May 1st, 2008
06:52 AM ET
14 years ago

Poll of polls: Obama losing ground

[cnn-photo-caption image= caption=" Obama now leads Clinton by 1 point nationally."]

(CNN) - The Democratic presidential race is tightening nationally, according to a new CNN average of several recent polls.

Obama's lead is now down to 1 point over Clinton nationwide, 45 percent to 44 percent, in CNN's "poll of polls." That margin is down 3 points from another CNN poll of polls conducted two days ago. In that analysis, Obama led Clinton 47 percent to 43 percent. The margin is also considerably lower than an April 18 poll of polls that showed Obama with an 11 point lead.

The poll of polls consists of three newly released national polls from Fox News/Opinion Dynamics, Gallup, and Newsweek. There is no margin of error on the poll of polls.

Both the Fox News poll and the Gallup poll were conducted partially after Obama's former pastor, the Rev. Jeremiah Wright, made a fresh round of controversial comments earlier this week.

The Fox News poll also appears to show Obama no longer has an edge over Clinton among independent voters. In head-to-head match ups, presumptive Republican nominee John McCain wins independents by a 4 point margin over Clinton (42-38 percent) and by a 10 points over Obama (47 percent to 37 percent).

Filed under: Poll of polls
soundoff (1,279 Responses)
  1. Toboro

    This week's polls are like a glitch. They more reflect the current mood (short term) rather the long term.
    In 2 weeks or so, Barack will re-emerge as the Democratic leader.

    April 30, 2008 06:24 pm at 6:24 pm |
  2. Dennis

    Hillary has more experience... of being a corrupt cheat.

    Whitewater, Peter Paul, sniper fire, bad touch pastor, vote for Bush to go into Iraq, earmarks galore...

    And you all want to turn your back on Obama for some loud mouth preacher.

    I pray for the day that we have an agnostic candidate... yes, I understand the irony of that statement.

    April 30, 2008 06:24 pm at 6:24 pm |
  3. Kristen

    After all that's happened in the past week – and he's still a point ahead? He's our next president!!!!


    April 30, 2008 06:25 pm at 6:25 pm |
  4. Converted

    Sickening...Hillary couldn't get any lower than she'd already been, so all she had to do was wait for enough to hang on Obama to sink him to her level (who cares about real issues, right?). I'd been pretty undecided given the strengths and weaknesses of these candidates, but the last think I want is another politician walking the Karl Rove path of dirty politics. If it's Hillary for the Dems, I'll be voting McCain.

    April 30, 2008 06:25 pm at 6:25 pm |
  5. kevin

    Obama has plenty of time...Hillary has no time. The national polls will reverse once again. There are those bent on his destruction because the republicans fear him. Do not be distracted or swift boated again. I believe that he can bring about change better than anyone.

    April 30, 2008 06:25 pm at 6:25 pm |
  6. JP

    Obama is the only one willing to tell the American people the truth for a change!

    Obama is the only one who:
    * has told the truth on the gas tax
    * has not said "obliterate" or "bomb bomb" IRAN
    * has repeatedly said we need a new approach to foreign diplomacy (in case anyone thinks our current one is working!)
    * was rignt on the money in 2002 – before we invaded Iraq – he said "it will fan the flames of anti-American sentitment around the world and cost Americans billions of dollars and thousands of lives"
    * the only candidate left who was right about Iraq – showing good judgement from the start
    * the only one who has outright refused to take lobbyists money and who has very publicly said he wants to change lobbyists influence in Washington (crickets from McCain & Clinton on that issue).
    * the only one who has said that nuclear proliferation is the #1 threat to America, not terrorism. Nuclear arms in the hands of terrorists or rogue states is the #1 threat to the world.

    See this if you want proof of his sound judgement:

    April 30, 2008 06:25 pm at 6:25 pm |
  7. Vietnam vet for Obama!

    Remember "Dewey Wins"?
    Remember Obama's apparently insurmountable lead in NH polls?

    It appears polling hasn't gotten much better since the 1940s.

    Whatever people are willing to say to an anonymous stranger on the phone, the fact remains that Hillary is absolutely unelectable. People on the left, people on the right, and people in the middle...we're all sick of Clintons.

    And Obama, like almost any other Democrat than a Clinton, beats McCain. Most of us aren't in that one-tenth of one percent of the biggest earners that Bush and McCain so love. WE have problems paying our bills, we would like to see a halt to the incredible shrinking of the dollar, and we definitely, absolutely, want our troops home!

    Go Obama!

    April 30, 2008 06:25 pm at 6:25 pm |
  8. Susan / PA

    Pleaseeeeeeeeee spare us...Fox News meand Bill Clinton/Mark Penn Poll...................Unbeieveable you CNN would stoop to such levels as to include a rouge news channel like Fox in your poll of polls.......... are sinking fast CNN

    April 30, 2008 06:25 pm at 6:25 pm |
  9. READY999

    If CNN-FOX-ABC-MSNBC and other news stations start to report REAL NEWS like up coming trial PETER PAUL vs CLINTONS for campaign fraud OBAMA polls will soar.However none of these REPUBLICAN news station is ready for a AFRO-AMERICAN PRESIDENT. They never will and I bet CNN will moderate these comments and will not post.

    April 30, 2008 06:26 pm at 6:26 pm |
  10. Yes to Obama

    I am sure that those polls were proudly financed by our lovely previous president Bill Clinton.

    April 30, 2008 06:26 pm at 6:26 pm |
  11. AMG

    To those that do not like the Fox news' polls please see the Gallup polls. Americans are waking up and this is good. We must thank Hillary for staying in the race and give the American people the chance to make a good selection.

    April 30, 2008 06:26 pm at 6:26 pm |
  12. osmond

    Cindy: you have to understand something. Barack is a man of laws hes going to follow them. he was a constitutional law professor so he has to be fair to the laws. This is not the first time MI and Fl werent counted. in 2004 when the DNC Chairmen was the now campaign advisor to hillary said that MI and Fl wouldnt be seated. you cant change the rules in the middle of the game. now if they split the delegates like they should its fine. but he never said that he didnt want to the votes he said he would agree with the DNC. If this were the opposite way around you know hillary wouldnt give it a second thought. if she was up and didnt have MI and FL she wouldnt care

    April 30, 2008 06:27 pm at 6:27 pm |
  13. Gregory

    I know that Barack Obama did not Abandon Michigan voters.

    I also know that Americans don't want another holiday.

    April 30, 2008 06:27 pm at 6:27 pm |
  14. Alejandro

    Here is my reply to Alex in TX:

    Calling all racists and bitter Americans, let us join forces for our master, Barrack Obamy!

    April 30, 2008 06:27 pm at 6:27 pm |
  15. Sharon

    RB......will you do some real research 🙂 peter paul is a nut and a convicted felon........

    April 30, 2008 06:27 pm at 6:27 pm |
  16. Obama 4 Our Future!

    Obama didn't create the Michigan problem, Michigan did. I am in Michigan and I voted non-committed that day to send a message to Michigan.

    I am all for Obama. The Clinton's will say or do whatever they need to in order to win if they can. Hopefully the wise people of this country will see the light....Clinton's in the White House just means 4 more years of what we have right now.

    Obama is brilliant enough to lead this country in a new direction, a change we all so desperately need.


    OBAMA O8!

    April 30, 2008 06:28 pm at 6:28 pm |
  17. David

    It is not surprsing Obama has dropped in the polls.
    Obama did not disown Rev Wright in his speech, he simply denounced his comments. Furthermore, he did not appear furious or "rightiously indignant".

    April 30, 2008 06:28 pm at 6:28 pm |
  18. Tom

    About time. Frankly, the guy should lose his senate seat too.

    April 30, 2008 06:28 pm at 6:28 pm |
  19. James Connolly

    Being from NYC, I will guarantee that Obama is another stealth candidate in the mold of David Dinkins who won with the independent white voters.

    Racial politics anyone? You'll see it if he squeaks in. Jesse Jackson, Al Sharpton, and yes, Jeremiah Wright will crawl out of the woodwork and Obama will give them front row seats in his administration. And nary a white face you'll see.

    April 30, 2008 06:28 pm at 6:28 pm |
  20. Cheryl

    Bob-something is wrong here! Who is leading in the delegates?, who is leading in the popular votes?, OBAMA! exactly!!! I know common sense would prevail. Smart man.

    April 30, 2008 06:28 pm at 6:28 pm |
  21. KE

    Sen. Obama is a politician and he is a very ambitious man. Somebody who run for the presidency with his kind of record and experiences who could say that he is not an ambitious man?

    Sen. Obama is a cowardly man. Rev. Wright has more judgement than Sen. Obama. Rev. Wright told Sen. Obama to stay away from him and he did not (till now). I'm not justifying Rev. Wright's preaching but those ideas are out there and he is not alone in that kind of rhetoric and that's the fact. I have no doubt Sen. Obama did not know what Rev. Wright is all about.

    Sen. Obama cannot speak with his pastor, he cannot speak with Hillary, and he cannot debate. What kind of a leader he will be and if so in what kind of environment? That' my question.

    April 30, 2008 06:28 pm at 6:28 pm |
  22. Marc

    Obama clearly does NOT have the experience to become President of the USA. People now are beginning to see that by the way he handles these election trials like this Wright clown. Hillary say what you will, is well versed in public policy and international public policy.
    She knows her way around the current crop of world leaders and they know her...Very important points. If she is elected, she will hit the ground running on inauguration day while Obama and crew would be still trying to find the bathrooms in the White House.

    April 30, 2008 06:29 pm at 6:29 pm |
  23. The Lady

    Polls don't win elections votes do.

    April 30, 2008 06:29 pm at 6:29 pm |
  24. James

    Just what we need more status quo in Washington with Clinton. You really have to wonder if this country has any sense left at all.

    April 30, 2008 06:29 pm at 6:29 pm |
  25. Susan / PA

    Hey Paul....did you ever think there just isnt anything there to "unearth"?

    That is what is frustrating you people are just not use to that you can relate to

    April 30, 2008 06:29 pm at 6:29 pm |
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