May 1st, 2008
06:52 AM ET
14 years ago

Poll of polls: Obama losing ground

[cnn-photo-caption image= caption=" Obama now leads Clinton by 1 point nationally."]

(CNN) - The Democratic presidential race is tightening nationally, according to a new CNN average of several recent polls.

Obama's lead is now down to 1 point over Clinton nationwide, 45 percent to 44 percent, in CNN's "poll of polls." That margin is down 3 points from another CNN poll of polls conducted two days ago. In that analysis, Obama led Clinton 47 percent to 43 percent. The margin is also considerably lower than an April 18 poll of polls that showed Obama with an 11 point lead.

The poll of polls consists of three newly released national polls from Fox News/Opinion Dynamics, Gallup, and Newsweek. There is no margin of error on the poll of polls.

Both the Fox News poll and the Gallup poll were conducted partially after Obama's former pastor, the Rev. Jeremiah Wright, made a fresh round of controversial comments earlier this week.

The Fox News poll also appears to show Obama no longer has an edge over Clinton among independent voters. In head-to-head match ups, presumptive Republican nominee John McCain wins independents by a 4 point margin over Clinton (42-38 percent) and by a 10 points over Obama (47 percent to 37 percent).

Filed under: Poll of polls
soundoff (1,279 Responses)
  1. Scott

    Finally! People are starting to wake up!

    April 30, 2008 06:58 pm at 6:58 pm |
  2. Len in Washington

    CNN you are reporting poll "recent" averages.

    What do the polls reflect since Obama's press conference yesterday?

    You might just want to check.

    You guys are getting too tabloid. Go back to the way you earned your reputation because you're losing it with this sort of "Hot Headline."

    April 30, 2008 06:58 pm at 6:58 pm |
  3. Jean

    The questionable activities, the lies, the unexplained donations,etc. athat Bill and Hillary have done been involved in are all being over looked as the pundits talks about some one who is not running for anything!!!!!!!!!!!!!!




    April 30, 2008 06:58 pm at 6:58 pm |
  4. commonsense

    I cannot believe at this day and age we as a people cannot see what is happening- the Clinton campaign is undermining all of us.
    She is actually Stealing this campagin and we are letting it happen. Rev. Wright is NOT running for president- he will NOT be the one to lower the gas prices- He is not the one that will lower the health insurance cost for me -you -your kids -your parents.
    HE is NOT a name on the ballot!!!
    What about your children's future? WHAT Kind of message are we telling the younger voters? THey have chosen him BHO by the millions. What is wrong with the world today – as an American this is very Un-American – un- Diplomatic and i USE to like HRC. I think it is very ugly the way her campaign was ran, and cannot wait untill all of you fools that are supporting her get put in the dog house, just as well as half of the old CLINTON employees. This is disgusting and all because this man;s father is black. Yes i said it! If it was any one besides him HRC would have been TOLD to step down already.
    Remember Watergate? Remember your Heath insurance comming directly out of your paychecks- if you want it or not, remember her running from sniper fire? – and i worry about that- our foriegn affairs- look into Bills financial dealings. YOU WILL REEP WHAT YOU SOW it is true for every one of us...WAKE UP AMERICA- THIS IS NOT A WHITE AMERICA- THIS IS NOT A BLACK AMERICA THIS IS THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA.(unfortunately we are far from united

    April 30, 2008 06:59 pm at 6:59 pm |


    April 30, 2008 06:59 pm at 6:59 pm |
  6. Jed in Texas

    I dont believe a thing Fox News says about anything.

    April 30, 2008 06:59 pm at 6:59 pm |
  7. Where's the DNC

    Memo to DNC:

    End the Drama – Pull the Plug on Obama!

    April 30, 2008 07:00 pm at 7:00 pm |
  8. richard huff

    You can't tell me that the Rev. Wright's comments , both at first and especially the second time around was not contrived and highly paid for by the Clinton dynasty ! Why else would a black preacher head of a black church KNOWINGLY make comments that would hurt such a candidate who is black himself and in many ways who would benefit the black population. !??! There would only be ONE reason , BIG CLINTON BUCKS !!!, under-the-table ,through 2 or 3 or more go-betweens . ! That's my opinion and from what I hear it is that of many others !!!
    By the way I am white and a republican and Hillary's lies and desparate attempts to, no matter in what way she accomplishes them, makes me ashamed of her and the democratic party and I WAS GOING TO VOTE FOR HER AT THE BEGINNING !!

    Richard Huff

    April 30, 2008 07:00 pm at 7:00 pm |
  9. Charles

    For everyone that keeps saying Obama can't win if he's falling to these light attacks from the Clintons, what do you think they will do to her? Obama's not attacking her. He's not taking advantage of all the mistakes and misteps she's made through this campaign because he's not trying to destroy the democratic nominees. Please believe the republican party would have a field day with Clinton. While all of you say Obama has bad judgment because the pastor of his church has gone left field, let's look at the people Hillary has surrounded herself with in a direct bid to win the presidency, not to mention the things she has said and done personally.

    April 30, 2008 07:00 pm at 7:00 pm |
  10. Pennsylvania FOR OBAMA!!!!!

    C'mon people!!! Hillary has got to be the WORST choice for head of anything!! She's just awful and WILL NOT deliver on her promises!!!
    She just says what you want to hear to get elected! If another candidate gets a good response for his idea....she steals it and tries to one up him.
    She stole McCains BAD gas holiday idea that would end up costing us MORE money when it's over.....just because he got a good response for it!
    Obama...on the other hand....has a BRAIN.

    I can't believe this country would shift anywhere towards her even if she was running against the Pillsbury Doughboy!!

    April 30, 2008 07:00 pm at 7:00 pm |
  11. John John

    Barack Obama Has Great Momentum, He is a Trailblazer in the
    Political Arena with a vengeance for Change. I think the American
    people are hungry for that change, and they are supporting Barack Obama with Excitement, and Enthusiasm.

    His Main Objective is to unify all Races, Whites, Blacks, Latinos, Asians, Proteston, & Catholic, as Government for and By the People To move our Country Forward. I believe we have a terrible problem in America: Possibility of Depression, Sub-Prime homes resulting in Thousands of Foreclosures, High Gasoline Cost, Increased rates in the Retail Sector, as well as the Food Industry, many US Families unable to afford Major Medical Health Insurance, Threatening possibilities of Terrorism, A Broken system in reference to the borders of Mexico & Canada. The Economy heading South, Billions of Dollars sent to Iraq to Fund a War that I believe should have never started. Unemployment is up, and Income is down due to increases on all fronts, Our Dependence of Foreign Oil by the Republican Party, when we can develop our own Natural Resources. I believe Barack Obama is capable of putting this nation on the right track. I believe he has the Intelligence and the know how to make it happen for this Country. The Clintons and many Other Presidential Candidates have been Washingtonized, and I think we need someone that is honest, intelligent, and is able to make a serious difference for the American People.

    April 30, 2008 07:01 pm at 7:01 pm |
  12. Teri

    If the Democrats lose in November- please don't blame Hillary. She keeps trying to tell the Democratic Party that she is the candidate who can win. I think they would be dumb not to take her advice.
    I am one of those undecided Independent or Liberal Republican people that can't make up my mind which one to vote for- Hillary or McCain... (I also LOVE the idea of a McCain/Powell ticket!). I won't vote for Obama. That is NOT Hillary's fault.

    April 30, 2008 07:01 pm at 7:01 pm |
  13. Anette

    I have been reading a lot of information regarding voter suppression in NC. As an African American this really concerns me as it has been aimed at the AA community. What is going on, and why are you not reporting it!

    April 30, 2008 07:01 pm at 7:01 pm |

    OBAMA – we as younger people need you, STAND TALL.

    April 30, 2008 07:01 pm at 7:01 pm |
  15. last laugh

    I am a strong Hillary supporter but believe that Obama is a great young leader and has many more years left to serve and do some great things for this country. I just hope that all of this Wright stuff only makes him strong and ready for the next time he runs for president.

    April 30, 2008 07:01 pm at 7:01 pm |
  16. Selina

    Well Cindy Murphy....

    Billary aslo signed the forms. They all followed the rules and now that Billary needs to votes, she wants to change the rules. Don't accuse of Senator Obama for disenfranchising MI. You need to look at your states leaders.

    April 30, 2008 07:01 pm at 7:01 pm |
  17. Debby

    Obama won more states, but this was before the Wright controversy. I wonder if he would have won so many if the primaries were held now. If she is gaining ground nationally that means people are having second thoughts on how they voted.

    April 30, 2008 07:02 pm at 7:02 pm |
  18. Phil

    This Wright situation shows just how out of touch the people of the country are with their government and how we ended up with the President we now have. Think people!!! MANIPULATION.
    As far as Sillary Simple is concerned she's like the wind. Whatever will get me elected. She a flake like McCain and when the republicans get through dragging her through the mud the democratic party may as well give it up forever. Experience = Corruption

    April 30, 2008 07:02 pm at 7:02 pm |
  19. Dee Dee

    I always liked CNN; I guess I didn't realized that they were so biased. I prefer to give the benefit of the doubt, but if the Dems are going to take back the White House they had better stick with the people's choice and super delegates who are defecting the obvious loser and NOT go the other direction. There will be utter chaos if that happens and it will seriously affect the young voters who have come out like never before and will disenfranchise many others. Let's elect someone who will really make a great and positive change in Washington...not the same old stuff. Come on.....

    April 30, 2008 07:03 pm at 7:03 pm |
  20. PKS

    Stop this drama!! This race is about delegates which Obama still leads.

    If Obama is unelectable, then Hillary is more so. Men and blacks are not going to back Clinton overwhelmingly, therefore she would lose.

    April 30, 2008 07:03 pm at 7:03 pm |
  21. Jay

    Clinton stayed on the ballots in Michigan, but every other candidate pulled out. Clinton signed the agreement NOT to count the primaries, but changed her mind when it became clear in February she was not going to be the front runner.

    Come on guys, lets think together.

    Clinton can and will get things done, by brute force.

    Obama can and will get things done, by compromise.

    Which is better for the long haul?

    Vote Obama.

    April 30, 2008 07:03 pm at 7:03 pm |
  22. JEC, Killen,Al.

    When Judas sold out Jesus, when Peter denied Jesus 3 times, they were the closest Disciples. Did you deny Jesus, because of others thoughts or opinions. Jesus, you didn't know or haven't seen, but his words still stay in our hearts and minds and helps us to be good Christians. No one's remarks or comments about you, me or anyone else should help destroy our visions and dreams or our souls. Each person has the right to voice whatever opinion or thoughts they want to share, but, this does not mean that we have to listen or believe in their opinions or thoughts. But, if we sit in judgement of each other because of someone's comment, whom we know or knew or thought we knew, then where will we be today, tomorrow or in the future. Rev. Wright, if a true minister, should not preach hate, bigotry, or seperatism, but Godly things, for we are all God like human beings.

    April 30, 2008 07:03 pm at 7:03 pm |
  23. Darryl

    Remembe what Jesus sad;

    Father forgive them because they know not what they do.

    Obama may be down but he's not out..

    Don't for get Clinton was in the lead be for now Obama is he have time on his hand and strong faith in you America .

    I just ask that you keep on praying that God choose a great leader for America and I don't feel Clinton or McCain can deliver...

    Obama 08

    April 30, 2008 07:04 pm at 7:04 pm |
  24. Dems2008

    This is one poll, during one week! Next week it will change...again! This is not new.

    April 30, 2008 07:04 pm at 7:04 pm |
  25. Suzy Mitchell

    This week has been a real shake up for me. I was excited about Obama and voted for him in the NY primary, although I also support Senator Clinton. Now, however, I am disillusioned after the Reverend Wright's speech to the Press Club and Obama's denunciation of his pastor. How can he NOT KNOW what sort of person Reverend Wright is after sitting in the pews Sunday after Sunday for the last 20 years? Presumably listening to similar sorts of utterances? It strains credulity. I'm now hoping Hillary can pull this nomination out.

    April 30, 2008 07:05 pm at 7:05 pm |
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