April 17th, 2008
10:00 AM ET
15 years ago

Clinton-Obama lead McCain in 'swing' states

[cnn-photo-caption image= http://i.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2008/images/03/26/art.cand.gi.jpg caption="Sens. Obama and Clinton lead McCain in swing states according to a new poll."]
(CNN)—In potential fall match-ups, Democratic presidential candidates Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton are leading presumptive Republican nominee John McCain in states that were decisive in the 2004 election according to a new survey.

The latest Gallup Poll conducted during the first 15 days in April, consisting of more than 13,000 registered voters shows Obama and Clinton ahead by 4 points in so called “purple” or swing states with 47 percent to McCain’s 43 percent, with a margin of error of plus or minus 1 point.

In “blue” states where John Kerry won by more than 6 percentage points in 2004, Obama has a comfortable double-digit lead, while McCain leads by a slightly smaller margin in the “red” states where George Bush prevailed by more than 6 points.

Clinton has the same lead over McCain in purple states, but she does not fare as well as Obama in the “blue” states and also trails McCain by a larger margin than Obama in the traditionally Republican “red” states.

The remaining purple swing states where Bush or Kerry won by 5 points or fewer in 2004 include: New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Michigan, Wisconsin, Minnesota, Iowa, Florida, Colorado, Nevada, New Mexico, and Oregon.

soundoff (270 Responses)
  1. Stud

    Clinton Supportors are bad at math. Real bad.

    April 17, 2008 11:52 am at 11:52 am |
  2. jfs Memhis, Tn

    I hope that the Superdelegates are reading this news story and poll numbers........................GO Obama.................. the NEW democratic leader

    April 17, 2008 11:53 am at 11:53 am |
  3. james

    Once the democratic nominee is selected, and John McBush is fully vetted, I mean "fully" vetted, he will lose the general election by a landslide.

    April 17, 2008 11:53 am at 11:53 am |
  4. Kelin

    Did Joe Scarbourough read any of this or will he FIND a poll that says what he wants it to say?

    April 17, 2008 11:53 am at 11:53 am |
  5. Greg, NY

    I'm going to start spraying some Obama on my pans in the morning before I cook breakfast because NOTHING sticks to him!

    April 17, 2008 11:53 am at 11:53 am |
  6. Jason M. Bryant

    I love that they're calling some states purple now. It's much better than calling everything either red or blue.

    April 17, 2008 11:54 am at 11:54 am |
  7. April in Texas

    I am still a very strong Obama supporter and after the ABC debate debacle which I am now boycotting ABC because of, there is no way I will EVER vote for Hillary. I will stay home instead if Hillary steals this nomination. While I would have voted for her before this debate, she and ABC proved that she once again will throw me under the bus just as fast as she would her own child. If I wasnt BITTER before I am now and the DNC should end this before Hillary does even more damage than she and the media did last night.

    Obama 08

    April 17, 2008 11:54 am at 11:54 am |
  8. Now for Obama

    If the voices of the people are overturned and Hillary steals this nomination, then there will be rallying in the streets! She has chosen the low road of politics to win at all costs and this is not the ways of a Christian! Hillary cannot be trusted!

    April 17, 2008 11:55 am at 11:55 am |
  9. Independent for Hillary, Pittsburgh

    I wish they would stop with all the polling.

    The winner of an election between Obama and McCain would be based on who wins over Clintons voters. If McCain takes 20% (significant pop. especially in critical areas) then he wins. If Clinton supporters decide to support Obama then he will win.

    Personally, I wont support Obama because I think McCain is more experienced and would do a better job. But I am a conservative Independent and I cant speak for other Clinton supporters.

    April 17, 2008 11:56 am at 11:56 am |
  10. Carlos Ventura

    I am a Republican VOTING for Obama, the man can and will do the job that we desperately need to be done in this country.

    April 17, 2008 11:58 am at 11:58 am |
  11. Tired of W, OH

    Maybe this will put an end to Hillary's argument that Obama can't win the "important" states.

    April 17, 2008 11:58 am at 11:58 am |
  12. Mike

    Last night killed this story and the hope of either democratic candidate winning in November...

    I can not believe what happened last night in regards to Iraq and the economy... They both locked themselves in and gave the GOP their platform for November...

    Obama folded under pressure that is not even going to be close to what will happen in the general... Democratic Party is in real trouble and it is looking like they will have to vote Clinton in as the nominee and hope that Obama will take the VP... if not it is over!!!

    April 17, 2008 11:58 am at 11:58 am |
  13. ***AMERICAN***

    Once again, the only real and trustworthy poll is the one in November. Lets wait and see who wins after that one.

    April 17, 2008 11:59 am at 11:59 am |
  14. jl

    The sooner SUPERDELEGATES support OBAMA, the better the

    Democrats chances of winning in November.

    April 17, 2008 11:59 am at 11:59 am |
  15. gerard morei

    All democrats, take a good look at those states above and think. this is the turning point, we need Hillary for President, do not vote with your heart, VOTE WITH YOUR MIND. Thank you all.
    HILLARY FOR PRESIDENT 2009.

    April 17, 2008 11:59 am at 11:59 am |
  16. Daniel in Michigan

    I am very disappointed with George Stephanopolous. He should know better, unless he likes perpetuating the reality TV politics of the past. The questions were all based on propaganda fodder that is eaten up by journalists, which focus only on perpetuating the drama of this grand pageantry contest. What ever happened to a Media outlet that seeks the truth behind the candidates' stances on issues? We need PBS to host debates more, or Wolf blitzer. SEND IN THE WOLF! WE NEED YOU WOLF, PENNSYLVANIA NEEDS YA! C'est l'avis'

    April 17, 2008 12:00 pm at 12:00 pm |
  17. Franky

    "In “blue” states where John Kerry won by more than 6 percentage points in 2004, Obama has a comfortable double-digit lead, while McCain leads by a slightly smaller margin in the “red” states where George Bush prevailed by more than 6 points.

    Clinton has the same lead over McCain in purple states, but she does not fare as well as Obama in the “blue” states and also trails McCain by a larger margin than Obama in the traditionally Republican “red” states."

    Ohhh yeah, I can see the future now.......

    April 17, 2008 12:00 pm at 12:00 pm |
  18. Barb Canada

    For those of you upset with the debate...think of it this way...Unless you are afraid of something, why not ask these questions? If you really care about the Country, isn't it better to get things out in the open early? How many people would have voted for Bush, if they thought they knew the real "him"? If he would come out 100% truthfully with some of these relationships, he wouldn't be quite so uncomfortable! Quote of the debate, when Ayers the terrorist was brought up.......... “He's not somebody who I exchange ideas from on a regular basis,” .........Occasionally exchanging ideas with a terrorist isn't what you meant now is it Barrack????

    April 17, 2008 12:01 pm at 12:01 pm |
  19. Jeff Radun

    Whatever these polls say now until April 22 mean nothing.
    I predict Hillary will blow Obama out of the water with a 15 point margin.
    That should be enough to tell the super deligates that Obama is not electable.
    He is to close to a racist in Mr Wright, and Mr Ferrican, a terrorist in Mr Ayres, a criminal in Mr Rezko
    And he finds that small town white people in Pennsylvania cling to guns and religion, and are bigots towards imigrants when they are bitter about government
    I would rather have a liar in Hillary than a racist in the white house. Sorry Mr Obama is also a liar so I would rather have a liar in the white house than a liar and a racist

    April 17, 2008 12:02 pm at 12:02 pm |
  20. Bill

    I think the new question is, Will Hillary be electible in the fall? and the answer, apparently, is a resounding "No".

    : )

    April 17, 2008 12:02 pm at 12:02 pm |
  21. becky

    Spin, Spin,Spin.......................................................No more cards left!

    April 17, 2008 12:02 pm at 12:02 pm |
  22. linda

    The remaining purple swing states where Bush or Kerry won by 5 points or fewer in 2004 include: New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Michigan, Wisconsin, Minnesota, Iowa, Florida, Colorado, Nevada, New Mexico, and Oregon.

    . Why didn't CNN show how much Sen. Clinton is ahead in these states, "Don't want to make obama look bad",

    April 17, 2008 12:03 pm at 12:03 pm |
  23. Ex-Hillary supporter

    After the travesty of a debate last night, Obama still emerged the winner with dignity. The barrage of negative personal attacks directed at him by Clinton and her two moderators only made me more certain than ever that he is by far the superior candidate.

    April 17, 2008 12:03 pm at 12:03 pm |
  24. Wise Dem.

    How could any one ever imagine that a Republican will win when McCain'as polices are closely aligned to the Bush failed policies.?

    Do Americans really care about the sniper fire, bitter comments and all that???? NO NO NO NO. Because there are lot of important issues.

    Get real people.

    April 17, 2008 12:03 pm at 12:03 pm |
  25. tanner, ca

    I wonder how everyone would feel when Obama meets with terrorists just like Carter is doing right now. He's said himself that it's important to talk with your enemies. Mr. Obama, are you seriously really follow the lead of Jimmy Carter and his present actions?

    April 17, 2008 12:04 pm at 12:04 pm |
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