April 17th, 2008
10:00 AM ET
15 years ago

Clinton-Obama lead McCain in 'swing' states

[cnn-photo-caption image= http://i.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2008/images/03/26/art.cand.gi.jpg caption="Sens. Obama and Clinton lead McCain in swing states according to a new poll."]
(CNN)—In potential fall match-ups, Democratic presidential candidates Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton are leading presumptive Republican nominee John McCain in states that were decisive in the 2004 election according to a new survey.

The latest Gallup Poll conducted during the first 15 days in April, consisting of more than 13,000 registered voters shows Obama and Clinton ahead by 4 points in so called “purple” or swing states with 47 percent to McCain’s 43 percent, with a margin of error of plus or minus 1 point.

In “blue” states where John Kerry won by more than 6 percentage points in 2004, Obama has a comfortable double-digit lead, while McCain leads by a slightly smaller margin in the “red” states where George Bush prevailed by more than 6 points.

Clinton has the same lead over McCain in purple states, but she does not fare as well as Obama in the “blue” states and also trails McCain by a larger margin than Obama in the traditionally Republican “red” states.

The remaining purple swing states where Bush or Kerry won by 5 points or fewer in 2004 include: New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Michigan, Wisconsin, Minnesota, Iowa, Florida, Colorado, Nevada, New Mexico, and Oregon.

soundoff (270 Responses)
  1. Jan

    PLease do not get upset, Obamabots, Your candidate is ahead because of media bias to Hilary from other sources. Hilary did say she would support him if he is the nominee–because she cares about all of you and her country which she has given much of her life to.
    You people looking for handouts from us working people should remember the words from a past leader who shared the same ideals. "ask not what your country can do for you, but ask what you can do for your country". I do not yet know what Barrack has done for his country-but, I do know the Clintons have given much! PS if you are too young to remember the orator of those words, it was JFK and I truly believe they were original–not plagerized.

    April 17, 2008 12:45 pm at 12:45 pm |
  2. Marc, Tacoma Wash

    Deb, you have been on saying the same thing. Before you judge, ask Bill why did he ask Penn to lobby congress for Colombia after he received 800,000 dollars. Ask Hillary, about when she was on the board for Wallmart and a member said that Union Members are the lowest of human species. I guess you must also feel that way Deb. Ask some real serious questions. Ask Hillary in 95, why did she say to Bill Clinton to forget the Southern White Boys since they have done nothing for Bill. And she wants to be President. How come she can budget this economy, yet she is in debt with her campaign. Wow, I think she will save our economy....................NOT!

    April 17, 2008 12:46 pm at 12:46 pm |
  3. peace

    Regarding the debate last night, Hillary did "appear" stronger as she was very adept at telling us everything we want to hear. As the commentators pointed out, she won't be able to deliver and we all know that she has a tendency to forget and misspeak. I think it was good for Obama to go through what he did last night as it will make him stronger for the fall.

    The bottom line is that in order for America to get better each of us have to stand up and reject tabloid journalism and negative campaigning. As long as we fall for the negativity and fear rather than focusing on the issues, we will always end up with presidents like Bush and people getting poorer. Let's reject all media influence and show them that we are bright enough to make up our own minds. They only give us what they think we want and obviously they think we all want jerry springer politics.

    This country has shown its resiliency throughout its history and I believe we can overcome the life-threatening issues that are facing us if we all get involved.

    Regarding McCain, it is easy to look good when you have no competition. Given he flip flops his stands so much, I'm not sure what he stands for. This is something each of us needs to research before we vote for him out of vengence because our candidate did not get nominated. Remember this is how George Bush got elected – fear and negativity as the Republican Party really does not have any platforms except making the rich richer, but they manage to get the rest of us involved by appealing to our fear and narrow-mindedness.

    Some of you have been very negative about the new and young voters, why don't you as "experienced" voters show others how to evaluate candidates in the best interest of the country! As the Bible says, before you speak negatively about your neighbor, get the plank out of your own eye!

    April 17, 2008 12:46 pm at 12:46 pm |
  4. merle 7

    Why are people so angry about the debate? democrats don't care about the issues any way. They care about these personal issues more ,simply because McCain is ahead in the national polls confirms this. This could be a democratic year ,but because of personal likes and dislikes of Dem candidates we are willing to through it away. The republicans have run this nation in the groud with all its abuse of power in the oval office. Americans should definately no time soon or maybe even ever want to elect another republican. But because voters vote on emotions rather than what really matters the dems always lose,so sad for america.

    April 17, 2008 12:46 pm at 12:46 pm |
  5. Joe

    Deb, I suggest you get over your fears. You were never going to vote for Obama anyway. I think you have been listening to your candidate too long.

    April 17, 2008 12:46 pm at 12:46 pm |
  6. wolfsbane

    Do not try it, CNN.

    The idea of a joint ticket, a Clinton-Obama with Clinton on top no less, is repugnant.

    There will be no Clinton on the presidential ticket.

    Obama 08!

    April 17, 2008 12:46 pm at 12:46 pm |
  7. Rose

    Obviously, last night Hillary said not just once, not twice, but THREE times that "YES, YES, YES, Obama will win"

    Or maybe she was under the influence of "Crown Royal" or was still trying to recall memories of the Bosnia trip and sniper fire....or I just "misspoke..."

    I am sure if Hellary gets the nomination, Joe Lieberman will be the next "Secretary of State"...and where will the white house be relocated?....

    April 17, 2008 12:46 pm at 12:46 pm |
  8. Brian

    Why are you Obamamaniacs so blinded by this young punk?

    Oh I know!!!!!

    You don't know anything about this man. Do you?

    Rezko, Writgt, Ayres, Farrakhan, etc..

    Who's next?

    (Come out come out whoever you are… 😉

    Hilary '08

    Typical HRC supporter trying to Scare the people. He doesn't even make it known that his opinion was paid for by Colombians for Free trade.

    April 17, 2008 12:46 pm at 12:46 pm |
  9. Marty

    LOL, Hillary is a scank and a loser. This will all be over soon, thank God.

    April 17, 2008 12:47 pm at 12:47 pm |
  10. linda

    Let's see : Hillary Clinton has showned she is a honest person, a person who likes to get things done for the good of the country, she works very hard to win votes, Unlike obama, who is a bad loser and does not seem to realize that all the mud slinging he is doing is very negative because it gives a terrible image of the men and thus is a major setback for the advancement of men in society. She clearly is another Jackie Robinson and is the right woman for the job.

    .Hillary 08

    April 17, 2008 12:47 pm at 12:47 pm |
  11. Sharon Minnesota

    No matter what, no vote for OBAMA here!

    April 17, 2008 12:48 pm at 12:48 pm |
  12. Marc, Tacoma Wash

    Cheryl for Hillary, you again? You just don't quit. I just brought up some real issues and I would like to see you answer them. I bet you there is no way you can. Join the Obama train Cheryl. Don't join the racist train.

    April 17, 2008 12:48 pm at 12:48 pm |
  13. Elizabeth, Canada

    If Hillary steals the election, or McCain gets in, it will be too bad for America. The world has watched you botch things up pretty bad over the last eight years with G. Bush. You have lost your standing in our eyes. What's four more years of a poor image.

    Barack is your only hope.

    April 17, 2008 12:49 pm at 12:49 pm |
  14. Sue

    Cheryl, You were sked nicely to stop yelling at evrybody, not to mention the fact that you take up so many lines people don't get to respond. Support your candidate, but dear God be a lady about it!

    April 17, 2008 12:51 pm at 12:51 pm |
  15. Tony

    Now Clintonians "WHO'S MORE ELECTABLE?"

    April 17, 2008 12:51 pm at 12:51 pm |
  16. Sue

    One more idiot sent to the White House, won't matter. I'm sure Killary and McSame will continue to botch things up, and lie about it.

    April 17, 2008 12:51 pm at 12:51 pm |
  17. dAnnE

    A lot of people are worried about Obama's "friends" and I find that very amusing. The way some of you come off as so bias, discriminatory, irrational and angry, I would like to know who your friends are so I can blame them for your actions (since we are so repsonsible for the craziness of others these days).

    April 17, 2008 12:52 pm at 12:52 pm |
  18. emmaAtlanta

    Rezko, Farrakhan, Ayres, Wright and the list goes on and on. The only thing I am currently doing is to pray for the 'Witches of Obama' to clear from peoples' eyes before Tuesday, April 22. It is not a mere say. Miracles happen and I know God answers prayers. Hillary will win big!

    April 17, 2008 12:52 pm at 12:52 pm |
  19. Jon, Pittsburgh, PA

    Obama's biggest problem is his supporters. They have shown themselves time and again to be very rude and obnoxious. They bullied their ways to win in the Caucus states. They make very strong and ugly remarks about Clinton that are, for the most part, baseless. As a result, he will have a very hard time converting Clinton supporters to his cause – fellow Democrats or not. I know many that are adament that they will not vote for him in the general no matter what.

    April 17, 2008 12:52 pm at 12:52 pm |
  20. rabblerouser

    If anyone thinks that Obama "won" the debate last night, then you are dumb with a capital D. Obama was his usual vague self, and esp. on the question of Iran and Israel seemed (as usual) to want things both ways. This is how he has been all along and it probably comes from him being new to politics. He certainly comes across as wishy-washy which is why alot of people like him – he's not as threatening as Hillary is. But do we want a wishy-washy President?

    He can chant all he wants about wanting to change the old politics in Washington, but can he?

    It's too bad his pride goes before his fall. If he were really a smart man, he'd take the VP position to Hillary's Presidential nominee and spend the next 4 years learning. But his arrogance is amazing – he probably feels he has nothing to learn. Too bad for him and for the Dems.

    April 17, 2008 12:52 pm at 12:52 pm |
  21. Mitch, NY

    We want higher gas prices, forclosures, a housing fiasco, torture, VP who say so, when asked about the American people, oh and wire tapping. In fact, there's no difference in our country and Russia.

    Thanks Republicans for the worst 7 years of my life.

    April 17, 2008 12:53 pm at 12:53 pm |
  22. Clayton

    Since we are breaking skeleton's out of the closet
    how about hclinton's affiliation with whitewater and that scam
    guess all of clinton's supporters don't want to remember that
    the clinton's are on a power trip and they will say anything and do
    anything to get back into the white house and use of the presidential plane
    so she can travel to those 80 countires with her family again at our expense and dodge bullets.
    The clinton's will do nothing for hispanics go Obamma go.

    April 17, 2008 12:54 pm at 12:54 pm |
  23. Real people for real man.

    I can't believe that some people want Hillary to take credit for her husband era, but not take criticism for the bad dids.

    Her 35 years of experience was not discussed by ABC last night, they focus on Obama relationship with fellow Americans whom did wrong or made wrong comments in the past.
    Hillary escaped harsh questions about her corrupt deal with Paul, Columbia trade deal, NFTA, WAl-MART relationship with a man who was also very negative to America people.

    The bottom point is if she takes credit for all the good stuff her husband did, she should also take responsibility for the the wrong act of her husband. Without Bill Clinton Hillary has no chance .

    Sure Obama will beat Mccain if Hillary will agree to step aside, but Hillary will run as a Republican or Indep..come 2012.

    April 17, 2008 12:54 pm at 12:54 pm |
  24. MD

    None of this matters to Hillary. She is in this for the money now. If she quits now, she cannot "steal" money from people any more. So let's all "chill" yntil June rolls around, and at that point, I hope we never see the Clintons ever again.

    April 17, 2008 12:55 pm at 12:55 pm |
  25. vince - Phoenix

    So... the "plan" was to re-hash EVERY squabble from the last month? but..... 90/10 pressing Obama to Clinton.

    no question on Penn?

    no question on Bill and Columbia?

    No question regarding conflict of interest of a spouse taking $800,000 to peddle a trade agreement that HIS WIFE may one day have the power to sign into law?

    REALLY???? ALL of you Hillary supporters IGNORING the one-sidedness because it favored YOUR CANDIDATE (by linking Obama with "unsafe" blacks... ((cause, u know... all those blacks - they stick together, right))) so we get questions on this.. and freaking flag pins..

    IS THIS "REALLY" HOW YOU WANT TO WIN???? (which is STILL impossible, by the way...)

    (please not... hillary NEEEVER missed an opportunity to slip a jab in while Obama REFUSED to go after her on anything but issues.

    TWO wars raging, the economy in the dumper, people losing their jobs and homes, $4/gal gas, corporate price gouging, energy bills, bankruptcy bills, Bin-laden still free... and the constitution SPAT on for 7 years......

    BUT SEAN HANNITY wants to know about Obama's relationship with a University of Illinois Professor and Board member of a philanthropic organization..... (and oh yeah.... 40 YRS AGO.....when Obama was EIGHT... WAS A BLACK MILITANT!!!!!)

    America lost last night......... AMERICA lost......... again!

    But you don't care... and HANNITY doesn't care... so long as "Obama" doesn't win....

    SO,IT'S OK FOR "AMERICA" to lose.... so long as OBAMA doesn't WIN!

    I AM ASHAMED OF MY COUNTRY TODAY........!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    (and hell no, I ain't leavin... YOU leave... then maybe we can be America again)

    April 17, 2008 12:56 pm at 12:56 pm |
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