May 1st, 2008
02:27 PM ET
14 years ago

Blitzer: Should Clinton's swing state edge be a factor?

[cnn-photo-caption image= caption=" Blitzer: Could new polls sway some superdelegates?"] WASHINGTON (CNN) - There are new polls suggesting Hillary Clinton might fare better against John McCain in three key Electoral College battleground states in November than Barack Obama. These are states the two parties will be fighting over desperately in the general election – Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania.

The polls are snapshots and are certainly not conclusive evidence that she would in fact be a more formidable candidate against McCain in those states than Obama. A lot, of course, can change between now and November. But the polls are significant because they could influence those still-undecided superdelegates – and perhaps even some decided superdelegates who can change their minds.

The Quinnipiac University poll shows Clinton is currently ahead of McCain in Florida, 49 percent to 41 percent. In the same poll, McCain is statistically tied with Obama, 44 percent to 43 percent.

In Ohio, the poll shows Clinton ahead of McCain, 48 percent to 38 percent. McCain is statistically tied with Obama, 43 percent to 42 percent.

In Pennsylvania, Clinton is ahead of McCain, 51 percent to 37 percent. Obama is also ahead of McCain in this state, but by a slightly smaller margin - 47 percent to 38 percent.

As you know, Clinton defeated Obama by about ten points in both Ohio and Pennsylvania. In Florida, there was no campaigning because the state had moved up its primary against Democratic Party rules. But all the candidates’ names were on the ballots, and Clinton won decisively.

Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania will see a lot of campaigning in the months ahead. McCain is already spending lots of time there – as he should if he wants to be president. So should these latest polls be a serious factor in the minds of superdelegates?

Filed under: Wolf Blitzer
soundoff (325 Responses)
  1. Josh, LA

    No, everybody should follow the rules. Obama is winning and he should be the nominee.

    May 1, 2008 04:21 pm at 4:21 pm |
  2. joe

    Obama cannot beat McCain in the general election. Please, people, realize this.

    May 1, 2008 04:22 pm at 4:22 pm |
  3. masgap

    Right Hillary will win most of the next primaries (Not NC, Oregon and
    Montana) the popular will be hers or very very close. Momemtum and
    the swing states are the key Only she can beat McCain.

    Watch Puerto Rico A landslide for her. She is the one with specific
    solutions and experience. Obama is just talk. Go Hillary

    May 1, 2008 04:22 pm at 4:22 pm |
  4. vjh

    What do the polls say for the remaining 49 states ? If we are going to throw polling into the picture, lets take a snapshot of the whole country, not just 3 states.

    May 1, 2008 04:22 pm at 4:22 pm |
  5. Susan, TX

    My parents made an interesting point, if Clinton gets her way in getting the nomination by having the delegates seated for FL/MI as is with her name being on the ballot only, it is just like Fidel Castro. His name was the only one on the ballot....That makes Clinton a dictator.....she wants to control everything and thinks she's entitled to this nomination. I think not!

    May 1, 2008 04:22 pm at 4:22 pm |
  6. ttfrenzy

    We must get over these divisive polls and press releases that simply further divide our country. We must get past, Obama's pastor, and equally not worry about Clintons. We as a people must unite under one candidate, one person and one dream to avoid the third term bush that would come to haunt us if we decide to pretentiously switch parties for McCain over Obama and Clinton! How Childish to do something like that!

    May 1, 2008 04:22 pm at 4:22 pm |
  7. Docb

    Gov. Easley just said he never let Obama make his case..Question; What does Easley owe the clintons?

    May be similiar to the Pay off of Rendell[ got his wife a judgeship] or Bayh and Vilsack[ got Norman Hsu to pay their campaign debt]

    The supers are not buying the fuzzy math and the other rhetoric.
    You should not be either.

    May 1, 2008 04:23 pm at 4:23 pm |


    May 1, 2008 04:23 pm at 4:23 pm |
  9. James

    That cannot sway the superdelegates. What about the other states that Obama won. Obama is leading McCain in all the red states. Wolf can you report that and stop supporting Hillary.

    May 1, 2008 04:23 pm at 4:23 pm |
  10. Jan from Boca Raton

    We all better think twice if we want a democrat in the white house,

    If Obama is the nominee the republicans are going to pull out
    every skelton in his closet and they will win this election.

    Every super deligate better think very hard about our future.

    May 1, 2008 04:23 pm at 4:23 pm |
  11. bigben

    Yes winning PA OH and Fl would ensure a easy victory

    May 1, 2008 04:24 pm at 4:24 pm |
  12. Joseph

    Every week, Wolf posts a new story about why Clinton should win. Is she paying him to report these "stories"? I know reporters have their own personal political views, but some just make it less obvious than others.

    May 1, 2008 04:24 pm at 4:24 pm |
  13. debby

    Wolf-Why don't you shut up and let your guest get out a sentence? You ask them a question then you continueous interrupt them. I find it not only irritating but downright rude. We get sick of hearing your mouth run. Let your quest ANSWER THE QUESTIONS!!!! In fact, go on a nice long vacation. Me and I'm sure many others are sick and tired of hearing your mouth run!!!!!!

    May 1, 2008 04:24 pm at 4:24 pm |
  14. Terry Williams

    Yes. In the GE, its winner take all. Obama thinks he can lose the swing states and make up for it by stealing red states. He is pretty arrogant to think he can do that. He believes too much in his own quote "To know me is to love me."

    May 1, 2008 04:24 pm at 4:24 pm |
  15. Mario O'dwyer

    How can anyone who saw the Clinton Chronicles vote for her. I was going to vote for her if Obama didnt make it but after watching that video i will sit it out if obama doesnt get nominated. Myheart just wont let me vote for her.

    May 1, 2008 04:24 pm at 4:24 pm |


    May 1, 2008 04:25 pm at 4:25 pm |
  17. change we can believe in

    There had been several polls over the months showing Obama would beat John McCain iany day in the General Election . Now, that the polls shows Clinton would be in better position to beat McCain is just a big deal?
    Come on CNN be fair,and stop making it sound like this is first poll ever taken. As a matter of fact, some of us are really getting tired of the weekly polls.

    May 1, 2008 04:25 pm at 4:25 pm |
  18. Mfelder

    Poll numbers are subject to change everyday. We need to see the results from the Indiana and NC primaries before we start getting ahead of ourselves. For someone is fighting against, the former President, Bill Clinton, US Senator Clinton and the Media, Barack is doing quite well. And besides, if Senator is doing so well in the polls, then she will make a great Champion for Senator Obama when it comes to pulling the groups that we need in November.

    May 1, 2008 04:25 pm at 4:25 pm |
  19. Beebe

    I'm not sure. On one hand she's won the swing states again Obama. One the other hand, who's to say Obama wouldn't win them against McCain or that Clinton could win them again McCain. The "white blue-collar voter" block is the least reliable democratic block so it's hard to determine a nominee based on those states.

    May 1, 2008 04:25 pm at 4:25 pm |
  20. Melissa

    To Ready for Change: I don't know why people like you are insisting Hillary can win swing states. There is NO guarantee she will against a Republican. I for one will not vote for her and many others I know will not. The other shoe on Obama has dropped. We have allowed our insecurities to outweigh our brains. The fact that he is half black is the reason people won't vote for him.

    May 1, 2008 04:25 pm at 4:25 pm |
  21. Fred up north

    CNN for Hillary !!!!! But the people and the Superdelegates for Obama!!!!!

    May 1, 2008 04:25 pm at 4:25 pm |
  22. Chuck in Alabama

    Certainly. Mr. Obama has lost viability in the general election. With all her bad "history," at least Mrs. Clinton is vetted. With recents events, the public is wondering what other skeletons Mr. Obama might have in his closet.

    Swing voters want to have a choice between known entities, Obama does not offer that choice.

    May 1, 2008 04:26 pm at 4:26 pm |
  23. yes

    these polls absolutely should send a loud and clear message to the superdelegates. that message is:


    May 1, 2008 04:26 pm at 4:26 pm |
  24. Ty

    Gas Holiday. WHAT A JOKE That's like putting a bandage on a gun shot wound.

    May 1, 2008 04:26 pm at 4:26 pm |
  25. Lewis

    Nice RfC. I'm sure that the RNC attack machine hasn't been preparing for HRC since, oh say, 1992 or so. Here's a candidate that 60% of Americans on both side of the aisle consider to be dishonest. Do you honestly think the Pennsylvania bounce is sustainable?

    May 1, 2008 04:26 pm at 4:26 pm |
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