May 1st, 2008
06:52 AM ET
14 years ago

Poll of polls: Obama losing ground

[cnn-photo-caption image= caption=" Obama now leads Clinton by 1 point nationally."]

(CNN) - The Democratic presidential race is tightening nationally, according to a new CNN average of several recent polls.

Obama's lead is now down to 1 point over Clinton nationwide, 45 percent to 44 percent, in CNN's "poll of polls." That margin is down 3 points from another CNN poll of polls conducted two days ago. In that analysis, Obama led Clinton 47 percent to 43 percent. The margin is also considerably lower than an April 18 poll of polls that showed Obama with an 11 point lead.

The poll of polls consists of three newly released national polls from Fox News/Opinion Dynamics, Gallup, and Newsweek. There is no margin of error on the poll of polls.

Both the Fox News poll and the Gallup poll were conducted partially after Obama's former pastor, the Rev. Jeremiah Wright, made a fresh round of controversial comments earlier this week.

The Fox News poll also appears to show Obama no longer has an edge over Clinton among independent voters. In head-to-head match ups, presumptive Republican nominee John McCain wins independents by a 4 point margin over Clinton (42-38 percent) and by a 10 points over Obama (47 percent to 37 percent).

Filed under: Poll of polls
soundoff (1,279 Responses)
  1. linda-Texas

    Well it is plain to see people are not as stupid as Senator Obama said they were.


    April 30, 2008 06:07 pm at 6:07 pm |
  2. Ryan, New York, NY

    As a result of its collective inability to focus on real problems and real issues of character, as opposed to this ridiculous controversy that's dragged on for 45 days now, about someone who isn't a candidate and isn't even a campaign member, this country doesn't even deserve McCain, let alone Obama. It deserves someone more along the line of Britney Spears.

    So much for religion being a personal issue in somone's life. In this country, you have to wear it on your sleeve (or on your lapel) and it must conform to exactly what people expect in order to be successful on the national stage. Just ask Mitt Romney.

    Rudy Giuliani had his S. Carolina campaign chair get indicted for cocaine distribution, Norman Hsu tries to kill himself after illegally raising nearly $1 million for Hillary, yet these were blips on the media's radar compared with the 45 days of incessant Rev. Wright coverage. Glad to see that they finally got around to reporting really important facts like "Barack Obama's pastor said some things which offended some people."

    To be honest, Bush's election was bad for my opinion of the country's standards and criteria when it comes to elections. His re-election sent it down a huge notch more. But this travesty taking center stage, coming on the back of 7.5 years of Bush, in the middle of a war, in the middle of a recession, has pretty much buried all hope I have for America in the short-term.

    April 30, 2008 06:07 pm at 6:07 pm |
  3. Jason

    Barack is still polling strong. It's like a soccer match, the losing team will mount an enormous of pressure towards the end of the game to cause an upset, but the winning team often hold there ground and wind the clock down.
    Hillary is fighting the last battle of her life to salvage her candidacy, I never expected anything less but Barack will remain strong and finish off the race.

    April 30, 2008 06:07 pm at 6:07 pm |
  4. Janissi

    Enough is enough already! Can we please give this a rest. I, for one, want to focus on the issues that Obama brings instead of the red herring called Pastor J. Wright. If people are stupid enough to attribute one man's voice for another, then they will fall for anything. It's the media that keeps this diatribe going because we know you want Hillary. Let it go, please, for the betterment of country.

    Obama stated his position during his speech yesterday. How much more do we want? Now you want to start this "what do the polls say" mess. Who are they polling? I want to hear Obama talk about the issues and not have to keep rehashing the same ole stuff about JW. Let's keep it moving.

    Now, I'm sure you're gonna post this, but I said it anyway.

    April 30, 2008 06:07 pm at 6:07 pm |
  5. Patricia C. Hughes

    It is about time people woke up to the fact that Obama is not ready for prime time. If he can't figure someone out after being around them for twenty years how is he going to deal with all the duplicitous types he would have to handle as President? Hillary is obviously the smarter and more savy candidate.

    April 30, 2008 06:07 pm at 6:07 pm |
  6. chris

    How sad such a distraction can take us from an amazing leader. Part of me wishes he would bring up Hillary's pastor's molestation on a 7 yr old girl and all of her skeletons and part of me is glad he doesn't resort to those types of tactics (like she does).

    April 30, 2008 06:08 pm at 6:08 pm |
  7. Charlotte

    Obama is destroying the democratic party. He wants to blame Hillary for his judgement with Rev. Wright? Lets get to the General Election and elect John McCain, 'cause that's what's going to happen. Rev. Wright has pretty much sunk Obamas' hope of becomming the first black president. I have never seen an election that should have been a sure thing for a Democrat, become so convoluted as to become a three ring circus. We have been derailed by race. Obama preaches hope and change, a feel good position, that has egnited a lot of young people who are still impressionable. We all want a more responsive government. George Bush promised change? Change can come when we quit re-electing the incumbents who achive little or no progress.. They keep sending back the same people who caused the mess. Bush got re-elected because the opposition was weak. Kerry was swift-boated by the GOP, or was it something he was lacking. The GOP are ruthless, Obama is like Kerry, Dukacus, Mondale etc. Obama may become the nominee, if this happens we will be in for 4 more years of Republician rule. Obama said he is bored with this Primary, will he get bored if he is President? Maybe why he voted present so many times as a State Senator and missed 40% of the votes as a US Senator, too bored to show up? Rev. Wright will not go away and Obama is merely a politician saying what needs to be said to win? They all try to say what will get them the win. It is called politics. Will they achive the goals they set? How can Obama bring about change? How can he bring a handful of wishes to reality? A person must have the will, determination and fortitude to get it done. Talking about change does not make it happen. Wishing for change does not make it happen. Praying for change doesn't make it happen. It takes action to make it happen. You cannot change anything if you surround yourself with the very people who resist change, Kennedy, Kerry and the rest of the insiders who have stagnated and lack the ability to change? McCain has tried to cross the party line to no avail. We don't need someone to cross the line, we need someone who can make the lines meet. We need someone who can out do the opposition with the ability to think fast in any situation. That certainly does not bring Obama to my mind.

    April 30, 2008 06:08 pm at 6:08 pm |
  8. Marlye

    The voters are finally beginning to learn WHO Obama really is. Proof of this statement is that the pools are starting to change in a different direction. You can not listen to racist sermons for thirty years and not believe what the man is saying. Thank goodness that all this came out before it was to late.

    April 30, 2008 06:08 pm at 6:08 pm |
  9. Astro

    What a fine president Obama will be!
    At 3AM Obama will make the WRIGHT decision:
    throw everybody else under the bus–blame everybody else, anything
    to escape responsibility and save himself!
    Look out Obama's family and friends!
    With Obama as a friend, you don't need enemies! 😉

    April 30, 2008 06:08 pm at 6:08 pm |
  10. Jen B.

    A vote for Clinton is a vote for corruption and lies.
    It is a sad state of affairs that her supporters have no problem with her lack of integrity.

    April 30, 2008 06:08 pm at 6:08 pm |
  11. Esaias

    Delegates! Delegates! Delepates! is the name of the game. Not Polls! As long as the supper delegates are trickling his way. He wins. That's it!

    April 30, 2008 06:08 pm at 6:08 pm |
  12. jmel

    At best Obama is the same as all of the rest of the "old school" politicians that he eschews. The voters have now at least seen that Obama is not the paragon of virtue and agent for change that he has presented publicly. I believe that the public has a right to know about their candidate; lord knows that we have more information about the other candidates than we might like. Now people can make an informed choice, which is what democracy is all about. As an aside, I do believe that Hillary is the better candidate and hope that in the contests that remain for primary votes and superdelegates she prevails.

    April 30, 2008 06:09 pm at 6:09 pm |
  13. Lynette

    It sickens me that there is even fallout over this! Sen. Obama and Rev. Wright are two very different people. I periodically go to the Church, I agree or disagree with what's said, I go back again because it's my Church and I've been going there for years. I do not expect people to completely lose their minds over something someone's Pastor says regardless of how much time is spent there. I think the people who are having issues with this are the real elitists and are much less Christian than they would like to think or would like others to think. Obama tried to give his former pastor the benefit of the doubt. There's nothing wrong with that. When that wasn't good enough for Wright, he had to take further steps. Do you really believe that he should have become the monster towards his former pastor that we've seen in Hillary Clinton?? Absolutely not! That would have been a disaster and we would all be discussing how he so easily threw him under a bus! He took the necessary steps in the correct order. Distancing yourself from your Pastor is not something that should be taken so lightly. For those of you who would have done this in a more harsh way, you're truly fooling yourselves. How many of you are going to a Church where you agree with everything that's said? Isn't that called a cult??

    April 30, 2008 06:09 pm at 6:09 pm |
  14. Steve - Philadelphia

    I agree with Pam – CNN is unabashedly pro-Clinton and I wouldn't pay any attention to the opinion they cloak as "news." Note that Obama has picked up more delegates and superdelegates recently despite this manufactured issue surrounding the Rev. Wright. Imagine the things that would come out of the woodwork were Clinton to get the nomination !! The Democrats would be lost in the coming battle with McCain. Let's support Barack with our donations – we need to do this NOW.

    April 30, 2008 06:09 pm at 6:09 pm |
  15. Paris

    He is loosing ground because people are starting to see him for who he is.
    A true politician that underestimated people’s intelligence.
    I find his wife much more honest but very negative and down on America.

    April 30, 2008 06:09 pm at 6:09 pm |
  16. joseph

    The problem that we are having in this election is the media.I think that they are running this campaign for Hillary. They helped her won PEN. State with their attack on Senator Obama disguised to be a debate. Pls CNN stop taking side in this election. I know that my comment will never appear cos it never does but i will never give up.

    April 30, 2008 06:09 pm at 6:09 pm |
  17. Ellie

    Clinton should do the party a favor and disappear. No more Clinton lies and fake "local girl" crap. All she has brought abt is negativity upon negativity and lies. I'll do what the Clinton supporters plan on doing if Obama wins-VOTE McCain. The Clintons have done more to disrupt, and break apart the democratic party than ever beofre.

    April 30, 2008 06:09 pm at 6:09 pm |
  18. Zion

    I'll say about Clinton what I said about Bush in November. Put her in, and we deserve whatever we get.

    April 30, 2008 06:09 pm at 6:09 pm |
  19. JT

    The bottom line is that the only things that the last month and a half of this election have proven are that Americans are uninvested in their politics, that they care nothing about learning about the candidates, and that they are, frankly, easily duped. Hillary Clinton is as much a member of the "old boys" club as George W. Bush. A simple evaluation of the candidates' records would demonstrate to those voters gushing about her "experience" that she has very few substantive accomplishments; that is to say, as a Senator, she has done little more than collect a paycheck. Barack Obama's record, on the other hand, establishes a man with a long history of commitment to just that, substantive achievement in helping people through legislation and public service. In two years in Congress, Obama has been involved in ten times the amount of legislation to enact change in the areas of health care, education, and national defense as Hillary Clinton. Sadly, however, Mr. Obama is a man of humility, and, as a result, the American people have started to buy into Hillary Clinton's "empty rhetoric" about "experience." Ironic, isn't it? Who is really "all talk" here? I urge all of us to put down our swords and actually read up on the candidates about whom we spend so much time fighting. Ignore the rhetoric, and get down to the facts. When you do, come back and talk to me about who is truly experienced.

    Obama '08

    April 30, 2008 06:09 pm at 6:09 pm |
  20. David, LA

    Obama for President is not wright!

    April 30, 2008 06:10 pm at 6:10 pm |
  21. sharon

    GOOD, finally Obama is being exposed ....I will never believe that he was unaware of what was transpiring in his church, 20 years is a LONG time to be oblivious to the teachings of his pastor, his denial is too little, too late.

    April 30, 2008 06:10 pm at 6:10 pm |
  22. bored with the election

    What is wrong with America? None of the three potential candidates have anything that excites me. Obama is a charlatan–at least he's been exposed. Where are the real leaders in this country?

    April 30, 2008 06:10 pm at 6:10 pm |
  23. Tammy - KCMO

    My mind hasn't changed despite CNN's "poll of polls". I will still vote for Obama and will NOT vote for Clinton. People should make their minds up based on FACTS – NOT INUENDOS THROWN OUT THERE BY THE PRESS.

    April 30, 2008 06:10 pm at 6:10 pm |
  24. skylark

    Hillary, CNN, MSNBC, Fox, Newsweek, McCain.
    Traitors to your country.
    These Polls are fixed. Haven't your figured it out?
    How many of you have been polled out there?
    I know I haven't!
    They mean absolutely nothing.

    April 30, 2008 06:10 pm at 6:10 pm |
  25. R.I.F.

    A Fox Poll? The same network that employes Hannity, O'Reily, has Rovve and Limbaugh on regulaly and this is a trustworthy poll? Every time I trun it on Fox they are bashing Obama. You think their poll is "Fair & Balanced". Sounds like a fixed poll to scare the supers so they can hvae at Clinton this fall. Cmon CNN, this is the first time that you've used the Fox poll in your poll of polls.

    April 30, 2008 06:10 pm at 6:10 pm |
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