April 28th, 2008
02:10 PM ET
14 years ago

Clinton, Obama dead even, poll says

[cnn-photo-caption image= http://i.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2008/images/04/28/art.dempoll.ap.jpg caption=" Clinton and Obama are tied nationally and in Indiana."]
(CNN) - Hillary Clinton's Pennsylvania win last Tuesday has clearly given the New York senator a boost in the national polls, the latest daily tracking survey from Gallup suggests.

Clinton and Obama are now dead even at 47 percent among likely Democrats, according the newly released numbers. That number remains unchanged from a tracking poll released Saturday and represents a 5-point gain for Clinton since her Pennsylvania win.

In a similar tracking poll released the day of the primary, Obama led Clinton by eight points, 50-42 percent. The Illinois senator's lead over Clinton reached a high of 11 points on April 14.

Meanwhile, a Newsweek poll released Saturday also shows gains for Clinton, but finds the New York senator continuing to trail Obama. In that poll, Obama holds a 7 point lead over Clinton. That margin is more than half of the 19 point lead Obama held in a similar Newsweek poll taken shorlty before the Pennsylvania primary.

Recent polls also show the two candidates locked in a dead heat in the crucial state of Indiana, which votes May 6. In a CNN "poll of polls" released Friday, Clinton and Obama both register 45 percent support from likely Democrats in the Hoosier state.

Since Obama is favored to win North Carolina - the other major prize May 6 - some Clinton advisers have said the New York senator must score a victory in Indiana remain a viable candidate.

soundoff (325 Responses)
  1. James

    Hello,

    I am truly considering switching parties from Democrat to Republican for the dems are once again proving they're dysfunctional unity ......

    In an era where there is no way they should loose the election given an unpopluar President, failing economy, war etc..

    Yet trust me when I tell you that the election will be much closer than expected and would not be totally surprise if somehow the GOP wins again..

    I'm through!!

    April 28, 2008 11:33 am at 11:33 am |
  2. Alex in TX

    This has more to say about the electorate of people who continue to fall for the smear campaign tactics. Voters pay more attention to the vitrial character attacks being lobbed by Clinton and look away from a truly intelligent man talking about changing the way the game is played and taking the high road.

    Don't fall for Hillary's scare tactics. We don't need another leader who reminds Iran that we could nuke them back into the stone age. Seems like Bush rhetoric there.

    April 28, 2008 11:33 am at 11:33 am |
  3. hrp

    So Clinton's Rove tactics are working?. She's such a sleaze.

    April 28, 2008 11:33 am at 11:33 am |
  4. wake up

    Hilary = Nixon

    Characteristic are identical!

    If you haven't noticed she is conniving.

    Please, anybody but Hilary.

    April 28, 2008 11:33 am at 11:33 am |
  5. Ticker Shock, Richmond, VA

    I am a Hillary supporter. I am also now reading Barack Obama's book "Dreams From My Father." I have a new -found respect for him. I am a little wary of Michelle Obama's personality (not competency though; I thought the same thing about Hillary when Bill was running) and I think Bill Clinton is going off the deep end.
    I've just gotten used to the Idea that Obama may be the Democratic candidate and I will gladly cast my vote for him if he wins the nomination.

    April 28, 2008 11:34 am at 11:34 am |
  6. Missouri Democrat

    If Super Tuesday was held today this would be a completely different ballgame! We would have a candidate, and it would be HILLARY! As the truth comes out people finally realize it!

    April 28, 2008 11:34 am at 11:34 am |
  7. Eugene-MN

    Get real people. Are we trying to win an election or are we stuck on which cake to present to the guests?
    We need a "joint ticket." Period.
    Neither one of our potential candidates are going to be able to pull this off alone. Nancy Pelosi is entitled to her "opinion" about a joint ticket but the reality is; neither candidate can pull in the requisite populations or states to do it alone.
    I want to win the presidency for the democrats, don't you?
    This isn't a game, we are trying to keep McCain from gaining the presidency. That's it, that's the goal. Keep it simple and we'll win.

    April 28, 2008 11:34 am at 11:34 am |
  8. Phrank

    Gain or BOUNCE? We will see. In any event , it is important to remember–as Bill Schn'eider explained a couple of years ago–that tracking polls do not predict the actual support for a candidate, but the CHANGE in support. To estimate the actual support, your "poll of polls" is a measure that could be used. The most recent poll of polls showed Obama up 11 points. This morning Newsweek put out a poll showing Obama plus 8. This is consistant with previous polling that shows that predictive polls (like those used in your "p of p" average) run about 8 to ten points above the Gallup tracking polls taken at the same time.

    April 28, 2008 11:34 am at 11:34 am |
  9. FactCheck

    Keep drinking the Kool-Aid Clinton-sheep. If you think Hilary has any chance of winning anything, you are more delusional than George "what recession?" Bush.

    April 28, 2008 11:35 am at 11:35 am |
  10. Cody

    It should be obvious by now that all this is tearing the party apart.
    Though I definitely support Obama, I recognize they are both good candidates and essentially the same on the issues. Their differences pale next to their differences with McCain.
    And whichever one wins the nomination, the loser will undoubtedly campaign for the winner. So all you people who shout that you wouldn't possibly vote for the other, just remember that.

    April 28, 2008 11:35 am at 11:35 am |
  11. anna

    people who support Hillary think one more time. when there is a prob like 9-11 in country she gonna sit at home and cry. if she cant take the work load how can you think she can take such pressures and take right decisions. NOWAY....U GUYS ARE CRAZY.

    April 28, 2008 11:35 am at 11:35 am |
  12. Martha, Georgia

    What is it that the media, including CNN is not getting on this Wright thing. Wright is telling the truth that millions of Americans are agreeing with. Secondly, FORMER PASTOR, what is the media not getting. Obama is not being advised that Wright, and Wright not being advised by Obama. Both gentlemen have made their stance Clear. What the media does not want to do is THINK and secondly, THIS MEDIA is part of the old partisan politics.

    April 28, 2008 11:35 am at 11:35 am |
  13. Herman LA, CA

    As an African American male age 48, former president Hillary and Bill Clinton has lost all of my respect. I use to like Bill Clinton and even voted for him and stood by him during his very tough times in the White House when he was going through his impeachment process with the Monica Lewinsky. Let me just say one thing I was not in favor of voting for Senator Barack Obama until after his win in Iowa. I was strongly leaning toward voting for Senator Clinton and she had my vote locked in.

    However, after Senator Clinton’s loss in Iowa she seems to have lost some true appeal that really had my heart as a voter. Then Bill Clinton starting playing the race card and bringing the country to a stand still on the issues and allowing race to dominate the presidential campaigns.

    However, I believe that after seeing her run her campaign it would only indicate just how dysfunctional her administration would be and it would be an administration that can forge our country ahead in the 21st century in regards to race relations. This is not only need in our own country but in the foreign world as well which is extremely important now because our planet is in pearl and we need a leader that can at least try to bring about some sense of peace through out the world.

    April 28, 2008 11:35 am at 11:35 am |
  14. merle 7

    COME ON HOOSIERS DONT VOTE FOR A LOSER !

    STOP THE DRAMA AND VOTE OBAMA !

    April 28, 2008 11:36 am at 11:36 am |
  15. Obatala

    CNN you want us to believe that, but it is not true............. while we know you want clinton as the nomineee the majority we want Obama

    while in PA you misreprsesented who won and how, or why..
    you are trying to sabotage it in IN and also in NC, as well

    but like the clintons, the biased media will not fool the people

    by June we will have our nominee for sure, Sen.Obama.

    please cnn stick to the facts and numbers........... that should not be hard.

    April 28, 2008 11:36 am at 11:36 am |
  16. Jed in Texas

    Dead even?I remember Sam Walton telling us to buy American,another lie wrapped in the flag.

    April 28, 2008 11:36 am at 11:36 am |
  17. Aaryan Schubert, OR

    Better late than never...It is a mystery how Obama ever reached where he is today! He is a pathetic, egoistic hypocritie. All he does is just talk...one cannot become a President with only that one credential!
    Wake up people, see him for what he is...how long will u be fooled and swayed....kick him out before it is too late and u r left repenting...

    April 28, 2008 11:36 am at 11:36 am |
  18. Debra

    Talk about lying. Obama takes the cake. The day after New Year's 1996, fresh from being a civil rights lawyer, Obama abused his position as head of a voter registration project to expand his access to the ballot box. Obama operatives filed into a hearing room of the Chicago Board of Election Commissioners and challenged hundreds of signatures on the nominating petitions until every one of Obama's four Democratic primary rivals was forced off the ballot. Sounds like afew other well known figures like Adolf Hitler, The Ayatollah Komani, Saddam Hussein, Fidel Castro. They were all new to politics and all ran on campaigns of change. Dictators always do. Be careful what you wish for.

    April 28, 2008 11:36 am at 11:36 am |
  19. Randy - Denver

    It is interesting the people who want Hillary because she is a "fighter" she will stick it out even when she cannot win... reminds me of Bush he is a "fighter" even when he has lost he does not know it all he can do is drive the country into the ground while he "fights".. sounds alot like Hillary and what she is doing to the Dems. she cannot win the numbers are against her folks, NC has more delegates than In so when Barack wins NC by a LARGE margin and she eeks out a win in IN he WINS again.. it is math folks! But I guess you support Mr. Bush's ideas.. fight no matter what you do to those around you when you lose just start calling it a victory and people will believe you!

    April 28, 2008 11:36 am at 11:36 am |
  20. Amy

    I think the reality is Hillary will be the next President. I don't think any of the three will do our country any good. Not sure anybody is good enough. She stayed in and the tide is turning in her favor. At least I can get a bumper sticker when the country is unhappy that says "Don't blame me.... I didn't vote for her"

    April 28, 2008 11:36 am at 11:36 am |
  21. Vee

    I do not understand how Hillary is leading in these polls..

    Well till that happens I will not believe MSM

    April 28, 2008 11:36 am at 11:36 am |
  22. Josh in CA

    Is the elitist Hillary Clinton really trying to convince Indiana she is good ol' wholesome town folk? Give me a break! By making references to flat bed trucks and using words like "fancy" doesn't make you a member of that community. We see right through your GOP tactics. Do we really want a self serving candidate who is too stubborn and greedy to realize she is damaging the democratic party as president? Also, I think people would question her motives a little more if they understood her ties with the Bilderberg Group. WAKE UP AMERICA!

    April 28, 2008 11:36 am at 11:36 am |
  23. mike

    What a surprise! The press finally takes off the kid gloves about Obama and the truth comes out. Now people outside of Illinois are seeing the real Obama and his popularity is fading. If press coverage of him had been like this all along he would have been out of the race a long time ago.

    April 28, 2008 11:37 am at 11:37 am |
  24. CeeJay

    Neither democratic candidate will win because (1) a lot of white people see OBAMA's skin color and not the improvement he can bring to our country and (2) a lot of black people won't vote for Hillary because of anger at "the system" that gave her the nomination. Unfortunately, unless people wake up and think for themselves more of our soldiers are going to die for an untruth and ordinary folk will keep suffering.

    April 28, 2008 11:37 am at 11:37 am |
  25. Matthew, Philadelphia, PA

    It's offical...buyers remorse has set in. Hopefully it's not too late.

    April 28, 2008 11:37 am at 11:37 am |
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