May 1st, 2008
06:52 AM ET
14 years ago

Poll of polls: Obama losing ground

[cnn-photo-caption image= caption=" Obama now leads Clinton by 1 point nationally."]

(CNN) - The Democratic presidential race is tightening nationally, according to a new CNN average of several recent polls.

Obama's lead is now down to 1 point over Clinton nationwide, 45 percent to 44 percent, in CNN's "poll of polls." That margin is down 3 points from another CNN poll of polls conducted two days ago. In that analysis, Obama led Clinton 47 percent to 43 percent. The margin is also considerably lower than an April 18 poll of polls that showed Obama with an 11 point lead.

The poll of polls consists of three newly released national polls from Fox News/Opinion Dynamics, Gallup, and Newsweek. There is no margin of error on the poll of polls.

Both the Fox News poll and the Gallup poll were conducted partially after Obama's former pastor, the Rev. Jeremiah Wright, made a fresh round of controversial comments earlier this week.

The Fox News poll also appears to show Obama no longer has an edge over Clinton among independent voters. In head-to-head match ups, presumptive Republican nominee John McCain wins independents by a 4 point margin over Clinton (42-38 percent) and by a 10 points over Obama (47 percent to 37 percent).

Filed under: Poll of polls
soundoff (1,279 Responses)
  1. Bob Butthead


    Take your meds, he's not dropping from the FRONT RUNNER position. Hillary will have to steal the election, which she has no problem doing, since she's a thief, and a liar.

    April 30, 2008 06:40 pm at 6:40 pm |
  2. gdouglas

    Finally Americans are coming to their senses and relize that Mrs Clinton is the best person to elect as President, Finally see the obama camp for what it is , all wind and air no substance . Their camp played the race card and now its backfiring on them. COME ON SUPERDELEGATES USE YOUR BRAIN VOTE CLINTON. Lets be realistic Mr Obama would not have the amount of delegates he has had it not ben for the black vote, thats not condemming anyone thats just stating the facts. Just check his record to actually see what he has accomplished since he has been in public life

    April 30, 2008 06:40 pm at 6:40 pm |
  3. Joe Unger

    Obama's in a very tight spot now.
    After weeks of people (read non-blacks) critcizing him for not disavowing Revrend Wright, he finally puts the hammer down and professes "outrage", the buzzword of our times. I am hearing the pundits claim this should help but I believe this only helps with those angry with Wright. Granted, I am not black, but how do blacks feel about this candidate who now appears to be pandering for votes? I do agree with Wright saying Obama is just being a typical politician now, saying what he thinks people want to hear.
    Obama, you can't please everybody and when you try, you do come across as your typical politician. I don't see any "change" here.

    April 30, 2008 06:40 pm at 6:40 pm |
  4. How can this be?

    Joseph wrote:

    Last time that I checked the election will be decided by the delegate count and not by a poll of polls.

    Clinton can't win on delegates.

    Well, Joseph, last time I checked, Obama can't win on delegates, either.

    April 30, 2008 06:40 pm at 6:40 pm |
  5. Michael Rose

    Count Michigan and Florida and then don't count Hillary out. If the Dems lose in November it's not her fault. She didn't come in to spoil the party she came prepared to win and met some resistance from an upstart with a shallow resume whose boredom with the drudgery of his role as a junior Senator has driven him to use the charming eloquence of callow youth to snatch the nomination out of her hands. This presumptive and impatience grasp has squandered the chance for the kind of party unity that guaranteed the defeat of any Republican nominee. If the Dems lose in November the blame can only be laid at his door.

    April 30, 2008 06:40 pm at 6:40 pm |
  6. Norman Lees

    I find it odd that nobody from the Obama camp has pointed out that the voters who stayed home and didn't vote in the Florida and Mighigan primeries would be disenfranchised. The educated and affluent who did not vote because they were told it would not count. The exact voter that would vote for Obama. Should their votes not count? Therefore without a redo, it is complete dirty politics to count those delegates.

    April 30, 2008 06:41 pm at 6:41 pm |
  7. Marlene

    May the best man or woman wins
    and SHE WILL!!!!!!!!

    April 30, 2008 06:41 pm at 6:41 pm |
  8. Eric-PA

    Obatala for obama,

    What's the problem? His numbers ARE slipping. The RCP average isw down to 2 points compared to 10 points last week. Oh and I think it's pretty clear that CNN is the Clinton Negative News. It's been that way for about 6 months.

    April 30, 2008 06:41 pm at 6:41 pm |
  9. carolgulfport

    Hey Media Kings, let's discuss this...Hillary didn't fight for the Wal-Mart employees to unionize when she was on the Bd of Dir for 6 years! Yet, a Clinton advisor said in The New Yorker that "Clinton's Pennsylvania election day plan were leading a caravan of Wal-Mart greeters to the polls! And, Bill Clinton said "he thought that was a good idea, why didn't he think of that? That would run our totals up". Let see if I get this right, Hillary threw the Wal-Mart employees UNDER THE BUS when they tried to unionize then when it suits her politically, they're good enough to be picked up by Bill and PUT BACK ON THE BUS and driven to the polls to vote for her!! Rural America and blue collar workers, beware of the empty bus that is being driven...and is this part of her 35 years of experience???

    April 30, 2008 06:41 pm at 6:41 pm |
  10. Nancy, The Vineyard


    Jesus has intervened in this election, that's why Barack is the front runner. You should do a little research and figure out who really abandoned you–your elected officials by breaking the DNC rules.


    April 30, 2008 06:42 pm at 6:42 pm |
  11. Videshi

    If we people judge others by their pastors, math teachers, gardeners and chef, there would not be much value to the judgment.

    April 30, 2008 06:43 pm at 6:43 pm |
  12. lyn-nj

    Hillary is a FIGHTER, and that is what we need. Obama is for HOPE and is a PROCATINATOR.

    Obama should have come out clean and denounce his pastor last year! Obama had many chances since Marc 7, 07 when Fox-Ohanaity was reporting this news every week. The utube of actual words from Obama showed Rev Wright's hatred to the American people.

    Lyn-New Jersey


    April 30, 2008 06:43 pm at 6:43 pm |
  13. Stephen Davids

    It may be time that Barack reaches below his rhetoric and start the smear tactics. I'm fairly sure this is NOT what he wants, but the bigger picture is more important.

    There is ample fodder... It would be as sad as watching this Wright non-issue.

    What type of nation and people are we? Intentionally ignorant, poorly educated, money grubbing "I got mine, you go get your own even if I only need 10% of what I have," society.

    What have we come too? That we, as a nation, have allowed this to occur is beyond disgraceful. Rigged elections, ego-centric leaders, stupidity at the upper levels of world leadership, and fear.

    Fear, fear, fear! Watch-out, your shadow may be a terrorist!

    We allow torture here in the USA. We have occupied another county (like Sadam in Kuwait) against thier will for no reason. Oh my lord... what have we come too?

    I'm ashamed of America. Moreover, I'ma ashamed of of myself. I didn't try hard enough, I know I could have done more. What have I allowed? What have we allowed?

    The phrase "God bless America" takes on new meaning today. Today it's a plea for help, no longer a joyous acknowledgement of a wonderful country.

    April 30, 2008 06:43 pm at 6:43 pm |



    April 30, 2008 06:43 pm at 6:43 pm |
  15. Ron Mueller

    Enough with the polls already...every couple of hours it is Clinton Leads in Indiana, Obama has Double Digits in NC, and McCain even in National Election only to be followed by a different result hours later. Surely, someone at CNN understands that 15 months into this campaign that they American public is just polled out and don't believe any of it, especially if it falls within the statical margin of error.

    Let's stay focused on the issues and see where the canidates stand. Not what Bill Clinton might be saying; not what Rev. whatever said during a sermon only because Senator Obama knows him (else he wouldn't even make a local church bulletin let alone the national news), and how George Bush is supporting Senator McCain's ideas. Just stick with the candidates and compare facts.

    April 30, 2008 06:44 pm at 6:44 pm |
  16. Grant

    Get with it poll, non Fox,,lol CNN's competitors taken today and just released show Obama up 8 points nationally..these are two polls with similiar results

    The interesting thing out of the polls is that the swing vote for HRC in Indy is coming from Republicans who want to keep the vote alive, Obama has a sizeable lead with Independents

    April 30, 2008 06:44 pm at 6:44 pm |
  17. Alex

    LIARS!!! Looka at NBC-WSJ new POLL today – OBAMA LEADS CLINTON AND McCAIN BY 7 points !!!!

    April 30, 2008 06:44 pm at 6:44 pm |
  18. HarryT

    He's unelectabl;e. For all you liberals who think Obama is the cat's meow, I would caution you to look at the history of Presidential elections in the past 50 years.

    While it may be nice to think about Camelpot and all that Obama will do to heal the wounds our nation suffers from, the truth is that candidates who the GOP can label as being too liberal or radical or devisive or in-experienced or a threat by being unknown are not going to win. It's nice to think about the great strides he can take, but it isn't going to happen if he can't get elected.

    The Dems need to nominate a more stable 'middle of the road', proven candidate who won't scare folks. We may be able to only take small steps forward. But it will be better than taking large steps backwards as we have under GOP rule. Hillary is the person who can defeat the GOP.

    April 30, 2008 06:44 pm at 6:44 pm |
  19. An American in Canada

    If the media ( TV, radio, newpapers, internet) had done it's job
    of informing citizens about who Barack Obama is and where he came from, he (Obama) would not even be in this race.

    The race would have been between Clinton and Edwards....

    And if the DNC, would have investigate one of the candidates who is running for the highest position in America, Obama would not even be in the race.

    So, Media shame on you for being derelict in your duty, to the citizens who count on you; you have let them down considerably, especially in the democratic candidates primaries.

    April 30, 2008 06:45 pm at 6:45 pm |
  20. Chapman

    These polls are snapshots in time. They mean very little right now because you're talking hypotheticals against each other & with a split Democratic party. Take a look at match ups w/ Nader & whatever joe green candidate guy's name is & you might have a little better idea where we're at. But Obama's low count right now is definitely indicative of the flap over Wright. The positive is that by the time the General comes around this will be old news & you won't be able to manipulate the numbers nearly as dramatically. This is round 2 of this flap & at the worst of it Clinton can only pull even (through all the attacks). What that really says is that Obama is an extremely strong force right now.

    April 30, 2008 06:45 pm at 6:45 pm |
  21. tom

    i would like to see a poll of how many people lie to the people talking the polls

    April 30, 2008 06:45 pm at 6:45 pm |
  22. Martha

    The many faces of Hillary remind me of the tried joke of the dealer with the two skulls on his wall: one of Pancho Villa as a child; the other of Pancho Villa as an adult.

    April 30, 2008 06:45 pm at 6:45 pm |
  23. Mirta

    He is in a right spiral and won't be able to pull up. Donna Brazille said it months ago: "movements die"...this was a movement and it is dying. He is no better than any other politician and it is starting to show. His campaign strategy is ready to crash.

    I must have missed something? Did Michelle "the gift that keeps on giving" Obama say something ignorant again? LOL! She is a train wreck in public.

    Hillary '08

    April 30, 2008 06:45 pm at 6:45 pm |
  24. Thomas

    87% of Americans wanted to go to war after 9/11, in New York that number was higher... Clinton voted for the war because the people she represented wanted to go to the war... Its nice to be Obama and say he did not vote, because he had NO vote. Years later he makes this a big talking point when Americans don't want to be at war anymore.

    Clinton did what we wanted I don't blame her for that and I'm glad she wants to get us out of the war. The problem I have is if either Obama and Clinton think they can just leave Iraq they are mistaken...

    Obama has never crossed party lines and in his short career never done anything that proves he can work with others. Clinton has traveled the world meet leaders and that alone is why I like her she knows about other countries (unlike Obama who thinks Canada has a president!)

    Clinton or McCane 08'

    April 30, 2008 06:45 pm at 6:45 pm |
  25. Andy L. DOMINECK

    The sooner CNN and Wolf Blitzer stop mentioning Rev. Wright and his exploits, the sooner the voters can get back to thinking about the issues in this campaign. I can not see why the news media is giving so much attention to the negatives in this election instead of just questioning the candadites about their positions. Who cares what Rev. Wright thinks. He is not running for president., Barack Obama is running for president and he is not responsible for what other people say about anything!!!

    Andy in Jacksonville, Florida.

    April 30, 2008 06:45 pm at 6:45 pm |
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