April 28th, 2008
02:10 PM ET
14 years ago

Clinton, Obama dead even, poll says

[cnn-photo-caption image= http://i.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2008/images/04/28/art.dempoll.ap.jpg caption=" Clinton and Obama are tied nationally and in Indiana."]
(CNN) - Hillary Clinton's Pennsylvania win last Tuesday has clearly given the New York senator a boost in the national polls, the latest daily tracking survey from Gallup suggests.

Clinton and Obama are now dead even at 47 percent among likely Democrats, according the newly released numbers. That number remains unchanged from a tracking poll released Saturday and represents a 5-point gain for Clinton since her Pennsylvania win.

In a similar tracking poll released the day of the primary, Obama led Clinton by eight points, 50-42 percent. The Illinois senator's lead over Clinton reached a high of 11 points on April 14.

Meanwhile, a Newsweek poll released Saturday also shows gains for Clinton, but finds the New York senator continuing to trail Obama. In that poll, Obama holds a 7 point lead over Clinton. That margin is more than half of the 19 point lead Obama held in a similar Newsweek poll taken shorlty before the Pennsylvania primary.

Recent polls also show the two candidates locked in a dead heat in the crucial state of Indiana, which votes May 6. In a CNN "poll of polls" released Friday, Clinton and Obama both register 45 percent support from likely Democrats in the Hoosier state.

Since Obama is favored to win North Carolina - the other major prize May 6 - some Clinton advisers have said the New York senator must score a victory in Indiana remain a viable candidate.

soundoff (325 Responses)
  1. jmw

    Obama is the better candidate. Everyone just needs t remeber all the lies and drama in the previous Clinton administration. Clinton lies and decieves constantly. The sniper fire incident is not the only time. She can't even run a campaign how is she to run the country?


    April 28, 2008 11:12 am at 11:12 am |
  2. Kim Johnson of Va.

    I'm black and not voting for that lying Hillary Clinton if she wins!!!

    Luv Obama

    April 28, 2008 11:12 am at 11:12 am |
  3. Nikita

    Pray that Hillary Clinton takes the reigns of this country and sits at the helm. She is a rare and dignified individual. She is beautifully brilliant on economic/foreign policy and will never forsake or divide this country. In our midst is one of greatness. God speed our great nation under Hillary Rodham Clinton.

    April 28, 2008 11:13 am at 11:13 am |
  4. l

    It's over. Clinton needs to go home for good and begin to change her diapers more regularly, as they stink up the scenery.

    April 28, 2008 11:13 am at 11:13 am |
  5. marla

    Obama, all the way! We don't need Bill and Hill in the White House, chasing young interns!

    April 28, 2008 11:14 am at 11:14 am |
  6. Bill

    Obama is lucky that Super Tuesday was scheduled before everyone knew about him. McCain 08!!

    April 28, 2008 11:14 am at 11:14 am |
  7. Oblima

    whatime April 28th, 2008 10:57 am ET

    Go Barack Obama
    We will win Indiana and North Carolina…….

    Obama 08

    Even if that does happen he would not win the Presidency.

    Thanks Dean for the really bad screw up by costing the Dems the Presidency.

    April 28, 2008 11:14 am at 11:14 am |
  8. Niel, NY


    Now its time for Clinton again. Wake up America vote for Clinton and lets keep the trend.

    Future: Clinton, Clinton, Jeb Bush, Bush, Chelsea Clinton, Clinton


    April 28, 2008 11:14 am at 11:14 am |
  9. Ernie

    Obama would probably be doing a lot better if we could get the Reverend Wright business OUT OF THE WAY and BEHIND US! You would think he was running for political office instead of Obama.

    Please Mr. Wright–ByeBye!

    April 28, 2008 11:14 am at 11:14 am |
  10. Jay E

    Why do NEWS polls allways try state a "dead Heat" tie? Both with Obama and Hilary, and now with McCain. I can not be the truth, the world does not work that way. Besides the fact that McCain was obsolete 5 months ago, he has done nothing different that would change peoples mind. The news needs to stop using Polls to sway an election. Report the FACT NEWS and let the election happen as intended.

    The older I get the less I feel this democracy functions as intended. Stick to the principles, Stay on the issues. I feel fortunate to not Rely on the News for my News. To bad because it is important to a realistic society.

    April 28, 2008 11:15 am at 11:15 am |
  11. Jeremy

    "In that poll, Obama holds a 7 point lead over Clinton. That margin is more than half of the 19 point lead Obama held in a similar Newsweek poll"

    Let's see, half of 19 is 9.5. How is 7 more than 9.5? Yet another reason not to buy into anything the media says about the polls. Remember, 98.6 percent of all statistics are made up. OBAMA '08

    April 28, 2008 11:15 am at 11:15 am |
  12. Jeff in Mayberry

    Obama needs to get out of the way of a true fighter that can beat McCain in November.. Go Hillary!!!

    April 28, 2008 11:15 am at 11:15 am |
  13. pa voter

    the more we know about nobama, the less we like him. That is the lesson we are learning. He should have known all of this would come up. or did he think it could all be swept under the rug. It did take a while for the things about him to come out and now they are just flowing. Its time for americans to take another look at this smooth talker!!!!!because thats all he is. Maybe the states that voted before all of his friends came "out" should vote again, then we would see who is ahead!!!!

    April 28, 2008 11:16 am at 11:16 am |
  14. Carlos

    actually, Hillary won by (as reprted on CNN) 9.32%. My grade 2 math teacher was pretty clear in her instructions that any number below .5 is roundes down – not up. 9,32% rounds to 9% not 10%!

    April 28, 2008 11:16 am at 11:16 am |
  15. mitch from ark.

    some people will believe anything,if it gives them hope for their candidate.the fact is ,it is mathematically impossible for hillary to win enough delegates,unless obama implodes,and i'm sorry,but the supporters of obama,are supporters for change,and no other candidate even knows what that change means.they are stuck in their politics and policies ,of the past,because that is how they learned to be politicians.this is a different politics ,that obama is offering,and the stiff-shirts just do not know how to respond to hope and inspiration,so,they use the negative personal attacks that they always have used when no other tactic works.hillary may be destroying the democratic party, she portends to support and wants to lead in the fall,all because of her lust for power.she has not changed with the times,and is therefore the candidate who is 'out-of-touch,and 'elitist'.

    April 28, 2008 11:16 am at 11:16 am |
  16. Mark

    When an opinion poll favours the Clintons,its Hoeraaaaa.When it does not favour them,its "It does not matter."
    OBAMA 08

    April 28, 2008 11:16 am at 11:16 am |
  17. Tell It Like It Is

    At this point, Clinton, McCain and Obama all look like out of touch elitists that are clueless to any socio-economic group other than their own or those above their own group.

    April 28, 2008 11:16 am at 11:16 am |
  18. 24 white male

    I will never understand the people who don't realize how special of a candidate he is.

    Obama 08

    April 28, 2008 11:16 am at 11:16 am |
  19. starr

    we need someone who is going to beat mccain. mccain is too old for the presidency . I think it could be Obama. Clinton should have been more truthful . This was side of her that was not appealing.

    Obama could be a little more ""tuff"....he comes off a little to mild

    April 28, 2008 11:17 am at 11:17 am |
  20. Obama will win landslide in NC

    why are you Clinton supporters so intent on over turning the inevitable? Do you really think you can win the war in November by dividing the Dem party now? You are obviously naive. Get with the program.

    April 28, 2008 11:17 am at 11:17 am |
  21. John

    We still back you Barack, don't pay attention to the polls, we even picked up one more delegete for you yesterday in the 2nd congressional dist, here in Iowa. Yes we still can, and will. We know Hillary is a liar, and she will not help us you will. Obama 08. We will not stop hoping even with Hillary's Rovian tactics. Obama the man with the plan.

    April 28, 2008 11:17 am at 11:17 am |
  22. D

    "This big state theory is bogus, Obama won Illinios, and Iowa. It seems the only "big" states that matter are the ones Hillary puts her spin to."

    Brandon you are a moron to think that iowa is a big state, there are more cattle than people. illinois is his home state, in which he was expected to win. So it seems that your the one that is putting the spin on, long story short sit down and shut up!

    April 28, 2008 11:17 am at 11:17 am |
  23. Peter

    Clinton needs to win both NC and Indiana to have a chance, she might have a chance if NC is close, but then she should win Indiana with a large margin (5-10% at least).

    Realclearpolitics has Obama ahead with 3% in indiana and around 15% in NC. If the results are similiary to these average polls, then Hillary is done for sure.

    Obama is ahead with over 150 delegates pledged delegates. There are 9 competitions left with a total of 408 pledged delegates. Indiana, Guam and NC totals 191, which means there are 217 left after may 6th. Obama will probably lead big in pledged delegates after may 6th and the victory would probably be definite after may 20th. Several undecided superdelegates has said that they wil choose the candidate with the most pledged delegates, everyone knows this will be Obama, but the supers will wait until it is definite. So, If Clinton don`t withdraw after may 6th and Obama doesn`t plunge against Hillary and Mccain in the polls, then the primary will probably be decided after May 20th when dozens of supers will choose Obama because he has won the pledged delegate counts.

    April 28, 2008 11:17 am at 11:17 am |
  24. Mike

    Could someone please explain why, if there are two states' primaries next week, the smaller is the crucial? Is this just another Hillary spin so if she pulls off a 2 point win in Indiana, coupled with a 7-10 point loss in North Carolina, it's a "good day" for her?

    The numbers are the numbers, Obama will be ahead in popular votes and delegates when the primary season ends. All Hillary is doing at this point is dividing the democratic party and making it easier for McCain. She uses "kitchen sink" politics and then decries Obama as weak or complaining when he refuses to abandon his positive and uniting approach to politics.

    Obama should, no must, be the nominee. Any result which ignores the popular vote will only serve to alienate the younger generation of democrat, upon which this Country will need to rely for decades to come. Any attempt to characterize Michigan or Florida as wins for Hillary will have the same result. I am a 30-something Floridian, and I can tell you that many of my peers elected not to participate in the primary because they were told that their votes did not count. Any claims made about those two states simply represent an effort to ignore the rules. But what else should we expect from someone desperate for a win, not for their country, not for the party, but for themself?

    It's time for the mega-ego that is Clinton to finally do what's best for the party, it's time for change.

    April 28, 2008 11:17 am at 11:17 am |
  25. Melissa

    This is news? She won PA, as she was expected to, so why shouldn't her numbers go up? However, Obama is still ahead of her by 6 or 7 points (see poll averages on Real Clear Politics), and that number will probably go up depending on next Tuesday's vote in IN and NC

    April 28, 2008 11:17 am at 11:17 am |
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