May 1st, 2008
06:52 AM ET
14 years ago

Poll of polls: Obama losing ground

[cnn-photo-caption image= caption=" Obama now leads Clinton by 1 point nationally."]

(CNN) - The Democratic presidential race is tightening nationally, according to a new CNN average of several recent polls.

Obama's lead is now down to 1 point over Clinton nationwide, 45 percent to 44 percent, in CNN's "poll of polls." That margin is down 3 points from another CNN poll of polls conducted two days ago. In that analysis, Obama led Clinton 47 percent to 43 percent. The margin is also considerably lower than an April 18 poll of polls that showed Obama with an 11 point lead.

The poll of polls consists of three newly released national polls from Fox News/Opinion Dynamics, Gallup, and Newsweek. There is no margin of error on the poll of polls.

Both the Fox News poll and the Gallup poll were conducted partially after Obama's former pastor, the Rev. Jeremiah Wright, made a fresh round of controversial comments earlier this week.

The Fox News poll also appears to show Obama no longer has an edge over Clinton among independent voters. In head-to-head match ups, presumptive Republican nominee John McCain wins independents by a 4 point margin over Clinton (42-38 percent) and by a 10 points over Obama (47 percent to 37 percent).

Filed under: Poll of polls
soundoff (1,279 Responses)

    Shame on the Clintons! Do they really think we don't know who is behind the slinging? They have encouraged the critics. The party will be split and McCain will probably win the election. Here we go, 4 more years!!!

    April 30, 2008 07:18 pm at 7:18 pm |
  2. all American

    People are waking up to Obamas crying and dirty politics. Just listen to his supporters. Where do you people get your rhetoric? No matter just keep it up. You help Hillary every time you open your mouth.

    Most of you do'nt even know what you are talking about. but thats good,just shows your candidate has no platform of his own, Well, not one he hasn't stoled from Hillary anyway.
    Cry me a river Obama. We will name it after you. When Hillary is president.

    April 30, 2008 07:18 pm at 7:18 pm |
  3. Krystyna from Chicago

    OBAMA SHOULD DROP OF for one simple reason;
    He is empty speaker, carrier seaker !!!! REZKO TYPE OF CHARACTER.
    Also He is not in to winning position in Novemeber !!!!
    Most of Hillary supporters will vote for McCAIN, if Obama will be Democratic Nom.
    What's the waste of many milions of supporters money !!!!!

    April 30, 2008 07:18 pm at 7:18 pm |
  4. laura

    polls...polls...and more polls...who takes the polls anyway?! a poll is only as accurate as the people who take 'em. i'm 54, and have never been asked to take a poll...anyone else?
    GO O B A M A !

    April 30, 2008 07:18 pm at 7:18 pm |
  5. Korey

    Hillary Clinton makes me want to be a Republican. Maybe it's because she was raised Republican... All I know is if Clinton takes the nomination, I will be sitting on my hands come November. You can call me a discouraged voter.

    Scare tactics?

    Dirty cover-ups?

    A divider?

    The issues over distractions?

    One who makes mistakes and admits to them (ie. a human being)? Yes.

    Obama is better than Hillary for a reason, people. She's got a worse track record than Obama; it's just she plays dirty to make herself look clean. Dig up information. Compare your candidates!!!

    April 30, 2008 07:19 pm at 7:19 pm |
  6. ressa

    What is clear about Rev. Wright? It's clear that he has lost trust in the American government, how is his lost of trust and hope in our government, different from our lost trust and hope in the Bush Administration and the government now? You guys are pushing this issue to obviously find a negative against Senator Barak. You are calling Rev. Wright unpatriotic. Have you forgotten that President Bush and his many "wolves in sheep clothing" called anyone and everyone unpatriotic when they did not agree with their policies and efforts to go to war in IRAQ? He used the "religious republicans" to get in our office, and in return pushed "fear" tactics not "faith" in our country and around the world. WE ALL KNOW THAT THE BUSH ADMINISTRATION POLICIES PUSH TO GO TO IRAQ WAS A LIE AND MIMINICKED OUR PATROTRISM AND OUR INABILITY TO UNITE AFTER 9/11. Is Wright really SO wrong about our government capabilities? We allowed this war, fear tactics, and unpatriotic denouncements, knowing it was a lie for the whole world to see and denounce us. The results of this is over 4000 American lives have been lost (and possibly more to come, if not fixed), we never rectified the lost of 9/11, and 1000 of Iraqies are dead because of this out right out lie. Has this lie promoted more terrorism or patriotrism in our country? Instead of denouncing Rev. Wright's feelings of lost of trust and hope in this country, the Senator should have reminded us of feelings of lost of trust in this current Administration.

    We the People

    April 30, 2008 07:19 pm at 7:19 pm |
  7. Goody - Oregonians 4 Hillary

    The candidate to see this country through some trying times is Hillary Clinton.

    She's a fighter, cares deeply about our citizens and will do a good job as president.

    April 30, 2008 07:20 pm at 7:20 pm |
  8. DW

    Ridiculous! As if we should ever believe a Faux News Poll!

    And, indeed, if the American public is so fickle that they would switch their votes based on what Obama's FORMER pastor ranted about, then they will deserve exactly what they will get. Status quo and a woman who is a pathological liar and deceiver!

    April 30, 2008 07:20 pm at 7:20 pm |
  9. ike

    UH CNN how does a poll of polls that is based on polls that have margins of error not have a margin of error. Give me a break it is a tie. Sorry Obama supporters looks like your guy is no longer as inevitable as before and Clinton with a nine point lead over McCain. That is outside of the margin of error.

    April 30, 2008 07:20 pm at 7:20 pm |
  10. Belle

    Clinton stood by MI and FL during their voting crises. (a real one created by A. Democratic Gov in MI and B. Republican votes in FL created by others, NOT Clinton)

    Obama created crises of his OWN making. Then touts he is cool during crises? Bush creates crises too...(the war in Iraq)...and he also is cool during crises....

    God help us all if Obama is elected.

    April 30, 2008 07:20 pm at 7:20 pm |
  11. Michael-NJ

    It’s funny how quickly we abandon candidates who followed the outlined at the beginning of the campaign and were instructed to follow. How can you trust a candidate who agrees to follow the rules and then tries to unilaterally change the rules? Sounds like working with the U.N. and then going into Iraq unilaterally with a pre-emptive doctrine. Sound familiar? George W. Bush

    Who do you trust? Clinton who empowered the unilateral decision or Obama who opposed the unilateral decision? I stand with the candidate who had the courage to oppose the pre-emptive unilateral decision.

    Obama’08 – “Yes WE can!”

    April 30, 2008 07:20 pm at 7:20 pm |
  12. BL-NYC

    Why would anyone actually be surprised that Senator Obama is "losing ground?"
    People... He does not have enough experience to govern our Nation, it is that simple and always has been... What he has had going for him is a lot of money to promote with!
    Why is anyone surprised? It takes him forever to make a decision (such as finally axing his Pastor-Grandfather) and we can not afford that sort of weakness at this time in our history...

    April 30, 2008 07:20 pm at 7:20 pm |
  13. Annie

    I would never vote for Hillary Clinton -

    April 30, 2008 07:21 pm at 7:21 pm |
  14. Martin

    I'm struggling to see the difference between a Clinton Loyalist and a Bush Loyalist these days. Bush and Clinton are both proven warmongering, compulsive liars with little genuine experience to bring to their roles, their fans apparently have no critical thinking and in the face of evidence retreat into attack and denial in equal measure.

    Obama is far from perfect, but compared to the corrupt, cycnical and power crazed Clinton he's at least nowhere near as bad.

    Clinton has been reading straight from the Rove playbook when it comes to diversionary politics.

    Obama's only real flaw is that he's not just outright called Hillary a liar. He should face her in debate and list every lie and demand she admit that they are no "mis-statements" and that either she's delusional (quite likely) or a liar. If he has a serious flaw it's that he's not wimped out on crushing her early on.

    Hillary can only be trusted to keep on lying. Not what the world wants in an American president as we're already sick of the last one.

    April 30, 2008 07:21 pm at 7:21 pm |
  15. NJ4hillary

    just donated another 50$ for hillary..

    go hillary!!!!!!

    April 30, 2008 07:22 pm at 7:22 pm |
  16. dem08

    Obama said he was angered and saddened with Rev. Wright. Why? Because he is damaging him politically. Not because he is angered and saddened for Rev. Wright being anti-America. If this was true, he should of done this way from the beginning. Obama and camp are in panic mode. Rev. Wright comments. He didn't say Does Obama think we are such fools to believe him? What Rev. Wright said at the NPC, (National Press Club) is no different of what he been saying all along. Obama did a Bill Richardson! He betrayed his pastor, like Richardson betrayed Clinton. He also did a John Kerry (Flip Flopper). Obama is now flip flopping with his response on Rev. Wright. For their own political benefit. These 3 belong together. (A bird of a feather, flock together).

    April 30, 2008 07:22 pm at 7:22 pm |
  17. Ben

    News flash... Don't get caught up thinking everything the Media and Clinton is saying is true. The negative campaign ran by Hillary has damaged both her and Obama. It's the only way she can win but she is tearing apart the Democratic party with her. I have been very surprised at Hillary for these tactics and will not be voting for her regardless. Obama has taken hard hits from the media, from his Rev. and from the GRC. Obama will help change Washington, hasn't taken special interest money and is a true leader. If Obama was to get into the gutter with Hillary she would have alot of explaining to do about her part in NAFTA, BOSNIA Snipers, Vote on Iraq, White Water and the list goes on. And as for McCain, the list is even bigger for him. Change Washington – Vote Obama!

    April 30, 2008 07:22 pm at 7:22 pm |
  18. Herman LA, CA

    This doesn't come as no surprise look at what and who Barack Obama an out sider of Washington is fighting verses all the other candidates.

    1. George Bush
    2. Dick Cheney
    3. John McCain
    4. Hillary Clinton
    5. Bill Clinton
    6. Chelsea Clinton
    7. Carl Roe
    8. RNC – Republican Nation Committee
    9. Rev. Wright
    10. Racism – Becoming the first Black President of the United States

    Now can you see why Barack has taken a dip in the polls?

    April 30, 2008 07:22 pm at 7:22 pm |
  19. John

    Both contenders,Hillary and Obama are stuck on 47% .Surely Obama has alot more explanation to do.Procrastination is always a set back in no matter what you do.I think Sen. John Kerry could have won the presidency ,against George W.Bush,had he (Kerry), attacked the Swiftboat group head on.Two little too late is a significant impediment in the present presidential contention between the final contenders.We will learn what the voters think.They are the super-super delegates!!!!!!!!!

    April 30, 2008 07:22 pm at 7:22 pm |
  20. Mar

    No way is Obama electable anymore and the superdelagate will lose this race if they keep siding with Obama. He is WEAK now and will get worse. The Republicans will eat him alive!!!

    April 30, 2008 07:24 pm at 7:24 pm |
  21. Jane

    Hillary is done. She is as irrelevant as dust. All these polls are trying to do is create drama and scare tactics among voters.

    Obama has more support nationwide and worldwide!


    April 30, 2008 07:24 pm at 7:24 pm |
  22. Mauri

    Cindy Murphy, I'm from Texas, but I surely empathize with you. You and other Michigan voters had nothing to do with the decisions that resulted in your vote not counting. That is NOT democracy, and it should be turned around. Barack Obama not only agreed with the DNC on this and took his name off, but he would not agree to hold a revote. He did leave his name on the Florida ballot as did Hillary, and the voters in Florida had their say. Because Hillary won by big numbers, Obama again would not consider a revote. He and his supporters have gone around implying that Hillary campaigned in both states. For those who continue to say Hillary is a liar, please know that this by Obama is a whopper! He has also lied in other areas that are glaring. To all who brand us Hillary supporters as low life and uneducated - you should think again. We're all smart enough to know by now that Barack Obama has failed in all areas in convincing us that he is not ready to be President. So what is your excuse? And those who continue to say that CNN is biased in favor of Hillary, not so. Many of us who are Hillary supporters don't always get our blogs posted. CNN deserves kudos for giving us this opportunity to sound off politics-wise, that is.

    April 30, 2008 07:24 pm at 7:24 pm |
  23. roger

    Hillary can win the nomination. I'm a sen.obama supporter and if he is not in the ticket, I'm voting for sen.Mccain


    April 30, 2008 07:24 pm at 7:24 pm |
  24. Dina

    Yeah...and Hillary was the inevitable shoo-in back in Feb. 5th. LOL

    Oh and please Clinton supporter stop with the playground bully threats of all YOU aren't going to do if Hillary can't steal the nomination because those same threats apply to YOUR candidate as well. LOL

    April 30, 2008 07:24 pm at 7:24 pm |
  25. lindafrom South Dakota

    well, well,,,, seems like hillary has done it again,, riled people up and she thinks its for her benifit?,,, laff again, because,, Obama will make a come-back . trust me,, americans arent that stupid to fall for hillarys ignorance on not stickin to the issues,, seems she ma like to fight but is fightin a losin battle with herself,,IF she becomes persident ,, america would be in a whole lot not trouble than it is now,,,She talks big, but where would she be without her "gang".. And soon she will run out of lies. Thne what? sure they say the clitons get their way,, but the issue is HOW?,,, at our expense?? i dont think so,,,, It may look invitin to have a woman president BUtT Hillary isnt the one for the job at hand, watch people and see what happens in the next few weeks,,, Obama has spoken the truth and ISNT takin wrights "crap". nor hillarys so watch,,, you may be surprized,,,

    April 30, 2008 07:25 pm at 7:25 pm |
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