May 1st, 2008
02:27 PM ET
14 years ago

Blitzer: Should Clinton's swing state edge be a factor?

[cnn-photo-caption image= caption=" Blitzer: Could new polls sway some superdelegates?"] WASHINGTON (CNN) - There are new polls suggesting Hillary Clinton might fare better against John McCain in three key Electoral College battleground states in November than Barack Obama. These are states the two parties will be fighting over desperately in the general election – Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania.

The polls are snapshots and are certainly not conclusive evidence that she would in fact be a more formidable candidate against McCain in those states than Obama. A lot, of course, can change between now and November. But the polls are significant because they could influence those still-undecided superdelegates – and perhaps even some decided superdelegates who can change their minds.

The Quinnipiac University poll shows Clinton is currently ahead of McCain in Florida, 49 percent to 41 percent. In the same poll, McCain is statistically tied with Obama, 44 percent to 43 percent.

In Ohio, the poll shows Clinton ahead of McCain, 48 percent to 38 percent. McCain is statistically tied with Obama, 43 percent to 42 percent.

In Pennsylvania, Clinton is ahead of McCain, 51 percent to 37 percent. Obama is also ahead of McCain in this state, but by a slightly smaller margin - 47 percent to 38 percent.

As you know, Clinton defeated Obama by about ten points in both Ohio and Pennsylvania. In Florida, there was no campaigning because the state had moved up its primary against Democratic Party rules. But all the candidates’ names were on the ballots, and Clinton won decisively.

Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania will see a lot of campaigning in the months ahead. McCain is already spending lots of time there – as he should if he wants to be president. So should these latest polls be a serious factor in the minds of superdelegates?

Filed under: Wolf Blitzer
soundoff (325 Responses)
  1. Justin

    Do you seriously think Dems will lose PA and win FL and Ohio?

    The candidates really don't matter.

    May 1, 2008 04:08 pm at 4:08 pm |
  2. Ready for Change

    Only if you want a Democrat to win in November, if you do, then Hillary is the only one with a chance. There is still the other shoe waiting to drop with Obama, and he will never be elected in November.

    May 1, 2008 04:10 pm at 4:10 pm |
  3. Susan MO

    She is experienced, for the people and a fighter. She can face McCain without any problem.

    Hillary 08 🙂

    May 1, 2008 04:10 pm at 4:10 pm |
  4. tidho

    lmao..."The polls are snapshots and are certainly not conclusive evidence that she would in fact be a more formidable candidate against McCain in those states than Obama."...given this quote from your article Wolf, I'd say no they shouldn't be much of a factor.

    Truth is there is a lot of the 'if my candidate' doesn't win stuff flying around right now and obviously Clinton has a lot of support in those states. If they are still able to unify the party when Clinton is finally done those polls will show that either Democrat will take them.

    May 1, 2008 04:11 pm at 4:11 pm |
  5. anon


    Since the media is refusing to reveal/report the Paul vs Clinton fraud case in court right now, we need to create our own movement and flood every blog on CNN and every blogging website on the World Wide Web with information from the case regardless of what the topic is. For those that don't know – Google Paul vs Clinton and hold on to your shirt with what you read!!


    May 1, 2008 04:13 pm at 4:13 pm |
  6. mama4obama

    How should I say this....


    No and .....


    Fact is that 2 out of 3 states prefer Obama. I happen to live in one...and one the distractions/distractors (Hillary,Wolf..etc) are gone the games will truly begin.

    May 1, 2008 04:13 pm at 4:13 pm |
  7. media bias

    wolf you bias, you love Hillery. Bill better watch out.

    May 1, 2008 04:14 pm at 4:14 pm |
  8. Johnny

    Ugh! NO!!!!

    Obama has won more states... has won more delegates...

    Every state counts in the general election... and Obama has won his share of important states....

    THE question is WILL Obama win the states that Hillary lied her way to victory in... lest we forget her NAFTA flub in OH...

    Obama can and will win PA, OH, NY, and CA...

    Obama has won the primary.... ENOUGH already!

    May 1, 2008 04:14 pm at 4:14 pm |
  9. jz

    Absolutely they should be a factor. Do the Dems want the White House or not?

    The only reason Obama has more delegates is because of the shady caucuses. Hillary wins the important primaries. Just look who won Texas and how Obama actually got more delegates from the state due to illegal activities.

    Obama will not win a general election. Smart people at the DNC know this and will make the right decision.


    May 1, 2008 04:14 pm at 4:14 pm |
  10. Real Change

    I have heard this and heard this and heard this and not ONCE have I heard the media deal with this question: How electable is Hillary really going to be if Obama wins more popular votes, more states, and more pledged delegates only to have all of that overturned by the fat cat superdelegates? With the numbers as they are now Hillary is ABSOOLUTELY unelectable.

    The media bias in this race has been shocking! It started out in favor of Obama against Clinton and now has gone – to rediculous lengths – in the other direction.

    Well at least they have found a second story instead of just continuous coverage of Rev. Wright.

    May 1, 2008 04:14 pm at 4:14 pm |
  11. Krystof

    So many are angry at the opposing Democrat they support that they will say to pollsters they wouldn't support the other one in the general, when we all know that it will come together once one clear winner is determined – and the superdelegates should be smart enough to know that.

    May 1, 2008 04:14 pm at 4:14 pm |
  12. Irrelevant

    I don't see any evidence that the Democrats are worried about winning in November. So far it has been an ineluctable progression to an unelectable candidate.

    May 1, 2008 04:15 pm at 4:15 pm |
  13. Adam - TX

    Yes, they are what win elections. As much as it may not seem right, this is the reality of the election process under the electoral college. Democrats needs to deal with it.

    May 1, 2008 04:15 pm at 4:15 pm |
  14. Mike

    To Ready for Change,

    ...well said...

    Go Hillary!!!!!!!!!!!

    May 1, 2008 04:15 pm at 4:15 pm |
  15. Lourdes

    No. Obama brings so many new voters into the electorate that states that have always been "red" will actually mean something to dems this november. Why continue this red state/blue state nonsense. Let's have some CHANGE!!

    May 1, 2008 04:16 pm at 4:16 pm |
  16. Mart

    No. Obama is on the way to winning the nominations. All the democrats + independents will vote for him in November. Clinton does not have the independents' vote on the ground. The pundits just want us to believe that Clinton still has some chance to win the nomination. The truth of the matter is that Clinton is hurting the party....

    May 1, 2008 04:16 pm at 4:16 pm |
  17. Nancy

    I have decided as a loyal democrat and liberal thinking person that I simply CANNOT support Mr. Obama. I will only vote for Mrs. Clinton. If she is not the nominee, I have decided to cast a write-in vote as I also cannot vote for Mr. McCain. I was so excited at the bginning of this process and am so disenchanted now. If there is a joining for the "supposed dream ticket" - I will have to vote for someone else as I simply cannot support Obama.

    May 1, 2008 04:17 pm at 4:17 pm |
  18. Daniel

    You are completely PARTISAN for Clinton

    May 1, 2008 04:17 pm at 4:17 pm |
  19. errrr

    Although the polls are just temporary, there is no ground to say that Obama will do better in November if nominated. On the contrary, it may become worse.

    If Obama gets the nomination, the recent attacks from Hillary will look like blessings compared to the upcoming attacks from GOP in the fall. Obama has so many flaws that he will be torn apart by GOP. Democratic may probably lose big in this fall like what they did in 1972.

    May 1, 2008 04:19 pm at 4:19 pm |
  20. AZM

    I don't like Obama at all... I think he's weak under pressure... he can't make up his mind... and has made terrible choices in who to surround himself with....
    I think this poll is meaningless because once the nomination is over... people will be upset for awhile... but in the end will hold the party together.

    May 1, 2008 04:20 pm at 4:20 pm |
  21. marek

    yes she will win

    May 1, 2008 04:20 pm at 4:20 pm |
  22. NObama

    Odrama will fall like Gore and Kerry. Seriously, what more can you throw at Hillary??

    She is standing taller than ever!!

    May 1, 2008 04:20 pm at 4:20 pm |
  23. Allan

    The one poll that trumps every other is that Hillary Clinton has the highest negatives of any candidate ever, and that impression is only being reinforced daily by her train-wreck of a campaign.

    I will never forget Hillary commuting with "one of the guys." Hillary proved that she doesn't know how to pump gas, and that she has never attempted to serve herself coffee at a convenience store.

    Meanwhile, she's in Indiana trying to blame George Bush for losing a defense contractor to China when it was Bill Clinton who failed to prevent it from happening.

    And we now know that it was Clinton, not Obama, who told the Canadians to ignore her rhetoric on NAFTA. That story is going to lead to a huge scandal and possibly the end of their current administration.

    Vote Democratic. Vote Obama.

    Folsom CA

    May 1, 2008 04:20 pm at 4:20 pm |
  24. dorothy

    No the swing States should not be a decided factor, because the Superdelegates are looking for and Electable candidate, one who can bring the parties together, and the most popular votes, and states wons, and one can make sound decisions during a time of Crisis. If I look at Hillary Clinton, and her memory on the Bosnia Sniper firing, I do not think I can trust her with a 3:00am call in the morning to make a decision for me and my family.

    Jim, ok

    May 1, 2008 04:20 pm at 4:20 pm |
  25. R.I.F.


    The superdelegeates have already made up their minds. These polls are 100% influenced by the media and considering the fact that you've talked about Wright nonstopsince Monday they don't surprise me. Obama was up in every poll and Clinton was making her electability claim and you totaly ignored the polls like the supers are doing.

    Stop stirring the pot! You guys are turning into TMZ.

    May 1, 2008 04:20 pm at 4:20 pm |
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13