April 17th, 2008
10:00 AM ET
15 years ago

Clinton-Obama lead McCain in 'swing' states

[cnn-photo-caption image= http://i.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2008/images/03/26/art.cand.gi.jpg caption="Sens. Obama and Clinton lead McCain in swing states according to a new poll."]
(CNN)—In potential fall match-ups, Democratic presidential candidates Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton are leading presumptive Republican nominee John McCain in states that were decisive in the 2004 election according to a new survey.

The latest Gallup Poll conducted during the first 15 days in April, consisting of more than 13,000 registered voters shows Obama and Clinton ahead by 4 points in so called “purple” or swing states with 47 percent to McCain’s 43 percent, with a margin of error of plus or minus 1 point.

In “blue” states where John Kerry won by more than 6 percentage points in 2004, Obama has a comfortable double-digit lead, while McCain leads by a slightly smaller margin in the “red” states where George Bush prevailed by more than 6 points.

Clinton has the same lead over McCain in purple states, but she does not fare as well as Obama in the “blue” states and also trails McCain by a larger margin than Obama in the traditionally Republican “red” states.

The remaining purple swing states where Bush or Kerry won by 5 points or fewer in 2004 include: New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Michigan, Wisconsin, Minnesota, Iowa, Florida, Colorado, Nevada, New Mexico, and Oregon.

soundoff (270 Responses)
  1. Monte Brown

    Obama supporters seem hateful and contemptible.

    April 17, 2008 01:45 pm at 1:45 pm |
  2. Finally Decided

    It will take McSame 3 tries to comprehend the economic quagmire America finds herself in.
    Bill will be the one to answer the 3:00 AM call and mispeak! to the columbians and bank another $800K! Bythe end of the first term Billary will be billionaires. WOW! They have a PLAN for themselves and none for the average American .

    April 17, 2008 01:48 pm at 1:48 pm |
  3. ChicoSez

    To those of you who don't believe that at least 20% of Clinton's backers will vote for McCain, you'll find out in Nov. I cannot support someone whose own supporters say so many terrible things about my candidate. Talk about the politics of personal destruction. It's not enough to beat Clinton, she has to be a terrible person as well. Over 14 million people have voted for this 'terrible' person and you'll want their votes if Obama gets the nomination. But you won't get mine. And I have been a party activist for over 40 years, through thick and thin and now I'm outta there. The dem party or whats left of it, is now the Kennedy/Obama/Kerry party. A permanent minority.

    April 17, 2008 01:50 pm at 1:50 pm |
  4. Debby

    Well its the best debate I have seen yet no clapping or booing.

    Clinton wiped the floor with him and its for a reason, she knows he won't stand up to the Republican machine come November. Her jazzing up the Bosnia landing is nothing to what will be thrown at Obama about Rezko, Ayers and Wright and it will be constant with adds and more adds when he is the nominee. McCain will steam roll him on foreign policy in a debate. His platform on Hope and Change won't work in dog eat dog politics of today.

    April 17, 2008 01:50 pm at 1:50 pm |
  5. Pure Amazement

    Linda, LInda, Linda....
    Your must be watching another election coverage to equate Hillary with Honesty.... Everyone knows those two words don't belong in the same sentence.. Get real. There is a poll out that over 1/2 the voting people believe she is dishonest....

    April 17, 2008 01:52 pm at 1:52 pm |
  6. uchujin

    Monte Brown:

    No, we just find the lack of intellectual integrity and double standards employed by Clinton supporters deplorable.

    April 17, 2008 01:53 pm at 1:53 pm |
  7. Enough said

    question to Hillary: Do you think Obama is electable?

    answer from Hillary: Yes! Yes! Yes!

    enough said.

    April 17, 2008 01:53 pm at 1:53 pm |
  8. Pennsylvania calling

    Okay – Clinton Camp may WISH the Debate was "game changing" – I'm sure that is what Stephanopolis (Clinton's former aid and wanna-be future aid) wishes as well – And this was a game changer – for ABC – their news department has totally LOST ALL CREDABILITY

    April 17, 2008 01:53 pm at 1:53 pm |
  9. Independent and Lovin It

    Whats going to be really comical (if Obama sweet talks his way to the Presidency) sheepishly makes excuses as to why he puts troops back in Iraq after he prematurely withdraws troops against his commanders' advice (who actually have some military and foreign policy understanding)? Once he screws the situation up there and allows the fighting to get worse he will be facing chants to stop the genocide in Iraq, just like Darfur, and will have to put troops back. Or even better will be seeing how he blames President Bush or McCain when he doesn't come through on his promise to 'completely withdraw within 18 months' or whatever other crap he has promised. Hey Obamorons, don't be fooled by another smooth talking politician who promises whatever to get elected.

    By the way, Dave B., right on in your post. Well said. But since Paul probably wouldn't win, go McCain!

    April 17, 2008 01:54 pm at 1:54 pm |
  10. Obama - POTUS

    I have no problem with ABC asking Obama those questions in the debate and I think he handled them pretty well. Unlike Hillary who would threw a tantrum even for being asked questions first !! What I and I think most Obama supporters have a problem with, is that George and Charlie didn't ask Hillary equally tough questions about Mark Penn, about the columbia trade etc.

    I, as an Obama supporter, have enough confidence in my candidate that he can asnwer any tough questions intelligently as he has been. But I do have a problem with him being called anit- american or a liar !! Any person with common sense can see that the man like Hillary cares about the country. He probably cares a lot more than Hillary does !!

    April 17, 2008 01:55 pm at 1:55 pm |
  11. paulie_nj

    He also just said if the Republicans come after him with typical political tactics then he'll go after them. HYPOCRITE!

    April 17, 2008 01:55 pm at 1:55 pm |
  12. eddie n. powellnye

    ABC shame on you. It is the "PEOPLE" stupid. It took one of the Clintonite's to called out HRC for what she really is. If anyone noticed,
    she still in her admission of lying added she must get more sleep. Like Joe Scarbourough and all the others, Obama is going to be our next president. Honesty wins out everytime. All these talking heads are all the same. Us small town folks understand a lot more that we are given credit. Most of us were educated in large cities (PHILLY) and know that people like George and Joe will do or say anything like HRC to promote themselves. We want to let them and the CLINTONITES know that the page in politics has been turned. November has already been determined. The problem with all of them is they haven't awaken to that reality yet. Another old saying -
    "LET SLEEPING LIE". Now you have awaken the sleeping dog, "IT
    IS NOT POLITICS AS USUAL ANYMORE" . Thank God for Obama!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    April 17, 2008 01:56 pm at 1:56 pm |
  13. Melmarie

    ABC was soooo biased!!!! Why didn't they attack Hillary about Mark Penn the same way that Obama was attack about Rev.Wright?! Was there even any Mark Penn questions? Makes me wonder she wrote some of the questions herself. So even though there was 3 against 1 last night Obama still came out on top and that is why he will be our next President.

    Obama '08

    April 17, 2008 01:56 pm at 1:56 pm |
  14. linda

    Seven years ago, Sen. Barack Obama was on the board of a Chicago charity when his former boss, Allison S. Davis, came looking for money.

    At the time, Davis was a developer represented by the law firm where Obama worked, as well as a small contributor to Obama's political campaign funds. He wanted the charity to help fund his plans to build housing for low-income Chicagoans.

    When Allison Davis (right) sought money for a project, his former employee, Sen. Barack Obama, voted to help.

    Obama agreed. He voted with other directors of the Woods Fund of Chicago to invest $1 million with Neighborhood Rejuvenation Partners L.P., a $17 million partnership that Davis still operates.

    It's not clear whether Obama told other board members of his ties to Davis, whose family would go on to donate more than $25,000 to Obama's political campaigns, including his bid to be president of the United States.

    "Let me get back to you on that," Obama presidential campaign spokesman Bill Burton said when asked about that two weeks ago. He never did.

    April 17, 2008 01:59 pm at 1:59 pm |
  15. Obama Winning

    They have a poll going on Fox.com on who you think won last nights debate. Obama is way up in this poll.

    April 17, 2008 02:06 pm at 2:06 pm |
  16. STOP

    Obama supporters need to stop. I am a Hillary supporter and I beleive Obama will win the nomination. But his supporters will make it hard for anyone who supports hillary to vote for him. So he may win the battle for the nominaton but he will lose the war for the white house, unless the tone changes. Somebody made a challenge for the supporters of Hillary and Obama to say something good about the other one and I dont think anyone took them up on it, maybe I will start. I am a Hillary supporter, but I do beleive that Obama's unique childhood can bring something great to the white house and and the world.

    April 17, 2008 02:10 pm at 2:10 pm |
  17. Jan

    Another thing Obamabots do not realize is that a lot of independents are voting for Hilary of which I am one. Please do not insult my intelligence by stating, with latte in hand, that I am a traitor to the democratic party if I take McCain over Obama. I will vote for the best leader–not follow the "groupies" of which you are a part. After all, this IS the USA of which I am a part-no matter who I vote for.

    April 17, 2008 02:14 pm at 2:14 pm |
  18. Independent for Obama

    Rechi-tell me, what does 'patriotism' mean to you? Please, do not begin with explaining what it doesn't mean in half thought out references to Senator Obama. In my opinion, he is exactly the kind of patriotic American we need as president. I get the feeling I'm not the only one thinking this right now.

    Independents for Obama in 08 and 12.

    April 17, 2008 02:14 pm at 2:14 pm |
  19. Mike in PA

    Barack may have struggled a bit last night but at least he has a chance against McCain, Clinton has zero chance of winning. Her honesty level is at an all time low and she is running on EXPERIENCE. McCain will level her when it comes to experience. She CAN'T WIN.

    April 17, 2008 02:18 pm at 2:18 pm |
  20. Brian

    Linda: "New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Michigan, Wisconsin, Minnesota, Iowa, Florida, Colorado, Nevada, New Mexico, and Oregon.

    . Why didn't CNN show how much Sen. Clinton is ahead in these states, "Don't want to make obama look bad"

    Out of those states Obama won 6 clinton won 4 (2 of which Obama did not appear on the ballot or campaign) and 2 have not voted yet (currently it looks like they will split PA and OR). Oh and in these states Obama is up by 96 total pledged delegates. Perhaps do some research next time.

    April 17, 2008 02:20 pm at 2:20 pm |
  21. mitch from ark.

    apparently,obama is 'electable',and perhaps hillary is not.mccain can't win,with his support of bush's policies.

    April 17, 2008 02:24 pm at 2:24 pm |
  22. Ahead in the National Polls

    We all know the reason Obama is ahead – he is getting the African American vote – it has nothing to do with his being the right person or not – period. Which is sad because we are facing tougher times than what we are already facing and Obama will not be the person to straighten things out. If he is the nominee, McCain gets my vote – no matter what the DNC or for that matter Hillary wants – period.

    April 17, 2008 02:26 pm at 2:26 pm |
  23. HP Boston

    Monte Brown April 17th, 2008 1:45 pm ET

    Obama supporters seem hateful and contemptible.
    Yes they are so we will never vote for him , ever! He is not electable period!

    April 17, 2008 02:28 pm at 2:28 pm |
  24. California girl

    UCLA students for Hillary!

    April 17, 2008 02:28 pm at 2:28 pm |
  25. John Smith

    There is a diffrence between being "educated" vs. being "learned."

    After reading 95% of the notes (blogs) above, here are some conclusions:

    1. Hillary's supporters may be learned, but they are not educated. That is, they show gross negligence in doing research to uncover the truth.

    2. Majority of Hillary's supporters write using "uppercase" letters, suggesting that they are rude, bitter, and inconsiderate.

    3. Like their candidate, most of Obama supporters are very humble and put this nation "first". Wealth and greed are seen as secondary or remote issues.

    April 17, 2008 02:29 pm at 2:29 pm |
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