April 17th, 2008
10:00 AM ET
15 years ago

Clinton-Obama lead McCain in 'swing' states

[cnn-photo-caption image= http://i.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2008/images/03/26/art.cand.gi.jpg caption="Sens. Obama and Clinton lead McCain in swing states according to a new poll."]
(CNN)—In potential fall match-ups, Democratic presidential candidates Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton are leading presumptive Republican nominee John McCain in states that were decisive in the 2004 election according to a new survey.

The latest Gallup Poll conducted during the first 15 days in April, consisting of more than 13,000 registered voters shows Obama and Clinton ahead by 4 points in so called “purple” or swing states with 47 percent to McCain’s 43 percent, with a margin of error of plus or minus 1 point.

In “blue” states where John Kerry won by more than 6 percentage points in 2004, Obama has a comfortable double-digit lead, while McCain leads by a slightly smaller margin in the “red” states where George Bush prevailed by more than 6 points.

Clinton has the same lead over McCain in purple states, but she does not fare as well as Obama in the “blue” states and also trails McCain by a larger margin than Obama in the traditionally Republican “red” states.

The remaining purple swing states where Bush or Kerry won by 5 points or fewer in 2004 include: New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Michigan, Wisconsin, Minnesota, Iowa, Florida, Colorado, Nevada, New Mexico, and Oregon.

soundoff (270 Responses)
  1. linda

    Marty April 17th, 2008 12:47 pm ET

    LOL, Hillary is a scank and a loser. This will all be over soon, thank God.

    CNN you put this trash on about a United State Sen. Atleat Sen Clinton should recieve just alittle respect for the office she holds.

    April 17, 2008 12:56 pm at 12:56 pm |
  2. LifeLongDemocrat

    Marc, those of us who support HIllary do so because she is the more qualified NOT because we are racists...get over that, it's so yesterday!

    You are all just angry because the media-coddled Obama finally had to face some hard questions.

    Wait til the Republicans get started on either candidate. Hillary is not thin-skinned like Obama and she can take on the challenges that will be thrown her way.

    Hillary 08/12................................................!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    April 17, 2008 12:56 pm at 12:56 pm |
  3. Mike from Westchester

    Ted:

    The only poll taken in Ohio this month that I could find is Rasmussen, which shows McCain beating HRC by 5 and Obama by 7. The difference is within the sampling error.

    Perhaps you are taking your own polls at the Clinton headquarters, you know, the place where they find random people for street interviews for negative TV ads.

    What poll were you referring to and when was it taken?

    April 17, 2008 12:56 pm at 12:56 pm |
  4. rk

    "Greg, NY April 17th, 2008 11:53 am ET

    I'm going to start spraying some Obama on my pans in the morning before I cook breakfast because NOTHING sticks to him!"

    That was really funny.

    April 17, 2008 12:56 pm at 12:56 pm |
  5. Democratic Supporter

    I am voting for Barak Obama – why? b/c HRC just showed me how egotiscal she can be. She is the elitist. She thinks that she should be the Democratic Nominee b/c her husband was President. And yes, I was going to vote for her at one time, but she has really showed me that winning at all cost is like selling your soul to the devil.

    We know she isn't clinging to her religion.

    April 17, 2008 12:57 pm at 12:57 pm |
  6. linda

    Let's see : Hillary Clinton has showned she is a honest person, a person who likes to get things done for the good of the country, she works very hard to win votes, Unlike obama, who is a bad loser and does not seem to realize that all the mud slinging he is doing is very negative because it gives a terrible image of the men and thus is a major setback for the advancement of men in society. She clearly is another Jackie Robinson and is the right woman for the job.

    April 17, 2008 12:57 pm at 12:57 pm |
  7. JD, Pittsburgh, PA

    The Democrats have boxed themselves in. The failure of Howard Dean and the DNC to effectively deal with Florida and Michigan with the resulting decision resting now with super delegates has created a huge division among Democrats. The daily and weekly uncovering of warts for both democratic contenders has and will continue to build a game plan for Republicans to successfully hold on to the White House. You can say all you want about the democrats coming together once a nominee is decided upon but it just won't happen to the degree it needs to now. Sure, there will be some unity but there will be enough bitterness out there to ensure that a large and significant number of democratic voters will either not vote or they will vote Republican. The Democrats have forced themselves into a situation where they can only win with a Clinton/Obama or Obama/Clinton ticket. It's not the best ticket but it's the only ticket that can win now.

    April 17, 2008 12:57 pm at 12:57 pm |
  8. The Dude

    Go Democrats!

    ANYBODY BUT MCCAIN '08!

    April 17, 2008 12:57 pm at 12:57 pm |
  9. ***AMERICAN***

    Why so much hate and name calling?

    Isn't the end goal what is best for the country?

    A divided party will not stand in November but crumble under it's own weight.

    People stop the insanity.

    Stand as one or fall as many.

    The choice is up to you.

    Make it count!

    Please post, we need this to end.

    April 17, 2008 12:57 pm at 12:57 pm |
  10. Farrell, Houston, Tx

    Marc in Tacoma Wash, always remember each one of us has a responsibility as part of the human race such as forgive and love one another regardless of what are differences may be. Cheryl just needs to be a little more sensitive when speaking about "ALL GODS CHILDREN", white, black, or yellow and trust me that would make one love themselves a lot more.

    April 17, 2008 12:57 pm at 12:57 pm |
  11. Charles

    Se. Clinton was much more knowledgeable on all subjects during the debate, and she correctly pointed out deficiencies in Sen Obama.
    Sen.Obama seemed flustered throughout especially on the economy
    when he had to go beyond the phrase payroll cap. Obviously he was not prepared, hence his inexperience showed glaringly.
    It's Sen. Clinton, superdelegates

    April 17, 2008 12:57 pm at 12:57 pm |
  12. Liberty

    African-Americans won't come out and vote for Hillary Clinton if the superdelegates crown her as the nominee- especially after her desperate attempts to exploit racial tensions.

    She has no chance of winning without a large black turnout. Pure and simple.

    April 17, 2008 12:58 pm at 12:58 pm |
  13. Bitter Young Female

    Anyone who claimes to be a democratic and is willing to vote for McCain is going to regret this and end up with another four years of George Bush's policies....END of Story

    April 17, 2008 12:59 pm at 12:59 pm |
  14. Bitter - New Orleans, LA

    If you're a republican voting for Obama, then you are not truly a republican. The man's platform is the exact opposite of what republicans stand for.

    Obama has no substance. None. He has great and glorious plans to fix America, but can't tell you HOW he's going to do it, because he has absolutely no clue of how to go about it. He'll unite the parties? He's voted along party lines 100% when he manages to vote at all.

    He's a huge fraud people. He's riding a wave of hype. As soon as he enters a REAL debate and goes up against the republicans, you'll see that his 'talk' is just that....'talk'

    – Bitter

    April 17, 2008 01:00 pm at 1:00 pm |
  15. SayNoToHillaryBillaryCheslaryClintrous

    This proves my point time to go home Hillary. Let the new King do his work. I salute President Barack Obama.

    April 17, 2008 01:01 pm at 1:01 pm |
  16. Let Freedom Ring

    Greg in NY said above that he wants to spray some Obama on his pans because NOTHING sticks to him...

    You're right, Greg. None of the greasy crud that Hillary Clinton cooks up sticks to Obama, thank God. So go ahead and spray him on your pans. He'll probably give your food more flavor, too.

    April 17, 2008 01:01 pm at 1:01 pm |
  17. Mack

    Hillary is beating McCain in the states that matter in the General Election, the blue states. The red states that Obama is leading is usually won by Republicans anyway.

    April 17, 2008 01:01 pm at 1:01 pm |
  18. The Pain Train

    Cheryl::::::::

    Since you major in miracles, doesn't that mean that you are relying fully on HOPE!!

    You are Hoping for a Miracle!!! Remember, Former President Clinton said, "that the hope campaign was the biggest fairy tale EVER".

    Now I ask you, is Hiliary's chances just a dream?

    April 17, 2008 01:01 pm at 1:01 pm |
  19. Tim in Canada

    I think that Hillary did drop out of the race a while back, she is just helping to immunize Obama against the GOP.

    April 17, 2008 01:02 pm at 1:02 pm |
  20. Joshua

    U, Johnson and brain.

    Where to begin. You Obama fans (and I call you fans because you mindlessly root for him like crazed teenage girls root for their favorite American Idol) have no clue as to how the other side feels about Obama. I am an independent, and naturally I support McCain because he has shown the most willingness to work with others from both parties, and takes the most reasonable and middle-of-the-road stances on many important issues. U, you comparison of Obama to Jackie Robinson is the most comical. Comparing an ultra-liberal, pompous, closet Racist Obama in his Presidential race to Jackie Robinson is an disingenous affront to Civil Rights gains. His comical speeches on race interactions (after 20 years of Racist Wright) and "moral stands" for the rights of homosexuals, the less fortunate (which I belong to,) are only more hypocritical because his extermist views on denying Human Life rights.

    Grow up, Obama is a smooth talker tickling your ears with what you want to hear. And guess what, hes made as many opponents on the other side as he has supporters, and he won't achieve most of what hes promising (which he probably knows and is too dishonest to admit.)

    Go McCain 08, the only one with any military and legitimate lawmaking experience to lead us to consensus on Iraq, the Economy, taxes etc. He is the only one who has a chance to unite any significant part of our population.

    April 17, 2008 01:02 pm at 1:02 pm |
  21. random comment

    I can't believe ABC let Stephanopoulos, a former Clinton White House staffer, moderate the debate. Even with Gibson there. That's a big blunder for a major network. Even if no bias was intended it slants the event towards Clinton.

    ABC failed.

    April 17, 2008 01:02 pm at 1:02 pm |
  22. nader

    LAST NIGHT DEBATE WAS NOTHING BUT THE AMBUSHED FROM GOERGE, GIBSON AND HILLARY. THIS WAS COOKED BETWEEN THEM. I AM SURE HILLARY WAS INFORMED ABOUT THE QUESTIONS BEFORE HAND. THERE WERE PLENTY IMPORTANT MATTERS TO DISCUSSED BUT THESE TWO DECIDED TO THROW HILLARY KITCHEN SINK ON OBAMA. BUT HE DID VERY GOOD JOB. IT IS HELPING HIM TO PREPARE FOR GENERAL ELECTION. I AM SURE GOERGE IS BEHIND THIS DIRTY AMBUSH AGAINST OBAMA. WE ALL KNOW GOERGE IS THE SUPPORTER OF CLINTONS. IT'S SAD MANAGEMENT OF ABC NEWS LET GOERGE TO DO THIS KIND OF STUFF ON NATIONAL TELEVISION. AUDIANCE ARE NOT LITTLE KIDS AND STUPID.THAT'S WRONG WITH THE CLINTONS THAT THEY THINK AMERICAN PEOPLE IS STUPID AND THEY CAN SAY ANYTHING THEY WANTS. SHAME ON GOERGE AND GIBSON

    April 17, 2008 01:03 pm at 1:03 pm |
  23. simon

    Polls have been proven to be inaccurate and inconsistent time after time. Remember California before Super Tuesday, Ohio and Texas? Stop the distraction and let see how people really vote.

    April 17, 2008 01:03 pm at 1:03 pm |
  24. Terry Frakes

    Amazing, i had doubts about either candidate until last nights debate. I have never seen Obama seem so nervous and under pressure when asked about Wright and the underworld guy. He said he is getting blamed for knowing a guy that did something 40 years ago, but that was a lie, he was at his house at the beginning of his political run. He is hiding so much and last night definetely made me swing towards Hillary. To think i almost didnt watch the debate and vote for this guy. Watching Hillary last night, gave me enough to swing my vote to Hillary. Thanks ABC for the debate. Great honest and fair questions. Now find out what Obama is really hiding on all of his corrupt politics.

    April 17, 2008 01:04 pm at 1:04 pm |
  25. Joshua

    Hey CNN, here is a suggestion, why don't you NOT censor my comment this time. Do you want to limit the convo to Clinton and Obama fans.

    April 17, 2008 01:05 pm at 1:05 pm |
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