Bush was in 2000.

    April 10, 2008 04:51 pm at 4:51 pm |
  18. Joe

    Sadly, it seems that Hillary is on her way to being the new Nader. If the Dems lose the general election, which they couldn't have given away six months ago, people will likely end up blaming Hillary for prolonging the primaries unnecessarily and "costing" us the election. The longer she stays in, the more she hurts her (and Bills) legacy. What a shame.

    April 10, 2008 04:52 pm at 4:52 pm |
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