April 17th, 2008
10:00 AM ET
15 years ago

Clinton-Obama lead McCain in 'swing' states

[cnn-photo-caption image= http://i.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2008/images/03/26/art.cand.gi.jpg caption="Sens. Obama and Clinton lead McCain in swing states according to a new poll."]
(CNN)—In potential fall match-ups, Democratic presidential candidates Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton are leading presumptive Republican nominee John McCain in states that were decisive in the 2004 election according to a new survey.

The latest Gallup Poll conducted during the first 15 days in April, consisting of more than 13,000 registered voters shows Obama and Clinton ahead by 4 points in so called “purple” or swing states with 47 percent to McCain’s 43 percent, with a margin of error of plus or minus 1 point.

In “blue” states where John Kerry won by more than 6 percentage points in 2004, Obama has a comfortable double-digit lead, while McCain leads by a slightly smaller margin in the “red” states where George Bush prevailed by more than 6 points.

Clinton has the same lead over McCain in purple states, but she does not fare as well as Obama in the “blue” states and also trails McCain by a larger margin than Obama in the traditionally Republican “red” states.

The remaining purple swing states where Bush or Kerry won by 5 points or fewer in 2004 include: New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Michigan, Wisconsin, Minnesota, Iowa, Florida, Colorado, Nevada, New Mexico, and Oregon.

soundoff (270 Responses)
  1. Ana in L.A.

    She was much stronger than Obama during last night's ABC debate. Obama became flustered way too easily and frequently. Sen. Clinton looked much more at ease and confident. Also, her plan were much more detailed and well-explained than Obama's.

    April 17, 2008 12:04 pm at 12:04 pm |
  2. Michael

    Can Hillary's supporters stop playing to racist fears by saying Obama can't win when ALL the data shows he will win, etc?

    April 17, 2008 12:04 pm at 12:04 pm |
  3. vince - Phoenix - (forgive me cnn, for I have sinned)

    last night's "debate" was nothng short of a coordinated ambush.

    April 17, 2008 12:04 pm at 12:04 pm |





    April 17, 2008 12:05 pm at 12:05 pm |
  5. Bayou Joe

    Dream on James. Obama will be lucky to win back his Senate seat after the Republicans and us Moderate Democrats get done with him.

    April 17, 2008 12:05 pm at 12:05 pm |
  6. Paula in WI

    abc news website shows a video of last night and their take on it.Some of the Clinton superdelegates are switching to Obama.Guess Mrs C's comments and behavior in her campaign has backfired yet again.

    April 17, 2008 12:06 pm at 12:06 pm |
  7. brain

    Kelin April 17th, 2008 11:53 am ET

    Did Joe Scarbourough read any of this or will he FIND a poll that says what he wants it to say?

    I am with you on this one. I am sick and tired of that guy. He wishes to be Obama. I don't watch their show like I used to.
    I will never watch ABC, and I only watch Keith Olberman

    April 17, 2008 12:06 pm at 12:06 pm |
  8. PA Democrat

    The Democrats will win in Nov. also there is alot a talk about FLAG PIN – I see Hillary WASN'T wearing the All importand Flag Pin last night! Oh no comment there uh!
    You go Obama! Your focus was on the Issues ALL night Long!!!
    Hillary had alot of fluff and less substance!

    April 17, 2008 12:07 pm at 12:07 pm |
  9. Independent

    We`ve had enough of Republican "trickle down" economics and an endless occupation in Iraq. -----– Where the Bushes` are concerned, it`s always-- The Economy, Stupid !!

    April 17, 2008 12:07 pm at 12:07 pm |
  10. Johnson

    There is a fundamental ideological difference between McCain and either of the democratic nominee. If you are a supporter of one of the democratic nominee, I don't see how you can support John McCain. You are supporting a person based on how old he is? McCain has gone back on everything he has said. I respected McCain as an individual who was not in line with mainstream republicans. However, during this campaign he has tried to modify his sayings, policies, and actions to match that of mainstream republicans. How can anyone support an individual who sells out his values so that he can get elected? What sort of candor or will does this individual have if he is flip-flopping like a banked fish?

    April 17, 2008 12:08 pm at 12:08 pm |
  11. Corey, Maryland

    Thus proving the point that Obama is more electable than Hillary!!

    Obama Richardson 08!!!

    April 17, 2008 12:08 pm at 12:08 pm |
  12. linda

    April in Texas. I have been reading your posts for obama, and now you say you would have voted for hillary before this debate, Look out God may get you for lying.

    April 17, 2008 12:09 pm at 12:09 pm |
  13. Tootie

    Mark my words if we have a ticket with Obama-Clinton or
    Clinton Obama we will win, otherwise the republications are going to win again

    April 17, 2008 12:09 pm at 12:09 pm |
  14. Penn State

    Obama supporters are sooooo BITTER!! You guys are just mad that ABC called Obama out on all of his mess. Not everybody is on Obama's side. Go Hillary and go ABC!!!

    April 17, 2008 12:11 pm at 12:11 pm |
  15. James, SC

    See Hillary. Senaator Obama is carrying the same BLUE states better than you; and he is looking much better in the swing states. Yes, you are right. He can win He can win He can win!

    April 17, 2008 12:11 pm at 12:11 pm |
  16. Zeppo!!

    Bravo to ABC!

    Finally a media outlet asked Obama some tough questions.

    Notice the level of anger among the Obama supporters lately? Its a little disturbing, they really can't take a few punches huh?


    April 17, 2008 12:11 pm at 12:11 pm |
  17. TeamObama

    Did you know that if (big IF) Hillary wins ALL of the remaining primaries by 20% points (yes that was 20% points) she will still have less pledged delagates than Barack Obama. Interesting.....

    April 17, 2008 12:11 pm at 12:11 pm |
  18. NOBAMA

    Greg in NY – that was hilarious! And right on!!

    April 17, 2008 12:11 pm at 12:11 pm |
  19. @americans

    ok, show this to the Obama critics or no, scratch that...ABC!!!

    OBAMA '08!

    April 17, 2008 12:11 pm at 12:11 pm |
  20. Jasmyne

    This is GREAT news. The absolute last thing I want is a Republican in the White House for another 4+ years.

    April 17, 2008 12:12 pm at 12:12 pm |
  21. I.D. from NY, NY

    HILLARY-ous. The funniest thing is that Hillary's toughest battle isn't with Obama or McCain. It's with herself... and she's losing.

    April 17, 2008 12:13 pm at 12:13 pm |
  22. ABG

    All I know is, anyone who says people have "antipathy toward others that are different" will never have my vote!

    I am sure the Republicans have many more sound bites than that awful and unecessary remark.

    Does anyone know why Obama never said anything when his donors were laughing in the back round at Pennsylvanians expense?

    April 17, 2008 12:13 pm at 12:13 pm |
  23. Chris, Middletown, CT

    Who is voting for Clinton....I want to meet both of them....or perhaps they "misspoke"

    April 17, 2008 12:14 pm at 12:14 pm |
  24. Kelley

    Early voting in NC today, I cast my vote for OBAMA

    April 17, 2008 12:14 pm at 12:14 pm |
  25. Peter

    Did Gallup say Obama would win New Hampshire?

    April 17, 2008 12:16 pm at 12:16 pm |
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