April 28th, 2008
02:10 PM ET
15 years ago

Clinton, Obama dead even, poll says

[cnn-photo-caption image= http://i.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2008/images/04/28/art.dempoll.ap.jpg caption=" Clinton and Obama are tied nationally and in Indiana."]
(CNN) - Hillary Clinton's Pennsylvania win last Tuesday has clearly given the New York senator a boost in the national polls, the latest daily tracking survey from Gallup suggests.

Clinton and Obama are now dead even at 47 percent among likely Democrats, according the newly released numbers. That number remains unchanged from a tracking poll released Saturday and represents a 5-point gain for Clinton since her Pennsylvania win.

In a similar tracking poll released the day of the primary, Obama led Clinton by eight points, 50-42 percent. The Illinois senator's lead over Clinton reached a high of 11 points on April 14.

Meanwhile, a Newsweek poll released Saturday also shows gains for Clinton, but finds the New York senator continuing to trail Obama. In that poll, Obama holds a 7 point lead over Clinton. That margin is more than half of the 19 point lead Obama held in a similar Newsweek poll taken shorlty before the Pennsylvania primary.

Recent polls also show the two candidates locked in a dead heat in the crucial state of Indiana, which votes May 6. In a CNN "poll of polls" released Friday, Clinton and Obama both register 45 percent support from likely Democrats in the Hoosier state.

Since Obama is favored to win North Carolina - the other major prize May 6 - some Clinton advisers have said the New York senator must score a victory in Indiana remain a viable candidate.

soundoff (325 Responses)
  1. TH

    42% is the magic number - if O were to get that percentage or higher in every state, territory and that percentage of Super D's, he wins the nom. Clinton is taking the whole party up her Sisyphyan escapade. It's a done deal.

    April 28, 2008 11:37 am at 11:37 am |
  2. Bayou Joe

    No Hillary on the ballot? My vote goes to McCain. Yours should too.

    April 28, 2008 11:37 am at 11:37 am |
  3. Emit

    Bill – Problem is, many folks do not get to know the candidates. They let the 30 second sound bites the news media select influence them.

    America – wise up – do some research. The TRUTH is within your reach. But YOU must invest the time and not rely on others to do the research for you.


    April 28, 2008 11:37 am at 11:37 am |
  4. Richard, St. Paul, MN

    I don't know if either of the candidates popularity is waning or waxing or whatever. But I do know that Americans are already sick to death of politics, politics, politics. After eight years of ineptitude and corruption, we're all hungry for change. But we've already had eight months of politics and campaigning and there's still six more months to go. We're hitting the saturation level and are already nauseous from wave after wave of political commercials, ads, debates, flyers, and whining.

    April 28, 2008 11:37 am at 11:37 am |
  5. jeff, AL

    This election is playing out just the way I thought it would. A newcomer, with big hype and big speeches draws a lot of crowds and support initially. But after a longer than usual election process, folks get to see past a lot of the hype. And that takes a toll on someone whom does not have a lot of substance. Clinton, thank you for staying tough in this race. Had you dropped out earlier, we would never have seen much of this about Obama.

    April 28, 2008 11:37 am at 11:37 am |
  6. lamon

    Dear Media,

    Please go away. Thank you.

    April 28, 2008 11:37 am at 11:37 am |
  7. Danel

    No more Clinton. No obliterate Iran. No more war. No more useless debates.

    April 28, 2008 11:37 am at 11:37 am |

    Every Hillary supporter that threatens to vote for McCain must be a member of the 13 percent that wouldn't vote for Obama anyway.

    Please hurry to your nearest voting precinct and change to the republican party already since you harbor their racist, elitist values along with Hillary.

    Obama 08

    April 28, 2008 11:37 am at 11:37 am |
  9. Von from Atlanta

    The perception that Hillary will do anything to get elected is scary. She wants to have a Lincoln-Douglas style debate with Obama. I have seen all of the debates. I have seen most of their stump speaches. I am sure the folks in Indiana and North Carolina have also. It is time for this drama to end!

    April 28, 2008 11:38 am at 11:38 am |
  10. Steve in DC

    I hold no faith in the polls. He will win NC and IN...then Hill will have to drop out!

    April 28, 2008 11:38 am at 11:38 am |
  11. LL

    It's time to call for Obama to step down. He is using the race card too often & is dividing our nation even more than it is.

    April 28, 2008 11:38 am at 11:38 am |
  12. Hillary no way

    Hillary (and both Clintons for that matter) are a total joke. Some of the blindest supporters I've ever seen who spew vile slanderous things about Obama.

    No matter, she won't win. Her negative tactics won't work.

    April 28, 2008 11:38 am at 11:38 am |
  13. gene

    Obama can not win the general election. He will lose all the south and border states, all the normal red states, Michigan for sure because his lawyers held up a revote and one or both Ohio and Pennsylvania. David Brooks reports that he is only tied with McCain in Minn. Wisc. and New Jersey. The so called big new voter numbers and higher voting in the primaries is mostly being fueled by the AA community and that will be offset in the general election by defections to McCain by that segment that claims they will not vote for a black candidate. I know this is not right, but it is a fact of life. If Hillary is the candidate its possible the black vote will stay home in protest. The stage is set for a McCain victory. How sad!

    April 28, 2008 11:38 am at 11:38 am |
  14. Lewis

    The Perfect Storm...I love it!

    April 28, 2008 11:38 am at 11:38 am |
  15. Life-long voter in Clinton, IN

    Is anyone else in Indiana bothered by Hillary Clinton's statement that we have "wandered in the wilderness of American politics for 40 years" and the suggestion that we are likely to remain exiled unless she gets us the debate we deserve?

    We have CNN, the Internet, and the Indy Star. Who's being elitist now? I have no intention of voting for someone so out of touch with my state and the level of political involvement here in the heartland. We're the Crossroads of American, not some forgotten hinterland. Now that I know what you think of us, I'll get over it and find a candidate who better reflects my views.

    April 28, 2008 11:38 am at 11:38 am |
  16. Jordan Howard

    I think that the WORLD needs Obama as the President. If anyone who is voting for Hilary actually looked into all the lies and false promises she has made over the years we wouldn't be having this conversation. It would not suprise me if Hilary got in though. I mean this is the country that voted George Bush in for 2 terms.

    April 28, 2008 11:38 am at 11:38 am |
  17. I have a dream

    I DARE CNN to not do a report based on a poll for 6 months –
    Try real news for awhile.

    Obama/Edwards 08

    April 28, 2008 11:38 am at 11:38 am |
  18. mike

    Nader looking better and better every day....

    April 28, 2008 11:38 am at 11:38 am |
  19. Char

    Clinton is a backstabbing, back biting Liar

    April 28, 2008 11:38 am at 11:38 am |
  20. Brandy

    My American people you should look in the mirror and be ashamed of yourselves. We have a (black) Man that is well qualified for this position and what does the media along with Hilary (who we use to love) do ..bring up things to distract us from making the best decision about who would help to make this World equal and better for not only the rich but for everyone..If Hilary can fool you by this stupidity that she has made a part of her campaign then what else will she fool you with to get what she wants,,,Bosnia ..hmmmm
    We need to focus on the real issues here and stop letting the media and other people(Hilary) keep us from being part of the American Dream no matter your race,,, isn't that what American is about!!!
    Obama 08!

    April 28, 2008 11:38 am at 11:38 am |
  21. Patti Wichita, Ks.

    I cannot believe how many people are still putting their confidence in Hillary Clinton. She has proven not to be trustworthy. She has lied several times over somewhat important things just to make her look good. If we look back, we will see that she has not done anything in any of the states. She was only a first lady, not a president. She failed in several things she did attempt during her husbands presidency. Does noone remember the Whitewater problem that the Clintons had in Arkansas. Dishonesty there that continues through today. I prefer someone who does not lie and cover it by calling it a misspeak. A lie is a lie. Please get her out of the race. She is not presidential material.

    April 28, 2008 11:38 am at 11:38 am |
  22. Joanne

    You are bothered by the Primary – how about he Iraq so called War – that is simply maddening. Iraqis laughing up a storm I'm sure at how dumb the USA is giving them money for dead people, etc who are not working, feeding the Gov't and they move to Paris and steal truckloads of American Taxypayer money – NOT TO SPEAK OF ALL THE DEATHS THAT HAVE BEEN UNNESSARY.
    We have the worst Gov't ever in the USA today.

    April 28, 2008 11:38 am at 11:38 am |
  23. Cruz


    Now is the time to get focused and take this campaign. Speak details..keep on the issues and keep the message strong and positive. Don't only speak of uniting and changing..provide all the specifics and present a plan for immediate progression. Dreams can only take shape through vision, belief, and most importantly organized action. Tell the people of Indiana the formula for success and they will believe. Then we will follow you to through November and change this world. Everyone wants it...they may just not even realize it. Let's do this one step at a time. Let's make the reason clear.

    Obama 08 and beyond.
    Destiny is Calling.

    April 28, 2008 11:38 am at 11:38 am |
  24. Ken in Florida

    The big problem I see with this continuing is that Obama has never blatantly said that Clinton is unelectable or that he thinks McCain is a better choice for commander in chief. If he were to be the one that had to leave the race, he could go to his supporters and say,"Vote for Hillary, vote Democrat". How could Hillary do the same with any credibility after the way she has painted him as unelectable, elitist, out of touch and not fit to be commander in chief.? It would fit right in with a lot of her other changes in thinking that fit the moment or situation, but would probably not sway many of her faithfull that she has already convinced to hate Obama.

    April 28, 2008 11:39 am at 11:39 am |
  25. Rich

    All this "news" from MSM is not news. It's a transparent attempt to force the perception on the public that the race is close. It's all about ratings and $$$$. If Obama appears to have too large a lead (or momentum), they spend endless hours subtly attacking him until the polls draw close. If Clinton is up, they pedal subtle attacks on her and manipulate opinions to tighten the polls. Think I'm wrong? Go back through CNN (and other MSM), archives and look at the coverage trends. MSM is hijacking the process for financial gain. Don't be fooled folks. Educate yourself on the facts and ignore the propaganda/spin. But, by all means, continue to tune in for "breaking news" and "up to the second" reports.

    April 28, 2008 11:39 am at 11:39 am |
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