May 1st, 2008
06:52 AM ET
14 years ago

Poll of polls: Obama losing ground

[cnn-photo-caption image= caption=" Obama now leads Clinton by 1 point nationally."]

(CNN) - The Democratic presidential race is tightening nationally, according to a new CNN average of several recent polls.

Obama's lead is now down to 1 point over Clinton nationwide, 45 percent to 44 percent, in CNN's "poll of polls." That margin is down 3 points from another CNN poll of polls conducted two days ago. In that analysis, Obama led Clinton 47 percent to 43 percent. The margin is also considerably lower than an April 18 poll of polls that showed Obama with an 11 point lead.

The poll of polls consists of three newly released national polls from Fox News/Opinion Dynamics, Gallup, and Newsweek. There is no margin of error on the poll of polls.

Both the Fox News poll and the Gallup poll were conducted partially after Obama's former pastor, the Rev. Jeremiah Wright, made a fresh round of controversial comments earlier this week.

The Fox News poll also appears to show Obama no longer has an edge over Clinton among independent voters. In head-to-head match ups, presumptive Republican nominee John McCain wins independents by a 4 point margin over Clinton (42-38 percent) and by a 10 points over Obama (47 percent to 37 percent).

Filed under: Poll of polls
soundoff (1,279 Responses)
  1. The Dude

    As soon as I saw "Fox News" I tuned out.

    April 30, 2008 05:32 pm at 5:32 pm |
  2. Kelly From Oklahoma

    It would appear that the american people are starting to see that Obama is really out of touch with democrates in general.

    Gas tax, even Hillary and McCain both are for suspending the tax for the summer driving season. Obama is not. "It's a gimmic." I say hey, if it puts a few more dollars in my pocket while things are tough, then so be it.

    Time and time again we see that Obama really has no plan for anything.

    April 30, 2008 05:32 pm at 5:32 pm |
  3. Alex in TX

    Now the Obama has divorced himself from Rev Wright, the momentum will turn back in his favor. This poll of polls will turn back in his favor in a few days.

    By the way, who are these 10% of voters that sway back and forth that are so easily manipulated by the media? Has either candidate really changed in the last few months? Dems need to stay the course and not let the media influence their opinions. Its in the media's interest to keep this fire going (good ratings). Let's wrap this thing up and move on to the GE.

    April 30, 2008 05:32 pm at 5:32 pm |
  4. MD in OK

    You call 1% losing ground? I don't pay attention to the Fox news Poll because I'm sure it's biased. They are probably polling their own staff.

    April 30, 2008 05:32 pm at 5:32 pm |
  5. Frank, San Diego

    The match-ups with McCain are interesting. Against him, independents don't support Clinton more than Obama (only one point). They are just less undecided, with five more points going to McCain.

    This five point difference is just about what the research shows we should expect in terms of a "Bradley effect" if Obama and McCain match up in November. About five percent of respondents can be expected to indicate an intention to vote for Obama, but will actually go the other direction.

    April 30, 2008 05:32 pm at 5:32 pm |
  6. Lillian Mercer

    Well what did ya expect?? He's had a very grueling month and is trying his best to fan off attacks from all angles. Hillary, McCain and Rev. Wright are doing a mighty job on him lately. He still has my vote and I pray he'll rebound from this. Come on NC and Indiana!!

    April 30, 2008 05:32 pm at 5:32 pm |
  7. Dee

    Well as Hillary is winning..Polls matters

    When Obama was winning..poll did not matter

    April 30, 2008 05:32 pm at 5:32 pm |
  8. BGIV in NC

    That would be "are up". Angry blogging lends itself to bad grammar.

    April 30, 2008 05:33 pm at 5:33 pm |
  9. The Patriot

    Let's not get overly dramatic. He's still in a 5 against 1 battle for the nomination. Once the nomination has been sealed and he's no longer taking on the HRC establishment, her supporters, McCain, and his supporters, plus the GOP things will fall into place. Sen. Obama is fending farely well considering his unequaled circumstances.

    April 30, 2008 05:33 pm at 5:33 pm |
  10. vic nashville,Tn

    News for super delegates
    Hillary 08

    April 30, 2008 05:33 pm at 5:33 pm |
  11. Chris

    I just wish this thing would be over. Lets choose a nominee and get down to beating McCain. Rev. Wright is not running for President, so what he thinks or says has little bearing on what is important. Obama is not Wright and its unfair to blame him for what Wright thinks or even says. Time to move on. I wish the media would stop talking about this nonsense and get back to the real issues.

    April 30, 2008 05:33 pm at 5:33 pm |
  12. Susan MO

    Obama lacks experience.

    We need someone experienced, for the people, and a fighter.

    Hillary 08 🙂

    April 30, 2008 05:34 pm at 5:34 pm |
  13. tomas

    The Poll of polls showing Clinton ahead? wow.

    Might as well just hand over the nomination which she's been due since the day she started running then right? Despite being statistically behind in every category and despite the majority of superdelegates going to Obama since the Wright/bitter/Ayers "contraversies" and PA "double-digit loss". thankfully presidents aren't decided on FOX News polls or what Sean Hannity thinks 🙂

    tick tock Hillbillies tick tock

    April 30, 2008 05:34 pm at 5:34 pm |
  14. nannie bouroughs, Kenosha, WI

    Senator Obama is clearly TOAST; the only folks who are having problems understanding that notion are Senator Obama and his rabid supporters.

    Sel-inflicted death is always hard to understand...

    April 30, 2008 05:34 pm at 5:34 pm |
  15. Tony

    So, more Republicans are now trying to make Clinton look stronger? This isn't news.

    April 30, 2008 05:34 pm at 5:34 pm |
  16. bernj

    Poll smoll. Give it a few days and Barack will be at least 5 points ahead. The Hillary-McCain campaign can't stop destiny or a good man determined to bring common sense back to the American people. No more gimmicks. No more quick fixes. No more lies. Out with the old and in with the new. Bye bye Hillary. Bye bye McCain.

    April 30, 2008 05:34 pm at 5:34 pm |
  17. Sam

    Finally, people are seeing OBAMA for who he is, not truthful and weak. Go HILLARY.

    April 30, 2008 05:35 pm at 5:35 pm |
  18. Ostriches burying our heads in the sand

    Well....another poll of polls taken next week will most likely see him gaining ground once the ridiculous Wright soundbites stop being promoted as issue # 1 in the '08 campaign discourse.......

    April 30, 2008 05:35 pm at 5:35 pm |
  19. Mary

    Obama will be our next President.

    Clinton is untrustworthy and unelectable.

    April 30, 2008 05:36 pm at 5:36 pm |
  20. Michael

    I'm not worried. Obama can get the numbers back. If it came down to it, Americans would want him in office more than Hillary. Barack Obama is honest and smart, dedicated and caring. Hillary Clinton lacks those well as humanity.

    Obama 2008

    April 30, 2008 05:36 pm at 5:36 pm |
  21. E. loz Miami

    Oh Oh...What to do, what to do????

    April 30, 2008 05:36 pm at 5:36 pm |
  22. Michele

    I think it's time for Obama to step aside. He has shown the American people that he lacks good judgement. Rev. Wright had nothing to loose and basically stayed true to himself, but can we say the same for Obama? He only took a stand when it was going to impact his bid for the Presidency. We need someone who can win against McCain and that person is Hillary.
    I think the polls will say it all.

    April 30, 2008 05:36 pm at 5:36 pm |
  23. HH

    No really, After a month of horrible press.

    What did CNN expect his numbers to go through the roof.


    April 30, 2008 05:37 pm at 5:37 pm |
  24. Tobias

    Finally people are stating to see him for what he is and not some image he has tried to project. Senator Clinton is a much stronger candidate and she is the only one who can win in November. It is time to vote smart and vote Clinton.

    April 30, 2008 05:37 pm at 5:37 pm |
  25. Chrissy, TX

    Obama's views and lies are a coming home to roost!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    April 30, 2008 05:37 pm at 5:37 pm |
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