May 1st, 2008
06:52 AM ET
14 years ago

Poll of polls: Obama losing ground

[cnn-photo-caption image= caption=" Obama now leads Clinton by 1 point nationally."]

(CNN) - The Democratic presidential race is tightening nationally, according to a new CNN average of several recent polls.

Obama's lead is now down to 1 point over Clinton nationwide, 45 percent to 44 percent, in CNN's "poll of polls." That margin is down 3 points from another CNN poll of polls conducted two days ago. In that analysis, Obama led Clinton 47 percent to 43 percent. The margin is also considerably lower than an April 18 poll of polls that showed Obama with an 11 point lead.

The poll of polls consists of three newly released national polls from Fox News/Opinion Dynamics, Gallup, and Newsweek. There is no margin of error on the poll of polls.

Both the Fox News poll and the Gallup poll were conducted partially after Obama's former pastor, the Rev. Jeremiah Wright, made a fresh round of controversial comments earlier this week.

The Fox News poll also appears to show Obama no longer has an edge over Clinton among independent voters. In head-to-head match ups, presumptive Republican nominee John McCain wins independents by a 4 point margin over Clinton (42-38 percent) and by a 10 points over Obama (47 percent to 37 percent).

Filed under: Poll of polls
soundoff (1,279 Responses)
  1. J

    I don't understand how this makes him "unelectable". It's good to get him vetted now, so it doesn't bite him in the general.

    And in case you haven't realized, all these polls show that even with a scandal getting 24/7 coverage for 4 days, he at worst, becomes as electable as Hillary.

    In other words, on a good day, Obama wins handily.
    On a bad day, he has about the same chances as Hillary.

    You can't elect a woman who is looked upon unfavorably by somewhere between 50 and 60% of Americans.

    April 30, 2008 06:20 pm at 6:20 pm |
  2. Iv

    Why isn't the latest Zogby poll included? In that poll it shows Obama leading McCain by 3 points and Clinton losing to McCain by 10.

    April 30, 2008 06:20 pm at 6:20 pm |
  3. Mary

    Poll from FOX NEWS !!!!!!!!

    Too Funny!!!

    Might as well ask the National Enquirer......

    April 30, 2008 06:20 pm at 6:20 pm |
  4. Dee, WV

    The fact is after ALL the bad press on Obama he is STILL leading in the polls...bite that off and chew it Billary supporters...and Obama supporters aren't "angry"...we're PISSED...non stop attacks on Obama, constant lying...Hillary is like a virus that won't go away. And for all you Billary supporters that say you won't vote at all or will vote for McCain if Obama wins the nomination...what BS!!!!! YOUR THE REASON THE DEMOCRATIC PARTY IS FALLING APART..YOU AND YOUR FEARLESS LEADER!!!!! :p

    April 30, 2008 06:21 pm at 6:21 pm |
  5. kailin

    Sen Obama is just NOT experienced enough. He only has a few years in Senate. He is on the defense, makes big promises, has fired up speeches, but has not given us a good sense of how he is going to pay for his promises, and accomplish everything he says. He has lots of empty words. The USA needs to get to know him better, maybe in a few years he will be ready. He buckles under pressure and when the fire gets hot, he gets defensive and starts whining that everyone picks on him – he gets to hung up on emotion. He is not ready for the President, people please think hard before voting for Sen Obama, get to know the man first, lots of problems.

    April 30, 2008 06:21 pm at 6:21 pm |
  6. Ev

    I've had it with CNN's strong prejudice for Hillary. Goodbye!

    April 30, 2008 06:21 pm at 6:21 pm |
  7. Michael

    There's got to be more to offer than "I am not Hillary". Since that is all Obama ever had, it does not surprise me that he is tanking.

    April 30, 2008 06:21 pm at 6:21 pm |
  8. stage fright

    I'm sick of this false, hypocritical man

    April 30, 2008 06:21 pm at 6:21 pm |
  9. Gene

    Should Mr. Obama not get the Democratic nomination it is a sure return to the White House for the Republicans for many Democrats and Independents ,like I, will not vote for Ms Clinton. As much as I would hate to see four more years of the same destructive policies I have an innate fear of Ms Clinton. This was an election for the Democrats to loose, and they will! I feel sorry for America.

    April 30, 2008 06:21 pm at 6:21 pm |
  10. zap

    Lessons Learned

    Things I have learned during this campaign season:

    In a race that includes a former First Lady of the United States and a multimillionaire Republican senator rumored to share up to eight residences with his wife, the black guy from Chicago is unforgivably elitist.

    Racism in America is caused primarily by black Chicago preachers.

    The guy who keeps getting confused over the relationship between Iraq, Iran, and al Qaeda is the foreign policy expert.

    The guy who goes to campaign stops on his wife's private jet aircraft is the most down-to-earth.

    The guy who changed his stance on tax cuts, Roe v. Wade, immigration, gun control, the confederate flag, torture, public financing, and his own anti-earmark rhetoric is the "straight talker".

    People in the heartland don't like it when you call them bitter, but they do like it when you explain to them that they're too dumb to understand issues more important than whether or not they like to be called bitter.

    Arugula is the measure of a man.

    Bowling is the measure of a man.

    Orange juice is the measure of a man.

    Flag pins are the measure of a man.

    Success in Iraq consists of any reduction in violence, except when violence increases that's good too.

    A recession is only a recession if you call it one.

    Bill Kristol, Sean Hannity, Bill O'Reilly, Karl Rove, Maureen Dowd, David Brooks, David Broder, Charles Krauthammer and Bob Novak are all intensely interested in giving advice to the Democratic candidates because they just want to be helpful.

    There are people in this world dumb enough to believe every one of these things.

    April 30, 2008 06:22 pm at 6:22 pm |
  11. Beverly

    The new polls shows why Clinton needs to remain in this race.
    As in any race, it's not over until it ends. She is sprinting now and Obama is looking tired and losing ground.
    Clinton will be the nominee if the Democrats want to win.

    April 30, 2008 06:22 pm at 6:22 pm |
  12. stage fright

    This man played the race-card one too many times and got caught in his own trap.

    April 30, 2008 06:22 pm at 6:22 pm |
  13. brian

    To Obama supporters:

    Please go and comfort Obama.. He must be crying out loud right now..Huhuhu.. Come now Babama. Poor Obama..

    April 30, 2008 06:22 pm at 6:22 pm |
  14. tuff Col. Oh

    Those polls lie, at the end of the day 90% of the blacks are still going to vote for Obama, granted he can't win without the white vote, and hillary can't win without the black vote. How come the question isn't raised why Hillary can't win the black vote the vote she's not agressively seeking.. If Obama go after Hillary too harsh he'll be accused of attacking a white woman and we all know that's a no no. now they ask why did Obama wait too long to denouce his pastor, first all the so call public wanted was for him to denounce him now they want to know what took him so long, what's taking the media so long to put this matter to rest. Kill this Rev. Wright story

    April 30, 2008 06:22 pm at 6:22 pm |
  15. TC-Indiana

    Count Michigan for Clinton? My 75-year-old Michigan-native mother, who is a strong Obama backer, says she thinks she could've won Michigan, too, if she was the only name on the ballot!

    April 30, 2008 06:22 pm at 6:22 pm |
  16. Anne E.

    I cannot believe that CNN is citing a poll from Faux Noise. How disappointing!
    If there's a shred of truth to these numbers, perhaps it indicates that we don't deserve someone like Barack Obama. Anyone shallow enough to allow themselves to be swayed by the Wright "issue"......oh wait. This has GOT to be the same bunch of people who were ok with the idea of supporting a guy who couldn't name world leaders to save himself; who didn't show up for military service; who failed miserably at every business undertaking, but was good enough to "have a beer with." Never mind.......those same people want more of either
    Grandpa Munster, or the Clinton baggage.

    April 30, 2008 06:23 pm at 6:23 pm |
  17. DT

    Obama is so obviously the only candidate of integrity, honesty, and intelligence. It's so lousy that these grimy politicians are going for anything they can to bring him down, and worse that people are buying their bull. Hillary would prefer to see the Dems lose than for her not to be the candidate. That way she can run in 4 years again instead of Obama being the incumbent. These polls are just fluctuating based on whatever random irrelevant nonsense is in the news on any given day. They'll swing back and forth. In the end, Obama will be the candidate because anything else would be suicide for the Dems.

    April 30, 2008 06:23 pm at 6:23 pm |
  18. 08 for Obama


    April 30, 2008 06:23 pm at 6:23 pm |
  19. Julie

    It's better to get a better understanding of Obama now before naive voters get him in as President. THEN it'll be years of finding out that he was not prepared to run this country. I'm sure all those delegates who rushed to endorse Obama for their own gain, are getting a little bit sweaty, hoping that they didn't make a hugh mistake.

    April 30, 2008 06:23 pm at 6:23 pm |
  20. true colors

    The fancy rhetoric could hide his hypocrisy for only so long.

    The chickens always come home to roost.

    What goes around, always comes back around.

    The truth shall set you free.

    April 30, 2008 06:23 pm at 6:23 pm |
  21. Jack, Phoenix

    If Barrack cannot pull this one off, YOU will see John MCCain in the White House. Now get behind Barrack. And I'm a Republican that will NEVER vote for McCain or Clinton.

    April 30, 2008 06:23 pm at 6:23 pm |
  22. Think!

    If the Democrats lose the election in November, it will be because of the Clintons and their supporters.
    Her self-serving ambition for the presidency has been so destructive.
    Talk about a scorched earth policy.
    Think about it. She really has nothing to lose.
    The Clintons are millionaires many times over, so, unless Hillary wins the Democratic nomination and the presidency in the fall, it really doesn’t matter to them whether Barack or McCain become president. They’re lives won’t change.

    They don’t have to worry about whether their house is going to be taken away.
    They don’t have to worry about getting sick.
    They don’t have to worry about paying off student loans.
    They don’t have to live in poverty.

    So, why not go for broke and risk the future of the American people?
    It sickens me.

    People need to remember that after graduating from Harvard, with no rich parents to pay for it, Barack Obama worked helping the poor of Chicago when he could’ve been doing a lot more lucrative work. He and Michelle just paid off their student loans a few years ago. Also, the bulk of his wealth, which pales next to McCain’s or the Clintons’ fortunes, has come from his books, his ideas, not working for a huge multinational whose feet rest on the backs of the poor.

    This is so frustrating.
    We Americans are so close to destroying our country and our way of life, and more than half of us don’t even see it.
    It’s sad.
    Is it our collective American ego that can’t admit a mistake?
    Are we unable to say to ourselves “You know, this just isn’t working. We need to take a chance on something different”?
    Honestly, do we really think that things could get any worse for us?

    The extremists pre 911 hatred of the west was cultivated by Reagan, Bush Sr. and the Clintons.
    The post 911 hatred, which has been greatly amplified, was cultivated by Bush Jr and his foolish decisions.
    Our economy is in a shambles because of the current administrations policies since September 11th.
    Iraq is just one example.

    We need to obliterate the Al Qaeda’s of the world, that’s true.
    We need to be tough.
    But we also need to destroy the seeds that will continue to produce terrorists.
    We need to stamp out that hatred.

    I believe that Barack can fulfill this mission.

    The world use to look up to us.

    Let’s be leaders again.

    Obama ’08!

    April 30, 2008 06:24 pm at 6:24 pm |
  23. Kimiko Honda

    I think that the "Rev." Wright is/was a Clinton plant to discredit and bring down Barack Obama.
    Before the Wright scandal, Obama was riding high in the polls, and nothing that Clinton did ( none of her back-stabbing, mud slinging, temper-tantrums) worked in doing damage to Obama.
    Then, when it looked like Obama was unstoppable....Rev. Wright appears.
    I think that either of the Clintons, or their surrogates brought him out of the woodwork, paid him off, and set him up to speak and discredit Obama.

    April 30, 2008 06:24 pm at 6:24 pm |
  24. Jenni B

    Oh C'mon! Can't any of you see that this was a total set up by the Clinton Camp? Obama is being lynched left and right. Don't you think it's just a little odd that Clinton hasn't pounced all over this Wright issue? Even though that's all she and Mr. Cigar Clinton ever do to Obama?

    The last debate was a set up as well. Hillary stood there grinning, literally the smile painted on her face. Just in the last few days, The Clinton campaign has been "hinting" that something was up and they're sure they will will win... oh, and then this reverend wright controversy is everywhere! Serously it's just been one thing after another. Just liek suddenly a tape with Obama speaking in SF was "leaked" to Huffington Post just before PA primary! And PA fell for it!

    Alot of folks are in bed with the Clintons. They are dishonest and as dirty as they come, and powerful. It's so obvious... I really hope someone in the media uncovers how this entire thing just "suddenly" blew up in the media, aimed at Obama's demise, and to Hillary's benefit. I'm surprised the Clintons haven't put out a hit on Obama yet.

    All of you Clinton supporters are the ones voting for a wolf in sheep's clothing. SUPERDELEGATES WHERE ARE YOU? Come forward for Obama, let's get back on track before the Clintons steal the White House!

    Shame on you PA. I urge Indiana and North Carolina voters to really look at Obama and the facts. Don't fall for Hillary's lies and manipulation. She only cares about herself and the family dynasty. She isn't the midwestern gal she keeps reinventing to grab votes.

    OBAMA '08

    April 30, 2008 06:24 pm at 6:24 pm |
  25. lugina


    April 30, 2008 06:24 pm at 6:24 pm |
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