April 17th, 2008
10:00 AM ET
15 years ago

Clinton-Obama lead McCain in 'swing' states

[cnn-photo-caption image= http://i.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2008/images/03/26/art.cand.gi.jpg caption="Sens. Obama and Clinton lead McCain in swing states according to a new poll."]
(CNN)—In potential fall match-ups, Democratic presidential candidates Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton are leading presumptive Republican nominee John McCain in states that were decisive in the 2004 election according to a new survey.

The latest Gallup Poll conducted during the first 15 days in April, consisting of more than 13,000 registered voters shows Obama and Clinton ahead by 4 points in so called “purple” or swing states with 47 percent to McCain’s 43 percent, with a margin of error of plus or minus 1 point.

In “blue” states where John Kerry won by more than 6 percentage points in 2004, Obama has a comfortable double-digit lead, while McCain leads by a slightly smaller margin in the “red” states where George Bush prevailed by more than 6 points.

Clinton has the same lead over McCain in purple states, but she does not fare as well as Obama in the “blue” states and also trails McCain by a larger margin than Obama in the traditionally Republican “red” states.

The remaining purple swing states where Bush or Kerry won by 5 points or fewer in 2004 include: New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Michigan, Wisconsin, Minnesota, Iowa, Florida, Colorado, Nevada, New Mexico, and Oregon.

soundoff (270 Responses)
  1. Ben

    Yes, Yes, Yes, she says, he can....Obama 08

    April 17, 2008 12:17 pm at 12:17 pm |
  2. Allen, Lubbock, TX

    Who's more electable again??? i pretty sure all signs point to Obama!

    April 17, 2008 12:18 pm at 12:18 pm |
  3. Typical White Person

    Means nothing..all these pre polls mean nothing until there in one Dem and on Rep running.

    Obama needs to just drop out an go away. He will never win.

    April 17, 2008 12:18 pm at 12:18 pm |
  4. Patrick from CA

    Why are you Obamamaniacs so blinded by this young punk?

    Oh I know!!!!!

    You don't know anything about this man. Do you?

    Rezko, Writgt, Ayres, Farrakhan, etc..

    Who's next?

    (Come out come out whoever you are...)

    Hilary '08

    April 17, 2008 12:19 pm at 12:19 pm |
  5. Ilona Proud Canadian

    Kelin, this poll was taken from a "sample" of 13,000 registered voters!

    Greg, thanks for the chuckle, it was really good.

    Independent for Hillary, do you honestly believe that 20% of Hillary's supporters will vote for McCain, if she loses? I don't.

    Obama Supporters,

    YES HE CAN........ YES HE CAN....!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    April 17, 2008 12:19 pm at 12:19 pm |
  6. lol

    obama is starting to show the world he can't stand up to the pressure of hillary, let alone the republicans and the swiftboaters. without his teleprompter, and speech writer his oratorical skills are lacking. the dnc has to realize he will lose if he is the nominee.Hillary really out shined him in last nights debate.

    April 17, 2008 12:20 pm at 12:20 pm |
  7. Lee WV

    Hillary folded her trump card last night when she admitted on national TV ,yes ,yes ,yes ,he is electable.That was her only agruement left to use against him.Yes Americans do care about the sniperfire remarks,they were lies.Yes shre will probably win PA ,no big surprise,however the few delegates she gains she will lose back in NC,and probably Indiana.I will vote for Obama in Nov only if Hillary is not on the ticket as VP,otherwise its McCain for me.

    April 17, 2008 12:21 pm at 12:21 pm |
  8. Thomas For Hillary

    I hope people don't look into these polls too much. These same polls in 2004 had Kerry slamming Bush around this same time and we all know how that story ended. Please Obama and Clinton supporters don't read too much into these polls, the real polls are when the people vote. I do agree though with a previous post, if Obama is the nominee, the only way he will win or for the fact McCain will win is who will get Hillary's supporters. With the way Obama's supporters act, it's going to be hard for him to get Hillary supporters on his side.

    April 17, 2008 12:21 pm at 12:21 pm |
  9. Johnny Boy

    Hil-lie-ary is a turely evil person. Instead of sticking the issues, she starts petty crap that I do not care about. So, the way I see this lady is: It is ok to lie to get your point across and then say sorry. We the people let these people off the hook all the time and I have had it. Not only will I totally undermine her(spread every lie I can againt her, just like she does), if she steals Obama's nom, I will sure as Haties, vote for John Mcbush. Why should I care, she NEEDS to be stopped. She will lie to us even more now that her has gotten away with it. Please ladies, it is NOT because she is a woman, it is just plain ole her. She will LOOSE if she goes againt Mcbush.

    OBAMA or MCbUSCH ( I will never use the big "B" with his name)

    April 17, 2008 12:21 pm at 12:21 pm |
  10. Ted

    Hmm I live in Ohio and the latest polls show McCain only getting beat by Hillary by 6 points but he beats Obama by 10.Again same old tactics CNN is using to confuse voters .Just like Ohio Pennsylvannia will deliver for Clinton .CNN your polls fail to mention 28%Clinton voters will vote McCain its higher than that in Ohio and Florida .You cannot win general without these two swing states and the republicans and the news media should know this by now .

    April 17, 2008 12:21 pm at 12:21 pm |
  11. Hillary or McCain - There IS no other choice

    Now for Obama wrote:

    If the voices of the people are overturned and Hillary steals this nomination, then there will be rallying in the streets!


    Are you sure you don't mean rioting? You Obamabots are really scary people

    And besides, the only one who stole anything is your hero – he stole Florida's and Michigan's votes, so once again, it's a case of the pot calling the kettle black

    Doesn't matter – I'll get even by voting for McCain in November. Oblahblah will only get away with stealing my vote once

    April 17, 2008 12:21 pm at 12:21 pm |
  12. Now for Obama

    Why are Hillary supporters pushing an Obama/Hillary ticket? NO ONE TRUSTS HILLARY! She can not win without Obama but Obama does not need her...she is the complete opposite of him (lying, manipulative, shrew)

    April 17, 2008 12:21 pm at 12:21 pm |
  13. Go Obama

    I have been a staunch Hillary supporter till last night when I realized Hillary is in bed with these cable networks. I will never vote for her.

    Good job ABC for your hit job!

    April 17, 2008 12:22 pm at 12:22 pm |
  14. Caroline

    I can't figure out who would vote for HRC at this point. Just like I couldn't figure out who in their right mind would vote for George W Bush in 2000, and good Lord, again in 2004.......

    The only thing that makes sense in my mind (plus some pretty darn good evidence in 2000 and 2004) is that the elections were rigged.

    Let us hope that it does not happen again. The neocons are a very determined bunch–they will not just cede power. Everyone should be very wary. And to this point, HRC has certainly acted like she's a friend of neocons.

    Bush and Co. have damaged this country immensely. HRC is NOT the one who has any chance of fixing anything. She is extremely shady and untruthful and divisive and has the same "God appointed me" mentality that GW Bush has.

    God help us all.

    Obama '08

    April 17, 2008 12:22 pm at 12:22 pm |
  15. April in Texas

    This wasnt a debate it was a tabloid debacle and ABC should be discusted in themselves. Charles and George spent 50 minutes asking about nothing. It was a one way mudslinging fest which if thats what they were after the questions should have been fair for both. Clinton was never asked many questions I want answered such as why Mark Penn is still with her campaign. What about the Peter Paul trial which is scheduled in Nov. What about the contradictions of NAFTA and CAFTA. What about the 800,000 her husband recieved and the conflict there. What about the missing transcripts from the whitehouse. What about the donors to the Clinton Foundation. I could go on and on.

    The DNC needs to end this now as if I was unsure before I am certain now that Hillary Clinton will NEVER get my vote.
    Obama or nothing… If I wasnt BITTER before I am now… Tabloid reporting at its finest c/o ABC which I will now boycott. A written apology for not addressing real issues such as more on the housing issues healthcare the economy ect. anything would have been better than what the american people received..

    Obama 08

    April 17, 2008 12:22 pm at 12:22 pm |
  16. U

    History has a chance to be made because either a white woman or a black man could become the next president of the US. In a sense it is already a sign of change like when Jackie Robinson became the first black baseball player to play the major leagues with the white players.

    Jackie Robinson became that first player because he represented all the right things : calm man, great player, looked honest and understood that what he would accomplish would leave a legacy for others to follow long after he is gone. But are Hillary Clinton or Barrack Obama have what it takes?

    Let's see : Hillary Clinton has showned she is a dishonest person, a person who likes to get dirty, she makes up stories to win votes, a bad loser and does not seem to realize that all the mud slinging he is doing is very negative because it gives a terrible image of women and thus is a major setback for the advancement of women in society. She clearly is no Jackie Robinson and not the right woman for the job.

    Let's see : Barrack Obama has showned that is a good man who gave a lot of is time to charity as a community organizer, he remains calm in the face of the vicious attacks directed at him. He seems very aware that by becoming the first black president is not only a oportunity and a challenge both also a great responsability because the big interests do not want him in the White house. He also remains graceful and compliments his rivals even if any regular joe would just want to curse at them. He clearly is a Jackie Robinson and the right man for the job.

    I hope people in Pensylvania will see this and hopefully, CNN will show my comments on TV too.

    April 17, 2008 12:23 pm at 12:23 pm |
  17. Pure Amazement



    April 17, 2008 12:23 pm at 12:23 pm |
  18. Joan

    Headline should be "Obama-Clinton lead McCain in 'swing' states"

    as Obama is the fronrunner.

    I notice the subtle bias of CNN and other media outlets.

    CNN = Clinton News Network?

    April 17, 2008 12:24 pm at 12:24 pm |
  19. Michael G- Ventura, CA

    Hope these numbers glare at the Super Delegates...and I hope they were watching the so-called "debate" on ABC last night.
    It is unfortunate that the commentators were more interested in tabloid tv than in the issues of the campaign.
    The fact that Senator Clinton continues to stir that pot in a setting such as that should tell them that this is NOT what we want the Democratic message to be.
    Senator Obama kept trying with dignity to get back to the issues- but the pile on continued.
    He is the one for this time and brings true hope instead of fear.

    April 17, 2008 12:25 pm at 12:25 pm |
  20. Nick

    Obama didn't move to Chicago because of Ayer underground. He happened to teach in the same school and sit in the same Wood foundation board.
    Does that mean he is a criminal. If he is, then what we call George Bush and Dick Chiney, who have committed real crimes?

    Go Obama!

    April 17, 2008 12:25 pm at 12:25 pm |
  21. White/female/age 55/Texan

    Mark- what you call folding, I call taking the highroad. And Ana in LA. – of course she looks very "at ease and confident" as she takes the low road.

    And another thing – why is she not wearing a flag pin on her lapel???
    Talk about a double standard –


    April 17, 2008 12:26 pm at 12:26 pm |
  22. Pure Amazement

    Patrick from CA,
    The scary thing is you know most of Hillary's dirt and you still support her.... I am sticking with the unknown.... I WILL TAKE MY CHANCES!

    April 17, 2008 12:26 pm at 12:26 pm |
  23. Paris

    The pattern with Obama is undeniable.
    He refused to say he will retaliate if Israel was attacked, this shows who he is.
    Just look at the list of people he surround himself with, one more added to the list last night.
    Now CNN please take a few pointers from ABC this is how you conduct a fair debate.
    Thanks you ABC.

    April 17, 2008 12:26 pm at 12:26 pm |
  24. Janet

    I understand completely why Jack Cafferty and others at CNN love Senator and Mrs Obama. What a beautiful, exotic, elegant couple.They are all hoping some of the gold dust will rub off on them. They are both articulate, educated, and are America's sweethearts along with their two cute daughters.

    April 17, 2008 12:27 pm at 12:27 pm |
  25. ILoveAmerica

    Hillary said in the debate last night that she "hoped people would overlook" the fact that she fabricated a story about her bravery under sniper fire and repeated it several times.

    Why should anyone overlook such a thing? It proves she is not ready to meet the most basic standards of honesty, even when addressing her own supporters.

    April 17, 2008 12:27 pm at 12:27 pm |
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