May 1st, 2008
06:52 AM ET
14 years ago

Poll of polls: Obama losing ground

[cnn-photo-caption image= caption=" Obama now leads Clinton by 1 point nationally."]

(CNN) - The Democratic presidential race is tightening nationally, according to a new CNN average of several recent polls.

Obama's lead is now down to 1 point over Clinton nationwide, 45 percent to 44 percent, in CNN's "poll of polls." That margin is down 3 points from another CNN poll of polls conducted two days ago. In that analysis, Obama led Clinton 47 percent to 43 percent. The margin is also considerably lower than an April 18 poll of polls that showed Obama with an 11 point lead.

The poll of polls consists of three newly released national polls from Fox News/Opinion Dynamics, Gallup, and Newsweek. There is no margin of error on the poll of polls.

Both the Fox News poll and the Gallup poll were conducted partially after Obama's former pastor, the Rev. Jeremiah Wright, made a fresh round of controversial comments earlier this week.

The Fox News poll also appears to show Obama no longer has an edge over Clinton among independent voters. In head-to-head match ups, presumptive Republican nominee John McCain wins independents by a 4 point margin over Clinton (42-38 percent) and by a 10 points over Obama (47 percent to 37 percent).

Filed under: Poll of polls
soundoff (1,279 Responses)
  1. lisa

    I am so tired of the media being bias! I bet CNN will not report the story I just heard on ABC. Hillary keeps saying that Bush should have stopped a Company from China from buying and sending job from a company in Indiana. Headline News: Bill approved the purchase. Maybe she she is misspeaking?

    April 30, 2008 06:46 pm at 6:46 pm |
  2. mr stlouis

    lets talk about hillary pastor getting seven years for child abuse, the median is more than bias their racist

    April 30, 2008 06:46 pm at 6:46 pm |
  3. elizabeth

    WHY do people question Obama's judgement of being w/a [pastor for 20 years like Wright, when Hilary Clinton has been with a liar and cheater for 30+ years? Where is HER judgement????
    Los Angeles

    April 30, 2008 06:47 pm at 6:47 pm |
  4. Dan

    The only thing that matters is his delegates... He will win the nomination easily, but the damage from Hillary has already been done. She should have dropped out back when he was 11% ahead instead of dragging his name through the dirt for the last month. Very poor decision on her part when she has no change of winning.

    April 30, 2008 06:47 pm at 6:47 pm |
  5. Sheri

    Obama is still leading over Clinton, He always bounces back and that is because of the message of change. He has been picking up super delegates everyday and is continuing to do so. Hillary has no chance mathmatically to win. She is behind and cannot catch up. So go Hillary go on and Drop Out!

    April 30, 2008 06:47 pm at 6:47 pm |
  6. Fred up north

    The Democratic congressman is towing the Party line ! this election is so polarized and so intense that the chances of a united party is very much in doubt ! (Obama's worst enemies are African Americans) !

    April 30, 2008 06:47 pm at 6:47 pm |
  7. mick

    Why can't people see that Obama has such bad judgement?

    April 30, 2008 06:47 pm at 6:47 pm |
  8. Bobby tray

    of course he lost ground with the media focusing on issues that do not pertain to the issues that are affecting the country. This polls shows how successful the media is at derailing any campaign

    April 30, 2008 06:48 pm at 6:48 pm |
  9. v.ananthan


    HILLARY IS SAYING "I think it’s offensive and outrageous"



    April 30, 2008 06:48 pm at 6:48 pm |
  10. William

    Obama is finished. This Dem is voting Hillary or McCain.

    April 30, 2008 06:48 pm at 6:48 pm |
  11. Nicole for Hillary

    Obama really has so much drama going on. What is going to happen when he gets into the White House? More drama! Let's just give this a rest and focus on the real thing. Hillary would have put her foot down on this nonsense a lot time ago. And they say women are caddy...

    April 30, 2008 06:48 pm at 6:48 pm |
  12. Lightning

    These national polls sure do matter when there are less than 10 contests remaining.

    And remind me, who has gained more Superdelegates since Pennsylvania? Since March 4th? Oh and since Super Tuesday?

    April 30, 2008 06:48 pm at 6:48 pm |
  13. Katie

    Uh oh, Obamanation. What say you now?

    April 30, 2008 06:49 pm at 6:49 pm |
  14. Lisa

    Obama's response to Wright was brilliant, however.
    As more people watch it, he will gain even more suport.

    April 30, 2008 06:49 pm at 6:49 pm |
  15. Let's get it right

    I"m posting however I rarely get "approved". I think the polls are only snapshots and its difficult to compare them. Some of these have such large sampling errors, they lose alot of credibility.

    I think Obama will be able to pull out a squeek of a win in IN..

    Hillary's options are closing in on her and hopefully this will be over soon.

    April 30, 2008 06:49 pm at 6:49 pm |
  16. Guy Smiley

    Polls go up. Polls go down. Once Obama clinches the nomination (and he will clinch the nomination) and Hillary supporters come to terms with the fact that their choice didn't win. The vast majority of them (the SMART ones) will bite the bullet and line up behind Obama, especially when she inevitably comes out in his support.

    April 30, 2008 06:49 pm at 6:49 pm |
  17. Stephen

    It's a Fox News poll. Enough said!

    April 30, 2008 06:50 pm at 6:50 pm |
  18. Jonathan

    I love how so many Clinton supporters accuse Obama of being a liar, divisive, and has bad judgment, but they don't substantiate it with any rhyme or reason.

    Here are some examples of how to accuse someone of something:
    Clinton=liar because she lied 3 times about sniper fire
    Clinton=bad judgment because she voted for the war without reading the NIE on Iraq
    Clinton=divisive because she's waging a huge negative campaign that's dividing the democratic party

    See, it's simple:)

    April 30, 2008 06:50 pm at 6:50 pm |
  19. Golden Chica

    It was Pastor Wright that wrote Obama's two books for him.

    April 30, 2008 06:50 pm at 6:50 pm |
  20. Debbie, Columbus, Indiana

    I would like to know who's paying Wright. Don't you think it's a little bit TOO coincidental that when Hilary was in a do or die situation in Pennsylvania, that suddenly Rev. Wright surfaced with his comments, so that it would detract from Obama?

    Fast forward to Indiana & North Carolina primaries. Once again, these are MUST wins for Hilary. Obama is double digits ahead in North Carolina and it was a neck and neck race in Indiana, with Obama maintaining a slight lead . . . and coincidentally, here comes Rev. Wright once again. I used to be a member of that denomination. The denomination oversees the local churches. They wouldn't let someone that outrageous minister to the people. That isn't the outlook of the denomination.

    I can't help but wonder who's paid Wright to make these incredible scenes, to detract from Obama. I wish someone would begin investigating that. I expect that you would have to trace it through a lot of different aveunes, but that it would ultimately lead back to Hilary.

    April 30, 2008 06:50 pm at 6:50 pm |
  21. Dexter

    My Lord what more does Barack have to do to win some of you people?

    1.Do you feel that Barack Obama is a racist?
    2.Do you honestly feel he is easily influenced?
    3.Do white Americans feel that they will be enslaved by Barack Obama?
    4.Do you feel that Barack can unite us to build a better country and bring everyone together regardless of our differences to build a better, stronger, prosperous United States of America?

    If you said yes, to the first 3 questions then you were not going to vote for Barack Obama anyway….He could promise you the world and you would ask why not the moon.

    You people are looking for perfection in a non-perfect society! Grow up!

    April 30, 2008 06:50 pm at 6:50 pm |
  22. eric

    Why is there no margin of error on the poll of polls? If all three polls that you use have a margin of error why doesn't this poll?

    April 30, 2008 06:50 pm at 6:50 pm |
  23. Lisa

    Kelly from Oklahoma.....

    The gas tax will put approx. $9.25 in your pocket per month.....IF the oil companies don't raise prices to offset it. Do the math. If that is really gonna help your situation then you are doing much better than most. I want a long term solution to the problem. Don't insult me by putting a band aid on a gaping wound. Reminds me of the time I was offered a nickel raise. If that's the best they can do, then they can just keep it as far as I'm concerned.

    April 30, 2008 06:50 pm at 6:50 pm |
  24. marilyn

    You are being silly, you still think votes will be counted in a general election. McCain will steal the election. He is far to the right, he will make Bush look like Gandhi. I prefer Hillary but will vote for any democrat running against John McCain. Notice the media are not talking about McCain's relationship with pastor Hager (?) also a divisive character. What's an American to do?

    April 30, 2008 06:50 pm at 6:50 pm |
  25. Jason

    The most hillarious part about this whole thing, is that they're both losing to McCain. If Hillary somehow takes this, there will be those Dems who believe she's not going to 'change' anything. Nader will then start to preach change, since Barack will be gone, and he'll take enough of the vote to ensure we put McCain in to office!

    Nader '08!

    April 30, 2008 06:51 pm at 6:51 pm |
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