May 1st, 2008
06:52 AM ET
14 years ago

Poll of polls: Obama losing ground

[cnn-photo-caption image= caption=" Obama now leads Clinton by 1 point nationally."]

(CNN) - The Democratic presidential race is tightening nationally, according to a new CNN average of several recent polls.

Obama's lead is now down to 1 point over Clinton nationwide, 45 percent to 44 percent, in CNN's "poll of polls." That margin is down 3 points from another CNN poll of polls conducted two days ago. In that analysis, Obama led Clinton 47 percent to 43 percent. The margin is also considerably lower than an April 18 poll of polls that showed Obama with an 11 point lead.

The poll of polls consists of three newly released national polls from Fox News/Opinion Dynamics, Gallup, and Newsweek. There is no margin of error on the poll of polls.

Both the Fox News poll and the Gallup poll were conducted partially after Obama's former pastor, the Rev. Jeremiah Wright, made a fresh round of controversial comments earlier this week.

The Fox News poll also appears to show Obama no longer has an edge over Clinton among independent voters. In head-to-head match ups, presumptive Republican nominee John McCain wins independents by a 4 point margin over Clinton (42-38 percent) and by a 10 points over Obama (47 percent to 37 percent).

Filed under: Poll of polls
soundoff (1,279 Responses)
  1. 58 old white wemen for OBAMA





    April 30, 2008 05:37 pm at 5:37 pm |
  2. bitter_in_pa

    The only poll that matters is the one conducted in the voting booth. Obama is ahead in that one.

    April 30, 2008 05:37 pm at 5:37 pm |
  3. Gary Graves

    The superdelegates know who is going to win, and they're choosing Obama 2-1.

    April 30, 2008 05:37 pm at 5:37 pm |
  4. R.T.

    If we knew then what we know now, Obama wouldn't have finished in the top 3 in any of the Jan or Feb primaries.

    He may get the nomination just through attrition, but his candidacy is mortally wounded.

    Way to go Democrats. We ran Edwards out before we realized the guy we were casting our lot with was flawwed beyond repair.

    April 30, 2008 05:38 pm at 5:38 pm |
  5. AZM

    Bye, Bye Obama.... The Party is OVER!

    What's sad is he wouldn't address the Wright issue until the polls fell. Doing so earlier would have helped.
    His "Father Figure" turned out to be the guy he threw under the bus with his Grandmother!

    He's done... a ten point swing in two weeks... by middle may he will be down 20 points and the Supers who already backed him will be stuck.... LOL... Bill and Hillary must be cracking the bubbly!


    April 30, 2008 05:38 pm at 5:38 pm |
  6. Lucky, IA

    I'm still voting for Obama. This is the hardest he's been hit since he started running for president. We wanted to know how well he takes a hit, well there you go, he gets back up and keeps going. Obama for president.

    April 30, 2008 05:38 pm at 5:38 pm |
  7. Blake, San Diego

    All it takes is a little superficial highlighting to sway the ignorant public. I'm just going to vote and be done with it, at least I know I did my part.

    This Rev. Write controversy is NOT that important.

    Anybody but McCain.

    Democrats '08

    April 30, 2008 05:38 pm at 5:38 pm |
  8. Josh

    Well its about time! America is starting to realize that Obama cannot bring about the "hope and change," that he has so eloquently promised to millions of Americans. Americans are starting to realize that this "hope and change," has to be brought about by EXPERIENCE AND KNOWLEDGE OF THE FACTS, and the only person that can change America through those tactics is SENATOR HILLARY RODHAM CLINTON!!! I have backed her this whole race and I have been able to see past the bs that Barack Obama has given the American public! Finally, Americans are starting to use their brains!

    April 30, 2008 05:38 pm at 5:38 pm |
  9. Jacob S

    Unfortunately these polls are all of very questionable value at best at this point in time. There have been no Dem vs. Rep debates yet, and Obama and McCain have yet to really go after one another besides some minor skirmishes, if you will. It is my firm belief that should Obama be chosen as nominee, after a time any true Democrats will unite behind him and once he begins debating John McCain, the contrast between them will be clear, and the similarities between Bush's policies and McCain's will also make itself evident. I don't foresee many independents who dislike Bush (most of them) voting for McCain given those policy similarities.

    April 30, 2008 05:38 pm at 5:38 pm |
  10. R.I.F.

    Funny thing is the media drives about 80% of the responses that you get out of these polls. Considering that you've done nothing but show Rev. Wright 24/7 I can imagine that Obama would be slipping. I love Obama but I almost want him to go away just so I won't have to hear about Wright all day every day. After this America deserves what it'll get when Bush Lite is sworn in next year.

    April 30, 2008 05:39 pm at 5:39 pm |
  11. Rita

    It's about time America wakes up!

    April 30, 2008 05:39 pm at 5:39 pm |
  12. fred

    Go HILLARY!!!


    April 30, 2008 05:39 pm at 5:39 pm |
  13. Penny

    wel, well, well the sniper liar has done it and you people will find out what kind of a liar she really is and why don't you ask her what kind of relationship her and billyboy had with the rev. wright

    April 30, 2008 05:39 pm at 5:39 pm |
  14. JoeBrown

    You Democrats better hope that Obama is not the nominee. He will be ripped a new one by the Republicans. He can't even take Hillary and she's not even really attacking him in the vile manner that Republicans use. McCain will win if Obama is the nominee.

    April 30, 2008 05:40 pm at 5:40 pm |
  15. Carlos de Paula

    I suppose Mr. Obama's former pastor, mr. Selfwrighteous, has turned into a foe.

    April 30, 2008 05:40 pm at 5:40 pm |
  16. Ilona Proud Canadian

    I wonder how much Sen. Obama's "slipping in the polls" has to do with the organization " Women's Voices Women Vote". For anyone who has not heard about this organization. This is the organization (now under investigation) that has been making Bogus Phone Calls and Bogus Mailings to a number of voters throughout a number of states (in an effort to mislead voters) i.e Arizona, Wisconsin, Michigan, Florida, Arkansas, Louisiana, Kentucky, Ohio Virginia. Guess what Bill Clinton and this organization have in common? Executive Director of this organization Joe Goode was Bill's Chief of Staff, Board Member John Podesta was a pollster for Bill in 1992. Get your info on huff post.

    April 30, 2008 05:40 pm at 5:40 pm |
  17. Lenore Z.

    Looks like a slight drop– to be expected after the Wright flap. But Obama still ahead by 1% point. Elections have been won by less!
    Look for it to go up again after the dust settles.

    April 30, 2008 05:40 pm at 5:40 pm |

    Senator Clinton has been playing dirty since the beginning and she just can't stop herself. She is an undercover Republican. She was an open Republican when she was in college and now it's coming out. She works dirty and lies every chance that she gets. She wants to be one of the Good Ole Boys!

    Obama all the way!

    New York

    April 30, 2008 05:40 pm at 5:40 pm |
  19. Chic

    A lead is a lead is a lead.

    Go Obama 08

    April 30, 2008 05:40 pm at 5:40 pm |
  20. Sick of Hill

    I think that the Clinton campaign is paying this Wright character to come out and start talking now. That's the kind of tactics that she's used to palying with.

    April 30, 2008 05:40 pm at 5:40 pm |
  21. Fred C Dobbs

    Looks like bad numbers for Obama. Supporters that loved the numbers prior to PA and Wright are now critical of the polling organizations.

    MSNBC may think that obama has the nomination locked up but if Clinton finishes strong in the primaries with a lead in the popular vote it will be difficult for the super delegates to vote for Obama.

    Think about it – Clinton wins Texas and Nevada popular votes but loses in the delegate count.

    April 30, 2008 05:40 pm at 5:40 pm |
  22. Steve

    It's a good thing national polls are generally worthless.

    April 30, 2008 05:41 pm at 5:41 pm |
  23. Irishspaceonk

    Can we get over national polls? They mean nothing as the primaries take place. The mood is shifted back and forth each day but true supporters are going to stick with their's over and Hillary's lost.

    April 30, 2008 05:41 pm at 5:41 pm |
  24. wyoming dem

    Poll of Polls??? I would like to see a Poll of Polls on how many people are sick of polls, then another poll of how many people think this negativity that Hillary is fueling is damaging the party, then yet another poll on how many people will not be voting in November because they have died from bordom from polls.

    April 30, 2008 05:41 pm at 5:41 pm |
  25. Dexter

    He'll have to loose a hell of a lot more ground than this to give Hillary even an outside chance of catching up. This race is way beyond over, and it needs to stop now.

    April 30, 2008 05:41 pm at 5:41 pm |
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