April 25th, 2008
12:00 PM ET
14 years ago

Poll shows dead heat in Indiana

[cnn-photo-caption image= http://i.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2008/images/04/25/art.poll.ap.jpg caption=" Obama and Clinton are in a dead heat in Indiana."](CNN) - Three days after Hillary Clinton's win in Pennsylvania, a new poll suggests it’s a dead heat in Indiana - the next crucial battleground that could decide the Democratic presidential nomination.

Barack Obama leads Clinton by 1 point in the Hoosier State, according to a just-released poll conducted by Research 2000, 48 percent to 47 percent. Given the polls' 5 point margin of error, the two candidates are statistically tied.

The poll also shows both candidates are holding strong with constituencies that have backed them in other states: Clinton easily wins among seniors and women, Obama has the advantage with young voters.

Indiana has been called a 'must win' for Clinton, even by some of her strongest supporters. On CNN's Larry King Live Wednesday, Clinton backer James Carville said the May 6 voting state could serve as a "tie breaker."

"I think it's going to be very difficult for Senator Clinton if she loses both in Indiana and North Carolina," he said. "I think she has to keep pressing the bet, doubling down."

"If she wins in Indiana, it's going to cause some people to turn up and look around," he said. "I think it's a very important contest."

Update: CNN poll of polls shows Clinton, Obama tied in Indiana

soundoff (245 Responses)
  1. R. Grayson

    Don't the Cllinton folks realize that:

    1) the race is over, do the math
    2) voting for Clinton at his point only helps Republican chances to win

    If she can win all the rest by a larger margin than she has had in any state so far . . .
    If she can get the democratic party to change the rules after the game is over (and somehow count uncontested votes in Florida and Michigan) . . .
    If she can get the super "D"s to ignore the fact that 40% of the people in Michigan voted AGAINST her when she was the only one on the ballot . . .

    Get real.

    April 25, 2008 12:56 pm at 12:56 pm |
  2. phill edou

    So Mr Obama is gonna loose Indiana. Look Texas was a dead heat and The Clintons won. The same will occur with Indiana. Mark my word!!

    Obama 08

    April 25, 2008 12:56 pm at 12:56 pm |
  3. carrie

    hillary has no more shame left.
    truth is,if she succeeds in ruining the election for barrack,she will ruin her career as well.
    old woman go home

    April 25, 2008 12:56 pm at 12:56 pm |
  4. Alfredo

    Why don't you say something about Wright's and Obama's lying bizzarre. Why because they are African Americans. You are bizarre. Grow up.

    You are the one who is bizzare and a disgrace. Racial discrimination against African American has been overused and misused. Actually you are now beginning to be racial. To get away with bad comments and bad behavior you will always use the racial issue as an EXCUSE. Shut up.

    Beware North Carolinians and Indianians….Obama lied and just a Politician.

    April 25, 2008 12:57 pm at 12:57 pm |
  5. Dylan

    Simply put... Obama takes Indiana. This race is DONE. Let's hope that, unlike PA, young voters are the ones who make the difference in this primary.

    April 25, 2008 12:58 pm at 12:58 pm |
  6. ivan

    A Clinton win in Indiana, and either a win or loss by the middle to low single digit's in North Carolina should show the people that Obama can not beat McCain.

    April 25, 2008 12:58 pm at 12:58 pm |
  7. DNC screwed up

    The DNC, the democratic party elites, screwed up.

    They fixed the election for Obama- then...
    All the Kennedy, Kerry , Shriver endorsements advantaged Obama.
    The Celebrity bandwagon led by Oprah, advantaged Obama.
    The infatuated Media and their biased coverage and scrutiny of the candidates, advantaged Obama.
    Flawed caucus format- advantaged Obama
    Discounting Fl and Mi voters- advantaged Obama.

    All that and he STILL just has a narrow, narrow lead.

    Now the DNC will force the Superdelgates to go against the rules and vote for Obama- in hopes of salvaging this chaotic primary mess.

    They do that, not because those are the rules- the rules are quite the contrary. They do it because they are afraid of alienating the newly registered democrats and the very vocal African American community.

    They should worry more about alienating the REST of America- including 50% of the democrats who will not vote for Obama.

    April 25, 2008 12:59 pm at 12:59 pm |
  8. Margi

    How many "must wins" are we going to have. Obama has the delegate lead, the most delegates wins the election. The supers will flock to the one with delegate lead, not the popular vote that is fuzzy, real fuzzy math. Rescue us from this madness!!

    April 25, 2008 12:59 pm at 12:59 pm |
  9. sick of Hillary

    Would one of you Hillary supporters please tell me how you believe Hillary's win in a state she was supposed to win was so "big"? She was supposed to defeat Obama by large numbers but only mustered a 10 delegate gain....thats not "big", thats not even a dent! What makes you think she will overtake him in states won, delegate count or the popular vote? She can't!!! And stop with the "he can't win the blue collar voters" crap already!! Obama will win those states when its him vs. Mccain...all the Clinton voters will not swing Republican and when McCain comes into places like Ohio and Pennsylvania and praises NAFTA and such, Democrats in that state will rally behind their candidate, OBAMA, at that point, regardless of what they say now in the heat of the primary battles...Indiana voters need to beware and not be taken in like Ohio and Pennsylvania was by the Clinton lie machine...those "blue collar workers" will be hating Hillary "if" she does get into the White House and buys into the NAFTA business and those workers start getting replaced...The thing I look forward to the most is Hillary's concession speech!!! What a rejoiceful day that will be.

    April 25, 2008 12:59 pm at 12:59 pm |
  10. Frank, Dayton, Ohio

    If Hillary loses in Indiana, she should drop out, not "keep pressing the bet, doubling down" as Carville suggests. Her continued pressing is likely to result in the Democrats losing the White House–which should be theirs to win considering the miserable job the Republicans have done. But, "pressing the bet" is right in line with her scorched earth approach to campaigning.

    April 25, 2008 01:00 pm at 1:00 pm |
  11. US Marine

    Way to go Obama. Everyone knows Obama will win Indiana. He is from IL, He won all the bordering states like IA, WI and definetely he will win IN.
    I am tired of this old lady. I have a good job for her. I want her to keep Billy on the leash let Obama take care of bringing us home

    Peace out from Baghdad.

    April 25, 2008 01:00 pm at 1:00 pm |
  12. Nick

    Bla, bla, bla ...hope... change...bla, bla...,

    April 25, 2008 01:00 pm at 1:00 pm |
  13. Bob of VT

    I can't believe that the older folks in Indiana are as complacent and easily misled as the ones in Ohio and Pensylvania were. I'm in my seventies and I can plainly see how negative and down and dirty people the Clintons are.
    They talk about "If you can't stand the heat, get out of the kitchen" when referring to Obama. I say after Bill Clinton's perjury and impeachment over his lying to the Congress and American people, he should not ever again be allowed in the White Houlse Kitchen...and that goes for his condoning wife also.

    April 25, 2008 01:02 pm at 1:02 pm |
  14. Kim, PA

    everyone has a wright to their opinion, but to me... the obama-drama, his whole campaign (based on Hillary's ideas and comments)... is all a lame excuse for a candidate.

    so, make your claims on the Clinton's, it won't change my mind.

    The HILLARY signs still fly high in PA!

    at least she is a candidate I was proud to push the ballot button for.

    April 25, 2008 01:03 pm at 1:03 pm |
  15. Tejano

    Who cares which one of these two peas in a pod wins Indiana.

    The next President of the United States will be John McCain.

    One big reason and two little ones.

    He will defend our country from it's enemies.

    and; He is acting like the statesman that he will be as president

    He loves and supports Americans of all races and creeds. (Loves his country and puts it first above himself or politics.)

    April 25, 2008 01:03 pm at 1:03 pm |
  16. Mark Anthony


    April 25, 2008 01:04 pm at 1:04 pm |
  17. Kim, PA

    one more thing.

    this whole RACE card thing of obama's is lame. And he'll spend 4 years just on that, which is fine... but I think there are bigger issues in America and all diversity groups should be served.

    That's Hillary's plan!

    April 25, 2008 01:04 pm at 1:04 pm |
  18. Factsarereal

    That old woman is as evil as Jezzibel. She knows whe is going to loose but will make sure Democrats will loose as well.

    April 25, 2008 01:05 pm at 1:05 pm |
  19. jim

    Why isn't it a "must win state" for Obama? The only real thing either must win is the super delegates and they will decide based on who is capable of winning in November. If Obama can only win in states like North Carolina and Alabama , which you know are going Republican in the fall he'll never be President!

    April 25, 2008 01:06 pm at 1:06 pm |
  20. What

    Remeber that Hillary uses that new math,

    April 25, 2008 01:06 pm at 1:06 pm |
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