May 1st, 2008
06:52 AM ET
14 years ago

Poll of polls: Obama losing ground

[cnn-photo-caption image= caption=" Obama now leads Clinton by 1 point nationally."]

(CNN) - The Democratic presidential race is tightening nationally, according to a new CNN average of several recent polls.

Obama's lead is now down to 1 point over Clinton nationwide, 45 percent to 44 percent, in CNN's "poll of polls." That margin is down 3 points from another CNN poll of polls conducted two days ago. In that analysis, Obama led Clinton 47 percent to 43 percent. The margin is also considerably lower than an April 18 poll of polls that showed Obama with an 11 point lead.

The poll of polls consists of three newly released national polls from Fox News/Opinion Dynamics, Gallup, and Newsweek. There is no margin of error on the poll of polls.

Both the Fox News poll and the Gallup poll were conducted partially after Obama's former pastor, the Rev. Jeremiah Wright, made a fresh round of controversial comments earlier this week.

The Fox News poll also appears to show Obama no longer has an edge over Clinton among independent voters. In head-to-head match ups, presumptive Republican nominee John McCain wins independents by a 4 point margin over Clinton (42-38 percent) and by a 10 points over Obama (47 percent to 37 percent).

Filed under: Poll of polls
soundoff (1,279 Responses)
  1. A. Harrison

    Now let's GET FLORIDA AND MICHIGAN in the Mix and be on our way.

    PS the residents of Florida have finally started to PIPE UP...

    April 30, 2008 07:11 pm at 7:11 pm |
  2. Indiana voter

    i urge all indiana and north carolina voters to pick up a copy of
    GLOBE in your local supermarket or convience store.
    it is very valuable information for anyone who might be undecided as to who to vote for.
    i would expect this will hit cnn and other news networks tomorrow at the earliest...
    this is information that the clinton campaign could not pay to supress to the voters........
    thank you

    April 30, 2008 07:11 pm at 7:11 pm |
  3. Oldie

    Do you really believe any poll? Especially one that these people put out. We know who the media wants to win the nomination.

    April 30, 2008 07:11 pm at 7:11 pm |
  4. Nav

    Obama can transform America's image, says Jimmy Carter
    By Toby Harnden in Washington
    Last Updated: 6:55PM BST 30/04/2008
    Former President Jimmy Carter has given Barack Obama a major boost by calling for the bitter Democratic nomination battle to end on June 3rd and speaking glowingly of his ability to “transform the image” of America.

    Jimmy Carter's comments are a blow to Hillary Clinton
    Transcript of the interview

    Mr Carter did not formally endorse Mr Obama but in an interview with The Daily Telegraph made crystal clear where his sympathies lie. He even sketched out the kind of inaugural address the first black United States president could deliver.

    Coming from the most distinguished of some 300 uncommitted "super-delegates” – the Democratic party leaders who will crown their party’s nominee – Mr Carter’s new public stance is a blow to Hillary Clinton’s chances of winning the White House.

    Article continuesadvertisement

    April 30, 2008 07:12 pm at 7:12 pm |
  5. reality check

    maybe people realize he is more of a flip flop

    he is bashing clintons tax holiday BUT...................

    "Obama voted three times for a tax holiday when he was in the Illinois legislature. Legislators were responding in 2000 to gas reaching $2 a gallon in the Chicago area."

    April 30, 2008 07:12 pm at 7:12 pm |
  6. ttfrenzy

    Why is it that Rasmussen, the most accurate polling system is not included. Today's poll had obama up by 4 percent. Clinton News Network must stop the bias

    April 30, 2008 07:12 pm at 7:12 pm |
  7. Dawn

    It was only a matter of time. I have been waiting patiently for this to happen. Thank you rev. Wright for helping the inevitable happen.

    April 30, 2008 07:13 pm at 7:13 pm |
  8. will

    Ok lets wake up folks. CNN and The Clintons had nothing to do with the Rev coming out this last week and making him say what he said. They also did not force Sen Obama to sit in his church for 20 years. These were choices that he made all by himself. If he can not make a basic judgement call like standing up and walking away from this kind of hate then what kind of president will he make. Stop blaming the media and the Clintons for his lack of judgement.
    The party needs to come together when this is all done and vote for the best man or woman who can fix the problems in this country.
    Right now my vote is for a woman or for a old man i hope will not have a stroke or die in office.

    April 30, 2008 07:13 pm at 7:13 pm |
  9. Strength in Obama

    All of this discussion about race makes me sick to my stomach. I guess the country has forgotten that Obama is also white! Remember that! Or is it that we painted him as black candidate we have lost fact that he is bi-racial? The things that Rev. Wright said clearly conflicts with Barack's character and racial background.

    As a proud African American woman (and a reformed republican) – I will continue to support Obama. I strongly believe that Rev. Wright has bought into the hype of media attention and has made himself (Not Obama) look like a fool. As democrats, we should all be about uplifting and not tearing down our candidates. I admire Obama for being able to take the number of blows that has been given to him throughout this campaign. How many people can honestly keep cool under the pressure that he has been faced with? There is so much dirt he could have thrown at the Clintons – but he continues to take the high road. Clearly he could have ran a campaign like Hillary's and threw in the kitchen sink, refrigerator, garbage disposal, etc. He has yet to lose his cool or strike back with negative comments. This is something that we should keep in mind. He has soooooooooooo much patience and sincerity. If he has patience to deal with the nonsense that he has faced during his campaign he most certainly have the patience to deal with the powers that be in Washington.

    Rev. Wright is seeking attention. Why give him the pleasure? He paints a bad image of African American pastors and the black church.

    It surely is Silly Season. I believe the spirit of jealousy and hatred has taken over him Rev. Wright. I will continue praying for this country and the divisive people in it. Right now Obama has 3 candidates to deal with – Hillary, McCain, and Rev. Wright.

    Obama you still have my vote! No wishy, washy, democrat here!

    April 30, 2008 07:13 pm at 7:13 pm |
  10. Blake Kimmel

    The 4th branch has turned this into an absolute circus and has made me continue to loose hope in our political process. I am young, and this will be the first presidential election I can vote in. The issues are obviously not important when Jeremiah Wright resurfacing is cited as a main timeline waypoint in this article. The mis direction of attention from the issues makes me so frustrated I can't sit still.

    April 30, 2008 07:14 pm at 7:14 pm |
  11. Elvis Smith

    REV. WRIGHT was bought out by the CLINTONS. Haven't you seen his photo with Bill in the Oval Office. Forget the kitchen sink, they are sinking to the bottom. Now they're throwing the bathtub!

    April 30, 2008 07:14 pm at 7:14 pm |
  12. karenM


    If you support Obama you need to step up to the plate. I am on the streets every single day talking to folks in NC about One Stop Voting (registration and voting all this week), and early voting for folks already registered. Folks are hungry ... starving even ... for FACTS about Obama and his campaign. Make me a promise: get on the phone right now .. right NOW ... RIGHT NOW ... and call 5 people and urge them to vote in NC for Barack. AND ask each of them to call 5 people to urge them to vote for Barack in NC. Person by person, vote by vote, we can change the course of this country. But we all need to be involved to make this happen. Please do your part. Thanks.

    April 30, 2008 07:14 pm at 7:14 pm |
  13. hk

    Please do not blame Hillary Clinton for this. He did this to himself. To begin with, he doesn't have sufficient experience to be the president.

    April 30, 2008 07:14 pm at 7:14 pm |
  14. EJT

    Obama supporters call Hillary a liar, they should start looking at Mr. Obamas truthfulness – his story seems to change as do the days of the week.

    As Mr. Obama has stated "WORDS MATTER" including Reverend
    Wright's and Mr. Obamas 20 year apatheric response to such words.

    April 30, 2008 07:14 pm at 7:14 pm |
  15. Sam Missouri

    Hope is not a strategy. Which is why the tide has turned against Obama. Empty rhetoric may work early in a campaign, but over time, people come to see through it. Experience does matter.

    No matter how altruistic a candidate is about change in Washington, one President cannot change an establishment that has been evolving for over 200 years.

    Personally, I'm looking for a leader who knows how to navigate the halls of Washington and the politics of the world. I am concerned that if somehow Obama were to be elected, he would be a colossal failure due to his high aspirations and lack of inside-the-beltway experience. Jimmy Carter came to Washington in 1976 with these same aspirations — change — hope. And at the end of four years, we handed the Whitehouse back to the republicans for the next 12 years.

    Let's not make the same mistake twice.

    April 30, 2008 07:14 pm at 7:14 pm |
  16. Dave

    Wake up America!!! Give the front runner a chance to see what he can do. I'm neutral about who to elect, but rules are rules. If Obama wins the delegate count according to party guidelines then he deserves the nomination. It's unfair to hold one candidate accountable for another persons stupidity (ie. Wright's antics) and then go and say let's vote for the other candidate because we know she's perfect. Keep in mind folks we're in a war because of Bill Clinton's lack of courage to do what's needed as President of America. Now I'm not judging his wife to do the same that would be unfair to her.

    So, let the voting process do what it's suppose to do and tell the news media to stop manipulatiog the process with their misleading polls and reports. The democratic process is now looking rediculous to the world. Let's thanks the news media and democrats for this. I applaud you all being participants to show the world why democracy may be the wrong form of government for any country. We can still correct ourselves before the damage is permanent.

    April 30, 2008 07:15 pm at 7:15 pm |
  17. lylemidnight

    20 years ob sat in church and 20 years he had a social and spiritual relationship with rev...and now he wants us to believe that he never knew or heard what the rev said and believed?..this isn't race! ..the man needs a hearing aid .....can you imagine how the world leaders would take him to the cleaners.?.

    April 30, 2008 07:15 pm at 7:15 pm |
  18. Shelly

    It is amazing how much power Rev. Wright actually has. We are deviating completely from issues of interest to American people and have to continuously listen to nonsense of Rev. Wright. I am not swayed in my support for Barack Obama. I have a mind of my own and can differentiate between nonsense and sincerity

    April 30, 2008 07:15 pm at 7:15 pm |
  19. TJ

    Has anyone considered that Obama has allowed his children hear Wright spout off such hatred and racism? Isn't that abuse??? Obama can not make anyone believe that the first time he was aware of this man's feeling only in the last few months?

    April 30, 2008 07:16 pm at 7:16 pm |
  20. mike

    That is just for purpose done by Clinton’s cap. Because for any case seems to lose it help them to argue or to cheat the election. How knows the truth last elections time? so I think that why she made elections there knowing while the rule was there and her pennant of honest and intelligent candidate didn’t participate . Generally I don’t trust any Clinton’s because there are layer, untrustworthy, for all multiracial i.e. America

    April 30, 2008 07:16 pm at 7:16 pm |
  21. Indiana voter

    she is electible????? you undecided voters need to go and get a copy of GLOBE in your local supermarket or convience store. do it now....
    very interesting information on hilary and her lover...

    April 30, 2008 07:16 pm at 7:16 pm |
  22. Iykeman

    How do you expect Obama to concede in Michigan and Florida where hs name was nt even on the ballot?

    April 30, 2008 07:17 pm at 7:17 pm |
  23. Juan Carlos(Vegas)

    I love it, I love it, I love it She is going to be our president jajajajajajajajja

    April 30, 2008 07:17 pm at 7:17 pm |
  24. Allison Marie

    Very happy to see the light at the end of the tunnel!

    GO Hillary GO!




    Clinton/Edwards 08/12

    April 30, 2008 07:17 pm at 7:17 pm |
  25. Leila

    Wright is right.
    Obama is just a politician who will say and do anything to win.

    If BO gets the nomination, McCain is our next president.

    April 30, 2008 07:18 pm at 7:18 pm |
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