May 1st, 2008
06:52 AM ET
14 years ago

Poll of polls: Obama losing ground

[cnn-photo-caption image= caption=" Obama now leads Clinton by 1 point nationally."]

(CNN) - The Democratic presidential race is tightening nationally, according to a new CNN average of several recent polls.

Obama's lead is now down to 1 point over Clinton nationwide, 45 percent to 44 percent, in CNN's "poll of polls." That margin is down 3 points from another CNN poll of polls conducted two days ago. In that analysis, Obama led Clinton 47 percent to 43 percent. The margin is also considerably lower than an April 18 poll of polls that showed Obama with an 11 point lead.

The poll of polls consists of three newly released national polls from Fox News/Opinion Dynamics, Gallup, and Newsweek. There is no margin of error on the poll of polls.

Both the Fox News poll and the Gallup poll were conducted partially after Obama's former pastor, the Rev. Jeremiah Wright, made a fresh round of controversial comments earlier this week.

The Fox News poll also appears to show Obama no longer has an edge over Clinton among independent voters. In head-to-head match ups, presumptive Republican nominee John McCain wins independents by a 4 point margin over Clinton (42-38 percent) and by a 10 points over Obama (47 percent to 37 percent).

Filed under: Poll of polls
soundoff (1,279 Responses)
  1. mitch from ark.

    who cares?

    April 30, 2008 06:29 pm at 6:29 pm |
  2. Oscar, Rio Vista, CA

    A note to Clinton supporters. Kerry LOST the general election even though he received 90% of the black vote. If she steals the nomination away from Obama she will definitely lose the general election. The Clinton News Network keeps reporting that only 30% of Obama supporters will not vote for Clinton .. but that is untrue. I bet you that it will be at least 90%.

    I've also come to see that racism is alive and well. How sad.

    April 30, 2008 06:29 pm at 6:29 pm |
  3. JO

    AT LAST !! People are finally wising up to Obama !!

    April 30, 2008 06:30 pm at 6:30 pm |
  4. Double Standard!!!!!

    The t.v. media is scritinizing Obama which if fine. Its a double standard..why are they not talking about Hillary's scandal with PETER PAUL during her run for N.Y. senator how she manage to hide campaige funds!!!! Just google" THE SHOCKING VIDEO HILLARY DON'T WANT YOU TO SEE!!!!!!

    April 30, 2008 06:30 pm at 6:30 pm |
  5. James DeLelys

    11 September 1998 Reverend Jeremiah Wright is photographed at the White House shaking President Bill Clintons hand. Reverend Wright was invited to a Prayer gathering where President Clinton apologizes for his affair.

    My question: NBC ran this story but how come I have not heard this revelation, nor seen this issue presented upon the cable news networks? 'Inside' cable news political agenda possibly?

    There is obvious ties to this controversial Reverend by the Clintons. Why are we not hearing about this???


    April 30, 2008 06:30 pm at 6:30 pm |
  6. kelley James

    DROP THE CLINTONS. WHEN THEY SPEAK ITS ALWAYS ABOUT THEM AND THEM ALONE . IT I MYSELF AND ME. Can't you people see that the only people the Clintons care is themselves. OBAMA 08. VOTE OBAMA 08

    April 30, 2008 06:30 pm at 6:30 pm |
  7. Amanda

    I'm much more concerned about the precepts of Obama's religion, than the influence of one person, one pastor. I believe Mr. Wright is just another religious entrepreneur, not a religious man personally. For him, it is about ego and cash flow! If a black man were to be elected as I hope happens, it would harm Mr. Wright's basic tenant, and the "woe is us" victim mentality that he preaches!

    This is not religion, this is not God’s message, don’t pay for this nonsense!

    April 30, 2008 06:30 pm at 6:30 pm |
  8. WH

    Blacks should be Thankful to Wright. He is trying to toughen Obama up. We know who Wright is, but who is Obama? Is he truly committed to the Blacks who support him? Wright has supported improving the plight of Blacks for many years. In fact, he is reponsible for inspiring Obama, preaching that in this society nothing is guaranteed to any Black Man, even if you are a Harvard Intellect. What Wright preaches is true , Obama knows it and any African American attending church knows it too. If he were truly commited to the Blacks that support him he would find a way to embrace Wright and his cause but in a more accepting way that all humanity could understand and relate. This was the power of MLK. Obama's denounciation of Wright simply says that he will say what he needs to get to be President, and this rightfully so, angers Wright.

    April 30, 2008 06:30 pm at 6:30 pm |
  9. Independent

    After the Wright stuff subsides things will get to normal then we can see how polls are. The mess in FL/MI is due to DNC and Hillary signed in INK for it.

    April 30, 2008 06:31 pm at 6:31 pm |
  10. Jeff from California

    I seriously cannot for the life of me understand why this whole Rev. Wright nonsense is garnering so much media attention. So some crazy pastor made some ridiculously misguided and controversial statements - what else is new?!

    As for why Obama remained a member of the church for so long, he probably didn't have any idea as to what sorts of crazy beliefs his minister had rotting in his brain. Heck, just the other day an old man who friends and neighbors thought nothing but good about was discovered to have kept his daughter/sex slave and children/grandchildren locked in his basement for the past quarter of a decade!

    Let's move on and focus on fixing the countless problems that our country is facing. Personally, I think it's time for an agnostic or even atheist president so we can move forward into the 21st century.

    April 30, 2008 06:31 pm at 6:31 pm |
  11. ChicoSez

    When Obama loses in Nov don't blame the Clinton's, blame the good 'Rev' Wright. Remember, up until Monday, the Obama line was that the rev was mainstream and not a kook. Only when the tracking polls showed what a liability the Rev had become, did Obama take the political step of kinda disowning Wright. Remember, Obama did not say that he and Wright were no longer friends, only that their relationship had changed, not ended.

    April 30, 2008 06:31 pm at 6:31 pm |
  12. Tim from Eugene OR.

    FOX NEWS, good source, did anyone check Rush Limbough's poll? I really hope that when Obama gets elected president one of the first things he does is appoint very thoughtfull people to the 3 FCC seats and maybe we can reverse the fact that our countrys only 5 news sources is expanded so that competition will force all of the media to start reporting real news and real issues. FOX NEWS, what a joke that you even mentioned their poll. What a joke that Hillarys supporters are anxious to grasp onto a poll by them. Shame on your integrety CNN, you do know better!

    April 30, 2008 06:32 pm at 6:32 pm |
  13. Realistic

    Too little, too late. The election ended when Hillary didn't win Pennsylvania by at least 20 points like she needed to.

    April 30, 2008 06:32 pm at 6:32 pm |
  14. J

    By the way, since when has leading in a poll by "only one point" meant that the losing candidate should be considered the winner?

    We need another Age of Reason here in America, fast.

    April 30, 2008 06:32 pm at 6:32 pm |
  15. Jo

    Hattie - I have a doctorate (Do you know what that means?), and I support Hillary for President. Dem-oc-Rat, Hillary has not split the party, Obama has caused the damage. When people vote for him just because he is black, he is splitting the party and causing a racial divide in our nation.

    Hillary deserves the first dance at the inaugural ball. She earned it by working hard for all Americans in the senate and as first lady of the U.S. and Arkansas. She has a great legal mind, and she is not afraid to work her way through controversy. Obama talks the talk, but Hillary walks the walk! Clinton 08!

    April 30, 2008 06:33 pm at 6:33 pm |
  16. Incoming Sniper Fire

    Today marked the 7-month that violence has escalated in Iraq! I guess the media isn't interested in that story. Today almost 500,000 plus U.S. Citizens have had to face home foreclosures. I guess the media isn't interested in that story as well. Today Iran put a halt to the sale of oil to the U.S. because they said the dollar is too weak. And Iran is also pressuring the OPEC nations to join them. I would've thought the media would think this story is important to U.S. citizens considering all the talk about oil tax and the economy in the upcoming summer months. This is what Sen. Obama is talking about when he points to the fact that in every election cycle the MSM and politicians engage in the body politic like some sporting event, instead of the life altering impact the wrong decisions have on this country and the rest of the world. It is very sad that the world is watching this nation become a shell of its promise of a true Democracy. They are looking at how MSM is hijacking the electoral process, along with bought and paid for politicians. It has to be quite perplexing to see CNN cover elections in Pakistan and critique the process, when they are part of the very problem why things don't change right here in this country.

    April 30, 2008 06:33 pm at 6:33 pm |
  17. HillarySkank on myspace

    What the majority of Clinton's supporters fail to realize is that no matter how negative her ads continue to be, there is one thing that Barack has going for him that she never will. He isn't HILLARY CLINTON. As much as her supporters really deserve to experience a life of hell under her administration, the rest of us should not have to be subjected to it. When she loses, and she will, might I suggest all of those that love her so much just pack up and move to New York to be near her royal thighness.

    April 30, 2008 06:33 pm at 6:33 pm |
  18. charles NJ

    Why he is losing ground:
    1. Bitter / Cling
    2. "typical white people"
    3. Reverend Wright and Obama's lame excuses
    4. more people are getting to know him beyond his lofty campaign appearances and they don't like him
    5. Can't hold his own in debates
    6. Voters realize he is just a Daleyesque chicago political operative suppressing votes behind the scenes in Michigan/Florida claiming "it's complicated logistically" Really? In Operation Desert Storm we moved 500,000 troops and equipment in days


    Why Obama is losing more ground:
    1. Media especially msnbc is gaga over him. But the lovefest is fading.

    April 30, 2008 06:33 pm at 6:33 pm |
  19. John, Marietta, GA

    Ok, just imagine Obama loses. Are you happy? can you imagine having McCain and Hillary left in race, what will change? You keep fantasizing on some 90's economy, just like the Republicans were fantasizing on 80's morality when they rushed to Bush. The world has changed, old folks need to realize that we need someone with broad ideas in this age. We are about to tick the world off if we do not do the right thing. Our ego could fail us, Obama has done nothing people. Stop hating on this man.

    April 30, 2008 06:33 pm at 6:33 pm |
  20. Quinn

    Obama will win.

    The superdelegates will not overturn the will of the people...who have giving him the lead in delegates, states won and the overall popular vote.

    Obama's enemies will find fault in him no matter what he does. He could save a busload of school children from a ditch and all people would do is question his motives.

    Obama will prevail nonetheless.

    Obama 08!

    April 30, 2008 06:33 pm at 6:33 pm |
  21. America for Obama


    April 30, 2008 06:33 pm at 6:33 pm |
  22. william

    What in God's name does Obamas' mess have to do with HIlliary? PLease this is his problem let him work it out. I feel bad that he let the press and his campaign push him to make comments about Wright. Comments to fast too soon. He should have let it play out on its own, and not add wood to the fire that is now an inferno.

    April 30, 2008 06:33 pm at 6:33 pm |
  23. BJ

    Yes Obama supporters... you're right! Polls ONLY matter to you if Obama is ahead!

    Nevermind that he showed flawed JUDGEMENT with Wright
    Nevermind that after 20 years, he only realized the truth yesterday
    Nevermind that he has been exposed as JUST a politician
    Nevermind that his political message of "change" is floundering
    Nevermind that he is now unelectable
    Nevermind that he is just pandering
    Nevermind that he turns his back on his fellow parishioners

    In denouncing Rev. Wright, is he telling the congregation that they too have been listening to hate messages for the past 20 years? AND they still don't realize this?

    Give me a break!

    April 30, 2008 06:33 pm at 6:33 pm |
  24. KE

    Some people will bark at a wrong tree and some people will bark at everything. The Obama people will blame Hillary for everything and blame everybody else for everything like some people will blame America for everything sometimes not know what they are really against.

    April 30, 2008 06:34 pm at 6:34 pm |
  25. Eddie

    It is funny how Hillary supporters tell Obama to drop out because of a poll,but he leads in every thing that counts:delegates
    popular votes
    states won
    But Hillary was behind in all these things including the polls and you told here to fight on ,stupid.

    April 30, 2008 06:34 pm at 6:34 pm |
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